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FSU

Florida State 16 at Georgia Tech 22

GT
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:43 · Cason Beatty punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Pregame prior−7.7Home team on offense−6.4Score differential−3.0Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:46: Dalvin Cook 2 Yd Run (Roberto Aguayo Kick) — FSU win probability +10.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:22: Justin Thomas 60 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick) — GT win probability +10.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Roberto Aguayo 38 Yd Field Goal — FSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:54: Harrison Butker 35 Yd Field Goal — GT win probability +22.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Lance Austin 78 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal — GT win probability +47.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:48FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:14FSU 4th & 2 at GT 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.6%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:38GT 4th & 6 at FSU 36, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.3%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:41FSU 4th & 19 at FSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−1.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:51GT 4th & 10 at GT 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:18FSU 4th & 6 at GT 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:27GT 4th & 8 at FSU 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−9.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:43FSU 4th & 5 at FSU 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:59GT 4th & 26 at FSU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−4.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    39.5%−1.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:38GT 4th & 10 at GT 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:25FSU 4th & 17 at FSU 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−12.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:54GT 4th & 6 at GT 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.6%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:54GT 4th & 5 at FSU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−15.9
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−30.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:00FSU 4th & 6 at GT 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−8.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%
    38% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−9.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:46FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:22GT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5771% → 70%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-4
29.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to Freddie Stevenson for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
29.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 7 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
29.9%
Cason Beatty punt for 51 yds , Jamal Golden returns for 1 yd to the GTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:0430% → 31%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
30.0%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for 6 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+1
30.3%
Isiah Willis run for 1 yd to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+8
30.3%
Clinton Lynch run for 8 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
30.8%
Justin Thomas run for 4 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-1
31.3%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Mikell Lands-Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+6
31.3%
Justin Thomas pass intercepted Josh Sweat return for 6 yds to the GTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0569% → 68%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
30.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 17 yds to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
30.8%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the GTech 2Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
31.2%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the GTech 2Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
31.7%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
31.7%
Roberto Aguayo 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:2732% → 35%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
31.9%
Isiah Willis run for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
32.7%
Isiah Willis run for 9 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
32.8%
Clinton Lynch run for 5 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
33.3%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+14
33.2%
Isiah Willis run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
34.1%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+6
33.8%
Marcus Marshall run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
33.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Micheal SummersSimilar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+53
35.1%
Harrison Butker 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:4466% → 64%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
34.3%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
34.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 14 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
33.7%
Everett Golson run for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 34 Everett Golson fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Dalvin Cook Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 34
-2
35.0%
Everett Golson sacked by Adam Gotsis for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 19
OWN 32
0
35.7%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 19
OWN 32
+9
36.1%
Cason Beatty punt for 52 yds , Jamal Golden returns for 9 yds to the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6INT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:4236% → 38%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
36.8%
Clinton Lynch run for 9 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
37.6%
Marcus Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
38.6%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+57
38.2%
Justin Thomas pass intercepted Lamarcus Brutus return for 57 yds to the GTech 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
27.7%
Dalvin Cook 2 Yd Run (Roberto Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:4330% → 29%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.0%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
30.2%
Justin Thomas run for 10 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
30.9%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for no gain to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
30.5%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
30.0%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+1
29.3%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 39 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 1 yd to the FlaSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:2371% → 74%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
29.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 22 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
28.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 11 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
26.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+12
26.3%
Dalvin Cook run for 12 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-7
26.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the GTech 24 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ryan Izzo) to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 17
OPP 34
+20
26.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 20 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
25.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+1
25.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
26.8%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
26.5%
Roberto Aguayo 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 94 yds · 1:1127% → 39%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
27.0%
Isiah Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 3Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 13
OWN 3
+33
26.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 33 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
27.8%
Marcus Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+60
38.5%
Justin Thomas 60 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11END OF HALF
11 plays · 54 yds · 2:1464% → 74%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
35.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 9 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
34.8%
Everett Golson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+19
34.4%
Everett Golson pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 19 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
31.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 13 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
31.2%
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 4 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+6
30.9%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ermon Lane for 6 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
30.9%
Everett Golson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+38
26.1%
Roberto Aguayo 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 6:2332% → 38%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
32.4%
Marcus Marshall run for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
34.1%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
33.1%
Isiah Willis run for 6 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
33.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
33.1%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+9
34.0%
Clinton Lynch run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
35.8%
Justin Thomas run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+15
36.1%
Thomas, Justin rush for loss of 2 yards to the FLORIDAST42, PENALTY FLORIDAST face mask (Hoskins, Ro'Derrick) 15 yards to the FLORIDAST25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH.Similar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
37.7%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
37.8%
Marcus Marshall run for no gain to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
34.3%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Derwin JamesSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
38.0%
Harrison Butker 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:3565% → 65%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
34.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 9 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
33.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+6
35.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 6 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
33.0%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
35.4%
Cason Beatty punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 43 yds · 6:3636% → 35%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
36.4%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+23
35.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 23 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
40.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+16
40.7%
Clinton Lynch run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
41.7%
Marcus Allen run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
41.9%
Marcus Allen run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+8
41.5%
Marcus Allen run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
44.4%
Marcus Allen run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-2
44.7%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 11
OPP 28
-10
41.0%
Justin Thomas sacked by Josh Sweat for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 21
OPP 38
-5
35.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 26
OPP 43
+17
35.0%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 11 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the FlaSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15INT
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:4265% → 75%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
34.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+5
33.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to Freddie Stevenson for 5 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+21
31.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 21 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
28.7%
Everett Golson sacked by Patrick Gamble for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+15
28.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 15 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
25.1%
Everett Golson run for 7 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
24.1%
Cook, Dalvin rush for 3 yards to the GATECH21, PENALTY GATECH offside (Simmons, Antonio) 5 yards to the GATECH19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
23.6%
Golson, Everett pass incomplete to Cook, Dalvin, PENALTY GATECH personal foul (Gotsis, Adam) 10 yards to the GATECH9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q4 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
23.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
23.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Derrick Kelly) to the GTech 9Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
23.1%
Everett Golson run for 4 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
24.3%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Roderick Johnson) to the GTech 10Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
25.1%
Everett Golson pass intercepted, touchback. Jamal Golden return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:1735% → 30%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
34.8%
Justin Thomas run for 15 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
35.8%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 35Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
34.0%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-5
35.8%
Isiah Willis run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 35Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
30.3%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1375% → 72%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
25.1%
Cook, Dalvin rush for 2 yards to the FLORIDAST23, PENALTY FLORIDAST illegal formation 5 yards to the FLORIDAST16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
25.3%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Ryan IzzoSimilar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+12
25.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 12 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-14
23.9%
Everett Golson sacked by KeShun Freeman for a loss of 14 yards to the FlaSt 14 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Everett Golson) to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 17
OWN 14
+3
28.0%
Cason Beatty punt for 52 yds , Jamal Golden returns for 3 yds to the GTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:2634% → 58%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
33.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton LynchSimilar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
33.5%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-1
35.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Mikell Lands-Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+36
31.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 36 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
39.0%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+2
39.9%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+2
35.5%
Justin Thomas run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
58.3%
Harrison Butker 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 37 yds · 0:4252% → 12%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
50.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
48.1%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+22
49.4%
Everett Golson pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 22 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
41.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
41.3%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Wilson Bell) to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+9
45.0%
Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 9 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
40.7%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+78
88.5%
Lance Austin 78 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Lance Austin 78 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal
+47.9
FG · Q4 0:54
Harrison Butker 35 Yd Field Goal
+22.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com