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BC

Boston College 17 at Syracuse 20

SYR
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Alex Howell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ervin Philips at the Syrac 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior−1.9Home team on offense+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score differential+0.9Garbage-time factor+0.2Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:18: Zack Mahoney run for 7 yds to the BC 27 — SYR win probability +6.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:45: Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +15.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:53: Tyler Rouse run for 9 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +18.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 2:42: Colton Lichtenberg 43 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +12.0 pts (now 49%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Cole Murphy 35 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +32.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 9BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00BC 4th & 9 at BC 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:46SYR 4th & 19 at SYR 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:58BC 4th & 2 at BC 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:33BC 4th & 11 at BC 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:31SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:31BC 4th & 17 at BC 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:12SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:25SYR 4th & 8 at BC 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:42SYR 4th & 18 at SYR 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−2.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:53SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:19BC 4th & 9 at BC 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:23SYR 4th & 18 at BC 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−3.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00BC 4th & 5 at BC 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:17SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.9
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:13BC 4th & 7 at SYR 41, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    35.4%−1.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%−1.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:33SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−5.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:50BC 4th & 4 at SYR 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    32.6%−1.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−5.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:42BC 4th & 11 at SYR 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−10.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−18.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:21BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:33SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:45SYR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:53BC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
42.3%
Tyler Rouse run for 13 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
42.3%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+8
42.3%
Tyler Rouse run for 8 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-15
42.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the BC 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 30
0
42.3%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 30
+10
42.3%
Jeff Smith run for 10 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
42.3%
Alex Howell punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
43.0%
Ervin Philips run for 9 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 1
OWN 21
-1
43.0%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+17
42.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 17 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
43.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
43.2%
Ervin Philips run for 4 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+13
43.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 13 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
43.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd to the BC 41Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
43.3%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+4
43.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 14 yds to the BC 27 SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the BC 37Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-10
43.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 47Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 15
OPP 47
-4
43.0%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Connor Wujciak for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 19
OWN 49
+24
42.9%
Riley Dixon punt for 39 yds SYRACUSE Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
44.3%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-5
44.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 24Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+11
44.4%
Tyler Rouse run for 11 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
44.1%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
44.6%
Alex Howell punt for 46 yds , Ervin Philips returns for no gain to the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
45.0%
Zack Mahoney run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 14
OWN 15
0
44.9%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+15
44.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
45.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
45.1%
Zack Mahoney run for 1 yd to the Syrac 33 Zack Mahoney fumbled, forced by Justin Simmons, recovered by BC Connor StrachanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:1756% → 61%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
43.7%
Tyler Rouse run for 14 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
43.6%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+21
43.7%
Tyler Rouse run for 21 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.2%
Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:4841% → 49%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
40.8%
George Morris II run for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+16
40.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 16 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
42.0%
George Morris II run for no gain to the BC 48Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-7
41.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
42.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd to the BC 39 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
42.7%
Ervin Philips run for 8 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+14
42.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (14 Yards) to the BC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
49.4%
Ervin Philips 2 Yd Run (Cole Murphy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0056% → 53%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.5%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the BC 47Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
44.7%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-5
44.5%
Jeff Smith sacked by Ted Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 46Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
46.6%
Alex Howell punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
47.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
47.6%
Devante McFarlane run for no gain to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
46.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
46.2%
Riley Dixon punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0055% → 52%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
44.9%
Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the BC 47Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
45.1%
Richard Wilson run for no gain to the BC 47Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-5
45.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 42Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 14
OWN 42
-3
46.7%
Jeff Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 39Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
47.7%
Alex Howell punt for 35 yds, downed at the Syrac 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
48.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+9
49.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 9 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
49.8%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
48.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+5
47.5%
Zack Mahoney run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
47.6%
Riley Dixon punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
