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2015 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2015 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:30 · Ryan Rodwell punt for 23 yds, downed at the VTech 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense+6.7Pregame prior+1.8Garbage-time factor+2.6Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:56: Travon McMillian run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +7.3 pts (now 36%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:35: Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 17 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +16.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:00: Michael Brewer pass intercepted for a TD Brant Mitchell return for 32 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +15.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:58: Travon McMillian run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye PAT MISSED) — VT win probability +27.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:57: Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 00:57 — VT win probability +16.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:05VT 4th & 9 at VT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:03GT 4th & 12 at VT 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    66.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:03VT 4th & 12 at VT 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:35GT 4th & 5 at GT 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:50GT 4th & 10 at GT 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:42VT 4th & 3 at GT 12, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%−0.8
    86% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−9.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:02VT 4th & 23 at VT 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−3.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:30GT 4th & 6 at GT 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:32VT 4th & 10 at GT 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−9.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:26VT 4th & 2 at VT 40, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:42GT 4th & 6 at GT 29, down 2
    Close callPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:56VT 4th & 10 at VT 45, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−3.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:43GT 4th & 27 at GT 39, down 2
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:11GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:00GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:56VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:35VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:00GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:58VT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2756% → 57%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.9%
Marcus Allen run for 9 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+58
56.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 58 yds to the VTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
56.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds to the VTech 4Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.9%
Marcus Allen run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0243% → 43%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.7%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.8%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
57.2%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
57.3%
A.J. Hughes punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:4757% → 59%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
57.4%
Isiah Willis run for 5 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
57.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Broderick SnoddySimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+7
57.9%
Isiah Willis run for 7 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
58.4%
Marcus Allen run for 8 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+5
58.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-11
59.1%
Justin Thomas sacked by Andrew Motuapuaka and Corey Marshall for a loss of 11 yards to the VTech 49Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 21
OPP 49
0
58.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to TaQuon MarshallSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 21
OPP 49
+9
58.8%
Marcus Allen run for 9 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
58.8%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 39 yds, downed at the VTech 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:2841% → 40%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
59.0%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
59.3%
Trey Edmunds run for no gain to the VTech 1Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+21
59.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 21 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
59.5%
Sam Rogers run for 7 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+2
59.4%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+14
59.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 14 yds Cam Phillips fumbled, forced by Tyler Marcordes, recovered by GTech Jamal GoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 4:0061% → 69%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
61.3%
Marcus Marshall run for no gain to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
61.5%
Justin Thomas run for 12 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
61.9%
Justin Thomas run for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+9
62.2%
Isiah Willis run for 9 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
62.5%
Marcus Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+13
62.5%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (8 Yards) to the VTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
62.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 4 yds to the VTech 4Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
68.8%
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 1:4733% → 31%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
67.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 8 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
66.9%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
67.6%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the VTech 44 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Wyatt Teller) to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+5
68.2%
Isaiah Ford run for 5 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-2
68.0%
Brenden Motley run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
68.7%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
69.0%
A.J. Hughes punt for 55 yds, downed at the GTech 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0571% → 71%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
70.5%
Isiah Willis run for 5 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+4
71.3%
Justin Thomas run for 4 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+5
70.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Luther Maddy) to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
70.7%
Marcus Allen run for 9 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-5
71.4%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+1
71.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 5
OWN 27
-4
70.9%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 44 yds , Greg Stroman returns for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 23 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (Greg Stroman) to the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:3429% → 36%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.2%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
71.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 10 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
71.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 5 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
71.9%
Sam Rogers run for no gain to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+45
72.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 45 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
70.4%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+7
70.6%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
70.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 3 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
71.3%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the GTech 2Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
64.0%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4067% → 66%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
67.0%
Justin Thomas run for 16 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
68.8%
Marcus Allen run for 1 yd to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-1
68.6%
Broderick Snoddy run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
67.6%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
66.3%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 35 yds, downed at the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 2:5832% → 52%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
