Try the model
WAKE

Wake Forest 17 at Army 14

ARMY
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Michie Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:05 · Alex Tardieu punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Pregame prior−6.3Home team on offense+8.2Score differential+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Garbage-time factor+2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:07: Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK) — ARMY win probability +8.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:52: Kendall Hinton run for 15 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +23.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:41: Kendall Hinton run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +21.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:25: Christian Drake run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK) — ARMY win probability +43.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Mike Weaver 47 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +36.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 9WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00WAKE 4th & 8 at ARMY 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    53.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:18ARMY 4th & 17 at ARMY 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:22WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:18ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:07WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:52ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 26, up 7
    Close callPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:42WAKE 4th & 17 at ARMY 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:55ARMY 4th & 9 at ARMY 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:18WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:05ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 38, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:52ARMY 4th & 21 at ARMY 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−5.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:44ARMY 4th & 2 at WAKE 22, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%−1.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−14.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:39ARMY 4th & 12 at ARMY 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−6.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:07ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:52WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:41WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:25ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.4%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+20
35.4%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 5 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, personal foul (Chris Carnegie) to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
35.4%
John Wolford run for 11 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
35.4%
Tabari Hines run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 47
0
35.4%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 47
-5
35.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, delay of game (Kendall Hinton) to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 48
+12
35.4%
Kendall Hinton run for 12 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
35.4%
Alexander Kinal punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Edgar Poe at the Army 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
36.5%
Nicholas Black run for 1 yd to the Army 12Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+3
36.4%
Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+8
36.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
36.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+5
36.6%
Aaron Kemper run for 5 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
36.6%
John Trainor run for a loss of 7 yards to the Army 30Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+2
36.4%
Aaron Kemper run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 15
OWN 32
-2
36.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 30Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
36.2%
Alex Tardieu punt for 47 yds , Tabari Hines returns for no gain to the WFrst 30 WAKE FOREST Penalty, illegal block (Brad Watson) to the WFrst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
38.1%
Tyler Bell run for 8 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+8
37.9%
Matt Colburn run for 8 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
38.0%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-11
38.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Tyler Hayworth) to the WFrst 18Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 21
OWN 18
+8
38.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 8 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+15
38.4%
Wolford, J pass incomplete, PENALTY ARMY personal foul (Voit, John) 15 yards to the WF41, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
37.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 3 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
37.4%
Tyler Bell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+1
37.5%
Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
37.8%
Alexander Kinal punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Edgar Poe at the Army 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
39.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+3
40.1%
Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
39.9%
Drue Harris run for 4 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
39.9%
Drue Harris run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+3
39.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
39.4%
Drue Harris run for no gain to the Army 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0362% → 61%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
38.4%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the Army 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+7
38.4%
John Wolford run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 32 John Wolford fumbled, recovered by WFrst Tyler Bell , return for 7 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+17
39.0%
John Wolford pass intercepted Jeremy Timpf return for 17 yds to the Army 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 4:0343% → 53%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
43.0%
Aaron Kemper run for 3 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
43.1%
Aaron Kemper run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 5
50
+31
42.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to DeAndre Bell for 31 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
43.8%
Aaron Kemper run for 4 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+1
43.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the WFrst 14Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+11
43.1%
Joe Walker run for 11 yds to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
43.8%
Matt Giachinta run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 4Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
52.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
48.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 7 yds to the WFrst 41 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding (Cam Serigne) to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
49.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
49.9%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
50.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, delay of game (Alexander Kinal) to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
51.2%
Alexander Kinal punt for 55 yds, downed at the Army 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
51.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
52.1%
Aaron Kemper run for 2 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 1
OWN 28
-2
51.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 26Similar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
50.0%
Alex Tardieu punt for 39 yds, downed at the WFrst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
52.6%
Kendall Hinton run for 9 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
50.8%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
51.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 12 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
50.8%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
50.8%
Tyler Bell run for no gain to the Army 40Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-3
51.1%
Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 43Similar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 11
OPP 43
-6
53.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, delay of game (-6 Yards) to the Army 49Similar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 17
OPP 49
0
54.2%
Alexander Kinal punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:4557% → 58%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
57.3%
Joe Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+12
