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NIU

Northern Illinois 14 at Boston College 17

BC
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.7BC 93.2%Colton Lichtenberg 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q4 4:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:40 · Colton Lichtenberg 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Home team on offense+23.0Pregame prior+0.8Garbage-time factor+14.0Score differential+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Blowout margin−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:54: Troy Flutie pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 27 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +7.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:57: Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +11.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:07: Jon Hilliman run for 21 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — BC win probability +19.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:22: Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the NoIll 34 — BC win probability +8.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:27: Colton Lichtenberg kickoff for 51 yds , Aregeros Turner return for 86 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +11.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 10NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00BC 4th & 6 at BC 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:03BC 4th & 10 at NIU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    63.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:08NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:45BC 4th & 12 at NIU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    63.0%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:17NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:24BC 4th & 6 at BC 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:52NIU 4th & 15 at NIU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  8. Q1 2:58BC 4th & 12 at BC 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 15:00NIU 4th & 14 at NIU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:54NIU 4th & 13 at NIU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:11BC 4th & 4 at BC 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:01NIU 4th & 21 at NIU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−3.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:04BC 4th & 9 at BC 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:40NIU 4th & 1 at BC 12, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.3%−3.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−14.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00NIU 4th & 10 at BC 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:22BC 4th & 22 at NIU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−2.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:56NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−1.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:40BC 4th & 7 at NIU 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−5.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:26BC 4th & 1 at BC 34, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.1 ptsPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%−6.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:20NIU 4th & 10 at BC 40, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.0 ptsWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%−3.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%
    34% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−6.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 8:54BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:57NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:07BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:27NIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
60.2%
Troy Flutie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
60.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
60.2%
Troy Flutie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
60.2%
Alex Howell punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
60.1%
Jordan Huff run for 1 yd to the NoIll 36Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
60.1%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for no gain to the NoIll 36Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+6
60.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 6 yds Kenny Golladay fumbled, forced by Atem Ntantang, recovered by BC Justin SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
60.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-1
60.5%
Troy Flutie run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-3
60.4%
Troy Flutie run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
60.2%
Alex Howell punt for 23 yds, downed at the NoIll 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
60.1%
Aregeros Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 19Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
60.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 20Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
60.3%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
60.4%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 36 yds, downed at the BC 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
60.7%
Jeff Smith run for 20 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
60.9%
Jeff Smith run for 2 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-5
61.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+6
60.6%
Jeff Smith run for 6 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-5
60.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 38Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 12
OPP 38
0
60.4%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
60.1%
Alex Howell punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
59.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 6 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 4
OWN 17
-5
59.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 12Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+1
59.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 13Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+5
60.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
60.4%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 69 yds, downed at the BC 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
59.9%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 13Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
59.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
59.5%
Troy Flutie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
59.2%
Alex Howell punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
58.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
59.1%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
59.5%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
59.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for no gain to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+12
60.3%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 47 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 12 yds to the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
60.2%
Tyler Rouse run for 17 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
61.1%
Jeff Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 43 Jeff Smith fumbled, recovered by BC Tyler RouseSimilar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+2
60.3%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
59.8%
Jeff Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
59.4%
Alex Howell punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
59.1%
Drew Hare run for no gain to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
59.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 12 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
58.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-5
58.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
59.1%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-2
59.7%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
60.2%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:1360% → 69%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
60.3%
Troy Flutie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
60.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
61.0%
Troy Flutie run for 3 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
61.5%
Troy Flutie run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 4
50
+3
61.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+9
61.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
61.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+6
62.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
61.6%
Troy Flutie run for 2 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
69.2%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 27 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 1:5633% → 31%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
66.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 14Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 15
OWN 14
0
67.0%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee Lewis, broken up by John JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+4
67.1%
Drew Hare run for 4 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+13
67.8%
Drew Hare run for 13 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
66.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
66.1%
Drew Hare run for no gain to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-7
67.3%
Drew Hare sacked by Connor Wujciak for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 13
OWN 28
+9
69.0%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 37 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 9 yds to the BC 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13INT
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:0070% → 71%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
70.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
70.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+30
69.3%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Sherman Alston for 30 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+79
70.7%
