Try the model
MASS

Massachusetts 14 at Colorado 48

COLO
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.2COLO 85.5%Diego Gonzalez 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 24 · Q2 6:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:18 · Diego Gonzalez 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Pregame prior+23.6Home team on offense+7.4Score differential+1.1Blowout margin−0.6Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:22: Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 18 yds for a TD, (Blake Lucas KICK) — MASS win probability +4.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:29: Michael Adkins II run for 21 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +3.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:23: Phillip Lindsay 2 Yd Run (Diego Gonzalez Kick) — COLO win probability +6.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:33: Diego Gonzalez 30 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +5.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:41: Nelson Spruce 18 Yd pass from Sefo Liufau (Diego Gonzalez Kick) — COLO win probability +2.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 14:55MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:39MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:12COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:24MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 42, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:18COLO 4th & 9 at MASS 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:05MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 42, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:33COLO 4th & 9 at MASS 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−4.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:40MASS 4th & 6 at COLO 20, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 34, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 45, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:15COLO 4th & 13 at MASS 34, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:12MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:21COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 16, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:00MASS 4th & 10 at COLO 44, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:08COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 24, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:45COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:40MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:11COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:22MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:29COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:23COLO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:41COLO Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:32COLO Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
85.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
85.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
85.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
85.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 37 yds, downed at the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:4686% → 86%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+13
85.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 13 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
85.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 9 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
85.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Sean IrwinSimilar
Q1 14:31
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+12
85.8%
Michael Adkins II run for 12 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
85.8%
Michael Adkins II run for 4 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+4
85.8%
Michael Adkins II run for 4 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q1 14:31
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+3
85.8%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
85.8%
Christian Powell run for 15 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
85.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 3 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-2
85.5%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 22Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
85.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken MichelSimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+46
85.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 46 yds , Nelson Spruce returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
85.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay Fields, broken up by Khary Bailey-SmithSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
85.5%
Michael Adkins II run for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+8
85.4%
Sefo Liufau run for 8 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
85.4%
Alex Kinney punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 0:5515% → 17%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
85.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 12 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
84.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 5 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+31
84.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 31 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
84.7%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Mills, R. (Witherspoon,Ahk), PENALTY COLO pass interference (Witherspoon,Ahk) 6 yards to the COLO2, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.0%
Jamal Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Lucas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
16 plays · 91 yds · 7:2484% → 85%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
83.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 15Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+4
83.6%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
83.6%
Patrick Carr run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 16Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+15
83.5%
Liufau, Sefo pass incomplete to Fields, Shay, PENALTY UMASS roughing passer (Messiah, K.) 15 yards to the COLO31, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
83.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+6
83.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
83.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
83.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to George Frazier for 3 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
84.0%
Sefo Liufau run for no gain to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+34
83.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 34 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
84.2%
Michael Adkins II run for 8 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+1
84.2%
Michael Adkins II run for 1 yd to the UMass 11Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
84.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the UMass 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
84.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the UMass 7Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
85.0%
Sefo Liufau run for 7 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 2:4316% → 22%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
84.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Matt Sparks) to the UMass 16Similar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+5
84.0%
Jamal Wilson run for 5 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-3
84.0%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Derek McCartney for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 18 Blake Frohnapfel fumbled, recovered by UMass Rodney Mills , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+15
84.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marquis Young for 15 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
83.8%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Sharpe, T., PENALTY COLO 2C (Witherspoon,Ahk) 15 yards to the UMASS48, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
83.2%
Jamal Wilson run for 7 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
83.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+23
83.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 23 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
82.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
82.7%
Jamal Wilson run for 4 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
78.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 18 yds for a TD, (Blake Lucas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5380% → 85%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 9 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
80.8%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
80.9%
Patrick Carr run for 5 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+8
81.2%
Michael Adkins II run for 8 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
81.4%
Michael Adkins II run for 10 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Randall Jette) to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
84.7%
Michael Adkins II run for 21 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:0517% → 16%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
83.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Sharif Custis for 11 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
82.9%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Chidobe Awuzie for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+6
84.1%
Elgin Long run for 6 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+7
84.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 7 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 4
OWN 42
-14
84.1%
Team run for a loss of 14 yards to the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:4086% → 86%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
85.7%
Michael Adkins II run for 8 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+5
85.7%
Michael Adkins II run for 5 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
85.7%
Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the UMass 14Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
