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PITT

Pittsburgh 23 at Syracuse 20

SYR
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+14.2SYR 54.7%Cole Murphy 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 20 · Q4 9:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:20 · Cole Murphy 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factor
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior−3.0Home team on offense+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7Garbage-time factor−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:37: Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +15.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:26: Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +10.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:00: Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +21.9 pts (now 70%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:20: Cole Murphy 37 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +14.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Chris Blewitt 25 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +28.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:58PITT 4th & 3 at SYR 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:08PITT 4th & 3 at SYR 49, down 4
    Close callPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:16SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:43PITT 4th & 13 at SYR 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:50SYR 4th & 1 at PITT 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.3%−1.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:44SYR 4th & 6 at PITT 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:20PITT 4th & 1 at SYR 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    43.5%−3.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:13SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:42PITT 4th & 9 at SYR 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:35SYR 4th & 3 at PITT 47, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:50PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−3.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:20SYR 4th & 2 at PITT 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−15.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:30PITT 4th & 7 at PITT 48, tied
    Close callWent for it · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:12SYR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:37PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:26SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:00PITT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:4569% → 68%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
31.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 4 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
31.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
31.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
31.8%
Nathan Peterman run for 8 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+38
31.9%
Tyler Boyd pass complete to Dontez Ford for 38 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-8
31.9%
Nathan Peterman run for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 29 Nathan Peterman fumbled, forced by Zaire Franklin, recovered by Pitt Nathan PetermanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0268% → 67%
Q1 11:00
2ND & 17
OPP 29
+9
32.3%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 9 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+5
32.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+1
32.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Syrac 14Similar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+33
32.6%
Chris Blewitt 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3333% → 35%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
32.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 55 yds to the Pitt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
34.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 20 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:4766% → 65%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
34.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 20 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
34.3%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 4
50
+1
34.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
34.7%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
35.2%
Ryan Winslow punt for 33 yds, downed at the Syrac 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:2436% → 37%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
35.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 9 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 1
OWN 25
0
36.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
35.7%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-14
36.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Brisly Estime) to the Syrac 13Similar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 24
OWN 13
+2
36.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 22
OWN 15
0
36.5%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 22
OWN 15
+16
36.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 16 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
36.5%
Riley Dixon punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Avonte Maddox at the Pitt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:1763% → 61%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+22
37.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Chris James for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
50
+4
36.5%
Chris James run for 4 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+17
36.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 17 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
36.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
36.3%
Chris James run for no gain to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-5
37.4%
Nathan Peterman sacked by Zaire Franklin for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+50
39.3%
Chris Blewitt 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
18 plays · 62 yds · 7:3639% → 50%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
39.3%
Ervin Philips run for 5 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
40.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 6 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
40.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 6 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+7
41.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
41.6%
George Morris II run for 1 yd to the Pitt 43Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+4
42.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Josh Parris for 4 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
42.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to George Morris II for 4 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
41.7%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
43.7%
Ervin Philips run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 35Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
43.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+15
42.4%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Avonte Maddox) to the Pitt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
44.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+7
44.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the Pitt 11Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+9
44.3%
Eric Dungey run for 9 yds to the Pitt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
45.7%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 3Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
46.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
46.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 6Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
50.4%
Cole Murphy 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8TD
18 plays · 70 yds · 5:3351% → 63%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
49.4%
Tyler Boyd run for 11 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
48.7%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
50.8%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 10 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
49.5%
Nathan Peterman sacked by Zaire Franklin for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 43Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 18
OWN 43
+17
52.2%
Chris James run for 17 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
52.0%
Chris James run for no gain to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+3
53.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
52.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 14 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
51.7%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
52.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 7 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+5
53.6%
Tyler Boyd run for 5 yds to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
52.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 9 yds to the Syrac 2Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 1
OPP 2
0
51.9%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Syrac 2Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
36.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:0545% → 58%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
46.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
45.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 2 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
45.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 8 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+7
47.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
50
+40
48.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 40 yds to the Pitt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
50.2%
Ervin Philips run for 5 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
48.7%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Pitt 4Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
58.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:1447% → 53%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
53.4%
Nathan Peterman run for 13 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
51.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
51.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 17 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+30
47.5%
Chris Blewitt 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:3950% → 50%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
50.1%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
50.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Omari Palmer) to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
49.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
49.3%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Brisly Estime for 7 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
49.5%
Riley Dixon punt for 51 yds , Avonte Maddox returns for 4 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:1851% → 46%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
49.5%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 17Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+9
50.6%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 9 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+24
50.6%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
50
-2
46.2%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 48Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
49.7%
Tyler Boyd run for no gain to the Pitt 48Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+3
53.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Zach Challingsworth for 3 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
53.6%
Ryan Winslow punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:4556% → 59%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+33
56.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 33 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
59.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 9 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
60.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-2
60.0%
Devante McFarlane run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 47Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
58.6%
Riley Dixon punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2045% → 41%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
55.2%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 19Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 15
OWN 19
-5
56.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (J.P. Holtz) to the Pitt 14Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 20
OWN 14
0
56.5%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez FordSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 20
OWN 14
+7
58.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 7 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 13
OWN 21
+12
59.2%
Ryan Winslow punt for 52 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 12 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:3961% → 65%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
61.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+13
62.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 13 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
63.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
64.5%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Matt Galambos return for 2 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4746% → 48%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
53.7%
Tyler Boyd run for 7 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+14
52.3%
Nathan Peterman run for 14 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
52.0%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-14
52.3%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Artie Rowell) to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
53.1%
Nathan Peterman run for 8 yds to the Syrac 44 Nathan Peterman fumbled, forced by Donnie Simmons, recovered by PittSimilar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+29
51.8%
Ryan Winslow punt for 44 yds for a touchback for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Jordan Whitehead) for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
62.7%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Lafayette Pitts return for 17 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:3547% → 70%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
52.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+7
53.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 7 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
51.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 9 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+6
51.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
51.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 18 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:1038% → 55%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
38.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
37.9%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+10
36.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Josh Parris for 10 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+3
39.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
40.6%
Eric Dungey run for 26 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
42.4%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
42.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+5
40.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Josh Parris for 5 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
54.7%
Cole Murphy 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20END OF GAME
24 plays · 89 yds · 8:4052% → 96%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
48.4%
Tyler Boyd run for 5 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 10
0
48.6%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for no gain to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+17
50.4%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 17 yds to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
45.8%
Chris James run for 1 yd to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+17
46.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 17 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
41.7%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Adam Bisnowaty) to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+6
45.4%
Tyler Boyd run for 6 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
42.2%
Nathan Peterman run for 2 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
42.6%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+12
46.7%
Ryan Winslow pass complete to Matt Galambos for 12 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
40.8%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
37.9%
Chris James run for 4 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
40.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
38.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
36.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+1
38.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
34.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
34.7%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Syrac 13Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+7
37.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 7 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+25
4.3%
Chris Blewitt 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Chris Blewitt 25 yd FG GOOD
-28.2
TD · Q4 14:00
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)
-21.9
TD · Q2 1:37
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)
-15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com