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SYR

Syracuse 21 at Florida State 45

FSU
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:01 · Cason Beatty punt for 42 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 1 yd to the FlaSt 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Pregame prior+39.6Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:36: Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 45 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:55: Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:56: Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +6.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:09: Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +3.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:03: Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 19 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:01FSU 4th & 27 at FSU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42SYR 4th & 9 at FSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:25FSU 4th & 3 at FSU 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:58SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:27SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:15SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:05FSU 4th & 5 at SYR 24, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.8%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:07SYR 4th & 2 at FSU 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:24FSU 4th & 17 at FSU 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:03SYR 4th & 12 at FSU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:17FSU 4th & 5 at FSU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:08SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:41FSU 4th & 10 at FSU 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:37SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:47SYR 4th & 2 at FSU 28, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:08FSU 4th & 9 at SYR 18, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:27SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 36, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:20FSU 4th & 9 at FSU 24, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:23SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:08FSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:36FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:55FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:56SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:09FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:03FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:33FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 1:4191% → 90%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.5%
Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-4
90.3%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
90.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-9
90.1%
Sean Maguire sacked by Ron Thompson for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 8Similar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 27
OWN 8
+1
89.9%
Cason Beatty punt for 42 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 1 yd to the FlaSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0810% → 10%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
89.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 2 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-1
89.6%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
89.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
89.6%
Riley Dixon punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:0590% → 89%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
89.6%
Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+9
89.4%
Jacques Patrick run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
89.4%
Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
89.2%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Johnathan Vickers for 1 yd to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+4
88.9%
Sean Maguire run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 25 Sean Maguire fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Sean MaguireSimilar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
88.8%
Cason Beatty punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:4911% → 13%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+62
88.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 62 yds to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
88.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.2%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
88.5%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 75 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 4:1012% → 13%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
88.3%
George Morris II run for 9 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
88.1%
Ervin Philips run for 5 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
87.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
87.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 21Similar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+10
87.6%
George Morris II run for 10 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+2
87.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 2 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
87.3%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
87.3%
Riley Dixon punt for 50 yds, downed at the FlaSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:0587% → 89%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
87.0%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 11 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
86.9%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 6 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+21
87.0%
Jacques Patrick run for 21 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
89.1%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 45 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5812% → 11%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
88.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jordan FredericksSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
88.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
88.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Alvin CorneliusSimilar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+4
88.7%
Riley Dixon punt for 62 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 4 yds to the FlaSt 23 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the FlaSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 3:2588% → 91%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
88.4%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 9 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+9
88.4%
Jacques Patrick run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
88.4%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 8 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
88.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
88.6%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 3 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
88.6%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Ermon LaneSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+35
88.3%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 35 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
88.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+13
88.6%
Jacques Patrick run for 13 yds to the Syrac 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.4%
Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2410% → 10%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
90.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 11 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
90.1%
Ervin Philips run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
90.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-6
90.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
90.4%
Riley Dixon punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 4:0891% → 90%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.3%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Ermon LaneSimilar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-15
91.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 25
OWN 26
+18
90.9%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 18 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+13
91.1%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 13 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
91.4%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Ermon Lane for 7 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+7
91.4%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 7 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
91.5%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Jacques PatrickSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
91.0%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 17
OPP 36
+12
90.1%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 12 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
89.9%
Roberto Aguayo 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:3310% → 11%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
89.9%
Eric Dungey run for 9 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+2
89.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
89.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 9 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
88.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
89.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jordan FredericksSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
89.3%
George Morris II run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
88.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q2 4:07
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
89.1%
Riley Dixon punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3390% → 89%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
89.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-5
90.0%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-5
89.7%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 17
OWN 13
0
89.7%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 17
OWN 13
+11
89.3%
Cason Beatty punt for 43 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 11 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 1:1411% → 17%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
89.0%
George Morris II run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
88.3%
Eric Dungey run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
88.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
88.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Josh Parris for 4 yds to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+12
89.6%
Eric Dungey run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
89.0%
Ervin Philips run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.1%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 0:3787% → 92%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
87.0%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 20 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
87.3%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 17 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
87.5%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
87.5%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-5
86.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 26Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+19
86.2%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 19 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
87.5%
Jacques Patrick run for 6 yds to the Syrac 1Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
91.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:389% → 8%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.3%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
91.0%
Ervin Philips run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
91.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
50
+2
90.2%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+9
90.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
90.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-3
90.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Eric Dungey for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
90.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Josh ParrisSimilar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
91.6%
Riley Dixon punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2892% → 92%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
92.0%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 11 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
92.1%
Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
92.4%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Johnathan Vickers for 5 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
92.2%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
91.8%
Cason Beatty punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:339% → 8%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
91.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
91.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+5
91.7%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the Syrac 23 Eric Dungey fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Josh Sweat , return for 5 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 1:1293% → 98%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
93.0%
Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
93.5%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 1 yd to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
97.7%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 19 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:253% → 3%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.4%
Riley Dixon punt for 39 yds, downed at the FlaSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2098% → 98%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.7%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to George CampbellSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Jacques PatrickSimilar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Sean Maguire pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+12
97.5%
Cason Beatty punt for 54 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 12 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:383% → 2%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
97.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+9
97.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Josh Parris for 9 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.6%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
97.7%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
97.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
97.8%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-4
97.8%
Eric Dungey sacked by Derrick Nnadi for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-5
97.9%
Eric Dungey sacked by DeMarcus Walker and Reggie Northrup for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
98.3%
Riley Dixon punt for 43 yds, downed at the FlaSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:3399% → 100%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
98.6%
Jacques Patrick run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+9
98.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.7%
Jacques Patrick run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+7
98.8%
Jacques Patrick run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
98.9%
Jacques Patrick run for 8 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+16
99.0%
Jacques Patrick run for 16 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Jacques Patrick run for 28 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:230% → 0%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.9%
George Morris II run for 9 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+8
99.9%
George Morris II run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
99.9%
Ervin Philips run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-15
99.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 25
OWN 49
+9
99.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Josh Parris for 9 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 16
OPP 42
+13
99.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Josh Parris for 13 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Ervin Philips run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
Johnathan Vickers run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+12
99.9%
Johnathan Vickers run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
99.9%
Johnathan Vickers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+10
99.9%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Freddie Stevenson for 10 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+26
99.9%
Johnathan Vickers run for 26 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Mavin SaundersSimilar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Johnathan Vickers run for 1 yd to the Syrac 18Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+35
99.9%
Roberto Aguayo 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Devante McFarlane run for 1 yd to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Devante McFarlane run for no gain to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+10
100.0%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Cameron MacPherson for 10 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 4
OWN 41
-5
99.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 3:27
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
Riley Dixon punt for 55 yds , Nyqwan Murray returns for 5 yds to the FlaSt 41 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the FlaSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 28PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
99.9%
Johnathan Vickers run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 7 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-5
100.0%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
100.0%
J.J. Cosentino pass incomplete to George CampbellSimilar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+59
99.5%
Cason Beatty punt for 35 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 59 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.6%
Johnathan Vickers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+1
99.6%
Johnathan Vickers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:56
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-6
TD · Q3 7:03
Sean Maguire pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 19 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q2 0:09
Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com