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FSU

Florida State 24 at Wake Forest 16

WAKE
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:08 · Cason Beatty punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior−14.0Home team on offense−28.4Score differential−12.9Garbage-time factor−7.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:08: Johnathan Vickers run for 9 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:12: Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.4 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 12:23: Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 5 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:33: Roberto Aguayo 25 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 3:34: Mike Weaver 29 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +5.9 pts (now 15%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 8FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:46WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00FSU 4th & 4 at FSU 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:31WAKE 4th & 3 at FSU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    16.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:57WAKE 4th & 8 at FSU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    15.1%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:54FSU 4th & 28 at FSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−2.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:18WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:33FSU 4th & 8 at WAKE 8, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    78.2%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:39WAKE 4th & 5 at FSU 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:08FSU 4th & 13 at WAKE 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:26WAKE 4th & 13 at FSU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−2.0
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:35FSU 4th & 12 at FSU 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:02WAKE 4th & 5 at midfield, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:34WAKE 4th & 6 at FSU 11, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%−0.6
    87% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:42FSU 4th & 15 at FSU 30, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:17FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:08FSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:12WAKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:23FSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:0111% → 13%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
10.9%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
11.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Derrick Nnadi) to the WFrst 22Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+3
11.2%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.4%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Tyree HarrisSimilar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
11.5%
Tyler Bell run for 14 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
11.8%
Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
12.2%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-4
12.4%
Kendall Hinton sacked by DeMarcus Walker and Giorgio Newberry for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
12.6%
Alexander Kinal punt for 47 yds, downed at the FlaSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3787% → 87%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
12.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 6 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 4
OWN 18
0
12.9%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
13.0%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
13.2%
Cason Beatty punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2213% → 14%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
13.4%
Kendall Hinton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
13.4%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 6 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+1
13.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for 1 yd to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
13.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4TD
1 play · 94 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+94
12.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 94 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:0513% → 16%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
12.7%
Kendall Hinton run for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
13.0%
Tyler Bell run for 6 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
13.0%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 16 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
13.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
13.6%
Tyler Bell run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+6
14.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 6 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
14.3%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 7 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+6
14.4%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 6 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
14.6%
Tyler Bell run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 8Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
14.9%
Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
14.9%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 3
OPP 5
-5
14.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Patrick Osterhage) to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
15.8%
Mike Weaver 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:3584% → 86%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
15.6%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
15.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 8 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+8
16.0%
Everett Golson pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 8 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
15.8%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
16.0%
Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q1 0:04
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+24
16.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 24 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
16.1%
Everett Golson run for 1 yd to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+4
16.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 4 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+12
16.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 12 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
16.5%
Johnathan Vickers run for no gain to the WFrst 20Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+8
16.5%
Everett Golson run for 8 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
17.1%
Johnathan Vickers run for 3 yds to the WFrst 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
13.7%
Johnathan Vickers run for 9 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 6:4215% → 25%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
14.7%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 2 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+8
14.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 8 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
15.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 5 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
15.6%
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+6
15.4%
Kendall Hinton run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
15.3%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 8 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+3
15.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
15.6%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 17 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
16.4%
Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
16.5%
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 16Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+6
16.0%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
16.7%
Kendall Hinton run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
25.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 5 yds · 3:0079% → 77%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
21.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ermon Lane for 7 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+2
21.2%
Johnathan Vickers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
20.6%
Johnathan Vickers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
20.9%
Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 6 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
20.2%
Everett Golson run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
20.5%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
20.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Ryan Hoefeld) to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 15
OWN 42
0
21.6%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 28
OWN 29
+7
23.2%
Cason Beatty punt for 44 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 7 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:4723% → 24%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
23.0%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+18
24.6%
Matt Colburn run for 18 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
24.3%
Kendall Hinton sacked by DeMarcus Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 48 Kendall Hinton fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Josh Sweat , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:2280% → 86%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
20.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 8 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+13
