Try the model
BC

Boston College 17 at Clemson 34

CLEM
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:22 · Andy Teasdall punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Pregame prior+25.9Home team on offense+6.6Score differential+1.1Garbage-time factor+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:25: Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:11: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Zac Brooks for 21 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +2.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:03: Mike Knoll 21 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +1.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:20: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 51 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +6.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:29: Jeff Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +1.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7BC made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 14:06CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:59BC 4th & 9 at BC 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:07BC 4th & 20 at BC 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:09CLEM 4th & 5 at BC 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:50BC 4th & 4 at BC 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:11CLEM 4th & 1 at BC 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.3%−1.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:09BC 4th & 9 at BC 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:22CLEM 4th & 19 at CLEM 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−1.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:51BC 4th & 10 at BC 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:54BC 4th & 1 at BC 45, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:47CLEM 4th & 5 at BC 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−4.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:33BC 4th & 13 at CLEM 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:40BC 4th & 7 at BC 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:37CLEM 4th & 1 at BC 46, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−1.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:03BC 4th & 13 at BC 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:58BC 4th & 14 at BC 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:45CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 27, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:30BC 4th & 6 at CLEM 43, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:29BC 4th & 1 at CLEM 1, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:13BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:25CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:11CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:20CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:38CLEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:29BC Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4490% → 90%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
89.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
89.6%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 18Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
89.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 14:06
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
89.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5611% → 11%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
89.4%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 36Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-3
89.4%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 33Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+5
89.1%
Jeff Smith pass complete to David Dudeck for 5 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+54
89.0%
Alex Howell punt for 54 yds , Artavis Scott returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:5489% → 88%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
88.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+8
88.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 8 yds to the Clem 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
88.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
88.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+28
88.2%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Justin Simmons return for 28 yds to the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:4712% → 14%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
88.0%
Jeff Smith run for 11 yds to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
87.8%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the Clem 7Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
87.4%
Myles Willis run for 2 yds to the Clem 5Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
86.2%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3587% → 87%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
86.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
85.9%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Matt Milano and Steven Daniels for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 25Similar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.7%
Teasdall, Andy punt 40 yards to the BOSTCOLL35, fair catch by Alston, Sherman, PENALTY BOSTCOLL roughing the kicker (Jackson, Harrison) 15 yards to the CLEMSON40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+50
86.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 50 yds to the BC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.1%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the BC 10Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
85.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 6 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 2:1313% → 14%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+10
86.6%
Myles Willis run for 10 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
86.3%
Myles Willis run for 6 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
85.7%
Myles Willis run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
50
0
85.4%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Louie AddazioSimilar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
50
-5
85.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 45Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 15
OWN 45
0
85.8%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 15
OWN 45
-5
86.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Aaron Monteiro) to the BC 40Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 20
OWN 40
0
86.0%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 20
OWN 40
-4
86.2%
Alex Howell punt for 46 yds , Artavis Scott returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:5186% → 86%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+22
85.9%
Zac Brooks run for 22 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
85.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Zac Brooks for 9 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+30
86.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 30 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
86.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
86.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Zac Brooks, broken up by Connor StrachanSimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
86.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
86.0%
Greg Huegel 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:1014% → 15%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.9%
Jordan Gowins run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
85.6%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
85.7%
Jeff Smith pass complete to David Dudeck for 7 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
85.1%
Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the BC 38Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
84.9%
Jordan Gowins run for 3 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+2
84.5%
Jeff Smith run for 2 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+3
84.9%
Alex Howell punt for 40 yds , Artavis Scott returns for 3 yds to the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:1985% → 87%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
84.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 2 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+8
84.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 8 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
84.4%
Watson, Deshaun pass complete to Scott, Artavis for 12 yards to the CLEMSON42, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Seckinger, Stanton) 10 yards to the CLEMSON20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+11
84.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 11 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+10
84.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Germone Hopper for 10 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
84.5%
Zac Brooks run for no gain to the Clem 41Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
84.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+5
83.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 5 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
83.5%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Renfrow, Hunter (Johnson, John), PENALTY BOSTCOLL pass interference (Johnson, John) 15 yards to the BOSTCOLL44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
84.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 14 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
84.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the BC 29Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+4
84.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 4 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
84.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 4 yds to the BC 21Similar
Q2 7:11
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+21
87.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Zac Brooks for 21 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5213% → 12%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
87.1%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
87.3%
Myles Willis run for 1 yd to the BC 33Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
87.7%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Harrison JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
87.8%
Alex Howell punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:3888% → 86%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
87.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 9 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+12
87.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 12 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-9
87.9%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Mehdi Abdesmad for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 19
