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CAL

California 30 at Washington 24

WASH
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDFUMBLEFGFGEnd of GameFG-10.8WASH 12.9%Matt Anderson 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 30 - HOME 21 · Q4 5:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:34 · Matt Anderson 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Home team on offense−26.3Pregame prior−1.0Garbage-time factor−11.0Score differential−10.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:00: Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 28 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +11.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:51: Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +11.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:23: Chico McClatcher run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +10.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q3 2:19: Vic Enwere run for a loss of 8 yards Vic Enwere fumbled, forced by Sidney Jones, recovered by Wash Sidney Jones , return for 70 yds for TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +9.3 pts (now 27%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 5:34: Matt Anderson 37 yd FG GOOD — CAL win probability +10.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CAL made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00CAL 4th & 3 at WASH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    53.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:08WASH 4th & 29 at WASH 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:04CAL 4th & 11 at WASH 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:04WASH 4th & 18 at WASH 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:39CAL 4th & 13 at CAL 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:17CAL 4th & 1 at WASH 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−2.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−7.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:14CAL 4th & 11 at WASH 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:00WASH 4th & 5 at CAL 36, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:53WASH 4th & 22 at WASH 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00CAL 4th & 15 at WASH 38, up 6
    Close callPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    69.1%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:34CAL 4th & 18 at WASH 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−4.4
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−10.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:57WASH 4th & 10 at CAL 19, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−5.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:00CAL 4th & 20 at CAL 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−4.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:00CAL 4th & 4 at WASH 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CAL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:32WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:28CAL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:00CAL Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:51CAL Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:23WASH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
39.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 31 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
39.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 3 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+4
39.0%
Jeffrey Coprich run for 4 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
39.0%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius PoweSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+2
39.0%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -19 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
39.8%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Mickens, Jaydon for 4 yards to the WASH39 (Nickerson, Hard), PENALTY WASH pass interference (Lenius, Brayden) 15 yards to the WASH20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 25
OWN 20
-11
39.7%
Jake Browning sacked by Kyle Kragen and Jonathan Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the Wash 9Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 36
OWN 9
0
39.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 36
OWN 9
+7
39.1%
Jake Browning run for 7 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 29
OWN 16
0
39.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trevor Davis at the Cal 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:1360% → 59%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
39.9%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+11
40.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 11 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
39.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 5 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
39.9%
Vic Enwere run for 4 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+3
39.9%
Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
39.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 15 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
39.8%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Wash 13Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
39.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 9
OPP 13
-2
40.0%
Jared Goff sacked by Travis Feeney for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
41.0%
Matt Anderson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
41.1%
Jake Browning sacked by Kyle Kragen for a loss of 10 yards to the Wash 17Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
40.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dwayne Washington, broken up by Kyle KragenSimilar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
40.5%
Korey Durkee punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trevor Davis at the Cal 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
40.8%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-9
40.7%
Jared Goff sacked by Jaylen Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 36Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 16
OWN 36
-5
41.7%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, delay of game (Jared Goff) to the Cal 31Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 21
OWN 31
+8
41.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 8 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 13
OWN 39
+12
41.9%
Cole Leininger punt for 44 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 12 yds to the Wash 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:4042% → 48%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
41.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 12 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
42.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+15
42.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 15 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+27
43.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 27 yds to the Cal 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
47.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 5:0454% → 60%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
46.3%
Goff, Jared pass complete to Harris, Maurice for 5 yards to the CAL26 (Gardenhire, D.), PENALTY CAL illegal formation 5 yards to the CAL16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 15
OWN 16
-5
46.4%
Goff, Jared pass incomplete to Enwere, Vic (Tupou, Taniela), PENALTY CAL illegal formation 5 yards to the CAL11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+19
46.4%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 19 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
45.5%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the Cal 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
46.7%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
46.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+20
47.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 20 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
45.5%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
45.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 5 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+21
45.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 21 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
44.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 3 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+8
44.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 8 yds to the Wash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
40.2%
Vic Enwere run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
43.4%
Jaydon Mickens run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 26Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+3
42.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
42.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Kyle Kragen for 0 yards to the Wash 29 Jake Browning fumbled, recovered by Cal Devante Downs , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 1:5660% → 58%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
40.2%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+11
40.3%
Vic Enwere run for 11 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
40.2%
Vic Enwere run for 17 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.2%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.2%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.9%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny Lawler, broken up by Kevin KingSimilar
Q2 8:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
41.7%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+21
41.9%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Darius White return for 21 yds to the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4361% → 64%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
38.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 3 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
38.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 6 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 1
OPP 14
-10
38.7%
Trevor Davis run for a loss of 10 yards to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+41
35.6%
Matt Anderson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
37.2%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+10
37.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 10 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
38.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+17
37.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 17 yds Isaiah Renfro fumbled, forced by Darius Allensworth, recovered by Cal Hardy NickersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:0365% → 78%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
34.7%
Jared Goff sacked by Elijah Qualls for a loss of 7 yards to the Cal 31Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+10
36.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 10 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+8
35.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 8 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
34.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 6 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+6
33.3%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 6 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
