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Georgia Tech 21 at Virginia 27

UVA
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1UVA 47.1%Ian Frye 19 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 7:42
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:42 · Ian Frye 19 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Home team on offense+0.7Pregame prior−5.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:15: Daniel Hamm run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK) — UVA win probability +4.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:44: Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 30 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +11.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:44: Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 30 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK) — UVA win probability +15.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:15: Albert Reid run for 24 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK) — UVA win probability +15.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:41: Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 22 yds for a TD VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +19.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 7GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UVA 4th & 11 at UVA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:42UVA 4th & 2 at GT 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00GT 4th & 10 at GT 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:43UVA 4th & 4 at UVA 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:00GT 4th & 7 at GT 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:44UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 40, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00GT 4th & 11 at GT 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:55UVA 4th & 6 at GT 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−10.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:44GT 4th & 15 at UVA 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    35.4%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:15GT 4th & 8 at UVA 22, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−5.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:43UVA 4th & 3 at UVA 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:30GT 4th & 15 at GT 48, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:23UVA 4th & 3 at GT 41, up 13
    Close callPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−1.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:11GT 4th & 4 at UVA 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−8.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−10.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 5:18GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:15UVA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:44GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:44UVA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:15UVA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:41GT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.2%
Daniel Hamm run for 2 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
44.2%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+10
44.2%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 10 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
44.2%
Matt Johns pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 11 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
44.2%
Daniel Hamm run for 6 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
44.2%
Daniel Hamm run for 3 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-5
44.2%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
44.2%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 47
-5
44.2%
VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Virg 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
44.2%
Nicholas Conte punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
45.1%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 19Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+9
45.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 9 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
45.2%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for 5 yds to the GTech 19 Mikell Lands-Davis fumbled, forced by Micah Kiser, recovered by Virg Wilfred Wahee , return for 14 yds to the GTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:2046% → 47%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
46.3%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 12 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
46.3%
Daniel Hamm run for 6 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.3%
Albert Reid run for no gain to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
46.1%
Albert Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 2Similar
Q1 7:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
47.1%
Ian Frye 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:2453% → 56%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
47.1%
Marcus Marshall run for 8 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
46.7%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
46.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 17 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
46.3%
TEAM run for no gain to the Virg 49 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GTech Justin ThomasSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+49
44.1%
Clinton Lynch run for 49 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0345% → 51%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.8%
Daniel Hamm run for 5 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+18
45.0%
Matt Johns pass complete to Evan Butts for 18 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
45.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for 21 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
46.4%
Taquan Mizzell run for 2 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+4
46.4%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 4 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+4
45.9%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 4 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
46.4%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Vincent Croce) to the GTech 26Similar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 15
OPP 26
0
46.2%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Vincent Croce, broken up by KeShun FreemanSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+17
45.8%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 17 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
46.4%
Albert Reid run for 5 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.1%
Daniel Hamm run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1551% → 49%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
49.5%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
50.2%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Demetrious NicholsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
50.8%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 44 yds, downed at the Virg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
49.5%
Taquan Mizzell run for 5 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
50.3%
Taquan Mizzell run for 2 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-1
49.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 37Similar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
48.7%
Nicholas Conte punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.2%
Isiah Willis run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
49.5%
Isiah Willis run for 9 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
49.1%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
48.7%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for no gain to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
49.3%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
50.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9INT
13 plays · 46 yds · 3:2151% → 55%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
50.5%
Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 14 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
50.8%
Matt Johns pass complete to Albert Reid for 8 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 2
OWN 37
-2
52.0%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 35Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+6
50.4%
Matt Johns run for 6 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
51.9%
Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the Virg 42Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
51.5%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+7
50.6%
Johns, M pass incomplete to Mizzell, T, PENALTY GT pass interference (White, D.) 7 yards to the VA49, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
54.6%
T.J. Thorpe run for 6 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+1
55.0%
Daniel Hamm run for 1 yd to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
54.4%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 5 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
55.0%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+16
54.8%
Matt Johns pass intercepted Rod Rook-Chungong return for 16 yds to the Virg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:1850% → 61%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
49.6%
Patrick Skov run for 2 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
49.7%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for 5 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+5
49.4%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
48.6%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 34Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+4
49.1%
Marcus Marshall run for 4 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+30
38.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 30 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
43.3%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan MizzellSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
