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ND

Notre Dame 22 at Clemson 24

CLEM
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:45 · Andy Teasdall punt for 54 yds, downed at the NDame 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Home team on offense+5.9Pregame prior+8.3Garbage-time factor+2.3Score differential+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:32: Justin Yoon 46 yd FG GOOD — ND win probability +2.2 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:14: Deshaun Watson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +9.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:13: C.J. Prosise 56 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ND win probability +9.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:03: DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +13.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:07: Torii Hunter Jr. 1 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — ND win probability +22.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 10ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:18ND 4th & 10 at ND 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:32ND 4th & 10 at CLEM 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−2.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:09CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:33ND 4th & 11 at CLEM 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:45CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 37, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:31ND 4th & 17 at ND 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:37CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:06ND 4th & 5 at ND 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:46CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 35, up 11
    Close callPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:22ND 4th & 5 at CLEM 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:37CLEM 4th & 9 at ND 34, up 18
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:56ND 4th & 12 at ND 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:00CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:55ND 4th & 2 at ND 45, down 18
    Close callPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:56CLEM 4th & 5 at ND 18, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−6.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:41CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 48, up 8
    Close callPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:29CLEM 4th & 2 at ND 27, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%−0.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−5.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:05CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 10, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.4
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ND made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 12:19CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:43CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:14CLEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:13ND Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:03ND Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.9%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:07ND Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.7%−11.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    24.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:0962% → 63%
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+38
62.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 38 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
62.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the NDame 21Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
62.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+9
62.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
62.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the NDame 4Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 4
-2
62.4%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 6Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
63.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 6 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4937% → 36%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.0%
C.J. Prosise run for no gain to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
63.1%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 20Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+5
63.5%
DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
63.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:3064% → 67%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
64.2%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the NDame 40Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+24
64.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 24 yds to the NDame 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
64.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the NDame 13Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
66.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 13 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4FG
11 plays · 22 yds · 2:5434% → 35%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
65.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 5 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-1
66.3%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 47Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+8
66.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 8 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
66.9%
DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
67.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+13
67.7%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Jones, Alize, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Johnson, Jadar) 13 yards to the CLEMSON29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
66.8%
C.J. Prosise run for no gain to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
67.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
67.6%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
65.4%
Justin Yoon 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0966% → 66%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
66.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
66.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
66.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
66.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 47 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:2534% → 31%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
66.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Robinson for 15 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
66.6%
C.J. Prosise run for 1 yd to the NDame 35Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+26
66.8%
DeShone Kizer run for 26 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
67.1%
DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
67.5%
C.J. Prosise run for no gain to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
68.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Nic Weishar, broken up by Ryan CarterSimilar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
69.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 36 yds, downed at the Clem 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:4069% → 71%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
68.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the Clem 10Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+5
69.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
69.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+4
69.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
71.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-3
71.0%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+12
70.7%
Zac Brooks run for 12 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 11:45
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
71.4%
Andy Teasdall punt for 54 yds, downed at the NDame 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8FUMBLE
10 plays · 15 yds · 4:0928% → 25%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
71.6%
C.J. Prosise run for 5 yds to the NDame 14Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+1
71.6%
DeShone Kizer run for 1 yd to the NDame 15Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+16
72.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 16 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
72.0%
C.J. Prosise run for 3 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-5
72.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Delay of Game (DeShone Kizer) to the NDame 29Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-5
72.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Mike McGlinchey) to the NDame 24Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 17
OWN 24
-5
73.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Delay of Game (DeShone Kizer) to the NDame 19Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 22
OWN 19
+5
73.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 5 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 17
OWN 24
0
74.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 17
OWN 24
0
74.6%
Tyler Newsome punt for 46 yds , Artavis Scott returns for no gain to the Clem 30 Artavis Scott fumbled, recovered by Clem Zac BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5075% → 74%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
74.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
74.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
74.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Wayne GallmanSimilar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
74.0%
Andy Teasdall punt for 52 yds, downed at the NDame 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:2526% → 23%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
74.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+19
74.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 19 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-7
73.8%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 26Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 17
OWN 26
+14
74.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 14 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-5
73.5%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Mike McGlinchey) to the NDame 35Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-5
75.0%
DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds to the NDame 40 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Holding (Quenton Nelson) to the NDame 30Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+8
77.0%
C.J. Prosise run for 8 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
76.7%
Tyler Newsome punt for 33 yds, downed at the Clem 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0777% → 77%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
76.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
