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VT

Virginia Tech 26 at Boston College 10

BC
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFUMBLEFGFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:44 · Alex Howell punt for 38 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 1 yd to the VTech 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Home team on offense−1.7Score differential−0.4Pregame prior−10.7Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:44: Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 27 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +2.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q2 11:01: Jordan Gowins run for a loss of 1 yard Jordan Gowins fumbled, forced by Andrew Motuapuaka, recovered by VTech Andrew Motuapuaka , return for 34 yds, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +6.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Joey Slye 38 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +5.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:40: Joey Slye 32 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +2.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:09: Richard Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +10.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 9 of 10VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00VT 4th & 23 at BC 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:51BC 4th & 12 at BC 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:44BC 4th & 11 at BC 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:13VT 4th & 9 at BC 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    52.6%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00BC 4th & 7 at VT 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:38VT 4th & 10 at VT 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:01BC 4th & 7 at BC 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:57VT 4th & 4 at BC 42, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−2.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:59BC 4th & 5 at VT 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00BC 4th & 6 at BC 41, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:23VT 4th & 8 at VT 21, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:55BC 4th & 25 at BC 14, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−2.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:40VT 4th & 2 at BC 14, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%−0.9
    84% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−8.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:26BC 4th & 10 at VT 11, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−4.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:26VT 4th & 20 at VT 17, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−3.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00BC 4th & 2 at VT 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−2.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:41BC 4th & 15 at BC 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:16VT 4th & 25 at VT 18, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−2.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:15VT 4th & 8 at VT 37, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:21VT 4th & 8 at BC 14, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 0 of 1VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:44VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 8:09BC Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
37.7%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 24 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
37.7%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+9
37.7%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Sam Rogers for 9 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
37.7%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
37.7%
Michael Brewer run for 7 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
37.7%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-10
37.7%
Michael Brewer sacked by Matt Milano for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 37
0
37.7%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Sam RogersSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 18
OPP 37
-5
37.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the BC 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 23
OPP 42
0
37.7%
A.J. Hughes punt for 32 yds, downed at the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
39.2%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 10Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
39.1%
Myles Willis run for 4 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-6
39.0%
Troy Flutie sacked by Andrew Motuapuaka for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 8Similar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 12
OWN 8
0
38.8%
Alex Howell punt for 39 yds, downed at the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 2:1061% → 64%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
39.1%
Greg Stroman run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+14
39.1%
Isaiah Ford pass complete to Michael Brewer for 14 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
39.0%
Brenden Motley run for 3 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+27
36.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 27 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
37.6%
Sherman Alston run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-2
37.6%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 27Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
37.2%
Troy Flutie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 11
OWN 27
+1
37.0%
Alex Howell punt for 38 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 1 yd to the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:0263% → 64%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
36.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 13 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
36.5%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+8
36.4%
Brewer, M pass incomplete to Phillips, C (Milano,M), PENALTY BC pass interference 8 yards to the BC41, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
36.4%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
36.2%
Travon McMillian run for 5 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
36.3%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-4
36.2%
Michael Brewer run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 31Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+2
36.5%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
35.7%
Joey Slye 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:1335% → 35%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
35.3%
John Fadule run for 25 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
36.3%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+10
35.7%
John Fadule run for 10 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-3
36.0%
John Fadule run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
35.0%
Alex Howell punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
35.6%
Travon McMillian run for 22 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
34.9%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
34.6%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+9
35.0%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 9 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
34.6%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
34.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for no gain to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
34.9%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
35.8%
A.J. Hughes punt for 47 yds , Taj-Amir Torres returns for no gain to the BC 5 Taj-Amir Torres fumbled, recovered by VTech Donovan RileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
33.5%
Michael Brewer pass intercepted John Johnson return for no gain to the BC 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:1634% → 27%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
33.6%
Fadule,J pass incomplete, PENALTY VT pass interference 15 yards to the BC35, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
26.8%
Jordan Gowins run for a loss of 1 yard Jordan Gowins fumbled, forced by Andrew Motuapuaka, recovered by VTech Andrew Motuapuaka , return for 34 yds, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
26.5%
Myles Willis run for 3 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
26.5%
John Fadule pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
26.3%
John Fadule pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 7
OWN 25
-6
26.3%
Alex Howell punt for 50 yds , Greg Stroman returns for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
23.4%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+7
23.4%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+11
23.6%
Travon McMillian run for 11 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
22.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 13 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
22.5%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+9
22.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 9 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+8
22.7%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 8 yds Bucky Hodges fumbled, forced by Gabriel McClary,Similar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+20
23.3%
A.J. Hughes punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 7 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:0624% → 23%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
24.4%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 22Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+11
24.2%
John Fadule run for 11 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
24.6%
John Fadule run for 2 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
24.8%
John Fadule run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+33
25.0%
John Fadule pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 33 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
26.8%
John Fadule run for 4 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+1
26.9%
Richard Wilson run for 1 yd to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
26.4%
John Fadule pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
23.2%
Mike Knoll 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 1:5982% → 90%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.0%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-11
