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Georgia Tech 21 at Miami 38

MIA
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFUMBLEFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:18 · Ryan Rodwell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense+9.4Score differential+3.1Pregame prior+5.4Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Time remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:43: Mark Walton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +7.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q2 6:18: Patrick Skov run for 6 yds Patrick Skov fumbled, forced by Ufomba Kamalu, recovered by MiaFl Ufomba Kamalu , return for 45 yds Ufomba Kamalu fumbled, forced by Ufomba Kamalu, recovered by MiaFl Jermaine Grace for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +8.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:13: Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 25 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +5.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:05: Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +3.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:41: Mark Walton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00MIA 4th & 6 at MIA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:55GT 4th & 2 at GT 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:09MIA 4th & 9 at MIA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:18GT 4th & 5 at GT 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:57MIA 4th & 19 at MIA 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−2.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:27GT 4th & 6 at GT 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:15MIA 4th & 9 at GT 37, up 17
    Close callPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−0.3
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:13GT 4th & 4 at MIA 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:13MIA 4th & 6 at MIA 24, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00GT 4th & 15 at GT 13, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:50MIA 4th & 11 at MIA 30, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:35GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:08MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:43MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:13MIA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:05GT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:41MIA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:09GT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.0%
Joseph Yearby run for no gain to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
59.0%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.0%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 4 yds to the MiaFl 29 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
59.0%
Justin Vogel punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 3:1541% → 43%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+36
59.0%
Clinton Lynch run for 36 yds to the MiaFl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
58.9%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+3
58.9%
Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+14
58.9%
Justin Thomas run for 14 yds to the MiaFl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
58.9%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 5Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
56.9%
Broderick Snoddy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2758% → 60%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.5%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.4%
Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
57.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 10 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
57.8%
Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-3
57.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+33
57.5%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 33 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+23
58.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 23 yds to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
60.1%
Joseph Yearby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1341% → 41%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
58.8%
Matthew Jordan run for 6 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-1
58.5%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 32 Matthew Jordan fumbled, recovered by GTech Matthew JordanSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+3
59.1%
Marcus Allen run for 3 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+1
59.3%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 50 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 1 yd to the MiaFl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
59.4%
Mark Walton run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+10
59.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 10 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
59.6%
Mark Walton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
59.5%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
59.0%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Christopher Herndon IVSimilar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+7
58.7%
Justin Vogel punt for 37 yds , Jamal Golden returns for 7 yds to the GTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6FUMBLE
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:2342% → 44%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
58.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
58.1%
Matthew Jordan run for 1 yd to the GTech 49 Matthew Jordan fumbled, recovered by GTech Broderick SnoddySimilar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+6
58.1%
Matthew Jordan run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
57.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+5
57.8%
Matthew Jordan run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
57.6%
Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
57.5%
Matthew Jordan run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
57.1%
Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
56.6%
Marcus Marshall run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+6
56.6%
Matthew Jordan run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
56.6%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 0
OPP 4
0
56.2%
Matthew Jordan run for no gain to the MiaFl 3 Matthew Jordan fumbled, forced by Juwon Young, recovered by MiaFl Jamal CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7TD
7 plays · 97 yds · 3:2260% → 70%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
59.9%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (Sunny Odogwu) to the MiaFl 2Similar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+1
59.9%
Mark Walton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 3Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+42
59.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 42 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
61.6%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 5
50
+46
61.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 46 yds to the GTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
62.6%
Mark Walton run for no gain to the GTech 4Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.6%
Mark Walton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2533% → 25%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.3%
Matthew Jordan run for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
66.9%
Matthew Jordan run for 5 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
66.7%
Matthew Jordan run for 1 yd to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
66.9%
Clinton Lynch run for 5 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
75.0%
Patrick Skov run for 6 yds Patrick Skov fumbled, forced by Ufomba Kamalu, recovered by MiaFl Ufomba Kamalu , return for 45 yds Ufomba Kamalu fumbled, forced by Ufomba Kamalu, recovered by MiaFl Jermaine Grace for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.1%
Matthew Jordan pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Jamal CarterSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.2%
Marcus Allen run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
76.4%
Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
76.5%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
78.1%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (Christopher Herndon IV) to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+13
77.7%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 13 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
78.7%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Lawrence CagerSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+10
77.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 10 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
78.7%
Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
78.6%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Christopher Herndon IVSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 9
OPP 45
-15
78.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 42 yards to the GT3 (White, D.), PENALTY UM pass interference (Lawrence Cager) 15 yards to the UM40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 24
OWN 40
+5
77.6%
Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
76.8%
Justin Vogel punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:0720% → 20%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
79.9%
Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+9
79.5%
Matthew Jordan run for 9 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
79.2%
Matthew Jordan pass complete to Brad Stewart for 8 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 2
OWN 29
0
78.6%
Matthew Jordan pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
79.0%
Marcus Allen run for 1 yd to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 1
OWN 30
-5
79.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 19 yds, downed at the GTech 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:1882% → 86%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
81.7%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 4 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
81.5%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+57
85.9%
Michael Badgley 57 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
83.2%
Matthew Jordan run for 1 yd to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-2
83.5%
Isiah Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+14
83.7%
Matthew Jordan pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 14 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
82.6%
Clinton Lynch run for 17 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
81.4%
Matthew Jordan pass incomplete to Clinton LynchSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+63
82.2%
Matthew Jordan pass intercepted Jamal Carter return for 48 yds to the MiaFl 0 MIAMI FL Penalty, personal foul (Corn Elder) to the MiaFl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
86.7%
Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
86.7%
Malik Rosier run for 5 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
86.8%
Joseph Yearby run for 11 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
86.9%
Herb Waters run for 1 yd to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
86.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Herb WatersSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
86.4%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Tracy Howard, broken up by Patrick GambleSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
85.6%
Justin Vogel punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.0%
Brad Stewart pass intercepted Corn Elder return for no gain to the GTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:4090% → 96%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
89.8%
Mark Walton run for 17 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
89.8%
Mark Walton run for 12 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
89.8%
Mark Walton rush for 5 yards to the GT7, out-of-bounds (Milton, C.), PENALTY UM holding (Kc McDermott) 10 yards to the GT22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 20
OPP 22
-4
89.8%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 25 Mark Walton fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Mark WaltonSimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 23
OPP 25
+25
95.6%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 25 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
95.1%
Marcus Marshall run for 12 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
94.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 25 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
94.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+6
94.9%
Matthew Jordan run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-2
94.7%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 4
OPP 32
-3
94.9%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
95.4%
MIAMI FL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Artie Burns) to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
95.3%
Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
95.3%
Joseph Yearby run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
95.3%
Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-5
95.0%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
94.9%
Justin Vogel punt for 54 yds , Jamal Golden returns for no gain to the GTech 18 Jamal Golden fumbled, recovered by GTech Jamal GoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:393% → 2%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
97.5%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 15 Matthew Jordan fumbled, forced by Al-Quadin Muhammad, recovered by GTech Matthew JordanSimilar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+10
97.6%
Matthew Jordan run for 10 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 3
OWN 25
-1
97.5%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 13 Matthew Jordan fumbled, recovered by GTech Marcus MarshallSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
98.1%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 56 yds, downed at the MiaFl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
98.2%
Joseph Yearby run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-5
98.2%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (Stacy Coley) to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to David NjokuSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Joseph Yearby run for no gain to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
98.0%
Justin Vogel punt for 39 yds , Jamal Golden returns for no gain to the GTech 32 Jamal Golden fumbled, recovered by GTech Jamal GoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:432% → 5%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
98.3%
Matthew Jordan pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 22 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
98.3%
Lynn Griffin run for 27 yds to the MiaFl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
98.1%
Patrick Skov run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+6
98.1%
Patrick Skov run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
98.1%
Patrick Skov run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 3Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.9%
Matthew Jordan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2496% → 99%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 13 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.2%
Mark Walton run for no gain to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+19
96.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 19 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
96.3%
MIAMI FL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+46
96.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 46 yds to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.3%
Mark Walton run for 1 yd to the GTech 1Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Mark Walton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:321% → 2%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
99.2%
Matthew Jordan sacked by Al-Quadin Muhammad for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+21
99.3%
Lynn Griffin run for 21 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.2%
Lynn Griffin run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-1
99.1%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 41 Matthew Jordan fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+15
99.2%
Matthew Jordan pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 15 yds to the MiaFl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
99.0%
Lynn Griffin run for 16 yds to the MiaFl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.0%
Matthew Jordan run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 5Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.0%
Matthew Jordan run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 3Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.7%
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
98.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-1
98.5%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q2 6:18
Patrick Skov run for 6 yds Patrick Skov fumbled, forced by Ufomba Kamalu, recovered by MiaFl Ufomba Kamalu , return for 45 yds Ufomba Kamalu fumbled, forced by Ufomba Kamalu, recovered by MiaFl Jermaine Grace for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q2 8:43
Mark Walton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
+7
TD · Q3 7:13
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 25 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com