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SYR

Syracuse 38 at Virginia 44

UVA
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFUMBLETDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:05 · Nicholas Conte punt for 39 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 26 yds to the Virg 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remainingDefense timeouts
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 23Pregame prior+17.8Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.2Time remaining+0.1Defense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:24: Eric Dungey run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +21.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 0:00: Ian Frye 25 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +37.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 36 yds for a TD Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 36 yds for a TD Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 36 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK) — UVA win probability +37.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Steve Ishmael 12 Yd pass from Eric Dungey (Cole Murphy Kick) — SYR win probability +41.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds for a TD — UVA win probability +21.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:48UVA 4th & 7 at SYR 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35SYR 4th & 14 at UVA 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:05UVA 4th & 4 at UVA 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:52SYR 4th & 1 at UVA 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UVA 4th & 6 at UVA 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:33SYR 4th & 1 at UVA 31, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%−1.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:49SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.1%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UVA 4th & 15 at SYR 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:26SYR 4th & 5 at UVA 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−9.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:31SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−2.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:52UVA 4th & 3 at UVA 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.7%−3.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00UVA 4th & 6 at SYR 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−24.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−34.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:07UVA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:02SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:24SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:31UVA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.4%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+28
70.4%
Eric Dungey run for 28 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
70.4%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 48 Eric Dungey fumbled, forced by Kwontie Moore, recovered by Virg Kwontie MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
70.3%
Taquan Mizzell run for 4 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-8
70.4%
Taquan Mizzell run for 2 yds to the Virg 46 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 44Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+4
70.3%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 4 yds to the Virg 48Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+3
70.2%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 3 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
70.2%
Nicholas Conte punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
69.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ben Lewis for 12 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
69.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
69.7%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+16
69.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 16 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
69.5%
Eric Dungey run for 15 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
69.5%
Ervin Philips run for 3 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
69.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 3 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-10
69.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 38Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 14
OPP 38
0
69.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 14
OPP 38
0
69.9%
Riley Dixon punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
68.9%
Albert Reid run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 10Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+1
68.9%
Matt Johns run for 1 yd to the Virg 11Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+7
68.6%
Matt Johns run for 7 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 4
OWN 18
+26
68.5%
Nicholas Conte punt for 39 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 26 yds to the Virg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:2433% → 33%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
67.4%
Ervin Philips run for 3 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+15
67.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 15 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
67.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 14Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+6
67.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 6 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+6
67.7%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the Virg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
67.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 9 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Syrac Eric DungeySimilar
Q1 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
66.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 8 yds to the Virg 1Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for no gain to the Virg 1Similar
Q1 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
67.2%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
68.4%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+2
68.3%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
67.8%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 9
0
67.5%
Nicholas Conte punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0334% → 34%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
65.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Avant for 11 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
65.5%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Virg 40Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
65.5%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 42 Eric Dungey fumbled, recovered by SyracSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+11
66.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 11 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+48
65.8%
Cole Murphy 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:1368% → 61%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
68.4%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 20 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
69.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 48Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+44
60.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 4 yards Taquan Mizzell fumbled, forced by Donnie Simmons, recovered by Syrac Antwan Cordy , return for 44 yds, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1360% → 69%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.0%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.9%
Taquan Mizzell run for 7 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
59.9%
Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 6 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
60.8%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan SeverinSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
60.6%
Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 9 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+5
61.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
62.1%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 10 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
62.2%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 18 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
63.2%
Taquan Mizzell run for 5 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+4
63.2%
Daniel Hamm run for 4 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
69.4%
Taquan Mizzell run for 11 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1836% → 24%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
63.7%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+32
75.6%
Eric Dungey sacked by Mike Moore for a loss of 7 yards Eric Dungey fumbled, recovered by Virg Wilfred Wahee , return for 0 yards , return for 32 yds, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 2:4725% → 43%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
75.2%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+13
75.3%
Eric Dungey run for 13 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
74.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ben Lewis, broken up by David DeanSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
74.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+6
75.6%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+15
75.0%
Riley Dixon run for 15 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
72.4%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete to Ishmael, S., PENALTY VA pass interference (Canady, M) 15 yards to the VA27, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
70.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ben Lewis for 7 yds to the Virg 20Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+6
70.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 6 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
70.8%
George Morris II run for no gain to the Virg 14Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+13
70.8%
Ervin Philips run for 13 yds to the Virg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
66.0%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 19 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
67.3%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
67.0%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. ThorpeSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+3
66.1%