67.6%
Travon McMillian run for 23 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
65.5%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
66.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 8 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+4
65.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 4 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.2%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
65.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 13 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
62.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 6 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
62.9%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
64.6%
Michael Brewer run for 2 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
48.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 17 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
56.9%
Patrick Skov run for 2 yds to the GTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3546% → 30%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.7%
Michael Brewer run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
53.9%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+32
69.7%
Michael Brewer pass intercepted for a TD Brant Mitchell return for 32 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:5731% → 37%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
68.6%
Travon McMillian run for 9 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+4
67.3%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
68.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 5 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+9
67.2%
Travon McMillian run for 9 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
67.0%
Cam Phillips run for 24 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
64.9%
Travon McMillian run for 11 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
64.5%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
64.8%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+3
66.9%
Michael Brewer run for 3 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
62.6%
Joey Slye 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:1367% → 71%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
66.7%
Justin Thomas run for 12 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
67.9%
Marcus Allen run for 3 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
69.1%
Marcus Allen run for 2 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+11
68.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Isiah Willis for 11 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
70.6%
Broderick Snoddy run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 48 Broderick Snoddy fumbled, recovered by VTech Deon ClarkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:0840% → 33%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
60.5%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-13
61.8%
Michael Brewer sacked by Anree Saint-Amour for a loss of 13 yards to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 23
OWN 35
0
66.7%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 5:02
4TH & 23
OWN 35
+3
67.3%
A.J. Hughes punt for 37 yds , Jamal Golden returns for 3 yds to the GTech 36 Jamal Golden fumbled, recovered by GTech Lance Austin , return for 5 yds to the GTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2468% → 67%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
68.6%
Clinton Lynch run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+6
66.7%
Marcus Allen run for 6 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
67.0%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 23 yds, downed at the VTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:2837% → 36%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.0%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the VTech 37Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
63.7%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+22
61.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 22 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
58.1%
Travon McMillian run for 12 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
57.5%
Sam Rogers run for 3 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-3
57.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 23Similar
Q3 0:37
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
60.4%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
64.4%
Joey Slye 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18FUMBLE
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:1969% → 75%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
69.4%
Marcus Allen run for 2 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
69.0%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+15
67.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Broderick Snoddy for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
72.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
71.2%
Marcus Allen run for 8 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
71.9%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+5
70.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Deon Clarke) to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
74.2%
Marcus Allen run for 6 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
74.3%
Marcus Allen run for 2 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
73.3%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
75.2%
Broderick Snoddy run for 3 yds to the VTech 32 Broderick Snoddy fumbled, forced by D Nicolas, recovered by VTech Luther MaddySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0435% → 35%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
65.0%
Travon McMillian run for 8 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
62.2%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
62.0%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
65.3%
A.J. Hughes punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
70.6%
Marcus Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 18 Marcus Allen fumbled, forced by Woody Baron, recovered by VTech D NicolasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21TD
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:0243% → 70%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
57.2%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-1
57.3%
Sam Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 15Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
59.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Lawrence Austin) to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
57.5%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
30.4%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:1246% → 41%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.6%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton LynchSimilar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.6%
Justin Thomas run for 9 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
47.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Trey Braun) to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
44.0%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Marcus AllenSimilar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+10
40.5%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 36 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 10 yds to the VTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2470% → 67%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
30.2%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
26.7%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 5
50
0
26.7%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 5
50
-5
29.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Eddie D'Antuono) to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
33.0%
A.J. Hughes punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:5240% → 22%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
40.1%
Marcus Allen run for 3 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+20
40.6%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Deon Clarke) to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
44.7%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-4
45.6%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+13
38.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Isiah Willis for 13 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
42.2%
Marcus Allen run for 5 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-15
43.9%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 39 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Errin Joe) to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 27
OWN 39
0
21.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
5.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:58
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye PAT MISSED)
-27
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:57
Timeout GEORGIA TECH, clock 00:57
-16.6
TD · Q2 0:35
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 17 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
-16.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com