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DEL

Delaware 14 at North Carolina 41

UNC
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadDEL aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreDEL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:12 · Kareem Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 33 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+46.9Home team on offense−0.6Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 8:16: Nick Weiler 46 yd FG GOOD — DEL win probability +0.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:20: Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Mack Hollins for 33 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK) — UNC win probability +1.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:21: Thomas Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Frank Raggo KICK) — DEL win probability +7.7 pts (now 11%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:40: Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Mack Hollins for 64 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK) — UNC win probability +5.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:30: Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Bug Howard for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK) — UNC win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3DEL made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 6:12DEL 4th & 2 at UNC 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:59UNC 4th & 2 at DEL 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00DEL 4th & 9 at DEL 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:16UNC 4th & 21 at DEL 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:28DEL 4th & 10 at UNC 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:15UNC 4th & 7 at DEL 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:43DEL 4th & 6 at UNC 45, down 6
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:21DEL 4th & 1 at UNC 1, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:35DEL 4th & 6 at DEL 13, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:30DEL 4th & 5 at DEL 41, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:35DEL 4th & 9 at DEL 41, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5DEL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:09DEL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:45UNC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:20UNC Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:21DEL Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:40UNC Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:30UNC Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:35UNC Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DELDrive 1TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.3%
Thomas Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Delaw 28Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+72
99.2%
Thomas Jefferson run for 72 yds for a TD, (Frank Raggo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:1599% → 99%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.2%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 9 yds to the NCaro 44Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
99.2%
Marquise Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+9
99.2%
Elijah Hood run for 9 yds to the Delaw 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+29
99.2%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 29 yds to the Delaw 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.2%
Marquise Williams run for 18 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 3INT
14 plays · 54 yds · 6:251% → 2%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
99.1%
Kareem Williams run for 8 yds to the Delaw 21Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+10
99.1%
Kareem Williams run for 10 yds to the Delaw 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.1%
Joe Walker run for 5 yds to the Delaw 36Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
99.1%
Kareem Williams run for 2 yds to the Delaw 38Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+6
99.1%
Kareem Williams run for 6 yds to the Delaw 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.1%
Kareem Williams run for 7 yds to the NCaro 49Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+5
99.1%
Joe Walker run for 5 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.1%
Kareem Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 40Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
99.1%
Jamie Jarmon run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+2
99.1%
Kareem Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 36Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+3
98.6%
Kareem Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
98.5%
Joe Walker pass intercepted Jeff Schoettmer return for 3 yds to the NCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:3499% → 98%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
98.5%
Elijah Hood run for 17 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.6%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Nasir AdderleySimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.6%
Marquise Williams run for 6 yds to the NCaro 43Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
98.6%
DELAWARE Penalty, (5 Yards) to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
98.6%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Damien Washington for 9 yds to the Delaw 43Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+2
98.6%
Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the Delaw 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
98.6%
Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the Delaw 39Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+3
98.6%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Mack Hollins for 3 yds to the Delaw 36Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+11
98.6%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 11 yds to the Delaw 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.6%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Damien WashingtonSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.6%
T.J. Logan run for 3 yds to the Delaw 22Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+5
98.6%
Elijah Hood run for 5 yds to the Delaw 17Similar
Q1 0:59
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
98.1%
Nick Weiler 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:592% → 2%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.9%
Thomas Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Delaw 22Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
97.9%
Thomas Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Delaw 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+7
97.7%
Jamie Jarmon run for 7 yds to the Delaw 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
97.7%
Thomas Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Delaw 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+4
97.6%
Joe Walker run for 4 yds to the Delaw 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Joe Walker run for no gain to the Delaw 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
97.6%
Thomas Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Delaw 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
97.7%
Joe Walker pass incomplete to Trejon DinkinsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+2
97.8%
Eric Enderson punt for 38 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 2 yds to the NCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 3:3397% → 97%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
97.3%
Marquise Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 18Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
97.3%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Ryan SwitzerSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+15
97.2%
Marquise Williams sideline pass incomplete to Bug Howard (Nasir Adderley), PENALTY DELAWARE face mask (David Tinsley) 15 yards to the NC33, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
97.3%
Elijah Hood run for 4 yds to the NCaro 37Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+13
97.4%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
50
+1
97.5%
T.J. Logan run for 1 yd to the Delaw 49Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+22
97.5%
Marquise Williams run for 22 yds to the Delaw 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.6%
Marquise Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the Delaw 33 Marquise Williams fumbled, recovered by NCaro Marquise Williams , return for no gain to the Delaw 33Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 16
OPP 33
0
97.5%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Elijah Hood, broken up by John NassibSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 16
OPP 33
+15
97.4%
DELAWARE Penalty, personal foul (John Nassib) to the Delaw 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.6%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Romar Morris for no gain to the Delaw 18Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
97.6%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug HowardSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-11
97.5%
Marquise Williams sacked by Larry Spears for a loss of 11 yards to the Delaw 29Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 21
OPP 29
+46
96.6%
Nick Weiler 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:414% → 4%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
96.4%
Kareem Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 32Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-8
96.3%
Kareem Williams run for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 40Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+3
96.6%
Joe Walker run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
96.4%
Joe Walker pass incomplete, broken up by Nazair JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:0996% → 97%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
96.4%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 14 yds to the Delaw 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.6%
