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FUR

Furman 3 at Virginia Tech 42

VT
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadFUR aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreFUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:28 · Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+37.7Home team on offense+9.5Score differential+3.3Garbage-time factor+0.9Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:53: Brenden Motley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:45: Brenden Motley pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:42: Jon Croft Hollingsworth 49 yd FG GOOD — FUR win probability +1.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: FUR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:35: Brenden Motley pass complete to Travon McMillian for 9 yds to the VTech 33 — VT win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:07: Trey Edmunds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Santamaria KICK) — VT win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 8FUR made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00FUR 4th & 4 at FUR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:57VT 4th & 3 at FUR 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:27FUR 4th & 7 at FUR 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:59VT 4th & 1 at VT 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:48VT 4th & 5 at FUR 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:42FUR 4th & 10 at VT 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:10VT 4th & 2 at FUR 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:53FUR 4th & 9 at FUR 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:20VT 4th & 3 at FUR 28, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:28FUR 4th & 30 at VT 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:30VT 4th & 5 at FUR 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:01FUR 4th & 4 at VT 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:42FUR 4th & 9 at VT 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:16FUR 4th & 19 at FUR 35, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:23VT 4th & 10 at FUR 21, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:27FUR 4th & 9 at midfield, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:03FUR 4th & 1 at FUR 41, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:03FUR 4th & 1 at VT 49, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:21VT 4th & 2 at FUR 43, up 39
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    28% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:49VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:53VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:45VT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:07VT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:48VT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:15VT Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
Ernie Cain run for 6 yds to the Furm 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
98.1%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete to Jordan SnellingsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.1%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete to Logan McCarterSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.1%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 42 yds, downed at the VTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.0%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Isaiah Ford, broken up by Richard Hayes IIISimilar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+17
98.0%
Brenden Motley run for 17 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
98.0%
J.C. Coleman run for 5 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+2
98.0%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the Furm 49Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
98.0%
Brenden Motley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
98.0%
A.J. Hughes punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Andrej Suttles at the Furm 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
97.8%
Antonio Wilcox run for no gain to the Furm 15Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
97.8%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete to Andrej SuttlesSimilar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 10
OPP 0
0
97.8%
PENALTY VT unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY FUR unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+3
97.8%
Reese Hannon run for 3 yds to the Furm 18Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
97.8%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 45 yds, downed at the VTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
97.6%
Trey Edmunds run for 7 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+2
97.6%
Trey Edmunds run for 2 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
97.6%
Trey Edmunds run for no gain to the VTech 46Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+32
97.6%
A.J. Hughes punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Andrej Suttles at the VATECH 12 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive holding (Ryan Malleck) to the Furm 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 5INT TD
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:443% → 3%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
97.4%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (Kevin Mall) to the Furm 17Similar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 15
OWN 17
-2
97.4%
Andrej Suttles run for a loss of 2 yards to the Furm 15Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 17
OWN 15
+18
97.5%
Reese Hannon pass intercepted for a TD Andrew Motuapuaka return for 18 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 6FUMBLE
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:393% → 3%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete, broken up by Deon ClarkeSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Furm 30Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
97.5%
Triston Luke run for 16 yds to the Furm 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
97.4%
Ernie Cain run for 5 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
97.4%
Reese Hannon run for 1 yd to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
97.2%
Triston Luke run for 5 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-11
97.2%
Reese Hannon sacked by Corey Marshall for a loss of 11 yards to the Furm 46 Reese Hannon fumbled, recovered by VTech Ronny Vandyke , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4597% → 97%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
97.3%
J.C. Coleman run for 8 yds to the Furm 38Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-10
97.3%
Motley, B rush left for 2 yards to the FUR36 (J. Milliken), PENALTY VT BIB (Phillips, C) 10 yards to the FUR48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+7
97.3%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Cam Phillips for 7 yds to the Furm 41Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
97.1%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Ryan Malleck, broken up by Richard Hayes IIISimilar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
97.1%
A.J. Hughes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Andrej Suttles at the Furm 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:583% → 3%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
97.0%
Ernie Cain run for 2 yds to the Furm 7Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 8
OWN 7
0
96.9%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete to Logan McCarter, broken up by Brandon FacysonSimilar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+13
97.0%