18.0%
McMillian, T rush for loss of 1 yard to the VT27 (Landry,H;Daniels,S), PENALTY VT holding 11 yards to the VT17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+1
18.2%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-1
17.3%
Brenden Motley run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 17Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+15
17.5%
Hughes, A.J. punt 59 yards to the BC24, downed, PENALTY BC roughing the kicker 15 yards to the VT32, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
16.7%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Sam Rogers for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+25
16.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 25 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
15.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+16
15.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 16 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
15.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 8 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+38
10.1%
Joey Slye 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.7%
John Fadule run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
16.6%
Fadule,J pass incomplete, PENALTY VT pass interference 12 yards to the BC37, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
17.4%
John Fadule run for 4 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
17.9%
John Fadule pass incomplete, broken up by Terrell EdmundsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
17.7%
John Fadule pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+40
17.3%
Alex Howell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the BOSTCOLL 24 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the VTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
14.3%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 15Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+6
14.5%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
15.1%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
15.4%
A.J. Hughes punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 29 , Atem Ntantang returns for no gain to the BC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
14.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 24Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+2
14.0%
John Fadule run for 2 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 13
OWN 26
0
14.0%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 26Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 13
OWN 26
-12
13.8%
John Fadule sacked by D Nicolas for a loss of 12 yards to the BC 14Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 25
OWN 14
+31
13.9%
Alex Howell punt for 39 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 31 yds to the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0692% → 95%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
8.1%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 25Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+7
8.3%
Travon McMillian run for 7 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+4
8.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 4 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+32
5.5%
Joey Slye 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 4:147% → 7%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
6.8%
Sherman Alston run for 5 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-5
7.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the BC 30Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
6.6%
Tyler Rouse run for 9 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
7.0%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the BC 39Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+5
7.0%
Fadule,J rush for no gain to the BC39 (Baron, W), PENALTY VT offside 5 yards to the BC44, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
7.1%
Fadule,J pass incomplete to Dudeck,D, PENALTY VT pass interference 15 yards to the VT41, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
7.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 46Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+11
7.2%
John Fadule run for 11 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
8.0%
Myles Willis run for 5 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
7.9%
John Fadule pass complete to Sherman Alston for 1 yd to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+18
7.7%
John Fadule pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 18 yds to the VTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
8.1%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the VTech 11Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
8.1%
John Fadule pass incomplete to Charlie Callinan, broken up by Terrell EdmundsSimilar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
7.6%
John Fadule pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
6.6%
Mike Knoll 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
4.5%
Brenden Motley run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+6
4.5%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-6
4.5%
Michael Brewer sacked by Connor Wujciak for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 14
OWN 23
-6
4.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-6 Yards) to the VTech 17Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 20
OWN 17
0
4.8%
A.J. Hughes punt for 35 yds, downed at the BC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:005% → 5%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
5.3%
Myles Willis run for 1 yd to the BC 49Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+4
5.3%
Myles Willis run for 4 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+3
5.5%
John Fadule pass complete to David Dudeck for 3 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
4.9%
John Fadule pass incomplete to Tommy Sweeney, broken up by Terrell EdmundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:0597% → 97%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
3.2%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
3.2%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+18
2.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 18 yds Cam Phillips fumbled, forced by William Harris, recovered by BC Connor StrachanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
3.2%
Bobby Wolford run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-4
3.1%
John Fadule run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 26Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 15
OWN 26
0
3.1%
John Fadule pass incomplete to Charlie CallinanSimilar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+2
3.1%
Alex Howell punt for 43 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
2.8%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 34Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-16
2.9%
Michael Brewer sacked by Steven Daniels for a loss of 16 yards to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 25
OWN 18
0
3.1%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 25
OWN 18
-11
3.2%
A.J. Hughes punt for 37 yds , Sherman Alston returns for a loss of 11 yards to the BC 7 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the BC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:262% → 13%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+25
2.4%
John Fadule pass complete to Elijah Robinson for 25 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
2.6%
John Fadule pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 20 yds Tyler Rouse fumbled, forced by Donovan Riley, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
2.9%
John Fadule pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 15 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
3.0%
John Fadule run for 7 yds to the VTech 9Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+6
3.0%
Fadule,J pass incomplete to Sweeney,T, PENALTY VT pass interference 6 yards to the VT3, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
2.9%
John Fadule pass incomplete, broken up by Chuck ClarkSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.3%
Richard Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:5493% → 97%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
6.9%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 15Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+9
6.9%
Travon McMillian run for 9 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
6.8%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+6
6.8%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+3
7.0%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
6.7%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
6.5%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
6.9%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+7
3.4%
A.J. Hughes punt for 48 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 7 yds to the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
4.4%
John Fadule run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 16 John Fadule fumbled, forced by D Nicolas, recovered by VTech D NicolasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3397% → 98%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
3.0%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-3
3.0%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 16Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+2
3.1%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
1.8%
Joey Slye 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 28INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+28
1.0%
John Fadule pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 28 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.2%
John Fadule pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
1.3%
Fadule,J pass incomplete to Dudeck,D, PENALTY VT pass interference 3 yards to the VT13, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
1.2%
John Fadule pass intercepted Greg Stroman return for no gain to the VTech 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
1.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:09
Richard Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)
+10.4
FUMBLE · Q2 11:01
Jordan Gowins run for a loss of 1 yard Jordan Gowins fumbled, forced by Andrew Motuapuaka, recovered by VTech Andrew Motuapuaka , return for 34 yds, (Joey Slye KICK)
-6.9
FG · Q2 0:00
Joey Slye 38 yd FG GOOD
-5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com