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IU

Indiana 31 at Wake Forest 24

WAKE
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:40 · Erich Toth punt for 48 yds , Tabari Hines returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 181Home team on offense−43.0Score differential−19.5Garbage-time factor−11.1Pregame prior−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:05: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 28 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +6.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Griffin Oakes 30 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +6.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:27: Jordan Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +14.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:22: Kendall Hinton pass intercepted for a TD Tony Fields return for 20 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +9.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:33: Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for 29 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +22.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 9 of 12IU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00IU 4th & 2 at WAKE 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    57.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00IU 4th & 21 at WAKE 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    57.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:58WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:45WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:45IU 4th & 5 at IU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:10WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:43IU 4th & 6 at IU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:51WAKE 4th & 11 at IU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:38IU 4th & 7 at IU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:47WAKE 4th & 10 at IU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−6.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:47IU 4th & 11 at IU 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:27WAKE 4th & 3 at IU 47, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:47WAKE 4th & 18 at WAKE 44, down 14
    Numbers favored punt by 2.2 ptsWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%−2.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:59IU 4th & 13 at IU 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−2.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:52WAKE 4th & 12 at IU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00IU 4th & 5 at IU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:22WAKE 4th & 6 at IU 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:22WAKE 4th & 4 at IU 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−1.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:40IU 4th & 6 at IU 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:20WAKE 4th & 20 at IU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−0.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:45IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:34WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:05IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:27IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:22IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:25WAKE Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:33WAKE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
44.2%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+9
44.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 9 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
44.2%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the WFrst 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+7
44.2%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
44.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for no gain to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+3
44.2%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
44.2%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-5
44.2%
Nate Sudfeld run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 36
-9
44.2%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Marquel Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 21
OPP 45
0
44.2%
Erich Toth punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
45.2%
Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 8Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 11
OWN 8
0
45.2%
Tyler Bell run for no gain to the WFrst 8Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 11
OWN 8
0
45.0%
Kendall Hinton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 11
OWN 8
0
44.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 48 yds, downed at the Ind 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 2:5155% → 58%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
45.1%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 4
50
+3
45.0%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
45.0%
Nate Sudfeld run for 2 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
45.0%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+9
45.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Danny Friend for 9 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
44.9%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+20
44.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Damon Graham for 20 yds to the WFrst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
44.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Damon GrahamSimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
44.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+5
45.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive offside (Marquel Lee) to the WFrst 6Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
42.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jr. Simmie Cobbs for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
43.1%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Zack Shaw for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 18Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
43.0%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 7 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
42.6%
Alexander Kinal punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
41.9%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+1
42.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 1 yd to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
42.5%
Erich Toth punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
42.7%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
42.6%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
42.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Tabari Hines WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
41.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ind 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
42.0%
Sudfeld, Nate crossing pass complete to Graham, Damon for 17 yards to the IND43, PENALTY IND holding (Camiel, D.) 10 yards to the IND16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 20
OWN 16
0
42.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 20
OWN 16
+14
42.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 14 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+45
42.8%
Erich Toth punt for 45 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 0 yards to the WFrst 25, fumble by Tabari Hines, forced by Ben Bach, recovered by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:0142% → 50%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
42.0%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+29
42.0%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 29 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
43.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 5 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (Darius Latham) to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
44.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 11 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
44.1%
Kendall Hinton run for no gain to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
50.4%
Kendall Hinton run for 15 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 92 yds · 3:2953% → 61%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
47.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 15 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
47.1%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+18
47.2%
Jordan Howard run for 18 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
46.0%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+6
45.7%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
45.5%
Devine Redding run for 9 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q2 14:34
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+7
45.5%
Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
45.1%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
38.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 28 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
14 plays · 27 yds · 3:1441% → 38%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. Brent, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.0%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
40.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 5 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
41.6%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. Brent, broken up by Nick MangieriSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
41.4%
Kendall Hinton run for 5 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+12
41.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 12 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
43.2%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 9 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 1
OPP 38
-5
43.3%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
43.3%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Chase DutraSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
40.6%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. Brent, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 6
OPP 43
-5
38.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
37.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
38.0%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+11
38.0%
Jordan Howard run for 11 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
37.0%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
36.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky Jones INDIANA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
37.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Tegray ScalesSimilar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
38.9%
Erich Toth punt for 36 yds , Tabari Hines returns for no gain to the WFrst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:2138% → 44%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
38.2%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+32
37.9%
Kendall Hinton run for 17 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (T.J. Simmons) to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
40.8%
K.J. Brent pass complete to Tabari Hines for 19 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
41.7%
Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
