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WSU

Washington State 37 at Rutgers 34

RUTG
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:10 · Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe Marks
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Home team on offense−14.8Pregame prior+1.5Score differential−4.5Garbage-time factor−4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:55: Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 5 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +14.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:56: Chris Laviano pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Laviano pass to Leonte Carroo for Two-Point Conversion) — RUTG win probability +30.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:30: Erik Powell kickoff for 65 yds , Janarion Grant return for 100 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +27.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:31: Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +31.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:13: River Cracraft 8 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +66.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 6:01RUTG 4th & 22 at WSU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:31WSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−0.9
    87% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−3.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:59WSU 4th & 5 at RUTG 29, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−2.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:19RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 35, down 10
    Close callPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:53WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:19RUTG 4th & 17 at WSU 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:52WSU 4th & 5 at RUTG 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:10RUTG 4th & 6 at WSU 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    25.1%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:27WSU 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−1.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−2.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:44WSU 4th & 3 at RUTG 19, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.5%−1.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−16.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:10WSU 4th & 6 at RUTG 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%−3.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−3.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:31WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−4.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:47WSU 4th & 5 at RUTG 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−3.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−8.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:57WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:55WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:30RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:56RUTG Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    51.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:30RUTG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:31WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−1.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:13WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4835% → 37%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
65.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 8 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
65.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 10 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
65.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
65.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 8 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 2
OPP 37
-5
65.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Riley Sorenson) to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
64.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 2 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-5
64.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Joe Dahl) to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+25
64.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 25 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
64.5%
Keith Harrington run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+8
64.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 8 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
63.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:2663% → 61%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
63.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 20 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
63.6%
Paul James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+9
63.1%
Paul James run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
50
+13
63.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 13 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
63.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Paul James for 2 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-15
63.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, Crackback (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 23
50
+4
61.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 4 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 19
OPP 46
-5
61.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 24
OWN 49
+2
61.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 2 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 22
OPP 49
+13
60.8%
Joey Roth punt for 49 yds , Kyrin Priester returns for 13 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1439% → 42%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
60.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 6 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+6
60.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 6 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
60.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Daniel Lilienthal for 7 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
59.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 12 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
59.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 8 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+28
58.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 28 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
58.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
58.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 9 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
57.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 1
OPP 11
-1
57.8%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:1858% → 57%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
58.2%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+5
57.9%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+6
57.1%
Chris Laviano run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
57.4%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+2
57.3%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Marcellus Pippins return for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3145% → 46%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
54.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+4
54.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 4 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+3
54.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 3 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+46
54.3%
Erik Powell 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1653% → 52%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
53.2%
Paul James run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+1
53.4%
Paul James run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
52.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+3
51.9%
Joey Roth punt for 44 yds , Kyrin Priester returns for 3 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0747% → 47%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
53.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 4 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
52.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 7 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
51.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
52.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 6 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-5
51.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
52.0%
Luke Falk sacked by Julian Pinnix-Odrick for 0 yards to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+1
52.6%
Zach Charme punt for 36 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 1 yd to the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 6:1150% → 47%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
49.9%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
49.1%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
48.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 5 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
49.0%
Chris Laviano run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+16
49.4%
Josh Hicks run for 16 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
49.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 11 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
50.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Sam Bergen for 4 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
49.8%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
48.2%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
49.0%
Chris Laviano sacked by Darryl Paulo for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 15Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 13
OPP 15
-4
48.4%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 17
OPP 19
0
45.7%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 17
OPP 19
+37
47.4%
Kyle Federico 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 1:1356% → 58%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
44.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 19 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
41.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 3 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
41.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
40.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
41.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
42.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
42.5%
Erik Powell 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10END OF HALF
11 plays · 42 yds · 0:3842% → 51%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
41.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 4 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+8
41.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 8 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
41.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 13 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
43.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 8 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+14
42.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 14 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
43.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+48
51.2%
Kyle Federico 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11FUMBLE
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:3647% → 50%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.9%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
47.3%
Chris Laviano run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
47.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
50
+3
49.7%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+7
49.7%
Josh Hicks run for 7 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
49.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 12 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
50.6%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-13
49.7%
Chris Laviano run for a loss of 13 yards to the WshSt 36 Chris Laviano fumbled, recovered by WshSt Destiny VaeaoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 1:5559% → 77%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+28
41.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 28 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
39.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 12 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
38.2%
Keith Harrington run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+7
38.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 7 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+5
38.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
37.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q3 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
37.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
22.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 5 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:0026% → 38%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
26.2%
Janarion Grant run for 21 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
28.3%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+4
28.9%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
28.1%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-15
27.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 25
OWN 45
+4
25.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 4 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 21
OWN 49
+15
24.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 15 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+20
23.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 20 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
24.3%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the WshSt 15Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
38.0%
Robert Martin run for 15 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:5370% → 71%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
30.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
30.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+24
30.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Personal Foul (Andre Hunt) to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
27.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
27.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 1 yd to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+6
27.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 6 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 3
OPP 32
0
28.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:0930% → 65%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
30.0%
Paul James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+15
28.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
32.1%
Paul James run for 9 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+21
33.4%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Logan Tago) to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
35.0%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+13
34.6%
Josh Hicks run for 13 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
34.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Sam Bergen for 10 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Laviano pass to Leonte Carroo for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 1:4645% → 60%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+18
55.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 18 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
52.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+25
50.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 25 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
48.7%
Luke Falk run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
46.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
46.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 3
OPP 19
0
48.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
40.3%
Erik Powell 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:4732% → 72%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
67.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 12 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
66.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 9 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+2
63.5%
Keith Harrington run for 2 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
64.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 7 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+7
62.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
61.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 13 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
59.8%
Luke Falk run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+23
28.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:4445% → 47%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
44.6%
Josh Hicks run for 23 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
48.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 12 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-9
48.4%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the WshSt 20 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chris Muller) to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 19
OPP 30
-1
47.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Josh Hicks for a loss of 1 yard Josh Hicks fumbled, forced by Peyton Pelluer, recovered by WshSt Isaac DotsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:0568% → 72%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
31.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Keith HarringtonSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
32.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 15 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
29.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
26.5%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
26.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
27.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 2:5040% → 31%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
39.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 8 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+12
42.9%
Robert Martin run for 12 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
42.5%
Robert Martin run for 11 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
44.6%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-1
44.4%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 9
OPP 29
-15
41.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Justin Goodwin) to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 24
OPP 44
-5
36.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Chris Muller) to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 29
OPP 49
0
35.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q4 3:27
4TH & 29
OPP 49
-5
32.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Anthony Cioffi) to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 34
OWN 46
0
31.4%
Joey Roth punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1978% → 21%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
21.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
18.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 2 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
14.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+55
78.8%
Zach Charme punt for 31 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 55 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 1:0524% → 95%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+24
76.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 24 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
75.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 23 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
69.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
70.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
71.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 10
OPP 43
+5
74.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+12
72.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
63.3%
Luke Falk sacked by Quanzell Lambert and Sebastian Joseph for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+9
72.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 9 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+13
70.8%
Luke Falk run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
4.7%
River Cracraft 8 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:13
River Cracraft 8 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)
-66
TD · Q4 9:31
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 23 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-31.6
TD · Q4 14:56
Chris Laviano pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Laviano pass to Leonte Carroo for Two-Point Conversion)
+30.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com