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WAKE

Wake Forest 3 at Boston College 0

BC
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:56 · Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the WFrst 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:56: John Wolford run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 9 — WAKE win probability +7.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:18: WAKE FOREST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the WFrst 22 — WAKE win probability +7.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:02: John Wolford pass incomplete to K.J. Brent — WAKE win probability +6.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:09: Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 5 — WAKE win probability +26.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:56: Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the WFrst 9 — BC win probability +25.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WAKE made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00BC 4th & 3 at BC 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:27WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:48BC 4th & 11 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:12WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:52BC 4th & 4 at WAKE 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.0%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:49WAKE 4th & 14 at BC 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:53BC 4th & 22 at BC 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:54WAKE 4th & 2 at BC 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:37BC 4th & 19 at BC 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−2.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:59WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:38BC 4th & 5 at BC 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−1.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:18WAKE 4th & 7 at BC 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−8.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:45WAKE 4th & 19 at WAKE 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−5.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:17BC 4th & 6 at WAKE 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−13.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:17WAKE 4th & 15 at WAKE 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−5.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00BC 4th & 6 at BC 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:17WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:14BC 4th & 4 at BC 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%−2.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:02WAKE 4th & 24 at WAKE 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−10.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:27BC 4th & 17 at BC 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−3.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:47WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−6.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
70.9%
Troy Flutie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
70.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
50
-5
70.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-5
70.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 40
-5
70.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BC 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+14
70.9%
Troy Flutie run for 14 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
70.9%
Alex Howell punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.4%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
70.4%
Tyler Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
70.5%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
70.6%
Alexander Kinal punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
70.2%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 21Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+12
70.2%
Thadd Smith run for 12 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
70.3%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+14
70.4%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 14 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
70.6%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 4 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-5
70.7%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 11
50
0
70.3%
Troy Flutie pass incomplete to Marcus OutlowSimilar
Q1 10:48
4TH & 11
50
0
70.1%
Alex Howell punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
69.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the WFrst 16Similar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 5
OWN 16
+2
69.3%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 3
OWN 18
0
69.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tyler BellSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+2
69.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 2 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+19
69.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 59 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 19 yds to the BC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:5170% → 69%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
69.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
69.9%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
69.7%
Jeff Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
70.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the WFrst 47Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+28
70.1%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 28 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
70.3%
Jeff Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+1
70.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the WFrst 14Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+1
69.6%
Jeff Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 13Similar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
68.8%
Colton Lichtenberg 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:0333% → 33%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+41
67.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 41 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
65.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
65.8%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+20
66.4%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 20 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-9
64.9%
Tyler Bell run for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 30
0
65.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 30
+5
66.6%
Tyler Bell run for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 14
OPP 25
+43
67.1%
Mike Weaver 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.6%
Jordan Gowins run for 6 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
68.3%
Jordan Gowins run for 4 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
67.8%
Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the BC 36Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+10
68.0%
Smith,J pass incomplete, PENALTY WF pass interference 10 yards to the BC46, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
69.1%
Jordan Gowins run for 1 yd to the BC 47Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+4
68.9%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Elijah Robinson for 4 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
68.8%
Jeff Smith pass intercepted Cameron Glenn return for no gain to the WFrst 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
63.4%
Tyler Bell run for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+8
65.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 8 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
64.0%
John Wolford pass intercepted Connor Strachan return for no gain to the BC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0069% → 65%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
68.5%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Tyler RouseSimilar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
68.1%
Jeff Smith run for no gain to the BC 36 Jeff Smith fumbled, recovered by BC Jeff SmithSimilar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 22
OWN 36
0
65.7%
Troy Flutie pass incomplete to Thadd SmithSimilar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 22
OWN 36
0
65.2%
Alex Howell punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
62.8%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+9
62.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 9 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
61.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
62.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck Wade, broken up by Matt MilanoSimilar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+8
62.9%
John Wolford run for 8 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
62.5%
Alexander Kinal punt for 37 yds, downed at the BC 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
65.8%
Jordan Gowins run for 6 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+15
65.8%
Jordan Gowins run for 15 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
66.3%
Jordan Gowins run for 1 yd to the BC 33Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
66.1%
Troy Flutie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-10
64.9%
Troy Flutie sacked by Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 23Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 19
OWN 23
+8
63.9%
Alex Howell punt for 51 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 8 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
60.9%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
61.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to K.J. Brent, broken up by Isaac YiadomSimilar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
62.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
63.3%
Alexander Kinal punt for 51 yds, downed at the BC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:1965% → 65%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
64.6%
Troy Flutie run for 1 yd to the BC 15Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 15
-5
64.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, encroachment (-5 Yards) to the BC 10Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+10
64.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 10 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 4
OWN 20
-1
63.7%
Jordan Gowins run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 19Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
