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ME

Maine 3 at Boston College 24

BC
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadME aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreME score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:58 · James De Martin punt for 62 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 4 yds to the BC 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior+8.1Home team on offense+8.1Score differential+1.9Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:03: Dan Collins pass incomplete — ME win probability +4.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:26: Darius Wade pass complete to Bobby Swigert for 11 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK) — BC win probability +6.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 15:00: Thadd Smith run for 18 yds to the Maine 38 for a 1ST down — BC win probability +4.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:51: Tyler Rouse run for 21 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK) — BC win probability +7.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:57: Darius Wade pass incomplete to Sherman Alston — BC win probability +4.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8ME made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:05ME 4th & 11 at BC 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:05BC 4th & 1 at BC 28, down 3
    Close callPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:56ME 4th & 16 at ME 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:30BC 4th & 13 at ME 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    45.0%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:36BC 4th & 2 at ME 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.8%−1.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    52.6%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:03BC 4th & 5 at ME 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:03ME 4th & 10 at ME 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00BC 4th & 6 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:09ME 4th & 8 at ME 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:27BC 4th & 3 at BC 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:59ME 4th & 15 at ME 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−3.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:53BC 4th & 5 at BC 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:58ME 4th & 19 at ME 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−5.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:42ME 4th & 13 at ME 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:45BC 4th & 19 at ME 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:02ME 4th & 9 at ME 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 0:26BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 13:51BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:42BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEDrive 1FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:5526% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.9%
Dan Collins pass complete to Micah Wright for 4 yds to the Maine 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
73.9%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Micah Wright, PENALTY BC holding 10 yards to the MAINE39, 1ST DOWN MAINE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
73.9%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jared Osumah for 4 yds to the Maine 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
73.9%
Cabrinni Goncalves run for 1 yd to the Maine 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+21
73.9%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jeremy Salmon for 21 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
73.9%
Dan Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
73.9%
Dan Collins run for 15 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
73.9%
Cabrinni Goncalves run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
73.9%
Dan Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
73.9%
Dan Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+39
72.8%
Sean Decloux 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
72.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
73.0%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 28Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
72.7%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 28Similar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+4
72.6%
Alex Howell punt for 44 yds , Justin Flores returns for 4 yds to the Maine 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
72.0%
Dan Collins pass complete to Micah Wright for no gain to the Maine 32Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-6
72.1%
Dan Collins sacked by Mehdi Abdesmad for a loss of 6 yards to the Maine 26Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+5
72.4%
Dan Collins pass complete to Cabrinni Goncalves for 5 yds to the Maine 31Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 11
OWN 31
-5
72.5%
Sean Decloux punt 45 yards to the BC24, Alston,S return to the BC34 (Darrius Hart), PENALTY MAINE illegal formation 5 yards to the MAINE26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
72.5%
Sean Decloux punt for 54 yds, downed at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4FG
21 plays · 66 yds · 9:5471% → 69%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
71.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 8 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+5
71.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
71.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to - 36 for 12 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
71.9%
Sherman Alston run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 40Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+5
71.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bobby Swigert for 5 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+10
71.2%
Wade,D pass incomplete to Smith,T, PENALTY MAINE holding 10 yards to the MAINE45, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
72.1%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 47Similar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
71.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 12 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+4
70.1%
Darius Wade run for 4 yds to the Maine 43Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+16
70.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Sherman Alston for 16 yds to the Maine 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
71.0%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 29Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+11
70.9%
Tyler Rouse run for 11 yds to the Maine 18Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+3
70.5%
Darius Wade run for 3 yds to the Maine 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
71.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the Maine 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 6
0
70.2%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the Maine 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
69.5%
Darius Wade run for 2 yds to the Maine 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-8
70.2%
Darius Wade run for a loss of 8 yards to the Maine 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-2
70.1%
Darius Wade run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+1
68.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Sherman Alston for 1 yd to the Maine 13Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
69.3%
Alex Howell 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · -13 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
68.1%
MAINE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Maine 25Similar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+14
68.6%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jordan Dunn for 14 yds to the Maine 39Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
67.1%
Cabrinni Goncalves run for 6 yds to the Maine 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-7
67.0%
Dan Collins sacked by Joseph Vitiello and Mehdi Abdesmad for a loss of 7 yards to the Maine 38Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 17
OWN 38
0
68.3%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jordan DunnSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 17
OWN 38
-16
68.7%
Dan Collins rush for 13 yards to the BC49 (Moore,K), PENALTY MAINE personal foul 16 yards to the MAINE22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 33
OWN 22
-5
69.3%
Dan Collins sacked by Matt Milano for a loss of 5 yards to the Maine 17Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 38
OWN 17
0
69.8%
James De Martin punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Maine 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6MISSED FG
15 plays · 28 yds · 5:1671% → 69%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
71.2%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Maine 46Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+8
70.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 8 yds to the Maine 38Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+1
70.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the Maine 37Similar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+5
69.1%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 5 yds to the Maine 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
71.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Maine 37Similar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+7
69.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 7 yds to the Maine 30Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+2
71.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the Maine 28Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+6
70.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 6 yds to the Maine 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
71.1%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the Maine 18Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+1
71.1%
Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the Maine 17Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+6
70.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to David Dudeck for 6 yds to the Maine 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
69.9%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
68.5%
Alex Howell 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
