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SYR

Syracuse 24 at South Florida 45

USF
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:55 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:04: Marlon Mack run for 25 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +10.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:53: Quinton Flowers pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 42 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +10.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:34: Jordan Fredericks 30 Yd pass from Eric Dungey (Cole Murphy Kick) — SYR win probability +11.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:41: Eric Dungey 7 Yd Run (Cole Murphy Kick) — SYR win probability +12.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:40: Quinton Flowers 2 Yd Run (Emilio Nadelman Kick) — USF win probability +9.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:15USF 4th & 7 at SYR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:00SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 13, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:27USF 4th & 9 at SYR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:27SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:45SYR 4th & 13 at USF 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−5.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:42USF 4th & 17 at USF 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:53SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:53SYR 4th & 6 at USF 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:24SYR 4th & 10 at USF 49, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:16USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:04USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:53USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:34SYR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:41SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:40USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:30USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
61.1%
George Morris II run for 7 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 19
-3
61.1%
George Morris II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+18
61.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ben Lewis for 18 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
61.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-3
61.1%
George Morris II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 31
0
61.1%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
61.1%
Riley Dixon punt for 49 yds , Tajee Fullwood returns for no gain to the SFla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.1%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
61.0%
Quinton Flowers run for 6 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+10
61.0%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 10 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
61.2%
Marlon Mack run for 17 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
61.4%
Marlon Mack run for no gain to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
61.4%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+1
61.3%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Sean Price for 1 yd to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
61.1%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
60.9%
George Morris II run for 4 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+3
61.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Josh Parris for 3 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+2
61.1%
George Morris II run for 2 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
61.3%
Riley Dixon punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:3862% → 61%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
61.5%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 21 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
61.9%
Quinton Flowers run for 2 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-1
61.9%
Rodney Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
61.5%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
60.9%
Emilio Nadelman 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
60.4%
Ervin Philips run for 2 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
60.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Josh Parris, broken up by Zack BullockSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
60.4%
Brisly Estime run for no gain to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
61.1%
Riley Dixon punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 4:4461% → 67%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
60.7%
Marlon Mack run for 6 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
60.9%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+4
60.5%
Quinton Flowers run for 4 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
60.8%
Marlon Mack run for 8 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-4
61.6%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 6 yds to the SFla 47 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SFla 37Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
61.4%
Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the SFla 42Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+5
61.4%
Quinton Flowers run for 5 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
61.6%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Chris BarrSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
61.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 42Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+56
60.8%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for 56 yds to the Syrac 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.6%
Quinton Flowers run for 1 yd to the Syrac 1Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.2%
Darius Tice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7FG
9 plays · 0 yds · 1:3268% → 71%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
67.8%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
67.7%
Quinton Flowers run for 6 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+7
66.8%
Quinton Flowers run for 7 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
68.6%
Darius Tice run for 1 yd to the Syrac 11Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+8
68.6%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Sean Price for 8 yds to the Syrac 3Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+21
70.8%
Emilio Nadelman 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
71.0%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8FG
20 plays · 65 yds · 10:2335% → 30%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
65.4%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
65.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ben Lewis for 5 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
65.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Josh Parris) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+9
65.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Avant for 9 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-1
64.8%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+15
65.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (James Hamilton) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
50
-5
63.8%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+14
65.3%
Ervin Philips run for 14 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+7
63.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 7 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
63.0%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+7
62.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 7 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
62.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+5
62.8%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the SFla 13Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+2
66.1%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the SFla 11 Eric Dungey fumbled, forced by Tajee Fullwood, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
64.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 12Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 11
OPP 12
-7
65.3%
Jacob Hill run for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 19Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 18
OPP 19
+5
67.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Josh Parris for 5 yds to the SFla 14 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+30
69.6%
Cole Murphy 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 2:0372% → 70%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
71.8%
Marlon Mack run for 7 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
72.4%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 1 yd to the SFla 33Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
71.4%
Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
72.5%
Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
72.9%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-10
71.8%
Quinton Flowers sacked by Ron Thompson for a loss of 10 yards to the SFla 29Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+45
