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UCLA

UCLA 37 at UNLV 3

UNLV
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:12 · Logan Yunker punt for 44 yds , Devin Fuller returns for 14 yds to the UCLA 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior−43.7Home team on offense−5.2Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:06: Kurt Palandech pass intercepted for a TD Kenny Young return for 23 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:00: Paul Perkins run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:00: Paul Perkins run for 56 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK) — UCLA win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:00: UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line — UNLV win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:30: Ka'imi Fairbairn 34 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 11 of 13UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 14:05UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:46UNLV 4th & 24 at UNLV 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:22UCLA 4th & 3 at UNLV 17, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:55UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:02UCLA 4th & 5 at midfield, up 10
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:01UNLV 4th & 6 at UCLA 18, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:45UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:12UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:18UCLA 4th & 2 at UNLV 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:45UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:16UCLA 4th & 5 at UNLV 41, up 10
    Close callPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:36UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:01UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 46, up 17
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:17UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:21UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 41, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:35UNLV 4th & 9 at UCLA 49, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:51UCLA 4th & 7 at UNLV 25, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:51UNLV 4th & 2 at UCLA 39, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:27UNLV 4th & 9 at UCLA 40, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:04UNLV 4th & 10 at UCLA 14, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:45UCLA 4th & 1 at UNLV 32, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:00UCLA 4th & 13 at UNLV 27, up 34
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:36UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:06UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:00UCLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:00UCLA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:503% → 4%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.4%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.4%
Blake Decker run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
3.5%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
3.6%
Logan Yunker punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Randall Goforth at the UCLA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:2496% → 96%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
3.6%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
3.7%
Paul Perkins run for 11 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
3.7%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+16
3.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 16 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
3.8%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+29
3.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 29 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:294% → 4%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-22
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 22 yards to the UNLV 3Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 32
OWN 3
+7
4.0%
Keith Whitely run for 7 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+1
4.0%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the UNLV 11Similar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 24
OWN 11
+1
4.1%
Logan Yunker punt for 40 yds , Devin Fuller returns for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:5396% → 96%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
50
+6
4.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 6 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
4.2%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+18
4.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 18 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
4.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Stephen Johnson for 5 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
4.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Devin Fuller for 2 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
4.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Mossi JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
4.5%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:275% → 5%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
4.5%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
4.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
4.7%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
4.8%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
4.7%
Logan Yunker punt for 39 yds, downed at the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:3895% → 95%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
4.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Starks for 6 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+10
4.8%
Nate Starks run for 10 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
4.8%
Nate Starks run for 1 yd to the UCLA 46Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
4.9%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 5
50
0
5.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 5
50
0
5.1%
Matt Mengel punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:545% → 6%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+37
5.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 37 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
5.6%
Blake Decker run for 4 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
5.7%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+15
5.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 15 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
5.9%
Blake Decker run for 4 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
5.8%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
5.7%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 6
OPP 18
0
5.6%
Troy Hawthorne pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:5094% → 94%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
5.8%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+13
5.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 13 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
5.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
5.9%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
6.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 10
OWN 34
-2
6.1%
Matt Mengel punt for 44 yds , Keith Whitely returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 20 Keith Whitely fumbled, recovered by UNLV Keith WhitelySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:186% → 6%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
5.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
5.9%
Blake Decker run for 9 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
6.1%
Kurt Palandech run for no gain to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-10
6.1%
UNLV Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 20
OWN 20
-2
6.2%
Kurt Palandech run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 22
OWN 18
-5
6.0%
UNLV Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 13Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 27
OWN 13
+16
6.2%
Kurt Palandech run for 16 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+14
6.2%
Logan Yunker punt for 44 yds , Devin Fuller returns for 14 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:4293% → 92%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
6.6%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+4
6.7%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
6.7%
Paul Perkins run for 5 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
6.7%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+4
7.0%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
6.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Thomas DuarteSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
7.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 9 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 1
OPP 29
-1
7.3%
Soso Jamabo run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 2
OPP 30
0
7.6%
Josh Rosen run for no gain to the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:277% → 7%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
7.2%
Anthony Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
7.2%
Kurt Palandech run for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-2
7.3%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Lexington Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
7.1%
Logan Yunker punt for 65 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:2192% → 92%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+13
7.6%
Paul Perkins run for 13 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
7.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+15
7.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 15 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
7.6%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+6
7.5%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
7.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 7 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
7.5%
Nate Starks run for 5 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
7.5%
Nate Starks run for 3 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+6
7.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 6 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-4
7.9%
Josh Rosen run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
8.2%
Matt Mengel punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13INT TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:548% → 6%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
8.2%
Keith Whitely run for 7 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+4
8.5%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
5.7%
Kurt Palandech pass intercepted for a TD Kenny Young return for 23 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:246% → 6%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
5.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