57.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 12 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
57.6%
Drue Harris run for 2 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-1
58.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 35Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
59.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for no gain to the Army 35Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 9
OWN 35
-8
58.1%
Alex Tardieu punt for 43 yds , Tabari Hines returns for a loss of 8 yards to the WFrst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
61.4%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
59.6%
Bradshaw, Ahmad rush for 5 yards to the ARMY30 (Janvion, R;Chubb, B), PENALTY ARMY clipping (Tamasese, Riko) 12 yards to the ARMY13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+8
59.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-1
59.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw sacked by Hunter Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+10
58.0%
Matt Giachinta run for 10 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
57.3%
Alex Tardieu punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
59.6%
Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-1
59.2%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+1
61.0%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+47
62.0%
Alexander Kinal punt for 47 yds , Edgar Poe returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
63.4%
Aaron Kemper run for 1 yd to the Army 18Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+4
63.2%
Aaron Kemper run for 4 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+8
62.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
63.6%
Aaron Kemper run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-1
63.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 31Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+7
62.4%
Joe Walker run for 7 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
62.7%
Alex Tardieu punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:3335% → 60%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
64.7%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Brandon JacksonSimilar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
65.0%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 6 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+7
65.2%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+51
63.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 51 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
40.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 15 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
50.2%
Christian Drake run for 9 yds to the WFrst 47 Christian Drake fumbled, forced by Zach Dancel, recovered by Army John Trainor for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
54.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 44 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, recovered by Army Ahmad BradshawSimilar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 19
OWN 44
+1
51.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the Army 45Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 18
OWN 45
-3
49.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 42Similar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 21
OWN 42
0
47.7%
Alex Tardieu punt for 29 yds, downed at the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:3253% → 80%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
46.7%
Kendall Hinton run for 5 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, personal foul (Andrew King) to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
42.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tabari Hines for no gain to the WFrst 49Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
43.7%
Kendall Hinton run for 3 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+28
43.3%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 28 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
40.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 8 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+1
40.9%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the Army 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+5
42.9%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
41.2%
Tyler Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 7Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
19.8%
Kendall Hinton run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:5127% → 28%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
27.4%
Matt Giachinta run for 4 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+8
27.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
29.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+23
31.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to John Trainor for 23 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
33.5%
Matt Giachinta run for 4 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+3
33.5%
Aaron Kemper run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+1
31.5%
Aaron Kemper run for 1 yd to the WFrst 22Similar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+39
27.5%
Daniel Grochowski 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0080% → 82%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
20.1%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Charles Argenzio for 1 yd to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+20
20.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 20 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
17.7%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tyler Bell for no gain to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
17.9%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+45
18.3%
Kendall Hinton pass intercepted Brandon Jackson return for 45 yds to the WFrst 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20TD
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q4 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
62.0%
Christian Drake run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21INT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.7%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
50.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
51.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 12 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
48.0%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
45.2%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
50
-6
44.2%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Kenneth Brinson and Jeremy Timpf for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 16
OWN 44
0
48.5%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 16
OWN 44
0
49.8%
Kendall Hinton pass intercepted Brandon Jackson return for no gain to the Army 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 52%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
55.7%
Matt Giachinta run for 6 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
59.7%
Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
58.6%
Drue Harris run for 2 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
59.8%
Drue Harris run for 3 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-5
60.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 44Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
54.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Christian DrakeSimilar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
52.3%
Alex Tardieu punt for 49 yds , Tabari Hines returns for no gain to the WFrst 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23FG
17 plays · 64 yds · 2:3550% → 95%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
50.3%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 6Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+2
49.5%
Kendall Hinton run for 2 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+13
51.4%
Kendall Hinton run for 13 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
47.8%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+22
48.5%
Isaiah Robinson run for 22 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
42.6%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 17 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
41.1%
Kendall Hinton sacked by Bayle Wolf for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 44Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+7
44.6%
Kendall Hinton run for 7 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+8
42.4%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 8 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
38.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
39.1%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by Xavier MossSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+47
5.3%
Mike Weaver 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:25
Christian Drake run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)
+43.6
FG · Q4 0:00
Mike Weaver 47 yd FG GOOD
-36.6
TD · Q3 4:52
Kendall Hinton run for 15 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-23.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com