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PITT

Pittsburgh 31 at Georgia Tech 28

GT
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:13 · Ryan Rodwell punt for 43 yds , Tyler Boyd returns for no gain to the Pitt 31 Tyler Boyd fumbled, recovered by Pitt Tyler Boyd
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior+0.6Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:40: Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +9.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:48: Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 17 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +14.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:51: Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined — PITT win probability +21.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:35: Marcus Marshall run for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +28.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:11: Chris Blewitt 56 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +37.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5PITT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 6:29PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:41PITT 4th & 10 at GT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:00GT 4th & 8 at PITT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q3 15:00GT 4th & 30 at GT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−4.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:10PITT 4th & 10 at GT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    43.0%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:44GT 4th & 5 at GT 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−1.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:28PITT 4th & 4 at GT 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    44.1%−5.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:13GT 4th & 13 at GT 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−5.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:11PITT 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.3%−9.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:09PITT 4th & 2 at GT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−7.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−9.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:11PITT 4th & 14 at GT 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−5.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%
    38% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:35GT 4th & 11 at GT 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.0%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PITT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:50PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:29GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:52GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:40PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:06GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:48PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:51PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:35GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:1047% → 50%
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
53.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the GTech 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+2
53.5%
Peterman, N. pass incomplete, PENALTY GT pass interference (White, D.) 2 yards to the GT18, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
53.5%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the GTech 18Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.5%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+18
53.5%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 18 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
53.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
53.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+9
53.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 9 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
53.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
53.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
53.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+12
53.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 12 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
53.1%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the GTech 6Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2151% → 55%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
51.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 18 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
51.8%
Clinton Lynch run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 42Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+58
54.6%
Marcus Marshall run for 58 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.0%
Tyler Boyd run for 1 yd to the Pitt 26Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
54.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 6 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
53.9%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to J.P. HoltzSimilar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
54.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 60 yds, downed at the GTech 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:0054% → 55%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+34
53.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Micheal Summers for 34 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
55.1%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
55.3%
Justin Thomas run for 11 yds to the GTech 48 Justin Thomas fumbled, forced by Nicholas Grigsby, recovered by Pitt Terrish Webb , return for 8 yds to the GTech 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
52.8%
James, C. rush for 4 yards to the GT44 (Griffin, Co.), PENALTY UP illegal formation 5 yards to the UP47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
53.6%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+5
53.8%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
53.5%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
54.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:2455% → 61%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+51
54.6%
Justin Thomas run for 51 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
56.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
56.4%
Isiah Willis run for 11 yds to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-15
56.5%
Lynch, C. rush for no gain to the UP24 (Grigsby, N.), PENALTY GT face mask (Lynch, C.) 15 yards to the UP39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 25
OPP 39
+10
55.7%
Isiah Willis run for 10 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+29
61.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 29 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1240% → 49%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+41
59.4%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 41 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+29
57.2%
Tyler Boyd pass complete to Zach Challingsworth for 29 yds to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
57.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the GTech 1Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 5:2855% → 66%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+45
54.9%
Justin Thomas run for 45 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
57.1%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 42Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+14
56.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 14 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
57.5%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 29Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+10
57.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Mikell Lands-Davis for 10 yds to the Pitt 19Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
56.8%
Justin Thomas run for 2 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
57.5%
Clinton Lynch run for 12 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
57.5%
Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the Pitt 2Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
57.5%
Patrick Skov run for 1 yd to the Pitt 1Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.9%
Patrick Skov run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1836% → 52%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.6%
Tyler Boyd run for 9 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
61.9%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
62.2%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 6 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+9
61.4%
Darrin Hall run for 9 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
61.1%
Tyler Boyd run for 4 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+20
60.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 20 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
