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PITT

Pittsburgh 17 at Virginia Tech 13

VT
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:08 · Ryan Winslow punt for 27 yds, downed at the VTech 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+1.1Home team on offense−19.4Garbage-time factor−6.6Score differential−4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:38: Brenden Motley pass complete to Cam Phillips for 11 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +6.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 14:15: Qadree Ollison run for 25 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +13.3 pts (now 60%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:20: Joey Slye 48 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +10.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:52: Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the VTech 24 — PITT win probability +13.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:18: Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the VTech 20 — PITT win probability +20.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00VT 4th & 7 at VT 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:12PITT 4th & 3 at VT 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.1%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:12VT 4th & 4 at VT 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:38PITT 4th & 24 at PITT 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−2.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:24VT 4th & 18 at VT 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−2.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:21PITT 4th & 4 at PITT 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:40PITT 4th & 23 at VT 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:15VT 4th & 3 at VT 49, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:03VT 4th & 13 at PITT 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−2.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−6.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:03PITT 4th & 6 at VT 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    62.8%−2.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:20VT 4th & 11 at PITT 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−2.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    29.6%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:20PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.9%−5.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:30PITT 4th & 8 at VT 36, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−1.0
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:53PITT 4th & 9 at VT 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−13.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:49VT 4th & 19 at VT 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−4.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:08PITT 4th & 16 at PITT 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−7.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:28VT 4th & 25 at VT 23, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 2.7 ptsWent for it · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%−2.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:15PITT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:38VT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:15PITT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.7%
J.C. Coleman run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.7%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
65.7%
Brenden Motley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
65.7%
A.J. Hughes punt for 45 yds, downed at the Pitt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 4:2935% → 35%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
65.5%
Nathan Peterman sacked by Deon Clarke for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 24Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+26
65.6%
Chad Voytik run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
50
+3
65.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+13
65.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 13 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
65.4%
Chad Voytik run for no gain to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
65.4%
Nathan Peterman run for 4 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+3
65.4%
Nathan Peterman run for 3 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+45
64.6%
Chris Blewitt 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.6%
J.C. Coleman run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
64.7%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
64.8%
J.C. Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+5
64.6%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
65.0%
Brenden Motley run for 3 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
65.0%
Brenden Motley run for no gain to the VTech 42 Brenden Motley fumbled, recovered by VTech Brenden MotleySimilar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
64.6%
A.J. Hughes punt for 42 yds , Tyler Boyd returns for no gain to the Pitt 31 Tyler Boyd fumbled, VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:4436% → 42%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
63.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Pitt 36Similar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 5
OWN 36
+2
63.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+6
63.3%
Chad Voytik run for 6 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
63.3%
Peterman, N. pass incomplete, PENALTY VT roughing passer (Clarke, D) 15 yards to the VT41, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
63.1%
Nathan Peterman run for 2 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+4
63.1%
Chad Voytik run for 4 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+12
63.1%
Nathan Peterman run for 12 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
58.2%
J.P. Holtz 23 Yd pass from Nathan Peterman (Chris Blewitt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5TD
17 plays · 83 yds · 6:3359% → 64%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
58.6%
Trey Edmunds run for 3 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+5
58.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+3
58.8%
Brenden Motley run for 3 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
58.7%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Travon McMillian for 6 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
59.0%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Sam Rogers for 2 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
58.7%
Brenden Motley run for 3 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
56.5%
Motley, B pass incomplete to Hodges, B (Webb, T.), PENALTY UP pass interference (Webb, T.) 15 yards to the UP46, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
57.3%
Brenden Motley sacked by Mike Caprara for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 45
+22
56.2%
Brenden Motley run for 22 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
58.0%
Brenden Motley sacked by Bam Bradley for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 40
0
56.9%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete, broken up by Mark ScarpinatoSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 40
-5
56.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 45
+5
56.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, offside defense (Rori Blair) to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 40
+28
56.3%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 28 yds to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
58.0%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the Pitt 11Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
64.0%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Cam Phillips for 11 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.6%
Chris James run for no gain to the Pitt 25Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.6%
Nathan Peterman run for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
60.8%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 10 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
59.4%
Chris James run for no gain to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-16
59.7%
Nathan Peterman sacked by Andrew Motuapuaka for a loss of 16 yards to the Pitt 24 Nathan Peterman fumbled, recovered by Pitt Chris James , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 26
OWN 24
+2
61.4%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 24
OWN 26
0
62.0%
Ryan Winslow punt for 46 yds, downed at the VTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
58.8%
J.C. Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+3
58.5%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Cam Phillips for 3 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-9
57.5%
Brenden Motley sacked by Matt Galambos for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 20Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 18
OWN 20
+4
57.0%
A.J. Hughes punt for 47 yds , Tyler Boyd returns for 4 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
56.4%
Nathan Peterman run for no gain to the Pitt 37Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
56.7%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 5 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+1
56.1%
Nathan Peterman run for 1 yd to the Pitt 43Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+2
57.7%
