Try the model
NICH

Nicholls 0 at Colorado 48

COLO
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:42 · Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the NicSt 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+44.0Home team on offense+12.5Score differential+9.1Garbage-time factor+3.3Blowout margin−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 13:25: Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — NICH win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:21: Diego Gonzalez 46 yd FG GOOD — NICH win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:15: Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8NICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:20NICH 4th & 9 at NICH 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:27COLO 4th & 1 at NICH 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:28NICH 4th & 1 at NICH 12, down 14
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:55NICH 4th & 5 at COLO 42, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00COLO 4th & 1 at NICH 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:16NICH 4th & 11 at NICH 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:42COLO 4th & 1 at NICH 6, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:21COLO 4th & 14 at NICH 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:54NICH 4th & 5 at NICH 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:42COLO 4th & 3 at NICH 9, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:42NICH 4th & 17 at NICH 13, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:15NICH 4th & 7 at NICH 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:16NICH 4th & 4 at NICH 19, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:57COLO 4th & 6 at NICH 29, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:57NICH 4th & 10 at NICH 25, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00COLO 4th & 3 at NICH 43, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:12COLO 4th & 8 at NICH 43, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:20NICH 4th & 8 at NICH 28, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:25COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:34COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:55COLO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:15COLO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:22COLO Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:46COLO Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:2999% → 99%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 12 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
99.4%
Christian Powell run for 10 yds to the NicSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.4%
Christian Powell run for 7 yds to the NicSt 41Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+10
99.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 10 yds to the NicSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+27
99.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 27 yds to the NicSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.3%
Tuskani Figaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+8
99.3%
Michael Henry run for 8 yds to the NicSt 19Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+5
99.3%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Stephen LeBouef for 5 yds to the NicSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.3%
Michael Henry run for 1 yd to the NicSt 25Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Tobias LoftonSimilar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Tuskani Figaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.3%
Christian Powell run for 1 yd to the NicSt 49Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Donovan LeeSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+8
99.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Christian Powell for 8 yds to the NicSt 41Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+7
99.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the NicSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+20
99.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 20 yds to the NicSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
99.3%
Christian Powell run for 13 yds to the NicSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Christian Powell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.2%
Michael Henry run for 4 yds to the NicSt 7Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+4
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro run for 4 yds to the NicSt 11Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+1
99.2%
Michael Henry run for 1 yd to the NicSt 12Similar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
99.2%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nelson Spruce at the Colo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:0199% → 99%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.2%
Donovan Lee run for 3 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+10
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 10 yds to the NicSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.2%
Donovan Lee run for 3 yds to the NicSt 39Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the NicSt 39Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+7
99.2%
Donovan Lee run for 7 yds to the NicSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to George FrazierSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.2%
Donovan Lee run for 4 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 6
OPP 28
-10
99.2%
Liufau, Sefo rush for 6 yards to the NICH22, PENALTY COLO holding (Kelley, Alex) 10 yards to the NICH38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 16
OPP 38
+38
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 38 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Terry Lucas for 5 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Josh Singleton for 5 yds to the NicSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.2%
Reggie Wilson run for 3 yds to the NicSt 38Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+15
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to C.J. Bates for 15 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro run for 5 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Terry Lucas, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Terry LucasSimilar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
99.2%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7FUMBLE
12 plays · 78 yds · 1:5299% → 99%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Christian PowellSimilar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 15 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 23 yds to the NicSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.2%
Christian Powell run for 2 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+9
99.2%
Sefo Liufau run for 9 yds to the NicSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the NicSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to George FrazierSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
99.2%
Christian Powell run for 1 yd to the NicSt 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
99.2%
Sefo Liufau run for 2 yds to the NicSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.2%
Christian Powell run for 4 yds to the NicSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+14
99.2%
Christian Powell run for 14 yds to the NicSt 2 Christian Powell fumbled, forced by Jonavon Lewis, recovered by NicSt Hezekiah WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+28
99.2%
Michael Henry run for 28 yds to the NicSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.2%
Michael Henry run for 3 yds to the NicSt 33Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-10
99.2%
Figaro, Tuskani pass incomplete to Durald, Dorian (Awuzie, Chidobe), PENALTY NICH holding (Holmes, Brandon) 10 yards to the NICH23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+6
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro run for 6 yds to the NicSt 29Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to C.J. BatesSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 47 yds, downed at the Colo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 70 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+3
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+37
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Christian Powell for 37 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.2%
Christian Powell run for 1 yd to the NicSt 26Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+11
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 11 yds to the NicSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the NicSt 12Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+4
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the NicSt 8Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the NicSt 6Similar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
99.2%
Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the NicSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 10INT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
99.1%
Michael Henry run for 4 yds to the NicSt 10Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 10
-2
99.1%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Xavier Marcus for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 8Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+12
