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UTAH

Utah 62 at Oregon 20

ORE
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:18 · Jeff Lockie sacked by Jason Fanaika for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 42 Jeff Lockie fumbled, recovered by Oregn Matt Hegarty , return for 0 yards
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense−51.7Pregame prior+8.0Score differential−40.2Garbage-time factor−13.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:15: Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:08: Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for 6 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +10.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:00: Travis Wilson pass complete to Caleb Repp for 9 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +11.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:21: Travis Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +16.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:13: Devontae Booker pass complete to Britain Covey for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +18.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:20ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:59UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:40ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:11UTAH 4th & 9 at ORE 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:56ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 20, down 3
    Close callPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:46UTAH 4th & 7 at ORE 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:31ORE 4th & 18 at ORE 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−2.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:15ORE 4th & 18 at ORE 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−3.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:45ORE 4th & 3 at UTAH 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:15UTAH 4th & 13 at UTAH 28, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:30UTAH 4th & 5 at ORE 34, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:43ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 35, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:50ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 45, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:18ORE 4th & 8 at UTAH 33, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:47UTAH 4th & 1 at ORE 49, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:51ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 29, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:02UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 39, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 1 of 3UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 1:00ORE Touchdown, tied before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:00UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:15UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:08ORE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:00UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:21UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:13UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:22UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:00UTAH Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:58ORE Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:3583% → 82%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
82.5%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+11
82.4%
Royce Freeman run for 11 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
82.4%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
82.3%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+3
82.2%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
82.2%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
82.2%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+6
82.0%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+2
81.8%
Ian Wheeler punt for 49 yds , Britain Covey returns for 2 yds to the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:0118% → 18%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
81.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Siale Fakailoatonga for 9 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+2
81.5%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
81.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae BookerSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
81.5%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
81.5%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 10
OWN 21
-5
81.6%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
81.6%
Tom Hackett punt for 76 yds, downed at the Oregn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0581% → 80%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
81.3%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Oregn 9Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-1
81.1%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 8Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+13
80.8%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Evan Baylis for 13 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
81.0%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Oregn 22Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
80.9%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
80.6%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
80.3%
Ian Wheeler punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:1920% → 21%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+33
80.3%
Travis Wilson run for 33 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
79.9%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+12
79.8%
Devontae Booker run for 12 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
79.2%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Oregn 6Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
79.0%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Oregn 5Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
79.1%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 10Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
78.8%
Andy Phillips 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4978% → 78%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
78.4%
Bralon Addison run for 5 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+3
78.3%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Oregn 20Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
77.8%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
77.5%
Ian Wheeler punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:5922% → 25%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
77.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Joe Williams for 16 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
77.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 11 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
76.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Siale FakailoatongaSimilar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
76.9%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 30Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+4
76.7%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
75.3%
Andy Phillips 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:1577% → 80%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
77.3%
Royce Freeman run for 8 yds to the Utah 3Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 2
OPP 3
-10
77.3%
Freeman, Royce rush for 3 yards to the UTAH0, PENALTY OREGON holding 10 yards to the UTAH13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+13
79.6%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Royce Freeman for 13 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5522% → 32%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.5%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
77.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 8 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.8%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
76.9%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+10
76.2%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Smith, Tyrone, PENALTY OREGON holding 10 yards to the OREGON49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
75.6%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 11
50
+6
75.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 6 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+6
75.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 6 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
74.6%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+4
74.0%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
68.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 26 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:1470% → 68%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
70.3%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-8
70.0%
Vernon Adams Jr. sacked by Filipo Mokofisi and Jason Fanaika for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 18
OWN 23
0
68.1%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 18
OWN 23
+19
67.5%
Ian Wheeler punt for 48 yds , Britain Covey returns for 19 yds to the Utah 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:1133% → 47%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
66.9%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
66.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenric Young for 9 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
66.0%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.8%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
64.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 7 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+23
63.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 23 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
62.6%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
53.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 7 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 1:5255% → 67%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
55.4%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Byron Marshall for 2 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+26
54.9%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Charles Nelson for 26 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