19.9%
Johnathan Vickers run for 13 yds to the WFrst 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
20.1%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Ryan IzzoSimilar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-4
20.4%
Johnathan Vickers run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 14
OPP 26
+18
22.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 18 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
20.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 3 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
13.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 5 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5915% → 14%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.9%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
15.3%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
14.7%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+48
14.0%
Alexander Kinal punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the WAKEFOREST 28 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Jesus Wilson) to the FlaSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:3085% → 90%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+51
15.0%
Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 51 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
13.5%
Johnathan Vickers run for 1 yd to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+17
13.6%
Everett Golson run for 17 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
12.9%
Johnathan Vickers run for 4 yds to the WFrst 4Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
12.9%
Vickers, Johnathan rush for no gain to the WAKEFOREST4, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Hoefeld, Ryan) 10 yards to the WAKEFOREST14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+6
12.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to Johnathan Vickers for 6 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
12.8%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Jacques PatrickSimilar
Q3 7:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
10.0%
Roberto Aguayo 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:4411% → 11%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
10.7%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
10.6%
Bell, Tyler rush for no gain to the WAKEFOREST20, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Hunter, Tyler) 10 yards to the WAKEFOREST30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.Similar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
10.9%
Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 31Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
10.7%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for 6 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+15
11.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Ramsey) to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
12.2%
Tyler Bell run for no gain to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
11.6%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 5 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
11.5%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
11.2%
Alexander Kinal punt for 15 yds, downed at the FlaSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:2291% → 92%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
8.9%
Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 16 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
7.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 16 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
7.2%
Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 13
OPP 43
0
6.9%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 13
OPP 43
0
7.0%
Everett Golson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
7.6%
Cason Beatty punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15FG
16 plays · 74 yds · 4:3610% → 13%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
9.5%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+11
9.4%
Kendall Hinton run for 11 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
9.6%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-10
9.5%
Hinton, Kendall pass incomplete to Brent, K.J., PENALTY WAKEFOREST holding (Intemann, Dylan) 10 yards to the WAKEFOREST11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:06
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+23
9.4%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 23 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
9.9%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
10.6%
Kendall Hinton run for 2 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+36
11.5%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 21 yds to the WAKEFOREST 38 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Trey Marshall) to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
12.3%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+4
12.0%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 4 yds to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+1
11.6%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
12.0%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-5
12.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Encroachment (Cortez Lewis) to the FlaSt 16Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 13
OPP 16
0
11.6%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 13
OPP 16
0
10.9%
Kendall Hinton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+34
13.1%
Mike Weaver 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3690% → 90%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
9.9%
Everett Golson pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 5 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-7
9.7%
Everett Golson sacked by Wendell Dunn for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
9.6%
Everett Golson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
9.9%
Cason Beatty punt for 31 yds, downed at the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 5:5612% → 15%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
11.5%
Hinton, Kendall pass incomplete to Brent, K.J., PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (White, Marquez) 15 yards to the WAKEFOREST45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.Similar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
12.3%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
12.4%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 5
50
0
12.4%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 5
50
+6
11.4%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 6 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
13.2%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
12.7%
Kendall Hinton run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+13
12.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 13 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
13.9%
Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 27 Kendall Hinton fumbled, recovered by WFrst Matt ColburnSimilar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+2
13.0%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+10
11.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 10 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
13.7%
Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
13.2%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 3 yds to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+5
11.2%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 5 yds to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-5
9.3%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Illegal Formation (Wendell Dunn) to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
15.2%
Mike Weaver 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:2893% → 95%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
6.9%
Everett Golson pass complete to Johnathan Vickers for 3 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
6.8%
Golson, Everett pass incomplete to Wilson, Jesus, PENALTY WAKEFOREST pass interference (Gaulden, Devin) 7 yards to the FLORIDAST35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.Similar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
6.4%
Johnathan Vickers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
4.5%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-8
4.6%
Everett Golson sacked by Marquel Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q4 1:42
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
4.6%
Cason Beatty punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 1:178% → 9%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
8.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
8.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
8.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 6 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
8.4%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 5 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+26
7.2%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 11 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Giorgio Newberry) to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
9.4%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
9.1%
Kendall Hinton pass intercepted, touchback. Tyler Hunter return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0996% → 96%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
3.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-2
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:12
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+8.4
TD · Q3 12:23
Everett Golson pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 5 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)
-6.7
FG · Q4 3:34
Mike Weaver 29 yd FG GOOD
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com