5.7%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
5.8%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
5.7%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-2
6.1%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
5.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
5.8%
Logan Yunker punt for 39 yds, downed at the UCLA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:2996% → 95%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
4.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Mossi Johnson for no gain to the UCLA 23Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
4.6%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+12
4.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 12 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
4.3%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
4.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 7 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
4.4%
Rosen, Josh pass incomplete, PENALTY UNLV offside off-setting, PENALTY UCLA Holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
4.4%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
5.0%
Matt Mengel punt for 51 yds, downed at the UNLV 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
5.6%
TEAM run for no gain to the UNLV 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 2:4595% → 98%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
5.2%
Paul Perkins run for 13 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
4.9%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
4.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 9 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+6
4.9%
Josh Rosen run for 6 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
5.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 5 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+1
4.8%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+13
4.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Paul Perkins for 13 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
4.8%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
4.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Paul Perkins for 11 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
2.3%
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:253% → 3%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.8%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
2.8%
Kurt Palandech run for no gain to the UNLV 26 Kurt Palandech fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3398% → 98%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
2.2%
Nate Starks run for 12 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
2.2%
Starks, Nate rush for 8 yards to the UNLV6, PENALTY UCLA holding 10 yards to the UNLV24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+1
2.3%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Blake Richmond return for 1 yd to the UNLV 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:583% → 2%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
2.5%
George Naufahu run for 4 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+22
2.4%
George Naufahu run for 7 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
2.5%
Kurt Palandech run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 25 Kurt Palandech fumbled, recovered by UNLV Kurt PalandechSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 13
OWN 25
-10
2.3%
UNLV Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNLV 15Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 23
OWN 15
+12
2.3%
Kurt Palandech run for 12 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+1
2.3%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 1 yd to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
2.2%
Logan Yunker punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Devin Fuller at the UCLA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:0598% → 99%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
1.8%
Paul Perkins run for 5 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
1.8%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+7
1.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 7 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
1.6%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+56
1.3%
Paul Perkins run for 56 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+15
1.3%
UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:241% → 1%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
1.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
1.0%
George Naufahu run for 3 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
1.0%
Kurt Palandech run for 2 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
0.9%
Keith Whitely run for 3 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
0.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
0.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Takkarist McKinley blocked by Takkarist McKinleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23FG
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:3099% → 100%
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
0.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 1 yd to the UNLV 8Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
0.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 6 yds to the UNLV 2Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 0
OPP 2
-15
0.5%
Jamabo, Soso rush for 1 yard to the UNLV1, PENALTY UCLA personal foul 15 yards to the UNLV17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
0.6%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
0.5%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:250% → 0%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
0.3%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 7 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+5
0.3%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 5 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
0.3%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
50
-1
0.3%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+2
0.3%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 2 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
0.3%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
0.2%
Logan Yunker punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 2:39100% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
0.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 16 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.3%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
0.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+14
0.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 14 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.3%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
0.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+13
0.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Bolu Olorunfunmi for 13 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
0.2%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
0.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
0.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Nate IeseSimilar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
0.3%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:440% → 0%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
0.2%
Keith Whitely run for 3 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+41
0.2%
Keith Whitely run for 41 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
0.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+3
0.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+1
0.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
0.1%
George Naufahu run for no gain to the UCLA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
0.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 9 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+7
0.2%
Jerry Neuheisel pass complete to Alex Van Dyke for 7 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.2%
Stephen Johnson run for no gain to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+49
0.2%
Jerry Neuheisel pass intercepted Kenny Keys return for 34 yds to the UCLA 11 UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCLA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.1%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
0.1%
Keith Whitely run for 6 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
0.1%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 4
OPP 35
-5
0.1%
Palandech, Kurt pass complete to Boyd, Devonte for 6 yards to the UCLA29, PENALTY UNLV illegal shift 5 yards to the UCLA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 9
OPP 40
+3
0.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 3 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 29INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Jerry Neuheisel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
0.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 16 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
0.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+8
0.1%
Jerry Neuheisel pass complete to Stephen Johnson for 23 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 25
OPP 37
-1
0.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 26
OPP 38
0
0.1%
Jerry Neuheisel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 26
OPP 38
+61
0.1%
Jerry Neuheisel pass intercepted Trent Langham return for 61 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 30FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Keith Whitely run for no gain to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Kurt Palandech pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
0.1%
Nicolai Bornand 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 31DOWNS
12 plays · 20 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.1%
Jerry Neuheisel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
0.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 14 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
0.1%
Roosevelt Davis run for 4 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
0.1%
Jerry Neuheisel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
0.1%
Roosevelt Davis run for 5 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+8
0.1%
Roosevelt Davis run for 8 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
0.1%
Jerry Neuheisel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
0.1%
Roosevelt Davis run for 3 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
-1
0.1%
Roosevelt Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 8
OPP 22
-5
0.1%
UCLA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 13
OPP 27
-8
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:06
Kurt Palandech pass intercepted for a TD Kenny Young return for 23 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)
-2.8
TD · Q3 12:00
Paul Perkins run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)
-2.6
TD · Q3 6:00
Paul Perkins run for 56 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com