41.7%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 6
OPP 13
-4
40.5%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 17Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
44.3%
Mike Weaver 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 55%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
42.4%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 24Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
42.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete, broken up by Tylor HarrisSimilar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
43.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+7
44.7%
Erich Toth punt for 37 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 7 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3646% → 45%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
46.3%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. Brent, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
44.8%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+7
43.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 7 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
45.0%
Alexander Kinal punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 2:2058% → 69%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
42.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+6
38.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 6 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
37.6%
Nate Sudfeld run for 4 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
37.2%
Nate Sudfeld run for no gain to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+12
37.9%
Devine Redding run for 12 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
37.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+14
37.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Devine Redding for 14 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+30
30.6%
Griffin Oakes 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.5%
Matt Colburn run for 8 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
38.3%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 3 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
37.3%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Marcus Oliver for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+7
36.3%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
36.6%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
35.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:2266% → 83%
Q3 12:49
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+15
34.2%
Sudfeld, Nate deep out pass incomplete to Corsaro, A., PENALTY WF pass interference (Gaulden, D) 15 yards to the IND38, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
32.6%
Jordan Howard run for 14 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
31.7%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+7
31.8%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+5
32.0%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
31.5%
Nate Sudfeld run for 9 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+5
31.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaac Griffith for 5 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
31.3%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+3
31.3%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
31.3%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
31.3%
Howard, Jordan rush left for 2 yards to the WF3 (Stewart, C), PENALTY WF 12 men on the field 3 yards to the WF2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.7%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:4020% → 19%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
20.0%
Tyler Bell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
20.2%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
19.8%
Kendall Hinton run for 6 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
20.5%
Matt Colburn run for 21 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
22.5%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete, broken up by Nick MangieriSimilar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-4
22.3%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Nick Mangieri for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 48Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 14
OWN 48
-4
19.5%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Darius Latham for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 18
OWN 44
+6
19.2%
Charles Argenzio run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 4:59
2ND & 10
50
-5
13.9%
Redding, Devine rush left for 7 yards to the WF43 (Glenn, C;Austin, D), PENALTY IND illegal formation 5 yards to the IND45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+2
14.2%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 13
OWN 47
+31
15.4%
Erich Toth punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAKEFOREST 17 INDIANA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
17.3%
Hinton, K sideline pass incomplete to Brent, KJ, PENALTY IND pass interference (Fant, Rashard) 15 yards to the WF37, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
18.2%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+15
18.7%
Hinton, K sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WF30 (McCray III, R.), PENALTY IND face mask (McCray III, R.) 15 yards to the IND46, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
19.9%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
19.6%
Kendall Hinton run for no gain to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-2
19.0%
Tyler Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
17.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:0188% → 89%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+12
12.1%
Jordan Howard run for 12 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
11.8%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+9
10.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaac Griffith for 9 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
10.8%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
10.3%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
10.2%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+4
10.3%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
10.3%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
11.1%
Erich Toth punt for 48 yds, downed at the WFrst 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:5412% → 3%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
12.3%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
12.2%
Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 6Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+20
2.5%
Kendall Hinton pass intercepted for a TD Tony Fields return for 20 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:573% → 8%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
2.7%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 29 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
3.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
3.0%
Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
3.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by Tegray ScalesSimilar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+11
3.0%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 11 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
3.4%
Cam Serigne pass incomplete to Tyler BellSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
3.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+3
3.2%
Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+9
3.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Chuck Wade for 9 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
3.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 7 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 3
OPP 9
-5
3.5%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Phil Haynes) to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
3.5%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
7.7%
Kendall Hinton run for 14 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 16 yds · 2:4596% → 98%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
4.3%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
4.3%
Jordan Howard run for 10 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
4.4%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
4.2%
Howard, Jordan rush right for 11 yards to the IND48, out-of-bounds (Glenn, C), PENALTY IND holding (Fuchs, Jordan) 10 yards to the IND27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+2
4.3%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+5
4.4%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+7
3.0%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+48
2.5%
Erich Toth punt for 48 yds , Tabari Hines returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 0:593% → 26%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
3.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+17
3.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 17 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
3.2%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 14 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
3.3%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 20 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
3.5%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 10 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
4.0%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
26.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for 29 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 12 yds · 1:1321% → 13%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
21.2%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-8
19.8%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 8 yards to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 18
OWN 38
0
17.4%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by Jr. Andre BrownSimilar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 18
OWN 38
+15
12.8%
Hinton, K deep pass incomplete to Brent, KJ, PENALTY IND pass interference (Fant, Rashard) 15 yards to the IND47, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
17.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 15 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
22.4%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
21.8%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
17.5%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 10
OPP 32
-10
14.3%
Hinton, K sideline pass complete to Lewis, C for 12 yards to the IND20, PENALTY WF holding (Herron, J) 10 yards to the IND42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 20
OPP 42
0
13.2%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. Brent, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0397% → 97%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
2.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-2
2.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 14
OWN 38
-2
2.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:33
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for 29 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+22.1
TD · Q3 8:27
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q4 10:22
Kendall Hinton pass intercepted for a TD Tony Fields return for 20 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com