62.0%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
48.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 17 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 2:4856% → 56%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
55.9%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 22Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+17
55.6%
Clinton Lynch run for 17 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
57.3%
Clinton Lynch run for no gain to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
57.0%
Justin Thomas run for 9 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
57.7%
Justin Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
50
+15
58.7%
Thomas, J. sacked for loss of 18 yards to the GT32 (Price, E.), PENALTY UP face mask (Soto, S.) 15 yards to the UP35, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
59.6%
Justin Thomas run for 2 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
59.7%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
58.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
56.3%
Harrison Butker 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Shakir SotoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.4%
Lynn Griffin run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
57.0%
Marcus Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
56.9%
Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
57.4%
Clinton Lynch run for 16 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
59.5%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 46 Justin Thomas fumbled, recovered by GTech Mikell Lands-DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 46
-4
57.2%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 42
-9
55.6%
Justin Thomas sacked by Shakir Soto for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 30
OWN 33
+3
54.0%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 54 yds , Tyler Boyd returns for 3 yds to the Pitt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
53.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 18 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
52.1%
Nathan Peterman run for 7 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
49.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
50.1%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 8 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+1
48.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the GTech 46Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
49.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
49.3%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
49.3%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Scott OrndoffSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
50.5%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
53.0%
Ryan Winslow punt for 33 yds, downed at the GTech 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
56.1%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
55.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+5
54.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
53.7%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 36 yds , Tyler Boyd returns for no gain to the GTech 49 Tyler Boyd fumbled, recovered by Pitt Tyler BoydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 4:0052% → 73%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
48.3%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez FordSimilar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
48.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+9
48.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 9 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
47.0%
Nathan Peterman run for 10 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
46.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+3
46.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+9
48.2%
Tyler Boyd run for 9 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
26.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1634% → 63%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+58
34.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 58 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
41.1%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for 7 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-2
38.4%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 12Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+5
34.5%
Clinton Lynch run for 5 yds to the Pitt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
62.7%
Marcus Marshall run for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0050% → 51%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
49.8%
Chris James run for 17 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
46.2%
Nathan Peterman run for 6 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
45.3%
Chris James run for no gain to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
46.6%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Scott OrndoffSimilar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
48.8%
Ryan Winslow punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
54.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 14 yds to the GTech 23 Marcus Marshall fumbled, forced by Jevonte Pitts, recovered by GTech Marcus Marshall for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
56.0%
Marcus Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
55.4%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-13
53.7%
Thomas, J. pass complete to Marshall, M. for 4 yards to the GT30 (Amara, P.), PENALTY GT pass interference (Lynch, C.) 13 yards to the GT13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 20
OWN 13
+7
53.1%
Marcus Marshall run for 7 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
52.0%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 43 yds , Tyler Boyd returns for no gain to the Pitt 31 Tyler Boyd fumbled, recovered by Pitt Tyler BoydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18FG
20 plays · 31 yds · 7:0251% → 88%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
49.4%
Darrin Hall run for 9 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+1
46.3%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
46.6%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
45.9%
Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 1
50
0
45.2%
Darrin Hall run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 1
50
+3
46.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
43.5%
Nathan Peterman run for 5 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
42.8%
Tyler Boyd run for 3 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
43.2%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Qadree OllisonSimilar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+5
48.3%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 5 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
41.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-5
41.4%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Brian O'Neill) to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
45.4%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 12
OPP 36
-5
44.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 17
OPP 41
+3
47.6%
Nathan Peterman run for 3 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 14
OPP 38
+56
11.9%
Chris Blewitt 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19INT
11 plays · 9 yds · 0:2922% → 18%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
21.7%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Micheal Summers, broken up by Nicholas GrigsbySimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-10
20.9%
Thomas, J. rush for no gain to the GT24, out-of-bounds (Grigsby, N.), PENALTY GT illegal block (Braun, T.) 10 yards to the GT14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 20
OWN 14
+9
20.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Marcus Marshall for 9 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
19.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Micheal SummersSimilar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+15
16.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 15 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
20.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Micheal Summers for 9 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
28.2%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-14
21.2%
Thomas, J. pass incomplete to Summers, M., PENALTY GT pass interference (Summers, M.) 14 yards to the GT33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
17.7%
Justin Thomas pass intercepted Avonte Maddox return for no gain to the Pitt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:11
Chris Blewitt 56 yd FG GOOD
-37.3
TD · Q4 13:35
Marcus Marshall run for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
+28.1
TD · Q3 0:51
Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined
-21.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com