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CMU

Central Michigan 27 at Syracuse 30

SYR
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:58 · Riley Dixon punt for 60 yds, fair catch by Emmitt Thomas at the SYRACUSE 8 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, delay of game (4 Yards) to the CMich 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 109Pregame prior+7.3Home team on offense+8.3Garbage-time factor+3.5Score differential+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Time remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:11: Austin Wilson pass complete to Jamal Custis for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +7.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:58: Devon Spalding run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +11.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:07: Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 27 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +45.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Brian Eavey 20 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +16.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds for a TD — SYR win probability +43.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 7CMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:54SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:38CMU 4th & 9 at SYR 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:22SYR 4th & 3 at CMU 3, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:52CMU 4th & 12 at SYR 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CMU 4th & 5 at SYR 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:57CMU 4th & 1 at SYR 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%−1.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    15.1%−6.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:57SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:10CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:45CMU 4th & 19 at CMU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00SYR 4th & 4 at CMU 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:58SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:06CMU 4th & 17 at CMU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−4.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:54SYR 4th & 24 at SYR 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−5.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:15CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.1%−5.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:33SYR 4th & 6 at CMU 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.9%−1.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:51CMU 4th & 4 at SYR 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−5.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−7.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:11SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:20SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:57CMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:11SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:58CMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:07CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
68.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 1 yd to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
68.3%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
68.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 9 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+4
68.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 54 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 4 yds to the Syrac 33 SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Syrac 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
68.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
68.0%
Devante McFarlane run for 1 yd to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
67.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 9
OWN 12
0
67.9%
Riley Dixon punt for 46 yds, downed at the CMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:2432% → 33%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
67.7%
Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 2
50
+9
67.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 9 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
67.6%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+19
67.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 19 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
67.5%
Jay Roberson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 16Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
67.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony RiceSimilar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
67.7%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+34
66.7%
Brian Eavey 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4FG
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:1667% → 67%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
66.7%
Devante McFarlane run for 9 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+6
67.1%
Devante McFarlane run for 6 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
66.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+11
66.7%
Brisly Estime run for 11 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
67.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 6 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
67.3%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the CMich 10 for a 1ST down Jordan Fredericks for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
67.7%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the CMich 3Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
67.7%
Devante McFarlane run for no gain to the CMich 3Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
67.4%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
67.1%
Cole Murphy 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:3034% → 34%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.5%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 26Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
66.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 11 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+31
66.2%
Jahray Hayes run for 31 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
65.2%
Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
65.3%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-9
65.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 6 yds to the Syrac 26 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, clipping (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 19
OPP 41
+7
66.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 7 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 12
OPP 34
+51
65.9%
Brian Eavey 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
2 plays · 66 yds · 0:4167% → 72%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+62
66.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 62 yds to the CMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.2%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:1129% → 30%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
70.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 8 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+8
70.1%
Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
70.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 4 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
69.6%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+10
69.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 10 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
69.3%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-1
69.1%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
69.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCordSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
70.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:5572% → 80%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
71.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+31
72.0%
Eric Dungey run for 31 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
73.0%
Jordan Fredericks run for 9 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+10
73.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 10 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
80.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2322% → 28%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
77.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 27 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
76.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 10 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
76.8%
Devon Spalding run for 9 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+2
75.8%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
75.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 16 yds to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
75.8%
Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the Syrac 11Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
75.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCordSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+9
76.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 9 yds to the Syrac 2Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
72.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.4%
Devante McFarlane run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
74.5%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Sean Avant for 12 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+5
74.4%
Devante McFarlane run for 5 yds to the Syrac 44 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
75.8%
Austin Wilson pass incomplete to Devante McFarlaneSimilar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
75.1%
Austin Wilson pass incomplete to Alvin Cornelius, broken up by Stefon ArmsteadSimilar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
74.0%
Riley Dixon punt for 51 yds, downed at the CMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5325% → 22%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
74.8%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 5Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
74.9%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+1
77.2%
Mark Chapman run for 1 yd to the CMich 6Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 9
OWN 6
+4
