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YSU

Youngstown State 37 at Pittsburgh 45

PITT
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadYSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreYSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:50 · Nick Sheely punt for 40 yds, downed at the Pitt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+30.2Home team on offense+4.0Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:48: Chad Voytik pass intercepted for a TD LeRoy Alexander return for 41 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK) — YSU win probability +8.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:38: Connor McFadden kickoff for 54 yds , Avonte Maddox return for 89 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +7.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:48: Qadree Ollison run for 71 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +7.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:51: Jody Webb run for 27 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK) — YSU win probability +9.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:21: Chad Voytik pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 55 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +10.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8YSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:08PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:38YSU 4th & 5 at PITT 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:39YSU 4th & 3 at YSU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50YSU 4th & 11 at YSU 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:12YSU 4th & 22 at YSU 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:47PITT 4th & 19 at YSU 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:46YSU 4th & 8 at PITT 40, down 14
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:51PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−1.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:37YSU 4th & 7 at PITT 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:39YSU 4th & 5 at YSU 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:01YSU 4th & 6 at PITT 6, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−4.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:46PITT 4th & 9 at YSU 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−5.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:11YSU 4th & 10 at YSU 41, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:46PITT 4th & 14 at PITT 19, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−3.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:30YSU 4th & 1 at PITT 45, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%−5.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−4.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:06YSU 4th & 1 at YSU 34, down 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:32PITT 4th & 7 at YSU 41, up 15
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:01PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 7, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:11YSU 4th & 8 at PITT 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−1.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−1.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:26PITT 4th & 16 at PITT 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5YSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 5:46PITT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:37PITT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:48YSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:48PITT Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:51YSU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:21PITT Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:50YSU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.4%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:38PITT Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:24YSU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4088% → 87%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
87.9%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
87.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 1 yd to the Pitt 32Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
87.5%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Quadree Henderson for no gain to the Pitt 32Similar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
87.4%
Ryan Winslow punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Andre Stubbs at the YngSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:0713% → 14%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
87.3%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Andre Stubbs for 20 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
87.0%
Hunter Wells sacked by Tyrique Jarrett for a loss of 7 yards to the YngSt 48Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+4
86.9%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Martin Ruiz for 4 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+19
86.7%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Jody Webb for 19 yds to the Pitt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
86.2%
Martin Ruiz run for 23 yds to the Pitt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
86.0%
Martin Ruiz run for no gain to the Pitt 6Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
85.9%
Martin Ruiz run for 1 yd to the Pitt 5Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.6%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
85.6%
Zak Kennedy 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:2986% → 86%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
85.6%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+7
85.3%
Chad Voytik pass complete to James Conner for 7 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
85.4%
Chad Voytik run for 3 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
85.3%
James Conner run for 7 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+40
85.0%
James Conner run for 40 yds to the YngSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
86.3%
James Conner run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:5114% → 15%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.7%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Darien Townsend for 1 yd to the YngSt 26Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
85.6%
Martin Ruiz run for 3 yds to the YngSt 29Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
85.5%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 24Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+8
85.6%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Andre Stubbs for 8 yds to the YngSt 32Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
85.5%
Nick Sheely punt for 37 yds , Avonte Maddox returns for 1 yd to the Pitt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:3385% → 87%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
85.1%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
85.1%
Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Zach ChallingsworthSimilar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+19
84.8%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Chris James for 19 yds to the YngSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+42
85.3%
Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 42 yds to the YngSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.3%
James Conner run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2013% → 13%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.8%
Hunter Wells sacked by Nicholas Grigsby for a loss of 5 yards to the YngSt 20Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
86.9%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Andre Stubbs for 4 yds to the YngSt 24Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
87.1%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
87.3%
Nick Sheely punt for 40 yds, downed at the Pitt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
87.0%
Nathan Peterman pass intercepted LeRoy Alexander return for 9 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:1814% → 13%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