64.5%
Alex Howell punt for 51 yds, downed at the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
62.6%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0038% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
61.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 13 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
60.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
60.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 3 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+5
60.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 5 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
60.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 50 yds, downed at the BC 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
64.0%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the BC 4Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+1
63.9%
Jordan Gowins run for 1 yd to the BC 5 Jordan Gowins fumbled, forced by Zach Dancel, recovered by WFrst Brandon ChubbSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3844% → 45%
Q3 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
56.4%
John Wolford run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 9Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
56.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 2 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
57.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete, broken up by Truman GutapfelSimilar
Q3 10:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
55.1%
Mike Weaver 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0056% → 61%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
56.3%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 26Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+29
55.5%
Jeff Smith run for 29 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
60.2%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+6
60.2%
Jeff Smith run for 6 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
61.4%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Elijah RobinsonSimilar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
61.3%
Jeff Smith run for no gain to the WFrst 37 Jeff Smith fumbled, forced by Ryan Janvion, recovered by WFrst Josh BanksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -24 yds · 2:3346% → 45%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
54.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 19
OWN 13
+11
55.8%
Alexander Kinal punt for 50 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 11 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
52.7%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-1
52.3%
Chuck Wade run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-10
54.0%
Wolford, J rush for 15 yards to the WF40 (Kavalec,K), PENALTY WF holding 10 yards to the WF15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 17
OWN 15
-2
54.6%
Tyler Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:5858% → 54%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
57.7%
Jeff Smith run for no gain to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
58.5%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 15 yds to the WFrst 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
60.0%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 23Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+12
59.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tylor Harris) to the WFrst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
60.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-5
60.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Dave Bowen) to the WFrst 13Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+6
59.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the WFrst 7Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
58.1%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+26
53.9%
Colton Lichtenberg 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
48.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Phil Haynes) to the WFrst 15Similar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-4
49.2%
John Wolford sacked by Connor Wujciak for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 11Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+4
49.6%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
51.0%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 15Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
52.4%
Alexander Kinal punt for 53 yds , Sherman Alston returns for no gain to the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0451% → 49%
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
51.0%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the BC 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
50.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+9
49.8%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Thadd Smith for 9 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
50.0%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Brad WatsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
48.5%
Alex Howell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
47.1%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+8
47.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 8 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
47.0%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
49.3%
Alexander Kinal punt for 62 yds, downed at the BC 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24PUNT
14 plays · 42 yds · 4:4548% → 43%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
48.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+6
48.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+3
47.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
49.2%
Troy Flutie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+13
42.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 13 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
44.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
47.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+5
46.1%
Smith,J pass incomplete, PENALTY WF pass interference 5 yards to the BC43, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
47.8%
Thadd Smith run for 1 yd to the BC 44Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
47.6%
Jeff Smith run for 5 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
45.3%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Sherman AlstonSimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
42.8%
Alex Howell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0064% → 60%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
36.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
36.6%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+17
38.3%
Matt Colburn run for 17 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
34.3%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
35.2%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-17
35.3%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 34 WAKE FOREST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the WFrst 19Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 24
OWN 19
+12
39.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 44 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 12 yds to the BC 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0042% → 34%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
42.0%
Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-10
42.9%
Jeff Smith run for 1 yd to the BC 47 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding (-11 Yards) to the BC 42Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 17
OWN 42
0
37.3%
Jeff Smith pass incomplete to Thadd SmithSimilar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 17
OWN 42
0
35.4%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 17
OWN 42
-4
33.7%
Alex Howell punt for 53 yds , Tabari Hines returns for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:2773% → 66%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
27.5%
John Wolford run for no gain to the WFrst 1Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
31.3%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 4Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+1
32.5%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 5Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 6
OWN 5
-9
33.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 35 yds , Sherman Alston returns for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 28FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
39.6%
Troy Flutie pass incomplete to Charlie CallinanSimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
38.9%
Flutie,T pass incomplete to Smith,T, PENALTY WF pass interference 15 yards to the WF34, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
43.6%
Tyler Rouse run for 17 yds to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
43.9%
Tyler Rouse run for 7 yds to the WFrst 10Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
43.9%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
40.5%
Troy Flutie run for 2 yds to the WFrst 4 Troy Flutie fumbled, forced by Wendell Dunn, recovered by WFrst Zach DancelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 29FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0486% → 86%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
14.1%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 5Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+1
14.0%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 6Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+5
15.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the WFrst 11Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 3
OWN 11
-2
14.1%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 11 Matt Colburn fumbled, forced by Matt Milano, recovered by BC Justin SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0039% → 43%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
39.3%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the WFrst 9Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+8
39.3%
Jeff Smith run for 8 yds to the WFrst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.9%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the WFrst 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-42.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:09
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 5
-26.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:56
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the WFrst 9
+25.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com