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APP

App State 10 at Clemson 41

CLEM
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:49 · Bentlee Critcher punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior+38.5Home team on offense+0.2Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:09: Greg Huegel 39 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +0.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:42: Carlos Watkins 15 Yd Interception Return (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +2.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:10: Charone Peake 24 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +3.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:48: Wayne Gallman run for 23 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:56: Charone Peake 59 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 13:30APP 4th & 2 at CLEM 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58APP 4th & 11 at APP 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:09CLEM 4th & 10 at APP 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:49APP 4th & 3 at APP 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:10CLEM 4th & 26 at CLEM 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:42CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:36APP 4th & 11 at APP 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:59CLEM 4th & 1 at APP 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−1.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:55APP 4th & 3 at APP 45, down 24
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:23APP 4th & 4 at APP 38, down 31
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:48CLEM 4th & 21 at CLEM 37, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00APP 4th & 21 at APP 46, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:44CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 38, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:18APP 4th & 7 at APP 8, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:06APP 4th & 15 at APP 13, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:22CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 38, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:13APP 4th & 13 at CLEM 13, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:55CLEM 4th & 4 at APP 20, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:30APP 4th & 5 at CLEM 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:20CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 47, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:23APP 4th & 3 at APP 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:01CLEM 4th & 6 at APP 30, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    100.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:42CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:10CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:48CLEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:56CLEM Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:10CLEM Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:59APP Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:307% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
92.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 38Similar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 15
OWN 38
-1
92.7%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 16
OWN 37
0
92.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+14
92.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 14 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
92.3%
Taylor Lamb punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:4892% → 92%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
92.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+7
92.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
92.2%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 36Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
92.1%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Latrell Gibbs return for no gain to the AppSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:028% → 8%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
91.9%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 43Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+2
91.9%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
91.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon MeadorsSimilar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
91.7%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 3:4192% → 91%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
91.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
91.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+16
91.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 16 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
91.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Artavis Scott) to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+6
91.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+19
91.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 19 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
91.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Germone Hopper for 23 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
91.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 15
OPP 26
-10
91.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for a loss of 10 yards to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 25
OPP 36
+5
90.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 20
OPP 31
0
90.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 20
OPP 31
+5
90.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+5
90.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 21Similar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
90.9%
Greg Huegel 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:089% → 9%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
90.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for 6 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
90.5%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 43Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
90.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
90.6%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:3191% → 89%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
90.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+6
90.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 6 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
90.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 25
OWN 21
+1
90.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 24
OWN 22
-2
89.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 20Similar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 26
OWN 20
+2
89.4%
Andy Teasdall punt for 52 yds , Bobo Beathard returns for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7INT
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:2310% → 12%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
89.8%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+15
89.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cordrea Tankersley) to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
89.1%
Terrence Upshaw run for 5 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+27
88.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Terrence Upshaw for 27 yds to the Clem 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
88.5%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted, touchback. Jayron Kearse return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:3889% → 88%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
89.1%
C.J. Davidson run for 7 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-1
89.2%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Tyson Fernandez for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
88.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
88.8%
C.J. Davidson run for 2 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
88.6%
C.J. Davidson run for 3 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+6
88.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 6 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
88.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
88.8%
C.J. Davidson run for no gain to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
88.4%
C.J. Davidson run for no gain to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
87.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bobo Beathard at the AppSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:5512% → 9%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
88.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
88.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for no gain to the AppSt 14Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+15
90.6%
Carlos Watkins 15 Yd Interception Return (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0910% → 10%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
90.1%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+6
90.0%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Ben Boulware return for 6 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:5091% → 94%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
90.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
90.7%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the AppSt 24Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+24
94.3%
Charone Peake 24 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:246% → 6%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
93.6%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 16Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 13
OWN 16
0
93.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 13
OWN 16
+2
93.7%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 11
OWN 18
+4
93.8%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 50 yds , Artavis Scott returns for 4 yds to the Clem 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 2:3794% → 97%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
94.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
94.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
94.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 8 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
94.1%
Zac Brooks run for 1 yd to the AppSt 33Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
93.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
94.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 9 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+8
94.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the AppSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