OWN 36
0
86.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 19
OWN 36
0
86.3%
Andy Teasdall punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0913% → 12%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.3%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
87.4%
Myles Willis run for 1 yd to the BC 25Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Bobby SwigertSimilar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.2%
Alex Howell punt for 58 yds , Artavis Scott returns for 2 yds to the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:1888% → 88%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
87.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Eric Mac Lain) to the Clem 14Similar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+9
87.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 9 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+10
87.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Germone Hopper for 10 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
87.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 11 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
88.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
88.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:4214% → 17%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
85.6%
Bobby Swigert sacked by B.J. Goodson for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
85.8%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+17
87.0%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Thadd Smith for 17 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
85.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+15
85.6%
Smith, Jeff pass incomplete to Robinson, Elijah (Tankersley, Cordrea), PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Tankersley, Cordrea) 15 yards to the CLEMSON10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL.Similar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
85.4%
Tyler Rouse run for 8 yds to the Clem 2Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+21
83.4%
Mike Knoll 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:5115% → 15%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.9%
Jordan Gowins run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
85.5%
Myles Willis run for 8 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.0%
Jeff Smith run for no gain to the BC 36Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
85.1%
Myles Willis run for 9 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
84.0%
Jordan Gowins run for no gain to the BC 45Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
84.7%
Alex Howell punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:0385% → 89%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
85.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+23
85.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 23 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
86.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 9 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
87.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
87.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 25 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
88.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Zac Brooks for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+4
88.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
87.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
88.8%
Greg Huegel 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:1211% → 11%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.8%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Thadd SmithSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+45
88.9%
Myles Willis run for 45 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
86.9%
Myles Willis run for 1 yd to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
86.8%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Thadd SmithSimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 9
OPP 29
-4
87.5%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 13
OPP 33
0
89.2%
Alex Howell punt for 31 yds, downed at the Clem 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19TD
8 plays · 98 yds · 1:5088% → 96%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
88.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 4Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
88.1%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 4Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+15
87.6%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to McCloud, Ray-Ray, PENALTY BOSTCOLL pass interference 15 yards to the CLEMSON19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
88.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Deon Cain) to the Clem 14Similar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+33
88.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 33 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
89.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
89.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+51
96.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 51 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:205% → 4%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
95.1%
Jeff Smith sacked by Cordrea Tankersley for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 22Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
95.3%
Jeff Smith run for 1 yd to the BC 23Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
95.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Harrison Jackson) to the BC 18Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+10
95.5%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Elijah Robinson for 10 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
95.6%
Alex Howell punt for 47 yds, downed at the Clem 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21FUMBLE
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:5396% → 97%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
96.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 19 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
96.8%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+9
96.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 9 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
97.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the BC 46Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
97.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 25 yds , Sherman Alston returns for no gain to the BC 21 Sherman Alston fumbled, recovered by BC Sherman AlstonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:274% → 3%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
96.3%
Myles Willis run for 5 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+18
96.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 18 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
96.2%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 43Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-2
96.3%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 41Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
96.8%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Thadd SmithSimilar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
96.9%
Alex Howell punt for 44 yds, downed at the Clem 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 4:2297% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
97.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 11 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.5%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 26Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-2
97.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+15
97.4%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete, PENALTY BOSTCOLL personal foul (Allen, Zach) 15 yards to the CLEMSON39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
97.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-10
97.8%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Matt Milano for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 32Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+67
98.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 67 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the BC 1Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
98.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Cannon Smith) to the BC 6Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone Peake, broken up by Kamrin MooreSimilar
Q4 6:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 6 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:321% → 0%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.5%
Jeff Smith run for 1 yd to the BC 36Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Marcus OutlowSimilar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-5
99.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 31Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q4 5:58
4TH & 14
OWN 31
+1
99.6%
Alex Howell punt for 43 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 1 yd to the Clem 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.7%
Tyshon Dye run for 3 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-3
99.7%
Tyshon Dye run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Nick Schuessler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Andy Teasdall punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:060% → 2%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
99.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 21 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Marcus OutlowSimilar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Elijah Robinson, broken up by Jadar JohnsonSimilar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.6%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 4 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 6
OPP 43
+39
99.6%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 39 yds to the Clem 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.5%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
Jordan Gowins run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
Jordan Gowins run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.9%
Jeff Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.1%
C.J. Fuller run for 5 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
99.1%
C.J. Fuller run for 4 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+5
99.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:20
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 51 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q2 7:11
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Zac Brooks for 21 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+2.9
FG · Q2 0:03
Mike Knoll 21 yd FG GOOD
-1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com