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HOW

Howard 0 at Boston College 76

BC
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:28 · John Fleck punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Thadd Smith at the BC 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Pregame prior+32.3Home team on offense+34.3Score differential+26.5Blowout margin+15.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.7Garbage-time factor+6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 13:11: Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK) — HOW win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 10:34: Tyler Rouse 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — BC win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 6:48: Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK) — BC win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 4:00: Tyler Rouse run for 15 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK) — BC win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:37: Marcus Outlow run for 32 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 2HOW made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 12:28HOW 4th & 15 at HOW 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:34HOW 4th & 7 at HOW 10, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:48HOW 4th & 12 at HOW 14, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:47HOW 4th & 5 at HOW 16, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:58HOW 4th & 8 at HOW 27, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:26BC 4th & 13 at BC 19, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:40HOW 4th & 13 at HOW 33, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:37HOW 4th & 10 at HOW 25, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:28HOW 4th & 10 at HOW 43, down 69
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00BC 4th & 3 at HOW 42, up 69
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:19HOW 4th & 8 at HOW 3, down 69
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:46HOW 4th & 3 at HOW 35, down 76
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 13:11BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:28BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 10:34BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 6:48BC Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 4:00BC Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q1 3:47BC Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 13:31BC Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 6:37BC Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:11BC Touchdown, up 61 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 7:28BC Touchdown, up 68 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:46BC Touchdown, up 75 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOWDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.3%
HOWARD Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-9
99.3%
Kalen Johnson sacked by Truman Gutapfel for a loss of 9 yards to the Howrd 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+3
99.3%
Aquanius Freeman run for 3 yds to the Howrd 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 14
-11
99.3%
Kalen Johnson sacked by Kevin Kavalec for a loss of 11 yards to the Howrd 3Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 32
OWN 3
+39
99.3%
John Fleck punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Howrd 3 , Sherman Alston returns for 39 yds to the Howrd 42 HOWARD Penalty, personal foul (-4 Yards) to the Howrd 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 3INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:431% → 1%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.2%
Aquanius Freeman run for no gain to the Howrd 18Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
99.2%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Aquanius FreemanSimilar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+16
99.2%
Kalen Johnson pass intercepted for a TD Connor Strachan return for 16 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.2%
Aquanius Freeman run for 3 yds to the Howrd 13Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
99.2%
Kalen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-8
99.2%
Kalen Johnson sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 8 yards to the Howrd 5Similar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 15
OWN 5
+1
99.2%
TEAM punt , Drew Barksdale returns for 1 yd to the Howrd 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:3599% → 99%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
99.2%
Tyler Rouse run for 9 yds to the Howrd 5Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Tyler Rouse 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
99.2%
Aquanius Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 5Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+5
99.2%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Robert Mercer for 5 yds to the Howrd 10Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
99.2%
Kalen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
99.2%
John Fleck punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Howrd 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 2:2599% → 99%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
99.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to David Dudeck for 13 yds to the Howrd 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.2%
Myles Willis run for 5 yds to the Howrd 25Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+11
99.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 11 yds to the Howrd 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
99.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the Howrd 5Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
99.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
99.4%
Rodney Tyson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 14Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
99.4%
Kalen Johnson run for no gain to the Howrd 14Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 12
OWN 14
0
99.4%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Rodney Tyson, broken up by Mike StrizakSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 12
OWN 14
+9
99.4%
John Fleck punt for 39 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 9 yds to the Howrd 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:1599% → 100%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.4%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+17
99.4%
Darius Wade run for 17 yds to the Howrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
99.4%
Sherman Alston run for 12 yds to the Howrd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 15 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11TD
1 play · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Jeff Smith run for 9 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.5%
Rodney Tyson run for 4 yds to the Howrd 15Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+1
99.5%
Kalen Johnson run for 1 yd to the Howrd 16Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
99.5%
Kalen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 5
OWN 16
+60
99.5%
John Fleck punt for 50 yds , Thadd Smith returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 15 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the BC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:43100% → 100%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 23Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+9
99.5%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Michael Walker for 9 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+5
99.5%
Myles Willis run for 5 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
99.5%
Wade,D pass incomplete to Barksdale,D, PENALTY BC ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the BC32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 15
OWN 32
-5
99.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 27Similar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+10
99.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 10 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.6%