Reese Hannon run for 13 yds to the Furm 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.9%
Antonio Wilcox run for 4 yds to the Furm 24Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+16
96.9%
Reese Hannon pass complete to Andy Schumpert for 16 yds to the Furm 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
96.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Luther Maddy) to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Ernie Cain run for no gain to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
96.4%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete to Andy SchumpertSimilar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
96.5%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete to Andrej Suttles, broken up by Adonis AlexanderSimilar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
96.6%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 2:3497% → 97%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
96.5%
Trey Edmunds run for 7 yds to the VTech 19Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+4
96.6%
Trey Edmunds run for 4 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+46
96.4%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 46 yds to the Furm 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
96.6%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd to the Furm 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
96.5%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Travon McMillianSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+7
96.5%
Brenden Motley run for 7 yds to the Furm 23Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+19
96.2%
Trey Edmunds run for 19 yds to the Furm 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.3%
Brenden Motley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.9%
Ernie Cain run for 1 yd to the Furm 26Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.9%
Reese Hannon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.0%
Reese Hannon run for no gain to the Furm 26Similar
Q2 13:53
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.0%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:0997% → 97%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.2%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Travon McMillianSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
97.1%
Dwayne Lawson run for 5 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
97.1%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 10 yds to the Furm 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
97.2%
Travon McMillian run for 10 yds to the Furm 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
97.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Wade Hansen) to the Furm 40Similar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 15
OPP 40
0
97.2%
Dwayne Lawson run for no gain to the Furm 40Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+11
97.1%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 11 yds to the Furm 29Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+1
97.1%
Trey Edmunds run for 1 yd to the Furm 28Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
96.7%
Joey Slye 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 2:524% → 4%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.4%
Antonio Wilcox run for 6 yds to the Furm 35Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+11
96.3%
Antonio Wilcox run for 11 yds to the Furm 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
96.3%
Reese Hannon pass complete to Antonio Wilcox for 11 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
96.2%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (Eric Thoni) to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+11
96.4%
Reese Hannon run for 11 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+13
96.1%
Reese Hannon pass complete to Andrej Suttles for 13 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-8
96.0%
Reese Hannon run for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 32 Reese Hannon fumbled, recovered by Furm Triston LukeSimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 18
OPP 32
-3
96.3%
Reese Hannon run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 21
OPP 35
-9
96.4%
Reese Hannon sacked by Woody Baron for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 44Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 30
OPP 44
0
96.5%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:5997% → 96%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
96.5%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Cam Phillips for 21 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
96.5%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Cam Phillips for 13 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.7%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 5 yds to the Furm 47Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
96.5%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
96.3%
Brenden Motley pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
96.1%
A.J. Hughes punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 41 yds · 1:094% → 4%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
96.0%
Reese Hannon pass intercepted by Fuller, K at the VT45, Fuller, K return to the FUR27, PENALTY VT pass interference (Facyson, B) 15 yards to the FUR35, 1ST DOWN FUR, NO PLAY, clock 01:10.Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.0%
Triston Luke run for no gain to the Furm 35Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
96.0%
Triston Luke run for 11 yds to the Furm 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.9%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete to Andrej SuttlesSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
96.0%
Reese Hannon pass complete to Andrej Suttles for 6 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
95.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+5
96.3%
Reese Hannon pass complete to Jordan Snellings for 4 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST down to Triston Luke for 5 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:0896% → 99%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+63
96.2%
Travon McMillian run for 63 yds to the Furm 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
96.4%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 2 yds to the Furm 11Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+10
96.4%
Brenden Motley run for 10 yds to the Furm 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.4%
Trey Edmunds run for no gain to the Furm 1Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 16FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 2:542% → 3%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
98.3%
Triston Luke run for 26 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
98.1%
Triston Luke run for 6 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+10
98.0%
Triston Luke run for 10 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
97.9%
Triston Luke run for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
97.9%
Ernie Cain run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-5
98.0%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (Matthew Schmidt) to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
98.3%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete to Jordan SnellingsSimilar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
97.2%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:2898% → 100%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
98.0%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Travon McMillian for 9 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+6
98.1%
Travon McMillian run for 6 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
98.1%
