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WAKE

Wake Forest 7 at Notre Dame 28

ND
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:18 · Tyler Newsome punt for 43 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 14 yds to the NDame 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+32.0Home team on offense+17.8Score differential+13.8Garbage-time factor+6.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:59: Josh Adams run for 98 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:40: John Wolford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +5.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:28: DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 5 yds to the NDame 30 — ND win probability +2.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:11: DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 14 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down — ND win probability +1.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:58: DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:37ND 4th & 9 at ND 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:27WAKE 4th & 8 at ND 33, tied
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:51WAKE 4th & 1 at ND 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:10WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:18ND 4th & 25 at ND 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−1.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:58WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 47, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:56ND 4th & 11 at ND 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:54ND 4th & 6 at ND 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:16WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:45WAKE 4th & 7 at ND 7, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:32ND 4th & 5 at WAKE 47, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:41ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:46ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:59ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:40WAKE Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:58ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1896% → 96%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.1%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.1%
Josh Adams run for 11 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.0%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 36Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
95.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for no gain to the NDame 36Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+1
95.8%
DeShone Kizer run for 1 yd to the NDame 37Similar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 9
OWN 37
-3
95.6%
Tyler Newsome punt for 54 yds , Tabari Hines returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:024% → 6%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
95.7%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+9
95.6%
Tyler Bell run for 9 yds to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
95.4%
Kendall Hinton run for 6 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+5
95.3%
Tyler Bell run for 5 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
95.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 23 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
95.0%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 9 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+5
94.9%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 5 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
94.7%
Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 36Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
94.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tyler BellSimilar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 11
OPP 36
-5
94.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Justin Herron) to the NDame 41Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 16
OPP 41
+8
94.6%
John Wolford run for 8 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
94.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:4295% → 95%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
94.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
94.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+18
94.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 18 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
94.5%
DeShone Kizer run for 8 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 2
OPP 41
-1
94.5%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+9
94.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 9 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
94.3%
Josh Adams run for 9 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+13
94.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 13 yds to the WFrst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
94.1%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 12Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+12
94.8%
DeShone Kizer run for 12 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4INT TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:496% → 5%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.5%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
94.3%
Tyler Bell run for 6 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
95.3%
John Wolford pass intercepted by Andrew Trumbetti return for 28 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5DOWNS
14 plays · 74 yds · 6:435% → 6%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
95.1%
Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+23
95.1%
Kendall Hinton run for 23 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
94.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+7
94.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 7 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
94.7%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+14
94.8%
Wolford, John pass incomplete to Lewis, Cortez, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Luke, Cole) 14 yards to the NOTREDAME24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.Similar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.5%
John Wolford run for no gain to the NDame 24Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
94.5%
John Wolford run for 15 yds to the NDame 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.4%
John Wolford run for no gain to the NDame 9Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
94.3%
Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 14Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+13
94.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Bell for 13 yds to the NDame 1Similar
Q2 10:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.3%
Tyler Bell run for no gain to the NDame 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6TD
2 plays · 99 yds · 0:4795% → 97%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
95.0%
DeShone Kizer run for 1 yd to the NDame 2Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+98
97.4%
Josh Adams run for 98 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:333% → 3%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
97.1%
Tyler Bell run for 5 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
97.0%
Tyler Bell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
97.0%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
96.9%
Tyler Bell run for 12 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-13
96.9%
John Wolford sacked by Romeo Okwara for a loss of 13 yards to the WFrst 33 John Wolford fumbled, forced by Romeo Okwara, recovered by WFrst Phil Haynes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 23
OWN 33
0
97.1%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 23
OWN 33
+9
97.1%
Tyler Bell run for 9 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
97.1%
Alexander Kinal punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 3:4298% → 98%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 3 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-8
97.6%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Tylor Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 15Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+16
97.5%
DeShone Kizer run for 16 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
97.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 28Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 13
OWN 28
-2
97.8%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 26Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 15
OWN 26
-10
97.7%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Dionte Austin for a loss of 10 yards to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 25
OWN 16
+14
97.6%
Tyler Newsome punt for 43 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 14 yds to the NDame 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9DOWNS
14 plays · 12 yds · 2:023% → 3%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
97.2%
Isaiah Robinson run for 3 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
97.1%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
97.0%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
96.9%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 12 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
96.8%
Wolford, John pass sacked for loss of 6 yards to the NOTREDAME29 (Okwara, Romeo), PENALTY NOTREDAME face mask (Bonner, Jonathan) 11 yards to the NOTREDAME12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
96.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
96.5%
Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the NDame 11Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-7
97.1%
John Wolford sacked by Romeo Okwara for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 18Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 16
OPP 18
-15
97.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Cortez Lewis) to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 31
OPP 33
+51
97.5%
Mike Weaver 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:433% → 2%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
97.5%
Tyler Bell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
97.4%
Tyler Bell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+9
97.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 9 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
97.4%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the WFrst 41Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+1
97.5%
Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+5
97.7%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
97.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
97.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 41 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:5598% → 98%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
98.1%
Josh Adams run for 11 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
98.2%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the NDame 24Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-2
98.2%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 22Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
98.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.Similar
Q3 8:56
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+5
98.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 38 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 5 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
13 plays · 55 yds · 6:062% → 7%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
97.9%
Tyler Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+3
98.0%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-5
98.0%
John Wolford sacked by Romeo Okwara for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 14
OWN 41
+15
98.1%
Kinal, Alexander punt 43 yards to the NOTREDAME16, Sanders, C.J. return -1 yards to the NOTREDAME15, PENALTY NOTREDAME personal foul 15 yards to the NOTREDAME44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.Similar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
98.0%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-5
98.0%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Dylan Intemann) to the NDame 47Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+3
98.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Bell for 3 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+13
98.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 13 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
98.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Bell for 6 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+5
98.0%
Tyler Bell run for 5 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+19
98.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 19 yds to the NDame 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
John Wolford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:3496% → 96%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 5 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
95.9%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
96.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chase Hounshell for 6 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
96.3%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
96.4%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-3
96.2%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 42Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
95.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:345% → 5%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
94.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by KeiVarae RussellSimilar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
94.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 14Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+4
94.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 4 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
94.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 51 yds, downed at the NDame 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:1396% → 99%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
96.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 14 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
96.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 2 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+22
96.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 22 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.6%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
96.6%
DeShone Kizer run for 7 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+18
96.6%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Robinson, Corey, PENALTY WAKEFOREST pass interference (Austin, Dionte) 18 yards to the WAKEFOREST5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q4 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:501% → 1%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+52
99.1%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 52 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
99.0%
Tyler Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 16Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+15
99.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 15 yds to the NDame 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-8
99.0%
John Wolford run for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 9 John Wolford fumbled, recovered by WFrst John WolfordSimilar
Q4 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.0%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the NDame 7Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.1%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 46 yds · 6:0399% → 100%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
99.4%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 10Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 10
-3
99.4%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 7Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+12
99.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 12 yds to the NDame 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.5%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 19Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+15
99.5%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Robinson, Corey, PENALTY WAKEFOREST pass interference (Watson, Brad) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Robinson for 4 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
99.5%
DeShone Kizer run for 2 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+8
99.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 8 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.6%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
99.6%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-3
99.7%
DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 47Similar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Tyler Newsome punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18END OF GAME
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+9
99.6%
Tyler Bell run for 9 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+4
99.6%
Tyler Bell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.6%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+7
99.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
99.6%
Tyler Bell run for 6 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
99.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:40
John Wolford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-5.5
TD · Q4 10:58
DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q2 9:59
Josh Adams run for 98 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com