86.0%
Andre Stubbs run for 1 yd to the Pitt 39Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
86.0%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andre StubbsSimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-5
86.1%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 44Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 14
OPP 44
-8
86.8%
Hunter Wells sacked by Nicholas Grigsby for a loss of 8 yards to the YngSt 48Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 22
OWN 48
+16
87.2%
Nick Sheely punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PITTSBURGH 26 YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Anthony Parente) to the Pitt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 5:1388% → 89%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
87.5%
James Conner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+6
87.3%
Chris James run for 6 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+16
87.3%
Chad Voytik run for 16 yds to the YngSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
87.9%
Chad Voytik run for 3 yds to the YngSt 41Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+9
87.8%
James Conner run for 9 yds to the YngSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
88.8%
Chris James run for 14 yds to the YngSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-4
88.7%
Chris James run for a loss of 4 yards to the YngSt 22Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 14
OPP 22
-10
88.6%
Chad Voytik sacked by Derek Rivers for a loss of 10 yards to the YngSt 32Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 24
OPP 32
+5
88.2%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the YngSt 27Similar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 19
OPP 27
+45
89.4%
Chris Blewitt 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:5311% → 11%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
89.4%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Andre Stubbs for 33 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
88.8%
Jody Webb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 45Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+5
89.3%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Andre Stubbs for 5 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
88.9%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
89.4%
Nick Sheely punt for 29 yds, downed at the Pitt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3990% → 89%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
89.8%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+5
89.9%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the Pitt 19Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 2
OWN 19
-9
89.7%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Chris James for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 10Similar
Q2 3:51
4TH & 11
OWN 10
+10
89.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 37 yds , Andre Stubbs returns for 10 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 12FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0711% → 12%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
88.9%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-3
88.9%
Jody Webb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+13
89.9%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Kintrell Disher for 13 yds to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
88.6%
Jody Webb run for 3 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
88.2%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Demond HymesSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
88.9%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
87.8%
Zak Kennedy 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13DOWNS TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:1789% → 81%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
89.2%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Elijah Zeise for 5 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+1
89.3%
Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the Pitt 35Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+41
80.8%
Chad Voytik pass intercepted for a TD LeRoy Alexander return for 41 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:2911% → 12%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.6%
Jody Webb run for 7 yds to the YngSt 32Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
88.0%
Jody Webb run for 5 yds to the YngSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
88.4%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1312% → 13%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
87.6%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Shane Kuhn for 18 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
86.9%
Jody Webb run for a loss of 6 yards to the YngSt 37Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+11
87.5%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Andrew Williams for 11 yds to the YngSt 48Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
86.6%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Ryan EmansSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
87.4%
Nick Sheely punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jordan Whitehead at the Pitt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:2588% → 88%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
87.9%
Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the Pitt 18Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 18
-10
88.0%
Chad Voytik sacked by Terrell Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 9 Chad Voytik fumbled, forced by Terrell Williams, recovered by YngSt Lee Wright , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 18FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4915% → 16%
Q3 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
85.2%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
85.2%
Jody Webb run for 3 yds to the Pitt 6Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
85.9%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
84.1%
Zak Kennedy 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 1:3486% → 86%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+46
86.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 46 yds to the YngSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
87.6%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Scott OrndoffSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
87.3%
Quadree Henderson run for 3 yds to the YngSt 21Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+3
86.7%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 3 yds to the YngSt 18Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 4
OPP 18
-5
85.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 23Similar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
85.6%
Chris Blewitt 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3115% → 14%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
84.6%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+13
84.8%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Andrew Williams for 13 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
83.5%
Hunter Wells sacked by Ejuan Price for a loss of 3 yards to the YngSt 33 Hunter Wells fumbled, forced by Ejuan Price, recovered by YngSt Hunter Wells , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+8
84.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Lafayette Pitts) to the YngSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
83.0%
Jody Webb run for 3 yds to the YngSt 44Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-3
82.3%
Jody Webb run for a loss of 3 yards to the YngSt 41Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
84.8%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to I'tavious HarvinSimilar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
86.0%
Nick Sheely punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:5287% → 94%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
86.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