64.0%
Dan Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
64.3%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Micah WrightSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
65.3%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jeremy SalmonSimilar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
66.1%
James De Martin punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8TD
12 plays · 55 yds · 2:1469% → 80%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
69.3%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
68.5%
Marcus Outlow run for 11 yds to the Maine 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
69.9%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jon Hilliman for no gain to the Maine 44Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
69.7%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to David DudeckSimilar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+16
68.1%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 16 yds to the Maine 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
70.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the Maine 26Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
70.5%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+17
69.6%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jon Hilliman for 17 yds to the Maine 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
70.9%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 11Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
80.1%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bobby Swigert for 11 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
78.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
77.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
76.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+14
76.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Sherman Alston for 14 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
77.7%
Darius Wade run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+16
76.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Thadd Smith for 16 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
78.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
50
0
78.7%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to David DudeckSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
50
0
77.9%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to David DudeckSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
50
0
76.4%
Alex Howell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Justin Flores at the Maine 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
76.8%
Cabrinni Goncalves run for 2 yds to the Maine 11Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+3
76.8%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jeremy Salmon for 3 yds to the Maine 14Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+11
77.7%
Dan Collins pass complete to Micah Wright for 11 yds to the Maine 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.4%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jared OsumahSimilar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.6%
Cabrinni Goncalves run for 2 yds to the Maine 27Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
77.3%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jordan DunnSimilar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
78.0%
James De Martin punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
79.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the BC 24Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+6
78.9%
Darius Wade run for 6 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
78.5%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Bobby WolfordSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
77.7%
Alex Howell punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Justin Flores at the Maine 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0025% → 22%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
75.4%
Sacoy Malone run for a loss of 5 yards to the Maine 33Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
76.9%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Jordan Dunn, broken up by Kamrin MooreSimilar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
78.0%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Micah WrightSimilar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 15
OWN 33
+12
78.4%
James De Martin punt for 36 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 12 yds to the BC 45 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
80.8%
Darius Wade run for 5 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
82.2%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
81.1%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to David DudeckSimilar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
79.7%
Alex Howell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Justin Flores at the Maine 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
77.2%
Cabrinni Goncalves run for 8 yds to the Maine 34Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+7
75.3%
Dan Collins pass complete to Micah Wright for 7 yds to the Maine 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-9
75.8%
Dan Collins sacked by Matt Milano for a loss of 9 yards to the Maine 32Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 19
OWN 32
0
77.5%
Dan Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 19
OWN 32
0
78.7%
Dan Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 19
OWN 32
+4
79.1%
James De Martin punt for 62 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 4 yds to the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 3:5181% → 94%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
80.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
80.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+14
79.6%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 14 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
80.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+8
82.1%
Thadd Smith run for 8 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
86.5%
Thadd Smith run for 18 yds to the Maine 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
86.9%
Darius Wade run for 17 yds to the Maine 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
94.3%
Tyler Rouse run for 21 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 17INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
91.0%
Dan Collins pass complete to John Hardy for 6 yds to the Maine 34Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+4
90.6%
Cabrinni Goncalves run for 4 yds to the Maine 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
90.6%
Dan Collins run for 3 yds to the Maine 41Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
90.5%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Justin FloresSimilar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+1
90.8%
Dan Collins pass intercepted William Harris return for 1 yd to the Maine 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:1595% → 99%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
94.9%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Sherman AlstonSimilar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+45
98.8%
Tyler Rouse run for 45 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
98.7%
Dan Collins pass complete to Micah Wright for 6 yds to the Maine 25Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Cabrinni Goncalves run for 3 yds to the Maine 28Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
98.6%
Dan Collins pass complete to Jared Osumah for 3 yds to the Maine 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.6%
Cabrinni Goncalves run for 2 yds to the Maine 33Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+2
98.6%
Cabrinni Goncalves run for 2 yds to the Maine 35Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-8
98.6%
Dan Collins run for a loss of 8 yards to the Maine 28 Dan Collins fumbled, forced by Harold Landry, recovered by Maine Isaiah BrooksSimilar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
98.7%
James De Martin punt for 47 yds, downed at the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
99.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 23Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.0%
Darius Wade run for 5 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+22
99.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the Maine 45Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+5
99.1%
MAINE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Maine 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
99.1%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the Maine 41Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
99.1%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Sherman AlstonSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-8
99.1%
Darius Wade sacked by Randy Samuels for a loss of 8 yards to the Maine 49Similar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 19
OPP 49
0
99.0%
Alex Howell punt for 48 yds, downed at the Maine 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
99.5%
Dan Collins run for 1 yd to the Maine 2Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
99.5%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Micah Wright MAINE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
99.5%
Dan Collins pass incomplete to Micah WrightSimilar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+19
99.5%
James De Martin punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Maine 27 , Sherman Alston returns for 19 yds to the Maine 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
99.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Maine 32Similar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+1
99.5%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the Maine 31Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+1
99.5%
Richard Wilson run for 1 yd to the Maine 30Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 13
OPP 30
0
99.5%
Richard Wilson run for no gain to the Maine 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:51
Tyler Rouse run for 21 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q2 0:26
Darius Wade pass complete to Bobby Swigert for 11 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)
+6.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 3:03
Dan Collins pass incomplete
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com