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CLEM

Clemson 20 at Louisville 17

LOU
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2015 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameTD+19.3LOU 32.3%Greg Huegel kickoff for 65 yds ,Traveon Samuel return for 100 yds fora TD, (John Wallace KICK)AWAY 20 - HOME 17 · Q4 9:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:41 · Greg Huegel kickoff for 65 yds , Traveon Samuel return for 100 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior−3.4Home team on offense−9.6Garbage-time factor−3.4Score differential−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:35: Jeremy Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Wallace KICK) — LOU win probability +12.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:57: Greg Huegel 36 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +8.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:37: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 25 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +17.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:41: Greg Huegel kickoff for 65 yds , Traveon Samuel return for 100 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK) — LOU win probability +19.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:19: Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 24 — CLEM win probability +12.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 9
  1. Q1 12:20LOU 4th & 13 at LOU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00LOU 4th & 3 at LOU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:39CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:13LOU 4th & 15 at LOU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:37CLEM 4th & 5 at LOU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−0.3
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:40LOU 4th & 16 at LOU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:05LOU 4th & 1 at LOU 38, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:18CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:22LOU 4th & 2 at CLEM 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.8%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:46LOU 4th & 7 at CLEM 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−0.8
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:37CLEM 4th & 4 at LOU 43, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:29LOU 4th & 4 at CLEM 9, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.2%−0.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−7.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:57CLEM 4th & 3 at LOU 19, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%−1.0
    77% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−10.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:08LOU 4th & 24 at LOU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−5.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:04CLEM 4th & 5 at LOU 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−2.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:02LOU 4th & 7 at CLEM 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−1.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:57CLEM 4th & 2 at LOU 10, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%−2.0
    88% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−12.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:34CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−4.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:28LOU 4th & 8 at CLEM 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−12.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−22.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:12CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 30, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.8 ptsPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%−4.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2CLEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:12CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:35LOU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:37CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:41LOU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:3130% → 31%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
29.8%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
30.2%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-10
30.5%
Kyle Bolin sacked by T.J. Green for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 30Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+3
30.6%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Micky Crum for 3 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
30.8%
Joshua Appleby punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:0769% → 69%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
31.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 4 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
31.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+4
31.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
31.2%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted James Burgess return for no gain to the Lvile 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5332% → 33%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
31.7%
Jeremy Smith run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
32.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 7 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-2
32.8%
Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 41Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
32.7%
Joshua Appleby punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:1267% → 66%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
32.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 1 yd to the Clem 16Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+13
32.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 13 yds to the Clem 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
32.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+2
32.8%
C.J. Davidson run for 2 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+8
32.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 8 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
32.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
32.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-4
33.1%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Sheldon Rankins for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 45Similar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
34.3%
Andy Teasdall punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaire Alexander at the Lvile 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0235% → 34%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
34.5%
Kyle Bolin sacked by Kevin Dodd and Shaq Lawson for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 11Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 15
OWN 11
0
34.5%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Lvile 11Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 15
OWN 11
0
34.4%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Micky Crum, broken up by Ben BoulwareSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 15
OWN 11
0
34.2%
Joshua Appleby punt for 47 yds, downed at the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:2766% → 66%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
34.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+13
34.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 13 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
33.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Germone HopperSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
34.0%
C.J. Davidson run for 5 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
34.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
34.5%
Deshaun Watson punt for 23 yds, downed at the Lvile 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:4936% → 36%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
36.0%
Brandon Radcliff run for 8 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+3
36.6%
Brandon Radcliff run for 3 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Devonte PeeteSimilar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
36.3%
Kyle Bolin run for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 19 Kyle Bolin fumbled, recovered by Lvile Kyle BolinSimilar
Q1 0:40
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
36.1%
Joshua Appleby punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:0765% → 70%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
35.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
50
-5
34.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Eric Mac Lain) to the Clem 45Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 15
OWN 45
-5
35.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Maverick Morris) to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+10
35.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
50
+6
35.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+12
35.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 12 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
29.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 32 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5232% → 32%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
31.9%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Ja'Quay Savage for 8 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+1
32.9%
Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Lvile 38Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
32.9%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Lvile 38Similar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
32.4%
Joshua Appleby punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3569% → 68%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
31.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 4 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
31.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 4 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 2
OWN 34
-3
30.9%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
32.1%
Andy Teasdall punt for 35 yds, downed at the Lvile 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:2532% → 33%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
32.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
33.1%
Brandon Radcliff run for 3 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
33.0%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+5
32.0%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Javonte Bagley for 5 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+5
32.3%
Brandon Radcliff run for 5 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
33.4%
Lamar Jackson run for 8 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
35.2%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
34.2%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 2
OPP 34
-5
33.2%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Ja'Quay Savage) to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 4:46
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
32.5%
Joshua Appleby punt for 16 yds, downed at the Clem 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:0069% → 72%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
30.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 16 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
29.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+6
28.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
