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FSU

Florida State 13 at Clemson 23

CLEM
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:51 · Andy Teasdall punt for 40 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 1 yd to the FlaSt 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+27.4Home team on offense−1.9Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:29: Greg Huegel 25 Yd Field Goal — CLEM win probability +3.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:01: Deon Cain 38 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +11.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:15: Roberto Aguayo 41 Yd Field Goal — FSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 37%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:23: Greg Huegel 34 Yd Field Goal — CLEM win probability +12.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:34: Wayne Gallman 25 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +8.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:57CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:51CLEM 4th & 12 at CLEM 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:15CLEM 4th & 6 at FSU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−3.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:59FSU 4th & 6 at CLEM 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:55CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:09FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:57CLEM 4th & 3 at FSU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    59.2%−1.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:24FSU 4th & 27 at FSU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−3.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:29CLEM 4th & 3 at FSU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−7.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:51CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 33, down 4
    Close callPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:23FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 31, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:15FSU 4th & 1 at CLEM 24, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%−2.7
    68% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−10.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:20CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:16FSU 4th & 12 at CLEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    37.4%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:16CLEM 4th & 8 at FSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    61.4%−3.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:59FSU 4th & 10 at CLEM 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−2.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:23CLEM 4th & 5 at FSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−19.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:17FSU 4th & 1 at CLEM 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−5.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−7.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:15FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:01CLEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:34CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3518% → 18%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.2%
Kermit Whitfield run for no gain to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
81.8%
Dalvin Cook 75 Yd Run (Roberto Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:0882% → 81%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
81.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 10 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete, broken up by DeMarcus WalkerSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
81.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 36Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
81.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
81.1%
Andy Teasdall punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3INT
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:4419% → 21%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
81.1%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+36
81.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 36 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
80.5%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 21 yds to the Clem 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
80.1%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the Clem 17Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-3
79.6%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 20Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
79.4%
Sean Maguire pass intercepted Adrian Baker return for no gain to the Clem 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 43 yds · 4:5980% → 76%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
79.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 8Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+15
79.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 15 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
78.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 2 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
78.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+13
78.5%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Jalen Ramsey for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 23 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Ramsey) to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
78.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
78.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+4
78.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
50
-5
78.2%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Nile Lawrence-Stample and Derrick Nnadi for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 45Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+8
77.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 8 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
77.5%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 7
OPP 47
-5
76.7%
Green, T.J. rush left for 11 yards to the FLORIDAST36, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CLEMSON illegal formation 5 yards to the CLEMSON48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 12
OWN 48
+1
76.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 40 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 1 yd to the FlaSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5PUNT
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:1224% → 24%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
76.2%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
75.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
75.7%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:0476% → 77%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
76.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
75.6%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+15
75.1%
Watson, Deshaun pass right sideline incomplete to Scott, Artavis thrown to the FLORIDAST39, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (White, Marquez) 15 yards to the FLORIDAST43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+25
75.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 25 yds to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
75.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
75.7%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
75.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete, broken up by DeMarcus WalkerSimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
76.6%
Greg Huegel 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:0124% → 30%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.0%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
75.6%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
76.0%
Maguire, Sean pass middle incomplete to Whitfield, Kermit thrown to the FLORIDAST40, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Alexander, Mackensie) 12 yards to the FLORIDAST41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
74.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 18 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
74.3%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+6
73.6%
Jacques Patrick run for 6 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
73.2%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 17 yds to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
72.4%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
71.9%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 8Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
72.4%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 2 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
69.6%
Roberto Aguayo 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 2:3570% → 68%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
70.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+7
70.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
70.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter Renfrow, broken up by Javien ElliottSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
69.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+8
68.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 8 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
69.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 5 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
69.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 48Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
68.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Wayne GallmanSimilar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
67.7%
Andy Teasdall punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:2134% → 35%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
66.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+7
66.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
65.4%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 7 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
63.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
64.1%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
64.8%
Cason Beatty punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Hunter Renfrow at the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:0165% → 65%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
64.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 12 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
65.0%
Ray-Ray McCloud run for 8 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
66.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Sideline Interference (5 Yards) to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
66.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
66.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+3
65.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Germone Hopper for 3 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