44.4%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the BC 41Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
44.9%
Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-5
44.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 39Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+22
46.4%
Jeff Smith pass intercepted Cordell Hudson return for 22 yds to the BC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5353% → 53%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
53.2%
Zack Mahoney run for 7 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 3
OPP 27
-10
53.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 37Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
51.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+5
50.5%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+49
53.4%
Cole Murphy 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
52.1%
Jeff Smith run for 3 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
51.5%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
52.7%
Jeff Smith pass intercepted Antwan Cordy return for no gain to the Syrac 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0056% → 51%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
55.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
54.6%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-5
53.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 15
OWN 41
-3
52.4%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Mehdi Abdesmad for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 18
OWN 38
0
51.3%
Riley Dixon punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
53.5%
Myles Willis run for 2 yds to the BC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:1555% → 74%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-8
54.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 26
+5
53.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 5 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 31
+15
52.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
56.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 5 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+6
57.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 6 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+31
57.5%
Ervin Philips run for 31 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
58.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 5 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+6
58.1%
Ervin Philips run for 6 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:5231% → 50%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+53
69.4%
Jeff Smith run for 53 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
50.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 9 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
58.2%
George Morris II run for 2 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
58.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 1 yd to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
57.7%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
56.4%
Riley Dixon punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0044% → 41%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
56.4%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Charlie CallinanSimilar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
56.8%
Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the BC 20Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
58.1%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
59.5%
Alex Howell punt for 46 yds, downed at the Syrac 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
59.3%
George Morris II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+5
58.7%
Ervin Philips run for 5 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+7
59.1%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to George Morris II for 7 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
61.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+11
62.0%
George Morris II run for 11 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
62.7%
George Morris II run for no gain to the BC 40Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
62.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-5
62.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 40Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-8
61.1%
Zack Mahoney sacked by Harold Landry and Wyatt Ray for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 48Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
57.2%
Riley Dixon punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:0239% → 36%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
61.1%
Jeff Smith run for 7 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 3
OWN 19
0
60.4%
Jeff Smith run for no gain to the BC 19Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+6
62.4%
Tyler Rouse run for 6 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.7%
Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
61.4%
Jeff Smith run for 14 yds to the BC 40 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
60.1%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
61.7%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
63.9%
Alex Howell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ervin Philips at the Syrac 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
66.0%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
65.3%
Zack Mahoney run for 5 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
63.9%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 6 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
64.1%
Riley Dixon punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
62.6%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 32Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+24
63.4%
Jeff Smith run for 24 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
58.3%
Tyler Rouse run for 6 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-3
57.7%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
58.9%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
62.6%
Alex Howell punt for 30 yds, downed at the Syrac 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
68.5%
Dontae Strickland pass incomplete to Steve Ishmael, broken up by Isaac YiadomSimilar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+11
68.2%
Zack Mahoney run for 11 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
68.8%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
68.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
66.8%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by John JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
65.5%
Riley Dixon punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 5:4136% → 49%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
63.6%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the BC 33Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
64.3%
Jeff Smith run for 13 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
60.0%
Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+9
59.3%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Thadd Smith for 9 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
58.9%
Jeff Smith run for 3 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
58.8%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+3
59.7%
Jeff Smith run for 3 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+11
65.0%
Tyler Rouse run for 11 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
59.8%
Jeff Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+4
63.6%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
63.0%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
51.0%
Colton Lichtenberg 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 2:4259% → 96%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
59.0%
Ervin Philips run for 4 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
60.5%
Zack Mahoney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+9
57.2%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
62.8%
Ervin Philips run for 5 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+10
63.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 10 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
64.4%
Zack Mahoney pass incomplete to Jordan Fredericks, broken up by Matt MilanoSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
64.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the BC 36Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+10
64.7%
Jordan Fredericks run for 10 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
65.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 7 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+1
65.1%
Ervin Philips run for 1 yd to the BC 18Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+35
96.0%
Cole Murphy 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Cole Murphy 35 yd FG GOOD
+32.6
TD · Q3 9:53
Tyler Rouse run for 9 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
-18.8
TD · Q3 10:45
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com