Matt Johns pass intercepted Qaadir Sheppard return for 3 yds to the Virg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13TD
1 play · 26 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
44.3%
Eric Dungey run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
50.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
50.2%
Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the Virg 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+4
50.1%
Matt Johns run for 4 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+8
49.5%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 8 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
52.1%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
50
+6
53.3%
Albert Reid run for 6 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
53.5%
Taquan Mizzell run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
53.5%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 5 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-12
53.3%
Matt Johns sacked by Corey Winfield for a loss of 12 yards to the Syrac 49 Matt Johns fumbled, recovered by Virg Matt Johns , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
48.8%
Nicholas Conte punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16FG
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:5656% → 70%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
44.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 5 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-2
43.0%
Eric Dungey sacked by Mike Moore and Donte Wilkins for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
45.1%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete to Philips, E., PENALTY VA pass interference (Wahee, W) 15 yards to the SU38, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
41.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ben Lewis for 21 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
40.7%
Devante McFarlane run for 4 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
40.5%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Virg 37Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+6
41.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 6 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
40.2%
Devante McFarlane run for 7 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+1
40.0%
Devante McFarlane run for 1 yd to the Virg 23Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+14
40.9%
Eric Dungey run for 14 yds to the Virg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
40.0%
George Morris II run for 3 yds to the Virg 6Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
40.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Virg 5Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
40.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal Custis, broken up by Micah KiserSimilar
Q3 2:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
30.5%
Cole Murphy 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:5530% → 47%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.9%
Daniel Hamm run for 1 yd to the Virg 26Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
29.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for 7 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
30.0%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 2 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
30.5%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for no gain to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+19
30.3%
Matt Johns pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 19 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
31.3%
Matt Johns run for no gain to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
31.0%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan Severin, broken up by Cordell HudsonSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+22
27.1%
Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 22 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
30.8%
Daniel Hamm run for 9 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+1
30.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
30.8%
Albert Reid run for 3 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+10
30.8%
Daniel Hamm run for 8 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.9%
Albert Reid run for no gain to the Syrac 1Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
30.8%
Albert Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
46.9%
Matt Johns pass complete to Charlie Hopkins for 2 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.1%
Devante McFarlane run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
37.6%
Devante McFarlane run for 4 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
37.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
50
-5
33.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Omari Palmer) to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 15
OWN 45
-2
36.2%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+6
37.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 6 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
36.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
39.7%
Riley Dixon punt for 47 yds, downed at the Virg 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19FG
22 plays · 88 yds · 6:5237% → 59%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
36.5%
Daniel Hamm run for 1 yd to the Virg 5Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+9
35.8%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 9 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
37.8%
VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Virg 9Similar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 15
OWN 9
0
36.5%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe, broken up by Wayne MorganSimilar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 15
OWN 9
0
35.8%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. ThorpeSimilar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 15
OWN 9
+21
34.0%
Matt Johns pass complete to Albert Reid for 6 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ron Thompson) to the Virg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
38.9%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 3 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
39.2%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. ThorpeSimilar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+7
37.4%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 7 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
42.5%
Matt Johns run for 6 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
43.4%
Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 1 yd to the Virg 47Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
42.5%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. ThorpeSimilar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+11
39.8%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 11 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
45.0%
Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 12 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
47.2%
Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 6 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+12
47.2%
Matt Johns pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 12 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
47.2%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan SeverinSimilar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-1
47.2%
Matt Johns sacked by Corey Winfield for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 13Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+5
44.3%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 5 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
58.8%
Ian Frye 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
40.5%
Ervin Philips run for 7 yds to the Virg 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
40.5%
Ervin Philips run for 2 yds to the Virg 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+6
42.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 6 yds to the Virg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
40.5%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the Virg 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
22.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:0019% → 62%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
18.8%
Daniel Hamm run for 4 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
24.2%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+36
61.7%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 36 yds for a TD Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 36 yds for a TD Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 36 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
64.7%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for 7 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+5
64.7%
Albert Reid run for 5 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
82.1%
Taquan Mizzell run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
40.5%
Steve Ishmael 12 Yd pass from Eric Dungey (Cole Murphy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24MISSED FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0060% → 45%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
40.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the Virg 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-4
40.5%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 25Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-6
43.7%
Eric Dungey sacked by David Dean and Micah Kiser for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 31Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+48
55.3%
Cole Murphy 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 25TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 87%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
64.7%
Taquan Mizzell run for 12 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
64.7%
Daniel Hamm run for 8 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+3
64.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
64.7%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 3Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Steve Ishmael 12 Yd pass from Eric Dungey (Cole Murphy Kick)
-41.6
TD · OT 0:00
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 36 yds for a TD Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 36 yds for a TD Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 36 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)
+37.4
FG · Q4 0:00
Ian Frye 25 yd FG GOOD
+37
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com