64.5%
Artavis Scott run for no gain to the FlaSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · -17 yds · 1:2642% → 41%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-14
58.5%
Sean Maguire sacked by B.J. Goodson for a loss of 14 yards to the FlaSt 28 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Sean Maguire) to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 24
OWN 28
+4
60.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 20
OWN 32
-5
60.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 25
OWN 27
-5
60.3%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Roderick Johnson) to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 30
OWN 22
+3
59.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 27
OWN 25
-3
59.3%
Cason Beatty punt for 54 yds , Hunter Renfrow returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 18 Hunter Renfrow fumbled, recovered by Clem Hunter RenfrowSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12FG
10 plays · 75 yds · 0:4959% → 67%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
58.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 18 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
59.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+25
59.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 25 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+25
62.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 25 yds to the FlaSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
64.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 3 yds to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+4
65.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
63.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
66.9%
Greg Huegel 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
63.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5965% → 64%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
65.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
65.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan Leggett, broken up by Jalen RamseySimilar
Q3 13:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
63.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 45 yds, downed at the FlaSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2237% → 37%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
62.7%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Jesus Wilson, broken up by Cordrea TankersleySimilar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-3
62.7%
Sean Maguire sacked by B.J. Goodson for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 13
OWN 19
-5
63.7%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 18
OWN 14
+17
63.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 17 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
62.6%
Cason Beatty punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:1863% → 77%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
62.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 15 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
63.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
62.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 3 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
62.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
65.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for no gain to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
65.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 8 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+38
76.5%
Deon Cain 38 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:3927% → 37%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
72.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Wilson Bell) to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 15
OWN 25
0
73.4%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Travis Rudolph, broken up by Travis BlanksSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+10
73.5%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 10 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+14
72.8%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 14 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
69.6%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 18 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
67.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the Clem 32Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+8
67.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
68.4%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+41
62.8%
Roberto Aguayo 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4868% → 65%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
67.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+7
67.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 7 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
66.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
65.1%
Andy Teasdall punt for 28 yds, downed at the FlaSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 3:4440% → 37%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.0%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
60.4%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 4 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+9
59.6%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 9 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
58.4%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
58.4%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Brock Ruble) to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 15
OPP 43
-5
60.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 48Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 20
OPP 48
0
60.2%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 20
OPP 48
+8
61.2%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Ja'Vonn Harrison for 8 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 1:16
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
62.8%
Cason Beatty punt for 33 yds, downed at the Clem 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 48 yds · 1:4465% → 65%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
64.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+5
64.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Germone Hopper for 5 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
64.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+15
65.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 15 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
66.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 15 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
69.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
69.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
68.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon Cain, broken up by Derwin JamesSimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
64.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:0139% → 43%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
60.6%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 11 yds to the FlaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
60.1%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 4 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+11
58.7%
Kermit Whitfield run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
56.7%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Freddie Stevenson for 1 yd to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+11
57.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 11 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
54.3%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
54.7%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete, broken up by Austin BryantSimilar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
60.0%
Cason Beatty punt for 41 yds, downed at the Clem 8Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
56.9%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete, broken up by Ben BoulwareSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22FG
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0762% → 75%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
62.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+10
62.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Germone Hopper for 10 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
63.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 11 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
64.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 10 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
66.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 17 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
68.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 12 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
68.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 14
OPP 26
0
66.0%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 14
OPP 26
+9
63.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 9 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
75.3%
Greg Huegel 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5037% → 33%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
63.5%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
65.4%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 9 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
63.8%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the Clem 40Similar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
66.8%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the Clem 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:2678% → 96%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
77.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
78.0%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+21
79.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 21 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
84.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-2
84.9%
Zac Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+7
88.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 7 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
96.0%
Wayne Gallman 25 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:094% → 4%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
95.6%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+26
95.6%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 26 yds Travis Rudolph fumbled, forced by Ben Boulware, recovered by Clem B.J. GoodsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0296% → 97%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
95.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
96.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
96.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+9
96.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 7:23
Greg Huegel 34 Yd Field Goal
+12.1
TD · Q3 10:01
Deon Cain 38 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)
+11.4
TD · Q4 2:34
Wayne Gallman 25 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com