Ryan Winslow punt for 36 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 2 yds to the VTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3457% → 55%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
57.3%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
55.8%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
54.6%
Brenden Motley pass intercepted Avonte Maddox return for no gain to the VTech 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 1:5648% → 45%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
52.3%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
53.3%
Nathan Peterman run for 2 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+11
53.8%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 11 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
49.9%
Peterman, N. sideline pass complete to Weah, J for 13 yards to the VT20 (Riley, D), PENALTY UP IF 5 yards to the VT38, NO PLAY, clock 01:18.Similar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 15
OPP 38
0
51.5%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 15
OPP 38
-8
51.8%
Nathan Peterman sacked by Chuck Clark for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 23
OPP 46
0
53.6%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 23
OPP 46
0
55.1%
Ryan Winslow punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
54.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:3847% → 60%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+43
53.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 43 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
40.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 25 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0041% → 42%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.2%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
41.5%
Travon McMillian run for 15 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
42.8%
Brenden Motley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
42.4%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+6
41.5%
Brenden Motley run for 6 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q3 14:15
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
41.6%
A.J. Hughes punt for 49 yds, downed at the Pitt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
39.9%
Nathan Peterman run for 7 yds to the Pitt 9Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 3
OWN 9
-5
40.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 4Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+1
40.2%
Nathan Peterman run for 1 yd to the Pitt 5Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+9
41.0%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 9 yds to the Pitt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
39.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Pitt 19Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
39.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
39.6%
Nathan Peterman run for 2 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
39.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 7 yds to the Pitt 23 Qadree Ollison fumbled, forced by Andrew Motuapuaka, recovered by VTech Terrell Edmunds , return for 9 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15FG
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3440% → 39%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-7
39.9%
Brenden Motley sacked by Ejuan Price for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 30Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 17
OPP 30
0
36.9%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 17
OPP 30
+4
35.1%
Brenden Motley run for 4 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+43
39.3%
Joey Slye 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0063% → 65%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.7%
Chris James run for 1 yd to the Pitt 26Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+28
37.0%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 28 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
33.4%
Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+3
33.6%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the VTech 42 Chris James fumbled, forced by Nigel Williams,Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
34.0%
Nathan Peterman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
35.4%
Ryan Winslow punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:0037% → 41%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
37.0%
Trey Edmunds run for 2 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
36.8%
Brenden Motley run for 1 yd to the VTech 23Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+9
35.4%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 9 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
38.0%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 14 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
40.9%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+1
38.2%
Brenden Motley run for 1 yd to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+12
32.3%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 12 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
38.1%
Motley, B pass incomplete to Hodges, B, PENALTY UP personal foul (Render, D.) 15 yards to the UP29, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
39.9%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 16
OPP 35
0
37.0%
Brenden Motley run for no gain to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 16
OPP 35
0
34.2%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Isaiah Ford, broken up by Terrish WebbSimilar
Q4 14:35
4TH & 16
OPP 35
+5
30.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Pitt 30Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+48
41.2%
Joey Slye 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 4:5063% → 69%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.2%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 25Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
37.9%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 6 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
36.8%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 9 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
33.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-1
34.7%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+9
36.3%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 9 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+13
35.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 13 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
33.0%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+4
27.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-1
28.2%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
30.8%
Ryan Winslow punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
36.6%
Brenden Motley pass intercepted Terrish Webb return for 9 yds to the VTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20MISSED FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5977% → 73%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
22.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the VTech 24Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
21.8%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
23.3%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler Boyd, broken up by Brandon FacysonSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+42
26.8%
Chris Blewitt 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Vinny Mihota Ronny Vandyke return for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0039% → 35%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.1%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.4%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-10
37.0%
Brenden Motley sacked by Ejuan Price for a loss of 10 yards to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
35.3%
A.J. Hughes punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Boyd at the Pitt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:1278% → 75%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
22.0%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
21.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-8
20.2%
Nathan Peterman sacked by Luther Maddy for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
25.0%
Ryan Winslow punt for 27 yds, downed at the VTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23INT
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:5738% → 32%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
38.4%
Brenden Motley sacked by Nicholas Grigsby and Tyrique Jarrett for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 18
OWN 30
-7
35.1%
Brenden Motley sacked by Darryl Render for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 25
OWN 23
0
33.0%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 25
OWN 23
+3
31.9%
Brenden Motley pass intercepted Mike Caprara return for 3 yds to the VTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4188% → 96%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
11.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-2
11.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+5
4.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (Woody Baron) to the VTech 17Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 5
OPP 17
-1
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:18
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the VTech 20
-20.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:52
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the VTech 24
-13.7
TD · Q3 14:15
Qadree Ollison run for 25 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com