76.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 4 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
77.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
76.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 42 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for no gain to the NDame 23 C.J. Sanders fumbled, recovered by NDame C.J. SandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 2:1223% → 22%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
77.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 9 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+4
76.8%
Torii Hunter Jr. run for 4 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.4%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
77.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will Fuller, broken up by Ben BoulwareSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
78.2%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Fuller, Will, PENALTY CLEMSON offside (Boulware, Ben) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+10
77.2%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Carlisle, Amir, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Blanks, Travis) 10 yards to the CLEMSON49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
76.1%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
76.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+5
77.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 5 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
78.2%
Tyler Newsome punt for 41 yds, downed at the Clem 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
79.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:3179% → 89%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
79.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 8 yds to the NDame 21Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
79.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Germone HopperSimilar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+21
88.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.8%
C.J. Prosise run for 15 yds to the NDame 35 C.J. Prosise fumbled, forced by Ben Boulware, recovered by Clem , return for 5 yds to the NDame 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1690% → 88%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
89.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 37Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+3
89.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
89.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
87.7%
Greg Huegel punt for 29 yds, downed at the NDame 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:3514% → 11%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
86.2%
C.J. Prosise run for 10 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
86.2%
C.J. Prosise run for 3 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
86.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+23
86.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 23 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
85.5%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Carlos Watkins for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 38Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+2
87.2%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-1
88.8%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Shaq Lawson for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 39Similar
Q3 8:56
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
89.1%
Tyler Newsome punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:4889% → 91%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
89.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+4
90.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 17Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+2
90.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
91.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 20Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
91.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
91.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
90.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 41 yds, downed at the NDame 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5810% → 9%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.0%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
90.1%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 37Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+8
90.9%
DeShone Kizer run for 8 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
90.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 39 yds, downed at the Clem 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20INT
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:4992% → 95%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
92.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+7
92.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
92.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 13 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
93.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 3
50
0
93.6%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 3
50
+5
93.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
94.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-3
93.9%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 48Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+15
93.9%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Renfrow, Hunter, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Russell, KeiVarae) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
94.6%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted, touchback. Cole Luke return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:407% → 16%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
93.2%
C.J. Prosise run for 9 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+9
93.2%
C.J. Prosise run for 9 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
93.3%
DeShone Kizer run for 6 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+56
83.6%
C.J. Prosise 56 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:0289% → 98%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
88.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 12 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+33
89.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 33 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
90.0%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 24Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+1
92.2%
C.J. Fuller run for 1 yd to the NDame 23Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+5
93.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
97.6%
Greg Huegel 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:398% → 22%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
91.6%
DeShone Kizer run for 19 yds to the Clem 45 DeShone Kizer fumbled, forced by Christian Wilkins, recovered by NDame C.J. Prosise for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
92.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 33 yds to the Clem 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
91.1%
DeShone Kizer run for 9 yds to the Clem 3Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
78.1%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0593% → 93%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
92.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
93.5%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+1
93.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 1 yd to the Clem 48Similar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
92.8%
Andy Teasdall punt for 34 yds, downed at the NDame 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
86.1%
DeShone Kizer pass intercepted B.J. Goodson return for no gain to the NDame 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26MISSED FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0294% → 96%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
94.4%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 36Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+9
95.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 9 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 2
OPP 27
0
96.1%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the NDame 27Similar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+45
96.0%
Greg Huegel 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 27FUMBLE
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:0713% → 17%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-8
87.0%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Christian Wilkins for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 20Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 18
OWN 20
+34
88.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 34 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
84.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 11 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
83.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 23 yds to the Clem 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
83.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris Brown, broken up by Cordrea TankersleySimilar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
83.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 8 yds Chris Brown fumbled, forced by Jayron Kearse, recovered by Clem B.J. GoodsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:0097% → 98%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
97.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+3
97.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+1
98.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Clem 10Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 4
OWN 10
+10
98.1%
Andy Teasdall punt for 32 yds , Will Fuller returns for 10 yds to the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 29TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:4311% → 36%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-6
88.7%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Kevin Dodd for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 38 DeShone Kizer fumbled, recovered by NDame DeShone Kizer , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 16
OPP 38
0
91.8%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 16
OPP 38
+20
92.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 20 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
87.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+16
88.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 16 yds to the Clem 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, Substitution Infraction (1 Yards) to the Clem 1Similar
Q4 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.4%
Torii Hunter Jr. 1 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
95.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:07
Torii Hunter Jr. 1 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-22.8
TD · Q4 9:03
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
-13
TD · Q4 14:13
C.J. Prosise 56 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com