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GT

Georgia Tech 24 at Clemson 43

CLEM
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDFUMBLEFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:38 · Ryan Rodwell punt for 36 yds, downed at the Clem 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Home team on offense+22.9Pregame prior+11.7Score differential+14.6Garbage-time factor+3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:52: Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +3.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:56: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 29 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +5.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:27: Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 50 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +6.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:04: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 8 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +6.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:52: Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 46 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +2.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:19CLEM 4th & 4 at GT 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:50GT 4th & 7 at GT 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:52GT 4th & 12 at CLEM 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:41GT 4th & 8 at CLEM 44, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:12CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 25, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:23GT 4th & 7 at GT 40, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:32CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 31, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:36GT 4th & 17 at GT 26, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:54GT 4th & 10 at GT 25, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:27CLEM 4th & 14 at CLEM 37, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:38GT 4th & 2 at GT 31, down 23
    Close callPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:32GT 4th & 18 at GT 40, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:39GT 4th & 10 at CLEM 47, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:07CLEM 4th & 4 at GT 25, up 23
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:21CLEM 4th & 3 at GT 3, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:55CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:52CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:56CLEM Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:27GT Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:04CLEM Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:06CLEM Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:52GT Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5077% → 77%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.2%
Ray-Ray McCloud run for 8 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
77.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 1 yd to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
77.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 66 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5523% → 23%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.3%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
77.3%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+10
77.4%
Justin Thomas pass intercepted Cordrea Tankersley return for 10 yds to the GTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3FG
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:2178% → 78%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
77.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+21
77.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 21 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
77.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
77.5%
Greg Huegel 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:1923% → 22%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
77.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 21 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Clipping (-10 Yards) to the GTech 11Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+3
77.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+5
77.4%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
77.6%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 19Similar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+70
77.7%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CLEMSON 22 CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (11 Yards) to the Clem 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:4178% → 78%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
77.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+7
77.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 7 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
77.7%
Ray-Ray McCloud run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 20 Ray-Ray McCloud fumbled, recovered by GTech Patrick GambleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4423% → 23%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
76.7%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 12
OPP 22
0
76.8%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Jamal GoldenSimilar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 12
OPP 22
0
77.0%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Marcus MarshallSimilar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+39
77.4%
Harrison Butker 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:4777% → 82%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
77.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 9 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-1
77.6%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+12
77.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 12 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
77.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 11 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
78.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 17 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
78.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+7
78.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 7 yds to the GTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
78.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 21 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.1%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8SF
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4020% → 20%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
79.8%
Marcus Allen run for no gain to the GTech 28Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
80.3%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+1
80.5%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
80.5%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:5383% → 90%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
83.2%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+3
83.2%
Zac Brooks run for 3 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
84.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 5 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+29
90.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 29 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:1512% → 10%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
88.4%
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
88.4%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for 11 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
88.0%
Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
88.3%
Patrick Skov run for 1 yd to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+3
88.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Micheal Summers for 3 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-5
89.7%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
89.8%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 25 yds, downed at the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1492% → 92%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
91.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the Clem 10Similar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+4
92.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 14Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+11
92.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 11 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 4
OWN 25
-2
91.7%
Andy Teasdall punt for 48 yds , Jamal Golden returns for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:379% → 16%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
90.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 12 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
90.7%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-4
90.4%
Mikell Lands-Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+5
91.5%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+9
91.2%
Chase Alford run for 9 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
90.8%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 9
50
+50
84.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 50 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5588% → 87%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
88.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
88.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
87.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
87.4%
Andy Teasdall punt for 47 yds, downed at the GTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:4515% → 13%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
85.5%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
85.6%
Justin Thomas run for 8 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-12
85.5%
Justin Thomas sacked by Shaq Lawson for a loss of 12 yards to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 22
OWN 21
+5
86.4%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 17
OWN 26
0
87.0%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 17
OWN 26
0
87.2%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 44 yds, downed at the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 1:2690% → 96%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
90.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 8 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+27
90.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Patrick Gamble) to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
91.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Lawrence Austin) to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
91.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+3
89.9%
Zac Brooks run for 3 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+5
88.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 8 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
94.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:536% → 5%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
93.9%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 19Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
94.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+5
94.6%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1596% → 96%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
95.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 42Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
95.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-5
96.1%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Tyler Marcordes for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
95.8%
Andy Teasdall punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:285% → 4%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
95.4%
Marcus Allen run for 3 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
95.4%
Marcus Allen run for 3 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+2
95.6%
Marcus Allen run for 2 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
95.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 36 yds, downed at the Clem 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:4697% → 97%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
96.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+7
96.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
96.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+14
96.9%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Brant Mitchell return for 14 yds to the GTech 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:224% → 3%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
96.3%
Lynn Griffin run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 14
OWN 44
-1
96.5%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 15
OWN 43
-3
96.7%
Justin Thomas sacked by Kevin Dodd for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
96.8%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:1497% → 100%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
97.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 18 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
97.2%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+21
97.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 21 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.7%
Zac Brooks run for 35 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:120% → 0%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+23
99.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 23 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
99.7%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+11
99.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Mikell Lands-Davis for 11 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Marcus Marshall run for no gain to the Clem 47Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -22 yds · 0:23100% → 99%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
99.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Clem 12Similar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 20
OWN 12
0
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by GTech Adam Gotsis for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:4799% → 100%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.6%
C.J. Davidson run for 11 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.6%
C.J. Davidson run for 3 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
98.7%
Tyshon Dye run for 1 yd to the Clem 40Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+17
98.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 17 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
98.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 12 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.0%
Tyshon Dye run for no gain to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-1
99.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 32Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+7
99.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 7 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+42
99.6%
Ammon Lakip 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 26TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:010% → 3%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.8%
Justin Thomas run for 8 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
99.8%
Marcus Marshall run for 6 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
99.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 34Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+26
99.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Mikell Lands-Davis for 26 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-6
99.8%
Lynn Griffin run for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+46
96.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 46 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27DOWNS
15 plays · 94 yds · 8:0998% → 99%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
98.3%
C.J. Fuller run for 2 yds to the Clem 5Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+1
98.4%
C.J. Fuller run for 1 yd to the Clem 6Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+38
98.5%
Nick Schuessler pass complete to Deon Cain for 38 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
98.8%
C.J. Fuller run for 7 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
98.8%
C.J. Fuller run for 2 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
99.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.0%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.1%
C.J. Davidson run for 3 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+33
99.1%
Nick Schuessler pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 33 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.2%
C.J. Fuller run for no gain to the GTech 9Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.4%
C.J. Fuller run for 3 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.4%
Tyshon Dye run for 3 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.3%
Nick Schuessler run for no gain to the GTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:052% → 2%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+14
98.5%
Matthew Jordan run for 14 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.4%
Matthew Jordan run for no gain to the GTech 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:27
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 50 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q2 0:04
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 8 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q2 13:56
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 29 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com