43.2%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 11 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
43.8%
Matt Johns pass complete to Evan Butts for 8 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
46.0%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan Mizzell, broken up by Patrick GambleSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
45.2%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus, broken up by Jamal GoldenSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
44.1%
Nicholas Conte punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
41.8%
Thomas, J. pass incomplete to Summers, M. (Canady, M), PENALTY GT ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the GT18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+1
42.3%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
41.5%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
41.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Micheal Summers for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
43.1%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton LynchSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
44.4%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Maurice Canady at the Virg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:4044% → 50%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
44.4%
Taquan Mizzell run for 12 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
46.7%
Matt Johns pass complete to Evan Butts for 7 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-5
47.4%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Jack English) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 8
50
0
47.0%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. ThorpeSimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 8
50
+15
45.8%
Matt Johns pass complete to Evan Butts for 15 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+34
49.0%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 34 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
49.1%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the GTech 11Similar
Q3 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
49.1%
Taquan Mizzell run for 5 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
49.1%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe, broken up by Chris MiltonSimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
47.1%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan Severin, broken up by Chris MiltonSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
50.1%
Ian Frye 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
46.3%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 30 Justin Thomas fumbled, forced by Trent Corney, recovered by Virg Kelvin RaineySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:5154% → 69%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
54.0%
Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
69.0%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 30 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
63.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Errin Joe) to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+33
63.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Micheal Summers for 33 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
59.1%
Justin Thomas run for 6 yds to the Virg 41Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
58.5%
Isiah Willis run for 3 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+1
58.8%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
59.1%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-5
59.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Errin Joe) to the Virg 42Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 15
OPP 42
0
61.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 15
OPP 42
0
62.7%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
64.3%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Olamide Zaccheaus at the Virg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 8:0867% → 93%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
66.5%
Taquan Mizzell run for 3 yds to the Virg 12Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+6
66.4%
Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 6 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+2
65.7%
Albert Reid run for 2 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
66.9%
Matt Johns run for 2 yds to the Virg 22Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
66.7%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 15 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
68.2%
Daniel Hamm run for 9 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+2
69.8%
Daniel Hamm run for 2 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
69.8%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 4 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
70.0%
Matt Johns run for 5 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
69.2%
Albert Reid run for 3 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
77.3%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (T.J. Thorpe) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
50
+14
75.9%
Taquan Mizzell run for 14 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+12
77.3%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 12 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
92.5%
Albert Reid run for 24 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.8%
Clinton Lynch run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
86.5%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
86.7%
Justin Thomas run for 6 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+37
86.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 37 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
84.2%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for 5 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 5
OPP 19
-3
84.2%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 22Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
85.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton Lynch, broken up by Micah KiserSimilar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 8
OPP 22
-3
86.6%
Justin Thomas sacked by Zach Bradshaw and Micah Kiser for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.1%
Taquan Mizzell run for 3 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
93.2%
Daniel Hamm run for 6 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
93.4%
Daniel Hamm run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
92.7%
Nicholas Conte punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
91.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 17 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
90.7%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-10
90.3%
Isiah Willis run for 5 yds to the GTech 37 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Trey Klock) to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 15
OWN 48
0
91.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 15
OWN 48
0
92.1%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 15
OWN 48
0
92.3%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Micheal SummersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2896% → 97%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
95.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for 8 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
95.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-1
95.6%
Albert Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
96.6%
Nicholas Conte punt for 36 yds, downed at the GTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 2:313% → 23%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-4
96.6%
Marcus Marshall run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 1Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 14
OWN 1
0
96.6%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Maurice CanadySimilar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 14
OWN 1
+17
96.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 17 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
96.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 11 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
96.1%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Micheal Summers for 12 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton Lynch, broken up by Quin BlandingSimilar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
96.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+21
96.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 21 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.8%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+21
95.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Isiah Willis for 21 yds to the Virg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
76.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 22 yds for a TD VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:3017% → 12%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
83.2%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Isiah Willis, broken up by Mike MooreSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+14
83.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Micheal Summers for 14 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
81.1%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
81.9%
Patrick Skov run for 6 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
83.2%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Maurice CanadySimilar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
87.6%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Mikell Lands-Davis, broken up by Quin BlandingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
95.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 12
OWN 32
-1
95.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:41
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 22 yds for a TD VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Harrison Butker KICK)
-19
TD · Q4 13:15
Albert Reid run for 24 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q3 8:44
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 30 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)
+15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com