70.3%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5671% → 84%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.4%
Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
71.8%
Marlon Mack run for 6 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
72.2%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Sean Price for 13 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
73.3%
Quinton Flowers run for 15 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
73.5%
Marlon Mack run for 11 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
83.7%
Marlon Mack run for 25 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
81.5%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+10
80.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 10 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
80.7%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
80.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly Estime, broken up by Ronnie HogginsSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
80.9%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+47
81.7%
Riley Dixon punt for 52 yds for a touchback SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3084% → 95%
Q3 10:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+28
84.3%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 28 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.3%
Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
94.9%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 42 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:137% → 18%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
93.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 8 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-15
93.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (Ivan Foy) to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
93.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 10 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+29
93.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 29 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
93.1%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete to Ishmael, S., PENALTY USF holding (MCGEE, Khalid) 10 yards to the USF30, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
81.6%
Jordan Fredericks 30 Yd pass from Eric Dungey (Cole Murphy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
87.0%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-6
87.0%
Quinton Flowers sacked by Chris Slayton for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 16 Quinton Flowers fumbled, recovered by Syrac Marqez Hodge , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:1119% → 31%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
81.5%
Ervin Philips run for 5 yds to the SFla 11Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+4
81.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 4 yds to the SFla 7Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
69.1%
Eric Dungey 7 Yd Run (Cole Murphy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4877% → 81%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
77.2%
Marlon Mack run for 9 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+21
78.3%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 21 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
81.2%
Marlon Mack 45 Yd Run (Emilio Nadelman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
87.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.8%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
87.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+11
87.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 11 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
86.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 12 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
86.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 8 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
84.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 2
OPP 29
-4
85.9%
Ben Lewis run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 33Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+9
86.7%
Riley Dixon run for 9 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
84.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jacob Hill, broken up by Jamie ByrdSimilar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
85.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 6 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+11
85.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Josh Parris for 11 yds to the SFla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18TD
16 plays · 82 yds · 5:0885% → 97%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
84.5%
Marlon Mack run for 6 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
84.7%
Quinton Flowers run for no gain to the SFla 24Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-10
82.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (Brynjar Gudmundsson) to the SFla 14Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+18
81.7%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 18 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
83.3%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 5 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
84.3%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 6 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
84.6%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 44Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+9
84.6%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 9 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
85.1%
Marlon Mack run for 13 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
85.6%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
85.6%
Marlon Mack run for 8 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 2
OPP 26
-8
84.6%
Darius Tice run for 2 yds to the Syrac 24 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+15
84.4%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney Adams for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.3%
Quinton Flowers 2 Yd Run (Emilio Nadelman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19INT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
94.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
94.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
93.6%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-9
93.6%
Eric Dungey sacked by Eric Lee and James Hamilton for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 19
OWN 23
+5
94.2%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+14
94.2%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Jamie Byrd return for 14 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 2:0397% → 100%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
97.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, PO (Omari Palmer) to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
97.3%
USF drive start at 07:36, PENALTY SU PO (Palmer, O.) 9 yards to the SU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 1
OPP 9
-5
97.3%
USF drive start at 07:36, USF ball on SU9, PENALTY USF false start (AMICHIA, Kofi) 5 yards to the SU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 6
OPP 14
+14
99.6%
Rodney Adams 14 Yd pass from Quinton Flowers (Emilio Nadelman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21FUMBLE
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.9%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+13
98.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 13 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
98.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 14 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.8%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the SFla 49Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
98.8%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
98.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 10
OPP 49
+12
98.9%
Eric Dungey run for 12 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
98.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 10 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-8
98.7%
Eric Dungey sacked by Deatrick Nichols for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 35 Eric Dungey fumbled, recovered by SFla Deadrin Senat , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22END OF HALF
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.7%
Darius Tice run for 12 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.7%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 11 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.7%
Darius Tice run for 4 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
99.7%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+11
99.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST down D'Ernest Johnson run for 11 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.7%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:41
Eric Dungey 7 Yd Run (Cole Murphy Kick)
-12.3
TD · Q3 7:34
Jordan Fredericks 30 Yd pass from Eric Dungey (Cole Murphy Kick)
-11.4
TD · Q3 9:53
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 42 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)
+10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com