33.3%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 11 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
21.6%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 28 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:5630% → 30%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
29.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 3 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+14
29.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 14 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
30.5%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
30.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 2 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
30.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Darius AllensworthSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
30.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15INT
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:3376% → 78%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
24.5%
Vic Enwere run for 24 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
22.5%
Jared Goff run for 3 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
21.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+41
21.6%
Jared Goff pass intercepted Darren Gardenhire return for 41 yds to the Wash 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
28.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
27.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 4 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
28.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-17
27.6%
Jake Browning sacked by Jake Kearney for a loss of 17 yards to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 22
OWN 27
0
26.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 35 yds, downed at the Cal 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:5978% → 91%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+52
21.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 52 yds to the Wash 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
21.0%
Vic Enwere run for no gain to the Wash 10Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
21.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 2 yds to the Wash 8Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
9.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:2814% → 26%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
13.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 2 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
13.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 11 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
14.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon Mickens, broken up by Caleb ColemanSimilar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+19
14.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 19 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
15.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 7 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 3
OPP 26
-4
15.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 30Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+9
14.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 9 yds to the Cal 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
15.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 17 yds to the Cal 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
16.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Cal 2Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.4%
Chico McClatcher run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20FUMBLE TD
13 plays · 44 yds · 4:5780% → 73%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
19.6%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
19.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny Lawler, broken up by Sidney JonesSimilar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+13
20.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 13 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
18.3%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 7 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+1
18.1%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Cal 47Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
18.5%
Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
50
-5
17.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, delay of game (Jared Goff) to the Cal 45Similar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 15
OWN 45
0
18.3%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+10
18.6%
Jared Goff run for 10 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+20
18.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 20 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
17.6%
Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+70
26.8%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 8 yards Vic Enwere fumbled, forced by Sidney Jones, recovered by Wash Sidney Jones , return for 70 yds for TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 2:1269% → 70%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
30.6%
Vic Enwere run for 6 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
29.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 7 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
29.2%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Raymond HudsonSimilar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
29.7%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Stephen AndersonSimilar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+13
30.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
50
+4
27.5%
Jared Goff run for 4 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+13
27.5%
Tre Watson run for 13 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
27.0%
Jeffrey Coprich run for 1 yd to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-6
25.6%
Jared Goff sacked by Elijah Qualls for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 38
0
27.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Bryce TreggsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 38
0
30.3%
Cole Leininger punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:0034% → 39%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+22
34.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 22 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
34.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 3 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-5
35.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (Siosifa Tufunga) to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+6
34.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+14
34.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
50
+3
38.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+9
39.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 9 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
39.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dwayne WashingtonSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-1
39.2%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 31 Dwayne Washington fumbled, recovered by Cal Darius WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 23FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:1974% → 87%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
25.6%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+11
25.2%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 11 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
23.8%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
23.7%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny Lawler, broken up by Sidney JonesSimilar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+27
24.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 27 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
22.1%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+11
22.1%
Jared Goff pass complete to Vic Enwere for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 25 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (Cory Littleton) to the Wash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
22.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (Steven Moore) to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 15
OPP 17
-10
22.4%
Goff, Jared pass complete to Lawler, Kenny for 5 yards to the WASH12 (King, Kevin), PENALTY CAL holding (Cochran, Aaron) 10 yards to the WASH27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 25
OPP 27
+4
22.4%
Vic Enwere run for 4 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 21
OPP 23
0
22.4%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Khalfani MuhammadSimilar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 21
OPP 23
+3
23.7%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 18
OPP 20
+37
12.9%
Matt Anderson 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:2916% → 26%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
15.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 4 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+14
16.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 14 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
18.9%
Jake Browning run for 16 yds to the Cal 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
19.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante Pettis, broken up by Jalen JeffersonSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
19.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
17.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Brayden Lenius, broken up by Jalen JeffersonSimilar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
26.4%
Cameron Van Winkle 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:5786% → 86%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
14.5%
Goff, Jared pass incomplete to Anderson, Steph, PENALTY WASH personal foul (Feeney, Travis) 15 yards to the CAL40, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
13.0%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 36Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 14
OWN 36
0
14.3%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Trevor DavisSimilar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 14
OWN 36
-6
15.4%
Jared Goff sacked by Cory Littleton for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 30Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
14.5%
Cole Leininger punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 20%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
22.8%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-2
22.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Jonathan Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
20.4%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Damariay Drew return for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 27END OF GAME
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:5794% → 96%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
6.3%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
6.3%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-1
5.7%
Tre Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+5
5.8%
Jared Goff run for 5 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:00
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 28 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
-11.7
TD · Q3 10:51
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
-11.6
FG · Q4 5:34
Matt Anderson 37 yd FG GOOD
-10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com