86.4%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Elijah Zeise for 6 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+71
93.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 71 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:348% → 18%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
91.6%
Demond Hymes run for 9 yds to the YngSt 27Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+3
91.0%
Jody Webb run for 3 yds to the YngSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
91.0%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Demond Hymes for 9 yds to the YngSt 39Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+2
90.8%
Demond Hymes run for 2 yds to the YngSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
90.8%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Isiah Scott for 4 yds to the YngSt 45Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
92.1%
Jody Webb run for 4 yds to the YngSt 49Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+8
92.1%
Jody Webb run for 8 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.9%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andre StubbsSimilar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+16
91.9%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Andrew Williams for 16 yds to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
82.5%
Jody Webb run for 27 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:5088% → 86%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
88.0%
Chad Voytik pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
87.7%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 24Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
87.0%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Elijah ZeiseSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 9
OWN 24
-5
86.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 19Similar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 14
OWN 19
0
86.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Andre Stubbs at the YngSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5015% → 15%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
84.9%
Hunter Wells sacked by Shakir Soto for a loss of 4 yards to the YngSt 42Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+7
86.9%
Hunter Wells pass complete to I'tavious Harvin for 7 yds to the YngSt 49Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+6
85.1%
Hunter Wells pass complete to I'tavious Harvin for 6 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
85.3%
Jody Webb run for no gain to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
96.0%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 55 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:106% → 6%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Demond HymesSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.3%
Hunter Wells pass complete to I'tavious Harvin for 8 yds to the YngSt 33Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
93.8%
Jody Webb run for 1 yd to the YngSt 34Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
93.9%
Nick Sheely punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:0897% → 96%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
96.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
96.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the YngSt 46Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
96.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the YngSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
96.7%
Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the YngSt 39Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-6
96.7%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 6 yards to the YngSt 45Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+4
96.6%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Darrin Hall for 4 yds to the YngSt 41Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
96.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 28TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:205% → 11%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.5%
Jody Webb run for 3 yds to the YngSt 23Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+77
88.8%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Andre Stubbs for 77 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 29TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:4291% → 98%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
91.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 14 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
91.4%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 33Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+14
93.3%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kenneth Durden) to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+52
94.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 52 yds to the YngSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
Chad Voytik run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 30TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
90.1%
Jody Webb run for 75 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0993% → 93%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
92.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 9Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 9
-2
93.3%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 7Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
93.5%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Zach ChallingsworthSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 10
OWN 7
0
92.6%
Ryan Winslow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Andre Stubbs at the Pitt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 32DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2914% → 10%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
86.5%
Hunter Wells pass complete to Jody Webb for 2 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
88.7%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to I'tavious HarvinSimilar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
89.0%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
90.4%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andrew WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 33PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 1:1496% → 97%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
96.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds to the YngSt 48Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+3
96.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the YngSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
96.3%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 3 yards to the YngSt 48Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 13
OPP 48
0
96.9%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the YngSt 48Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+2
97.1%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the YngSt 46Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 11
OPP 46
-5
96.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Tre Tipton) to the Pitt 49Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
96.7%
Ryan Winslow punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Andre Stubbs at the YngSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 34END OF GAME
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:185% → 4%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
95.5%
Hunter Wells pass incomplete to Andre StubbsSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-10
95.7%
Ricky Davis sacked by Zach Poker for a loss of 10 yards to the YngSt 7Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 20
OWN 7
0
96.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:21
Chad Voytik pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 55 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)
+10.7
TD · Q3 0:51
Jody Webb run for 27 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK)
-9.4
TD · Q2 0:48
Chad Voytik pass intercepted for a TD LeRoy Alexander return for 41 yds for a TD, (Zak Kennedy KICK)
-8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com