Motley, B sideline pass complete to Cline, K for 61 yards to the FUR0, clock 08:25, PENALTY VT pass interference (Phillips, C) 15 yards to the VT24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 25
OWN 24
+6
98.0%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 6 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 19
OWN 30
0
98.0%
Brenden Motley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 19
OWN 30
+23
98.0%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 23 yds to the Furm 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
98.2%
Isaiah Ford run for 7 yds to the Furm 40 for a 1ST down FURMAN Penalty, personal foul (Byron Johnson) to the Furm 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
98.2%
Motley, B middle pass complete to Cline, K for 8 yards to the FUR17 (R. Hayes III;Byron Johnson), PENALTY VT ineligible downfield on pass (Gallo, E) 5 yards to the FUR30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+29
98.1%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Cam Phillips for 29 yds to the Furm 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Trey Edmunds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Santamaria KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 18INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.3%
Reese Hannon pass complete to Andrej Suttles for 10 yds to the Furm 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.2%
Triston Luke run for 2 yds to the Furm 37Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete to Logan McCarter, broken up by Donovan RileySimilar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Reese Hannon pass intercepted Adonis Alexander return for no gain to the Furm 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.8%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 32 yds for a TD, (Michael Santamaria KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:320% → 0%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Reese Hannon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Furm 23Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
Reese Hannon run for 2 yds to the Furm 25Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.8%
Reese Hannon pass complete to Jordan Snellings for 19 yds to the Furm 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
99.8%
Reese Hannon sacked by Deon Clarke for a loss of 6 yards to the Furm 38Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+12
99.8%
Reese Hannon run for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 4
50
-15
99.8%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete to Andrej Suttles, QB hurry by Huelskamp, S, PENALTY FUR illegal block 15 yards to the FUR35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 19
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Reese Hannon pass incomplete FURMAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:16
4TH & 19
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 15 , Greg Stroman returns for no gain to the VTech 35 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the VTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21MISSED FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Travon McMillian for 2 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+16
99.9%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Cam Phillips for 16 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
Travon McMillian run for 9 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+10
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson run for 10 yds to the Furm 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+31
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson pass complete to Kalvin Cline for 31 yds to the Furm 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson run for 10 yds to the Furm 7 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Eric Gallo) to the Furm 21Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson pass incomplete to Travon McMillianSimilar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson pass incomplete to Kevin AsanteSimilar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson pass incomplete to Kevin AsanteSimilar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
99.9%
Michael Santamaria 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+27
99.9%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Kevin Mall for 27 yds to the Furm 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
99.9%
Triston Luke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Furm 48Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
99.9%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete, broken up by Nigel WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 9
50
0
99.9%
Jon Croft Hollingsworth punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 6:29100% → 100%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson run for 6 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Chris Durkin run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Chris Durkin run for 6 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson pass complete to Kevin Asante for 13 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson pass complete to Demitri Knowles for 7 yds to the Furm 46Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson run for 4 yds to the Furm 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 11 yds to the Furm 31 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Demitri Knowles) to the Furm 41Similar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 9
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson run for 6 yds to the Furm 35Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
Travon McMillian run for 9 yds to the Furm 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
99.9%
Chris Durkin run for 7 yds to the Furm 19Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+9
99.9%
Chris Durkin run for 9 yds to the Furm 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Dwayne Lawson run for 6 yds to the Furm 4Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Dwayne Lawson 4 Yd Run (Michael Santamaria Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
100.0%
P.J. Blazejowski pass incomplete to Logan McCarterSimilar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
100.0%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 9 yds to the Furm 41Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Deon Sanders run for no gain to the Furm 41Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
P.J. Blazejowski run for 1 yd to the Furm 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
100.0%
Terry Robinson run for 7 yds to the Furm 49Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-5
100.0%
FURMAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Furm 44Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
P.J. Blazejowski pass complete to Andy Schumpert for 7 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Deon Sanders run for no gain to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
100.0%
P.J. Blazejowski run for no gain to the VTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
100.0%
Shai McKenzie run for 6 yds to the Furm 45Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
Shai McKenzie run for 2 yds to the Furm 43Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Shai McKenzie run for no gain to the Furm 43Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+5
100.0%
Shai McKenzie run for 5 yds to the Furm 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:45
Brenden Motley pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q3 6:07
Trey Edmunds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Santamaria KICK)
+1.4
FG · Q3 9:42
Jon Croft Hollingsworth 49 yd FG GOOD
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com