85.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson Spruce, broken up by Randall JetteSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
85.3%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
85.5%
Diego Gonzalez 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11INT
10 plays · 65 yds · 1:4015% → 15%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
85.5%
Marken Michel run for 22 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
84.6%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Justin Solis for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+41
85.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 41 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
83.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+10
84.0%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Custis, S. (Thompson,Tedric), PENALTY COLO personal foul (Thompson,Tedric) 10 yards to the COLO10, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
83.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
83.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q2 4:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
85.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass intercepted, touchback. Ryan Moeller return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:0986% → 93%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
85.9%
Michael Adkins II run for 9 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
86.3%
Michael Adkins II run for 4 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
86.0%
Michael Adkins II run for 2 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+17
86.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 17 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+37
86.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 37 yds to the UMass 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
87.1%
Christian Powell run for 8 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+1
87.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the UMass 2Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
93.3%
Phillip Lindsay 2 Yd Run (Diego Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13END OF HALF
9 plays · 47 yds · 1:186% → 8%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.1%
Jamal Wilson run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
93.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 4 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
93.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 4 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
93.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 8 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 2
OWN 44
-2
90.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
93.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+30
92.5%
Marquis Young run for 30 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:2791% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.4%
Michael Adkins II run for 9 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
91.5%
Michael Adkins II run for 4 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
91.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 5 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+8
91.7%
Michael Adkins II run for 8 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
91.8%
Michael Adkins II run for 7 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+14
91.7%
Christian Powell run for 14 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
91.7%
Christian Powell run for 14 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-6
91.7%
Michael Adkins II run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 20
+3
91.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+4
91.4%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Michael Adkins II for 4 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
96.6%
Diego Gonzalez 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
95.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Sharif Custis, broken up by Addison GillamSimilar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+24
96.1%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for 24 yds to the Colo 47 Shadrach Abrokwah fumbled, forced by John Walker, recovered by Colo Ken CrawleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 1:3197% → 100%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
97.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 10 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
97.0%
Christian Powell run for 8 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+4
97.0%
Christian Powell run for 4 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
97.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Nelson Spruce for 5 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+8
97.0%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Sean Irwin for 8 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Ken CrawleySimilar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
97.0%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce Bobo, broken up by Khary Bailey-SmithSimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.5%
Nelson Spruce 18 Yd pass from Sefo Liufau (Diego Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 55 yds · 3:011% → 1%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.4%
Marquis Young run for 17 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-9
99.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marquis Young for 6 yds to the UMass 48 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Michael Boland) to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 19
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 19
OWN 33
+27
99.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 27 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 7 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+9
99.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 9 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.3%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 5
OPP 19
-1
99.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 20Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
99.6%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the Colo 20Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 6
OPP 20
0
99.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:27100% → 100%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 6 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-10
99.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 32 COLORADO Penalty, illegal block (Shane Callahan) to the Colo 17Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+12
99.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 12 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+6
99.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 6 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Nelson SpruceSimilar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+14
99.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 14 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+7
99.7%
Christian Powell run for 7 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.8%
Christian Powell run for 35 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.8%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for 4 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.8%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for 4 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+36
99.9%
Patrick Carr run for 36 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.9%
Carr, Patrick rush for loss of 3 yards to the UMASS34 (Holines, S.), PENALTY COLO illegal formation 5 yards to the UMASS36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+7
99.9%
Patrick Carr run for 7 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-1
99.9%
Patrick Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 8
OPP 29
-5
99.9%
Gehrke, Jordan pass complete to Bobo, Bryce for 5 yards to the UMASS24, PENALTY COLO ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UMASS34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 13
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 22 yds, downed at the UMass 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
99.9%
Ross Comis run for 8 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete, broken up by Michael MathewesSimilar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
99.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jackson Porter for 7 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 56 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 2 yds to the Colo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
99.9%
Jordan Gehrke run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 11Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+2
99.9%
Patrick Carr run for 2 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 46 yds, fair catch by James Oliphant at the UMass 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for no gain to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
100.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Elgin Long for 9 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+9
99.9%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for 9 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jackson PorterSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Elgin LongSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jackson Porter, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd to the Colo 21Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-2
100.0%
Kyle Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 24Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 33 yds, downed at the UMass 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
100.0%
Shadrach Abrokwah run for 9 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+5
100.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Sharif Custis for 5 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Connor Lemieux for 4 yds to the Colo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:23
Phillip Lindsay 2 Yd Run (Diego Gonzalez Kick)
+6.3
FG · Q3 10:33
Diego Gonzalez 30 yd FG GOOD
+5.2
TD · Q2 12:22
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 18 yds for a TD, (Blake Lucas KICK)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com