56.5%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Johnny Mundt for 16 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
57.0%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
56.6%
Jeff Lockie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+20
55.7%
Jeff Lockie run for 20 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
56.3%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Royce Freeman) to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
67.0%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for 6 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0038% → 57%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
62.1%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
59.1%
Devontae Booker run for no gain to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+60
58.5%
Travis Wilson run for 60 yds to the Oregn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
56.1%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 11Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
54.7%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
43.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Caleb Repp for 9 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:3047% → 45%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
46.5%
Jeff Lockie run for 11 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
46.7%
Jeff Lockie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
46.4%
Jeff Lockie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-8
45.5%
Jeff Lockie sacked by Stevie Tu'ikolovatu for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 16 OREGON Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Oregn 16Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 18
OWN 16
0
44.9%
Ian Wheeler punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
41.6%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3456% → 76%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.4%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
44.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 20 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
41.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 28 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
40.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+25
40.0%
Devontae Booker run for 22 yds to the Oregon 5 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Face Mask (3 Yards) to the Oregon 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.9%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:5431% → 31%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
30.5%
Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+14
30.0%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for 14 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+52
30.8%
Jeff Lockie pass intercepted by Marcus Williams return for 52 yds to the Oregon 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
12.7%
Devontae Booker pass complete to Britain Covey for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18INT
9 plays · 53 yds · 1:5716% → 15%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
16.0%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Bralon Addison for 11 yds to the Oregn 48 OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Oregn 33Similar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 14
OWN 33
+2
15.1%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
14.0%
Jeff Lockie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+9
13.9%
Jeff Lockie run for 9 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+45
14.9%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Royce Freeman for 33 yds to the OREGON 23 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
16.2%
Jeff Lockie run for 1 yd to the Utah 10Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
15.5%
Jeff Lockie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
14.8%
Jeff Lockie pass intercepted, touchback. Dominique Hatfield return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:3889% → 98%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
10.9%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
9.4%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-7
8.8%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 17
OWN 24
0
8.4%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+4
8.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 4 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 13
OWN 28
+33
8.2%
Tom Hackett run for 33 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
6.7%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+1
6.5%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Oregn 43Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
5.5%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+9
5.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 9 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+13
6.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Siale Fakailoatonga for 13 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
4.8%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Oregn 20Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+4
4.7%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+16
1.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Caleb Repp for 16 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:172% → 1%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
2.2%
Royce Freeman run for 8 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+7
2.1%
Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
1.6%
Jeff Lockie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
1.2%
Kani Benoit run for 3 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
1.2%
Jeff Lockie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:43
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+69
1.0%
Ian Wheeler punt for 34 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 69 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21FUMBLE
12 plays · 35 yds · 3:121% → 1%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
1.0%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 13 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
1.0%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-4
1.0%
Jeff Lockie sacked by Jason Whittingham for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 27Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+11
0.8%
Jeff Lockie run for 11 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+7
0.8%
Jeff Lockie run for 7 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+20
0.8%
Royce Freeman run for 20 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
0.8%
Jeff Lockie pass incomplete to Royce FreemanSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
0.7%
Jeff Lockie sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 11
OPP 36
-7
0.7%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Taj Griffin for 8 yds to the Utah 28 OREGON Penalty, Clipping (-15 Yards) to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+10
0.6%
Jeff Lockie pass complete to Evan Baylis for 10 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 13:18
4TH & 8
OPP 33
-9
0.6%
Jeff Lockie sacked by Jason Fanaika for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 42 Jeff Lockie fumbled, recovered by Oregn Matt Hegarty , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1399% → 99%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.8%
Kendal Thompson run for no gain to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
0.7%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
0.6%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Kenric Young for 5 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
0.6%
Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds, downed at the Oregn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:250% → 0%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
0.4%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the Oregn 5Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+1
0.3%
Kani Benoit run for 1 yd to the Oregn 6 Kani Benoit fumbled, recovered by UtahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.4%
Kendal Thompson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
0.3%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
0.2%
Taylor Alie pass complete to Devon Allen for 3 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Taylor Alie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Ian Wheeler punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
0.4%
Williams, Joe rush for loss of 1 yard to the UTAH36, PENALTY UTAH personal foul 15 yards to the UTAH22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 25
OWN 22
+2
0.4%
Marcus Sanders-Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 23
OWN 24
+13
0.4%
Chase Hansen run for 13 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+2
0.3%
Marcus Sanders-Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
0.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 57 yds, downed at the Oregn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 27TD
6 plays · 96 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
0.1%
Taj Griffin run for 8 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+10
0.1%
Taylor Alie pass complete to Devon Allen for 10 yds to the Oregn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+48
0.1%
Taj Griffin run for 48 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
0.1%
Taylor Alie run for 11 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
0.1%
Kani Benoit run for 5 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
0.2%
Taylor Alie run for 14 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Chase Hansen run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
0.2%
Chase Hansen run for 11 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
0.2%
Joe Williams run for 8 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
0.1%
Chase Hansen run for 3 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:13
Devontae Booker pass complete to Britain Covey for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-18
TD · Q3 13:21
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q2 1:00
Travis Wilson pass complete to Caleb Repp for 9 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com