Mitch Trubisky run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 46 Mitch Trubisky fumbled, recovered by NCaro Mitch Trubisky , return for no gain to the NCaro 46Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+7
96.3%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 7 yds to the Delaw 47Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+35
96.5%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 35 yds to the Delaw 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
96.7%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 3 yds to the Delaw 9Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
96.7%
Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer, broken up by Justin WatsonSimilar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
96.6%
Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer, broken up by Justin WatsonSimilar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
96.7%
Nick Weiler 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 9END OF HALF
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
96.5%
Thomas Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Delaw 26Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+13
96.5%
Thomas Jefferson run for 13 yds to the Delaw 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
96.3%
Thomas Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Delaw 46Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
96.1%
Thomas Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Delaw 48Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-1
96.1%
Thomas Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.7%
Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
96.0%
Elijah Hood run for 4 yds to the NCaro 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
95.8%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Kendrick Singleton for 4 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
96.0%
Mitch Trubisky run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 49 Mitch Trubisky fumbled, recovered by Delaw Jalen KindleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
94.0%
Joe Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Delaw 47 Joe Walker fumbled, recovered by Delaw Joe Walker , return for no gain to the Delaw 47Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+8
94.6%
Kareem Williams run for 8 yds to the NCaro 45Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
94.1%
Joe Walker pass incomplete to Brandon Whaley, broken up by Dajaun DrennonSimilar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
94.6%
Eric Enderson punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 2:0395% → 97%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
94.8%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 13 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
94.9%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 6 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
95.0%
Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Bug HowardSimilar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+14
94.7%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Elijah Hood for 14 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
95.3%
Elijah Hood run for 6 yds to the Delaw 49 for a 1ST down DELAWARE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (John Nassib) to the Delaw 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
95.4%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 8 yds to the Delaw 28Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 2
OPP 28
-5
95.5%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Ryan Switzer) to the Delaw 33Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+33
97.4%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Mack Hollins for 33 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 13TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:553% → 11%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
97.0%
Joe Walker pass complete to Jamie Jarmon for 6 yds to the Delaw 26Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
96.8%
Thomas Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Delaw 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
96.8%
Joe Walker pass complete to Brandon Whaley for 7 yds to the Delaw 37Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
96.6%
Thomas Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Delaw 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
96.7%
Joe Walker pass complete to Tre Brown for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 1
50
+5
96.5%
Thomas Jefferson run for 5 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
96.5%
Thomas Jefferson run for 10 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
96.3%
Thomas Jefferson run for 4 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+23
96.2%
Kareem Williams run for 23 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
96.2%
Kareem Williams run for 7 yds to the NCaro 1Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.2%
Thomas Jefferson run for no gain to the NCaro 1Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.5%
Joe Walker pass incomplete to Tre Brown, broken up by Mike HughesSimilar
Q3 3:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.8%
Thomas Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Frank Raggo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4192% → 97%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.5%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Romar Morris for 5 yds to the NCaro 30Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
91.7%
Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the NCaro 32Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
91.3%
Mitch Trubisky run for 4 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
96.9%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Mack Hollins for 64 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
96.0%
Kareem Williams run for 2 yds to the Delaw 11Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
96.0%
Joe Walker pass incomplete to Brandon WhaleySimilar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+2
96.1%
Joe Walker pass complete to Trejon Dinkins for 2 yds to the Delaw 13Similar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 6
OWN 13
+3
96.2%
Eric Enderson punt for 47 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 3 yds to the NCaro 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:3097% → 99%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
97.4%
Elijah Hood run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
50
0
97.4%
Elijah Hood run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
50
+10
97.2%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Kendrick Singleton for 10 yds to the Delaw 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
97.4%
Mitch Trubisky run for 11 yds to the Delaw 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
97.4%
Mitch Trubisky run for 17 yds to the Delaw 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
97.4%
Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the Delaw 10Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
99.4%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Bug Howard for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Thomas Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Delaw 34Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
Thomas Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Delaw 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.4%
Thomas Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Delaw 39Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
99.4%
Thomas Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Delaw 42Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-1
99.4%
Joe Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 41 DELAWARE Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Eric Enderson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:4299% → 100%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
99.3%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 14 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.3%
Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 28 Elijah Hood fumbled, forced by Charles Bell,Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+9
99.3%
Mitch Trubisky run for 9 yds to the NCaro 37Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+63
99.9%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 63 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
100.0%
Kareem Williams run for 15 yds to the Delaw 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Kareem Williams run for no gain to the Delaw 40Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Kareem Williams run for 2 yds to the Delaw 42Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-1
100.0%
Kareem Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 41Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+12
100.0%
Eric Enderson punt for 51 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 12 yds to the NCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20END OF GAME
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
99.9%
T.J. Logan run for 20 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
T.J. Logan run for 1 yd to the NCaro 41Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Caleb Henderson pass incomplete, broken up by Jalen KindleSimilar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+21
100.0%
Caleb Henderson run for 21 yds to the Delaw 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
100.0%
T.J. Logan run for 1 yd to the Delaw 36 T.J. Logan fumbled, forced by Anthony Jackson,Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
100.0%
N/A run for 3 yds to the Delaw 33Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+5
100.0%
Caleb Henderson run for 5 yds to the Delaw 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
100.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the Delaw 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:21
Thomas Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Frank Raggo KICK)
-7.7
TD · Q3 1:40
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Mack Hollins for 64 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q4 11:30
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Bug Howard for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com