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IDHO

Idaho 9 at USC 59

USC
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:19 · Kris Albarado punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Jordan Frysinger at the Idaho 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+47.0Home team on offense+3.9Score differential+1.9Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Garbage-time factor+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:16: Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 50 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK) — USC win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:57: Austin Rehkow 20 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:45: Tre Madden run for 9 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK) — USC win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IDHO made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 11:17IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:19USC 4th & 5 at USC 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:25IDHO 4th & 5 at IDHO 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:57IDHO 4th & 2 at USC 3, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:11USC 4th & 2 at IDHO 10, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:07IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:22IDHO 4th & 7 at IDHO 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:55IDHO 4th & 9 at IDHO 37, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:22USC 4th & 6 at IDHO 6, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:26IDHO 4th & 2 at USC 23, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:42IDHO 4th & 13 at IDHO 44, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:23USC 4th & 5 at USC 31, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:14IDHO 4th & 7 at IDHO 48, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:36IDHO 4th & 11 at IDHO 36, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:23USC 4th & 8 at USC 33, up 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:39IDHO 4th & 14 at IDHO 33, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 8 of 8IDHO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:52USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:24USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:16USC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:01USC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:45USC Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:34IDHO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:57USC Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:44USC Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:28USC Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:53100% → 99%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Tre Madden run for 5 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
99.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 16 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 15 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
99.5%
Tre Madden run for 8 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+12
99.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 12 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
99.4%
Justin Davis run for 18 yds to the Idaho 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Justin Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:181% → 1%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
99.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Elijhaa PennySimilar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Austin Rehkow punt for 50 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for no gain to the USC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
99.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 11 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Jahleel Pinner for 9 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+5
99.3%
Tre Madden run for 5 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.3%
Tre Madden run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 7
50
+43
99.3%
Justin Davis run for 43 yds to the Idaho 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.4%
Justin Davis run for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
99.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+2
99.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-2
99.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 12
OWN 27
-13
99.3%
Penny, Elijhaa rush for 12 yards to the IDAHO39, PENALTY IDAHO personal foul (Manley, Jake) 13 yards to the IDAHO14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 25
OWN 14
+10
99.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 10 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4999% → 99%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tyler Petite for 6 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-1
99.2%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 26Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Steven Mitchell Jr.Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Kris Albarado punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Jordan Frysinger at the Idaho 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.2%
Duckworth, Aaron rush for 3 yards to the IDAHO23, PENALTY USC offside (Simmons, Delvon) 5 yards to the IDAHO25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Elijhaa PennySimilar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Austin Rehkow punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7TD
1 play · 50 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
50
+50
99.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 50 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 8FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:031% → 1%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+9
99.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 9 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
99.4%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+15
99.3%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Watson, Deon (Tell III, Marvell), PENALTY USC pass interference (Tell III, Marvell) 15 yards to the USC41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IDAHO.Similar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+30
99.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 30 yds to the USC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the USC 9Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-1
99.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 10Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+7
99.3%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the USC 3Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+20
99.1%
Austin Rehkow 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 2:4799% → 99%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 12 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 8 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+13
99.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 13 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
99.2%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 14 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.2%
Justin Davis run for 5 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
99.2%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to De'Quan HamptonSimilar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+3
99.1%
Cody Kessler run for 3 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+3
99.2%
Tre Madden run for 3 yds to the Idaho 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.1%
Tre Madden run for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 3:191% → 1%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.4%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 5 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+3
99.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
99.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jake Manley for 1 yd to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+2
99.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-8
99.1%
Jake Luton sacked by Su'a Cravens for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 21Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 18
OWN 21
+11
99.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Callen Hightower for 11 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Callen Hightower, broken up by Adoree' JacksonSimilar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Austin Rehkow punt for 46 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for no gain to the USC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:1899% → 100%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.3%
Ronald Jones II run for no gain to the USC 22Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+15
99.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 15 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 5 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+11
99.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 11 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.4%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Jalen Greene for 5 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+11
99.3%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Jalen Greene for 11 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-8
99.5%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the Idaho 29 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Max Tuerk) to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 18
OPP 39
+30
99.5%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Tre Madden for 30 yds to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Tre Madden run for 9 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Jake Luton pass complete to Deon Watson for 11 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 49 yds , Adoree' Jackson returns for 7 yds to the USC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Cody Kessler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+12
99.8%
Dominic Davis run for 12 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
99.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Jahleel Pinner for 8 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+10
99.8%
Dominic Davis run for 10 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+30
99.8%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Adoree' Jackson for 30 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
99.8%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 8 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+4
99.8%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 4 yds to the Idaho 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Cody Kessler pass incomplete to Tre MaddenSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.8%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 1 yd to the Idaho 6Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Cody Kessler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.8%
Alex Wood 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:110% → 0%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 6 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+13
99.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 13 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Aaron DuckworthSimilar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+8
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 8 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.8%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the USC 33Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+14
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 14 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 5 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+4
99.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
99.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 1 yd to the USC 14Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+16
99.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Taylor McNamara for 16 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
99.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 15 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Ronald Jones II for 15 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
99.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 12 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Isaac Whitney for 28 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:170% → 0%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+11
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 11 yds to the Idaho 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 28Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+22
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
50
+19
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 19 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 2 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 6 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 2
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the USC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+24
99.9%
Ronald Jones II run for 24 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
99.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 12 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.9%
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 41 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 19 yds · 3:540% → 0%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 8 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
100.0%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete, PENALTY IDAHO holding (Matlock, Steven) 10 yards to the IDAHO37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+4
100.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 3 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jante BostonSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 13
OWN 44
+1
100.0%
Austin Rehkow punt for 42 yds , Steven Mitchell Jr. returns for 1 yd to the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
99.9%
Max Browne pass complete to Jalen Greene for 11 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 1 yd to the USC 27Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Max Browne pass incomplete to Isaac WhitneySimilar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Max Browne pass complete to Christian Tober for 4 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Kris Albarado punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Frysinger at the Idaho 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
100.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Calvary Pugh for 6 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Calvary Pugh for 6 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
100.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 5
50
-2
100.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jante Boston for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 48Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Kareem ColesSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+62
100.0%
Austin Rehkow punt for 52 yds for a touchback USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 22TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
100.0%
Dominic Davis run for 8 yds to the USC 18Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+2
100.0%
Dominic Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Dominic Davis run for 5 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+18
100.0%
Max Browne pass complete to David Mellstrom for 18 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Max Browne pass incomplete to David MellstromSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+10
100.0%
Max Browne pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 10 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+44
100.0%
Ronald Jones II run for 44 yds to the Idaho 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jake Manley for 8 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
100.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 36Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah SaundersSimilar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
Austin Rehkow punt for 55 yds , Christian Tober returns for 5 yds to the USC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
100.0%
James Toland IV run for 17 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
100.0%
Conner Sullivan run for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 27 Conner Sullivan fumbled, recovered by USC Conner SullivanSimilar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
James Toland IV run for 3 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
James Toland IV run for 3 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Kris Albarado punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordan Frysinger at the Idaho 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
100.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Kareem Coles for 8 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by IdahoSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Kareem ColesSimilar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Austin Rehkow punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
100.0%
Stefan Smith run for 7 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Stefan Smith run for 4 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Stefan Smith run for 3 yds to the USC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:45
Tre Madden run for 9 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 4:16
Cody Kessler pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 50 yds for a TD, (Alex Wood KICK)
+0.2
FG · Q2 14:57
Austin Rehkow 20 yd FG GOOD
-0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com