77.6%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 39 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 4 yds to the CMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:5077% → 85%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
77.1%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Brisly Estime for 22 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
77.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+12
77.5%
Zack Mahoney run for 12 yds to the CMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
77.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 1 yd to the CMich 7Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
85.4%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Jamal Custis for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:2617% → 16%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
82.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 16 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
80.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-7
81.3%
Cooper Rush sacked by Ron Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 47 Cooper Rush fumbled, recovered by CMich Cooper Rush , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 19
OWN 47
0
84.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 19
OWN 47
0
84.4%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
84.4%
Devante McFarlane run for no gain to the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0085% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
84.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
84.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 5 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
-1
83.9%
George Morris II run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
83.3%
Riley Dixon punt for 43 yds, downed at the CMich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 94 yds · 4:1516% → 30%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
84.5%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 5Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+48
84.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 48 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
82.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+10
82.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 10 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
81.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 22 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
80.9%
Jahray Hayes run for 5 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+6
80.9%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the Syrac 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.7%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.2%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Ben Lewis for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
78.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
76.9%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+64
75.8%
Riley Dixon punt for 60 yds, fair catch by Emmitt Thomas at the SYRACUSE 8 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, delay of game (4 Yards) to the CMich 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18FUMBLE
15 plays · 64 yds · 7:0125% → 26%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
75.3%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 3Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+4
75.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 4 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+23
76.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 23 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
74.4%
Corey Willis run for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 24Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+5
75.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 5 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+25
76.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 25 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
71.7%
Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the Syrac 46Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
71.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
70.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
70.2%
Devon Spalding run for 9 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
71.3%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
69.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 5 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
69.6%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
-5
74.1%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 15
-13
74.1%
Cooper Rush sacked by Ron Thompson for a loss of 13 yards to the Syrac 32 Cooper Rush fumbled, recovered by Syrac Parris Bennett , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
84.5%
Austin Wilson pass intercepted Amari Coleman return for no gain to the CMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:1122% → 15%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
77.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 7 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+4
75.9%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
76.6%
Cooper Rush sacked by Luke Arciniega for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 33Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 17
OWN 33
0
78.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler ConklinSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 17
OWN 33
0
84.3%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
84.6%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brisly Estime at the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
86.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 13Similar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 20
OWN 13
-7
86.6%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Dontae Strickland for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 6Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 27
OWN 6
-2
86.2%
Austin Wilson sacked by Blake Serpa for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 4Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 29
OWN 4
+5
85.5%
Devante McFarlane run for 5 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 24
OWN 9
0
84.7%
Riley Dixon punt for 52 yds, downed at the CMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0018% → 22%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
81.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 4 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
80.9%
Jahray Hayes run for 5 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
80.8%
Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the CMich 48Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
82.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
50
+8
79.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 8 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+5
79.6%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
79.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 2 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+21
78.3%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Zaire Franklin return for 21 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0093% → 91%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
50
-4
92.6%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+4
92.0%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Devante McFarlane for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 10
50
+9
91.7%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Ben Lewis for 9 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-5
91.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 46Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
91.4%
TEAM punt, downed at the CMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24TD
16 plays · 90 yds · 2:1010% → 55%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
90.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 5 yds to the CMich 15Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+6
89.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 6 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
89.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 8 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+19
87.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 19 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
87.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 20 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
84.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 8 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
85.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jahray HayesSimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-2
87.4%
Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+6
90.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 6 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
84.7%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-7
85.5%
Cooper Rush sacked by Luke Arciniega for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 17
OPP 27
+27
45.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 27 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
58.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
40.5%
Devon Spalding run for 19 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
40.5%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the Syrac 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
40.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 4 yds to the Syrac 1Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
42.6%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 2Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
26.5%
Brian Eavey 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 85%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
41.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 8 yds to the CMich 17Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
-3
41.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+13
37.8%
Zack Mahoney pass complete to Kendall Moore for 13 yds to the CMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
41.3%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the CMich 4Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.6%
Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:07
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 27 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
-45.5
TD · OT 0:00
Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds for a TD
+43.3
FG · OT 0:00
Brian Eavey 20 yd FG GOOD
-16.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com