Troy Flutie pass intercepted Shawun Lurry return for 79 yds to the BC 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:1836% → 47%
Q2 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
63.9%
Drew Hare run for no gain to the BC 4Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
63.9%
Drew Hare run for 2 yds to the BC 2Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
52.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4259% → 58%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
59.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
59.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
58.8%
Troy Flutie pass incomplete to Tyler RouseSimilar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+7
57.6%
Alex Howell punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 31 , Chad Beebe returns for 7 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:5645% → 41%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
55.4%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-2
55.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 29Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 12
OWN 29
-9
58.4%
Drew Hare sacked by Connor Strachan for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 21
OWN 20
0
59.1%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17END OF HALF
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:4660% → 61%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
60.4%
Troy Flutie run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 35Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+12
59.3%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Bobby Swigert for 12 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
61.9%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Bobby Swigert for 6 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
62.7%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-2
61.3%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0044% → 45%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
55.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 25Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+12
56.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 12 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
54.9%
Drew Hare pass intercepted John Johnson return for no gain to the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0060% → 57%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
59.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-2
60.1%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 25Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-2
58.1%
Troy Flutie sacked by Mario Jones and Perez Ford for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 23Similar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
57.1%
Alex Howell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chad Beebe at the NoIll 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:2445% → 47%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
54.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 5 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-4
53.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 38Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+13
55.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 13 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
52.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+16
52.6%
Drew Hare run for 16 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
51.5%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 31Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 11
OPP 31
-5
51.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 36Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 16
OPP 36
0
53.8%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+15
55.3%
HARE, Drew pass incomplete to MAXWELL, Desroy, PENALTY BC pass interference (Schwab,T) 15 yards to the BC21, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
51.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+7
51.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 7 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
52.5%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+29
53.5%
Christian Hagan 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 6:3359% → 84%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
58.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
58.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
59.5%
Thadd Smith run for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-1
59.8%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 33Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+17
57.9%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Thadd Smith for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
50
+5
62.7%
Tyler Rouse run for 5 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-2
63.2%
Troy Flutie run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+7
61.8%
Jeff Smith run for 7 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
63.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+14
63.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 14 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
64.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+21
84.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 21 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:0424% → 23%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
76.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 16 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
74.8%
HARE, Drew rush for loss of 5 yards to the NIU31 (Wujciak,C), PENALTY BC personal foul (Landry,H) 15 yards to the BC49, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
72.4%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
50
+1
74.2%
Jordan Huff run for 1 yd to the BC 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
75.0%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
77.1%
TEAM punt blocked by , punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 43 blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0085% → 82%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
85.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+6
85.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
85.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-4
85.5%
Jeff Smith run for 11 yds to the NoIll 15 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding (Bobby Wolford) to the NoIll 30Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+3
85.4%
Myles Willis run for 3 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 9
OPP 27
-9
84.5%
Jeff Smith run for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 40 Jeff Smith fumbled, recovered by BC Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 14:22
4TH & 22
OPP 40
0
81.6%
Alex Howell punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
80.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
80.1%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 7 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
79.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Christian Blake for no gain to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
80.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 32Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
81.7%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
82.4%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:2386% → 93%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
85.8%
Jeff Smith run for 7 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
87.4%
Myles Willis run for 2 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
86.7%
Troy Flutie run for 3 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
87.5%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 47Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+35
87.1%
Jeff Smith run for 20 yds to the BOSTCOLL 33 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Paris Logan) to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
88.0%
Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the NoIll 17Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+10
88.0%
Tyler Rouse run for 10 yds to the NoIll 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
88.0%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 11Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
92.8%
Tyler Rouse run for 5 yds to the NoIll 6Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
92.7%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 7Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
93.2%
Colton Lichtenberg 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0181% → 86%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
80.7%
Tyler Rouse run for 5 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
79.7%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
85.8%
Alex Howell punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+26
86.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Chad Beebe for 26 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
82.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 5 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
80.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee Lewis, broken up by Steven DanielsSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-5
82.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (Andrew Ness) to the BC 40Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
84.7%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee Lewis, broken up by Justin SimmonsSimilar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
86.7%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Desroy MaxwellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0090% → 88%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
90.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 39Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-1
89.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 38Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 12
OWN 38
-1
88.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:07
Jon Hilliman run for 21 yds for a TD, (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
+19.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+12
TD · Q4 4:27
Colton Lichtenberg kickoff for 51 yds , Aregeros Turner return for 86 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
-11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com