94.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AppSt 23Similar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+23
96.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 23 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:274% → 4%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
95.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 7 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
95.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
95.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Alex GraySimilar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
96.0%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 2:4997% → 99%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
96.7%
C.J. Davidson run for 2 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+9
96.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
96.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 5 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
96.9%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+6
96.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 6 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
97.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+59
99.1%
Charone Peake 59 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:261% → 1%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.1%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the AppSt 33Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+5
99.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 5 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+3
99.0%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 43 yds , Artavis Scott returns for 3 yds to the Clem 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:3199% → 99%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
99.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 7 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+19
99.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (15 Yards) to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-11
99.1%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Ronald Blair for a loss of 11 yards to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 21
OWN 37
0
99.0%
Andy Teasdall punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bobo Beathard at the AppSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:411% → 1%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.0%
Marcus Cox run for 7 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+25
98.9%
Marcus Cox run for 25 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-8
98.9%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Shaq Lawson for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 18
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon MeadorsSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 18
OWN 49
-3
99.2%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 46Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 21
OWN 46
+3
99.3%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:1199% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
99.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 8 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.3%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 39Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
99.4%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Ronald Blair for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+15
99.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 15 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-5
99.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 6
OWN 43
-5
99.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 11
OWN 38
-4
99.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 48 yds , Bobo Beathard returns for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 10 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (5 Yards) to the AppSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
99.5%
Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the AppSt 9Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 9
-1
99.5%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 8Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 7
OWN 8
0
99.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Bobo BeathardSimilar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 7
OWN 8
0
99.5%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the AppSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.6%
Artavis Scott 41 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
99.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 13Similar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+5
99.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for 5 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Terrence UpshawSimilar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-5
99.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 13Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 15
OWN 13
0
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 15
OWN 13
+10
99.6%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 52 yds , Ray-Ray McCloud returns for 10 yds to the Clem 23 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.7%
Tyshon Dye run for 1 yd to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
99.7%
Tyshon Dye run for 2 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Nick Schuessler run for no gain to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Andy Teasdall punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24FG
17 plays · 63 yds · 5:480% → 0%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.7%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+15
99.7%
Marcus Cox run for 15 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.7%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 40Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+15
99.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 15 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon MeadorsSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
99.8%
Marcus Cox run for 11 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.8%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett BurnsSimilar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+20
99.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Isaiah Lewis for 20 yds to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
99.8%
Deltron Hopkins run for 7 yds to the Clem 2Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.8%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 3Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.8%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the Clem 3Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 8Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
99.9%
Zach Matics 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25MISSED FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Nick Schuessler pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.8%
Tyshon Dye run for 6 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Nick Schuessler run for no gain to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
99.9%
Greg Huegel 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 26TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:460% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 8 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+52
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 52 yds to the Clem 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.9%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the Clem 14Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+8
99.9%
Marcus Cox run for 8 yds to the Clem 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 5 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Barrett Burns 1 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Zach Matics Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27INT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Nick Schuessler pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 4 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+9
99.9%
C.J. Fuller run for 9 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 48Similar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
C.J. Fuller run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 13
50
0
99.9%
Nick Schuessler pass intercepted John Law return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 28FUMBLE
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:400% → 0%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
50
-10
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Josh Boyd run for 7 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Clem 48Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Josh Boyd run for 3 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 8 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
99.9%
Jaylan Barbour run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 39 Jaylan Barbour fumbled, recovered by Clem Ryan CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
C.J. Fuller run for 6 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for no gain to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 48 yds , Latrell Gibbs returns for 7 yds to the AppSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 30DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
100.0%
Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+22
100.0%
Marcus Cox run for 22 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
Josh Boyd run for 5 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
Josh Boyd run for 2 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for no gain to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malachi JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 31FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
100.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 12 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
100.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
100.0%
C.J. Fuller run for 1 yd to the AppSt 30Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Nick Schuessler pass incomplete to Jordan BianchiSimilar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+47
100.0%
Greg Huegel 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
100.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for 4 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-5
100.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:10
Charone Peake 24 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)
+3.6
TD · Q2 11:42
Carlos Watkins 15 Yd Interception Return (Greg Huegel Kick)
+2.6
TD · Q2 5:48
Wayne Gallman run for 23 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com