99.1%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to C.J. Bates for 12 yds to the NicSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.1%
Michael Henry run for 6 yds to the NicSt 26Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
99.1%
Michael Henry run for 2 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Tuskani Figaro pass intercepted Jered Bell return for no gain to the Colo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:4199% → 99%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.3%
Liufau, Sefo pass incomplete to Powell,Christia, PENALTY NICH roughing passer (Johnson, Tyler) 15 yards to the NICH40, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.3%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the NicSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the NicSt 22Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+3
99.3%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 3 yds to the NicSt 19Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-10
99.3%
Lindsay,Phillip rush for 4 yards to the NICH15 (Richardson, Adr), PENALTY COLO illegal block (Irwin, Sean) 10 yards to the NICH29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 14
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+46
99.2%
Diego Gonzalez 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
99.1%
Tuskani Figaro run for 10 yds to the NicSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.1%
Tuskani Figaro run for 8 yds to the NicSt 31Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+1
99.1%
Michael Henry run for 1 yd to the NicSt 32Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
99.1%
Michael Henry run for 2 yds to the NicSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.1%
Reggie Wilson run for 8 yds to the NicSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.0%
Michael Henry run for no gain to the NicSt 18Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
99.0%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Josh SingletonSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.1%
Tuskani Figaro run for 5 yds to the NicSt 23Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
99.1%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:0299% → 99%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 20 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.2%
Christian Powell run for 6 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+13
99.2%
Christian Powell run for 13 yds to the NicSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
99.2%
Donovan Lee run for 20 yds to the NicSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.2%
Donovan Lee run for 2 yds to the NicSt 14Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Christian Powell run for no gain to the NicSt 14Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+5
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Christian Powell for 5 yds to the NicSt 9Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
99.2%
Diego Gonzalez 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.2%
Michael Henry run for 2 yds to the NicSt 22Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-9
99.2%
Tuskani Figaro sacked by Jimmie Gilbert for a loss of 9 yards to the NicSt 13Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 17
OWN 13
-2
99.2%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 43 yds , Nelson Spruce returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:4999% → 100%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 12 yds to the NicSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+34
99.2%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 34 yds to the NicSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the NicSt 6Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
99.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the NicSt 3Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
99.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the NicSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Michael Henry run for 2 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Xavier Marcus, broken up by Afolabi LagudaSimilar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Michael Henry run for 1 yd to the NicSt 28Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 50 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 4 yds to the Colo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jordan Gehrke pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Donovan Lee run for 2 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+13
99.9%
N/A run for 13 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.9%
Donovan Lee run for 59 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Reggie Wilson run for 4 yds to the NicSt 17Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+1
99.9%
Reggie Wilson run for 1 yd to the NicSt 18Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+1
99.9%
Tuskani Figaro run for 1 yd to the NicSt 19Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 4
OWN 19
+31
99.9%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 45 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 31 yds to the NicSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Jordan Gehrke pass incomplete to Lee WalkerSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 3 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Donovan Lee run for 1 yd to the NicSt 29Similar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+46
99.9%
Diego Gonzalez 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to C.J. BatesSimilar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Stephen LeBouefSimilar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Josh SingletonSimilar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 6 yds to the NicSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd to the NicSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Jordan Gehrke pass incomplete to Lee WalkerSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Tuskani Figaro pass intercepted Jered Bell return for no gain to the NicSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the NicSt 43Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Cade Apsay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Cade Apsay pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Joel Dullary at the NicSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
Tobias Lofton run for 4 yds to the NicSt 14Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+5
100.0%
Tobias Lofton run for 5 yds to the NicSt 19Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+7
100.0%
Tobias Lofton run for 7 yds to the NicSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Tuskani Figaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Reggie Wilson run for 2 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Mason RobertsSimilar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Chris Sciambra punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jay MacIntyre at the Colo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26TD
16 plays · 66 yds · 6:19100% → 100%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Shane Callahan) to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+14
99.9%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 14 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 4 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+8
100.0%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Kyle Evans for 8 yds to the NicSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the NicSt 39Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+19
100.0%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Lee Walker for 19 yds to the NicSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the NicSt 18Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+2
100.0%
Donovan Lee run for 2 yds to the NicSt 16Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+7
100.0%
Cade Apsay pass complete to Chris Hill for 7 yds to the NicSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the NicSt 7Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the NicSt 2Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
100.0%
Evans, Kyle rush for 2 yards to the NICH0, clock 04:54, PENALTY COLO illegal formation 5 yards to the NICH7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
100.0%
Apsay, Cade pass incomplete to Bobo, Bryce (Adams, Darryl), PENALTY NICH pass interference (Adams, Darryl) 5 yards to the NICH2, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 27FUMBLE
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Tobias Lofton run for 2 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Dylan Ledet run for 3 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-8
100.0%
Landry Klann sacked by Michael Mathewes for a loss of 8 yards to the NicSt 22 Landry Klann fumbled, recovered by Colo Terran Hasselbach , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28END OF GAME
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the NicSt 20Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the NicSt 18Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+9
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 9 yds to the NicSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the NicSt 4Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 5Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:15
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 13:25
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)
-0.1
FG · Q2 2:21
Diego Gonzalez 46 yd FG GOOD
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com