Wade,D pass incomplete to Wilson,R, PENALTY HOW roughing passer 15 yards to the HOW48, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+35
99.6%
Myles Willis run for 35 yds to the Howrd 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the Howrd 7Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
Darius Wade pass complete to Richard Wilson for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Ricquaz Brannon run for 4 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Robert MercerSimilar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.7%
HOWARD Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 24Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+3
99.7%
Kalen Johnson run for 3 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
John Fleck punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.6%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-2
99.6%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 20Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+4
99.6%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Drew Barksdale for 4 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 8
OWN 24
-5
99.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BC 19Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 13
OWN 19
0
99.6%
Alex Howell punt for 45 yds, downed at the Howrd 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.8%
Kalen Johnson sacked by Steven Daniels for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 31Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Kalen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+2
99.8%
Ricquaz Brannon run for 2 yds to the Howrd 33Similar
Q2 10:40
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
99.8%
John Fleck punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Thadd Smith at the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:39100% → 100%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-22
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 22 yards to the BC 11Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 32
OWN 11
+17
99.6%
Myles Willis run for 17 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+34
99.7%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Harrison Jackson for 34 yds to the Howrd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the Howrd 32Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+32
99.8%
Marcus Outlow run for 32 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Donnell Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
99.7%
Donnell Pleasant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 25Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Donnell PleasantSimilar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
John Fleck punt for 65 yds, downed at the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 5:03100% → 100%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
99.8%
Myles Willis run for 9 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+6
99.8%
Myles Willis run for 6 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.8%
Michael Walker run for 14 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
99.8%
Troy Flutie run for 20 yds to the Howrd 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
99.8%
Richard Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 43Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+7
99.8%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Jake Burt for 7 yds to the Howrd 36Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+17
99.8%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 17 yds to the Howrd 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.8%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the Howrd 15Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
99.8%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Drew Barksdale for 5 yds to the Howrd 10Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Sean Burke for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.9%
Jeff Smith run for 15 yds to the Howrd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the Howrd 40Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+37
99.9%
Jeff Smith run for 37 yds to the Howrd 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Richard Wilson run for 2 yds to the Howrd 1Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jeff Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
99.9%
HOWARD Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Cody Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 24Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Donnell Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Howrd 28Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-15
99.9%
JOHNSON,Kalen pass complete to PLEASANT,Donnel for no gain to the HOW28 (Strachan,C), PENALTY HOW roughing passer 15 yards to the HOW43, 1ST DOWN HOW, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Ricquaz Brannon run for 3 yds to the Howrd 46Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 41Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 12
OWN 41
-2
99.9%
Ricquaz Brannon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 39Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Ricquaz Brannon run for 4 yds to the Howrd 43Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
John Fleck punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Thadd Smith at the BC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
99.9%
Richard Wilson run for 11 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
99.9%
Richard Wilson run for 16 yds to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Troy Flutie pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.9%
Richard Wilson run for 6 yds to the Howrd 43Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 4
OPP 43
-10
99.9%
Flutie,T pass complete to Walker,M for 9 yards to the HOW34, out-of-bounds, PENALTY BC holding 10 yards to the BC47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Troy Flutie pass complete to Drew Barksdale for 11 yds to the Howrd 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Alex Howell punt for 41 yds, downed at the Howrd 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
100.0%
Ricquaz Brannon run for 4 yds to the Howrd 5Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 5
-2
100.0%
Ricquaz Brannon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 3Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
100.0%
Da'Vaun Johnson pass incomplete HOWARD Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 8
OWN 3
0
100.0%
John Fleck punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Thadd Smith at the Howrd 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
100.0%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Elijah Robinson for 9 yds to the Howrd 33Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+6
100.0%
Richard Wilson run for 6 yds to the Howrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
100.0%
Richard Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 28Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+1
100.0%
Richard Wilson run for 1 yd to the Howrd 27Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+27
100.0%
Jeff Smith run for 27 yds for a TD, (Jake Wilhelm KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
Ricquaz Brannon run for 2 yds to the Howrd 19Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Howrd 24Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
Ricquaz Brannon run for 4 yds to the Howrd 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Ricquaz Brannon run for 2 yds to the Howrd 30Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-3
100.0%
Da'Vaun Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 27Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Da'Vaun Johnson run for 8 yds to the Howrd 35Similar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
100.0%
John Fleck punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 40Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 13:11
Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)
-0.1
TD · Q1 10:34
Tyler Rouse 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+0.1
TD · Q1 6:48
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com