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USU

Utah State 17 at Washington 31

WASH
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDFUMBLEEnd of GameFG+0.2WASH 63.2%Cameron Van Winkle 48 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 2:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:21 · Cameron Van Winkle 48 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Home team on offense+1.1Pregame prior+10.2Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:51: Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 81 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +4.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:20: Tristan Vizcaino run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +8.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:45: David Moala run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +9.9 pts (now 33%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:49: Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 33 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +11.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:56: Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +9.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:20USU 4th & 1 at USU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:08WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:40USU 4th & 9 at WASH 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:21WASH 4th & 7 at USU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00USU 4th & 7 at USU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:31USU 4th & 4 at WASH 4, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:20WASH 4th & 2 at USU 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:17WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:49USU 4th & 2 at USU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:51USU 4th & 10 at WASH 45, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    4.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00USU 4th & 1 at WASH 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.9
    72% to make
    Punt
    -1.3%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:14WASH 4th & 4 at USU 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:08USU 4th & 4 at WASH 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4USU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:51WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:20WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:45USU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:49WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:56WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 25 yds · 2:4037% → 37%
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
63.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
62.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 33 yds, downed at the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
62.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Wash 23Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
62.8%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-4
62.7%
Jake Browning sacked by Torrey Green for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 13
OWN 19
+49
62.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 49 yds , Hunter Sharp returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
62.5%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 27Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+2
62.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 2 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+15
62.8%
Keeton, Chuckie pass incomplete to Sharp, Hunter, PENALTY WASH pass interference (Jones, Sidney) 15 yards to the USU44, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
62.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 10 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
62.1%
Chuckie Keeton run for 4 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-3
62.1%
Hunter Sharp run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
62.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
62.6%
Aaron Dalton punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 5:0262% → 63%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
62.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 15 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
62.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+21
62.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 21 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
63.2%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
63.1%
Jaydon Mickens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+12
62.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 12 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
63.4%
Dwayne Washington run for no gain to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-2
63.3%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+5
62.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
63.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Brayden LeniusSimilar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
63.2%
Cameron Van Winkle 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:2137% → 37%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
63.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 8 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
62.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
63.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 7 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
62.7%
Devante Mays run for 5 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-2
62.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for a loss of 2 yards Hunter Sharp fumbled, forced by Sidney Jones,Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
62.3%
Mays, Devante rush for 1 yard to the USU34 (Wooching, Psalm), PENALTY USU illegal formation 5 yards to the USU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
62.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
63.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:5563% → 67%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
62.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
62.7%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+81
67.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 81 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:0933% → 34%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
67.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+7
67.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 7 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+6
66.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
66.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+20
66.5%
Devante Mays run for 20 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
66.1%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the Wash 4Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
66.1%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the Wash 4Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
66.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
66.2%
Brock Warren 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
15 plays · 63 yds · 6:0669% → 78%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
68.6%
Jeff Lindquist run for 8 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 2
OWN 45
-2
69.5%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
69.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 6 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
70.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 9
50
+23
70.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 23 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
70.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 11 yds to the UthSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
70.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 8 yds to the UthSt 8Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+1
70.7%
Jeff Lindquist run for 1 yd to the UthSt 7Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+2
70.1%
Jake Browning run for 2 yds to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
70.7%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd to the UthSt 4Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
70.7%
Jeff Lindquist run for 1 yd to the UthSt 3Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
70.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the UthSt 2Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.1%
Tristan Vizcaino run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3522% → 33%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
78.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 6 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
78.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
78.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+11
78.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
50
0
77.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
50
0
79.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 10
50
+49
79.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 49 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.8%
David Moala run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:2272% → 70%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
71.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 13 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
73.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Brayden LeniusSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
72.7%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
71.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
70.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
72.3%
Team run for no gain to the UthSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.2%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Devin Centers return for no gain to the UthSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
69.9%
Devonte Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
70.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
71.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass intercepted Kevin King return for no gain to the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 4:1372% → 86%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
72.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+3
72.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
72.6%
Jeff Lindquist run for 2 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
72.7%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+13
72.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 13 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
74.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+18
74.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 18 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
86.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 33 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.0%
Chuckie Keeton run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
83.0%
Chuckie Keeton run for no gain to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
83.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 3 yds to the UthSt 33 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
83.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:2487% → 96%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
86.5%
Chico McClatcher run for 9 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+9
87.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 9 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
87.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 22 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
87.1%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+22
87.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 22 yds to the UthSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
87.1%
Jeff Lindquist run for 4 yds to the UthSt 3Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17DOWNS
15 plays · 56 yds · 4:514% → 2%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
96.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 2 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+19
96.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Dax Raymond for 19 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
95.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+9
95.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Kennedy Williams for 9 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.8%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
95.8%
Damion Hobbs run for 5 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-5
95.9%
Keeton, Chuckie at QB for Utah State, PENALTY USU false start (Albrecht, Austi) 5 yards to the WASH45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
95.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Kennedy WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:51
4TH & 10
OPP 45
+14
96.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 14 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
95.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
97.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston, broken up by Sidney JonesSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+6
97.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 6 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
97.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
98.1%
Washington, Dw. rush for loss of 2 yards to the WASH20, out-of-bounds (Filiaga, Lt), PENALTY WASH holding (McGary, Kaleb) 10 yards to the WASH12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+1
98.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 19
OWN 13
+4
98.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 4 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 15
OWN 17
-6
98.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 15 yds Brayden Lenius fumbled, forced by Deshane Hines, recovered by UthSt Tyler Floyd , return for 7 yds to the Wash 24 WASHINGTON Penalty, personal foul (Darrell Daniels) to the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
98.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 12
OPP 14
-2
98.3%
Damion Hobbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+96
98.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass intercepted Brandon Beaver return for 96 yds to the UthSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:5599% → 96%
Q4 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.8%
Jeff Lindquist run for 2 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 0
OPP 1
+97
96.3%
Jeff Lindquist run for a loss of 2 yards Jeff Lindquist fumbled, forced by Kyler Fackrell, recovered by UthSt Jontrell Rocquemore , return for 97 yds, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:2895% → 97%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
95.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+15
95.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Isaiah Renfro for 15 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
95.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 17 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.9%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
95.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+6
95.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 6 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
95.9%
Jaydon Mickens run for 5 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+1
96.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the UthSt 35Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
95.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Quinten PoundsSimilar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
97.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 4 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+8
96.8%
Chuckie Keeton run for 8 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
96.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-5
96.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 48Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
96.7%
Chuckie Keeton run for 5 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
96.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp, broken up by Sidney JonesSimilar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
96.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+13
98.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 13 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
98.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:49
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 33 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+11.9
TD · Q2 0:45
David Moala run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q3 4:56
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com