28.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
27.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Lvile 43Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
27.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Wayne GallmanSimilar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
28.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jaire Alexander at the Lvile 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13FG
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:0431% → 39%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
31.3%
Bolin, Kyle pass incomplete to Thomas, Pat, PENALTY CLEMSON roughing passer (Lawson, Shaq) 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.Similar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
32.0%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith, broken up by Cordrea TankersleySimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+55
31.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 55 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
35.7%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Micky Crum for 2 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
35.8%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
34.0%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Brandon RadcliffSimilar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
38.8%
John Wallace 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:4264% → 63%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
36.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-5
36.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Mitch Hyatt) to the Clem 7Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+14
37.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 14 yds to the Clem 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3165% → 65%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
34.6%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Shaq Wiggins return for 16 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:4439% → 54%
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
38.6%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete, broken up by Ben BoulwareSimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+17
37.3%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to L.J. Scott for 17 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
40.0%
Brandon Radcliff run for 7 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+8
41.4%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Micky Crum for 8 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
41.2%
Bolin, Kyle pass incomplete to Crum, Micky, PENALTY CLEMSON personal foul (Lawson, Shaq) 13 yards to the CLEMSON13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.Similar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
41.3%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+6
41.5%
Brandon Radcliff run for 6 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
41.7%
Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
41.8%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.7%
Jeremy Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:3051% → 58%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
49.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 8 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
46.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Wayne GallmanSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+25
48.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 25 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
45.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+11
45.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 11 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
43.9%
C.J. Davidson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+3
44.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+1
45.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 1 yd to the Lvile 19Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+36
41.6%
Greg Huegel 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:3747% → 45%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
47.3%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith, broken up by Cordrea TankersleySimilar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-10
47.1%
Smith, Jeremy rush for 9 yards to the LOUISVILLE33, PENALTY LOUISVILLE holding (Lacy, Skylar) 10 yards to the LOUISVILLE14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 20
OWN 14
+4
47.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Javonte Bagley for 4 yds to the Lvile 18Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 16
OWN 18
-8
45.7%
Kyle Bolin sacked by Shaq Lawson for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 10Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 24
OWN 10
0
45.1%
Joshua Appleby punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:2158% → 78%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
41.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
40.6%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+9
41.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 9 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
40.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 5 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+17
39.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Stanton Seckinger for 17 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
21.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 25 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.6%
Kyle Bolin pass intercepted Cordrea Tankersley return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0577% → 76%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
50
+3
22.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 3 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
22.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
22.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Germone Hopper, broken up by Keith BrownSimilar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+17
24.3%
Andy Teasdall punt for 35 yds , Jaire Alexander returns for 17 yds to the Lvile 27 Jaire Alexander fumbled, forced by Andy Teasdall, recovered by Lvile Jaire AlexanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:4928% → 26%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
27.9%
Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 24Similar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+37
25.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Devonte Peete for 37 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
29.9%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
29.8%
Brandon Radcliff run for 3 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
28.9%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
26.1%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:5779% → 87%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
21.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 15 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
19.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+13
19.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 13 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
18.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Lvile 24Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+6
18.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
18.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Lvile 11Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-1
18.2%
C.J. Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 12Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+2
18.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 10Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+27
13.0%
Greg Huegel 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:5569% → 69%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
31.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+13
31.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 13 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
29.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 9 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
27.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
27.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 39Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+4
28.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
28.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
31.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaire Alexander at the Lvile 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 26MISSED FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:5734% → 33%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
33.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 15 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
34.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 5 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
35.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Devonte Peete for 4 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+15
35.8%
Lamar Jackson pass complete to L.J. Scott for 15 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
39.3%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 14 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
42.2%
Bolin, Kyle pass pass intended for Crum, Micky intercepted by Kearse, Jayron at the CLEMSON7, Kearse, Jayron return 4 yards to the CLEMSON11, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Harvey-Clemons, Josh) 10 yards to the CLEMSON23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
42.3%
Kyle Bolin sacked by Carlos Watkins for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 14
OPP 27
0
39.3%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Devonte PeeteSimilar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 14
OPP 27
+6
35.8%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Brandon Radcliff for 6 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
32.6%
John Wallace 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0780% → 87%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
19.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
13.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 25Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+5
13.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
13.4%
Andy Teasdall punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 28INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:0022% → 15%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
22.4%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Ja'Quay Savage for 3 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+23
21.3%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Micky Crum for 23 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
25.1%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Ja'Quay SavageSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-4
23.2%
Kyle Bolin sacked by Kevin Dodd for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 41Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+7
14.6%
Kyle Bolin pass intercepted Jadar Johnson return for 7 yds to the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:41
Greg Huegel kickoff for 65 yds , Traveon Samuel return for 100 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)
+19.3
TD · Q3 2:37
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 25 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
-17.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-14.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com