Try the model
ELON

Elon 3 at Wake Forest 41

WAKE
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2015 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadELON aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreELON score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.3WAKE 95.1%John Gallagher 45 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 24 · Q3 9:14
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:14 · John Gallagher 45 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Home team on offense+20.6Pregame prior+11.1Score differential+15.0Garbage-time factor+4.5Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:10: Mike Weaver 28 yd FG GOOD — ELON win probability +0.4 pts (now 25%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:19: John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +4.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:43: Matt Colburn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +9.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:57: John Wolford run for 70 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +6.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:17: John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 30 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +3.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ELON made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00ELON 4th & 16 at ELON 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:56WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:22ELON 4th & 5 at ELON 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:10WAKE 4th & 3 at ELON 10, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:10ELON 4th & 8 at ELON 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:34WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00ELON 4th & 5 at ELON 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:19ELON 4th & 5 at ELON 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:32WAKE 4th & 1 at ELON 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.2%−2.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−8.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:43ELON 4th & 11 at ELON 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:57ELON 4th & 4 at ELON 37, down 24
    Close callPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00WAKE 4th & 13 at ELON 19, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−4.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 19 at WAKE 11, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−2.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:14ELON 4th & 3 at WAKE 28, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.2%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:17ELON 4th & 9 at ELON 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:31ELON 4th & 2 at ELON 47, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:47WAKE 4th & 12 at ELON 14, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:47ELON 4th & 3 at ELON 45, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:01WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 33, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:46ELON 4th & 7 at ELON 22, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:12WAKE 4th & 2 at ELON 20, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 11:19WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:43WAKE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:57WAKE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:17WAKE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:31WAKE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ELONDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
76.5%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Corey Joyner for 4 yds to the ElonU 29 ELON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the ElonU 19Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 16
OWN 19
-5
76.5%
ELON Penalty, delay of game (Daniel Thompson) to the ElonU 14Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 21
OWN 14
0
76.5%
B.J. Bennett run for no gain to the ElonU 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+5
76.5%
B.J. Bennett run for 5 yds to the ElonU 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
76.5%
Daniel Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
76.5%
David Petroni punt for 61 yds, downed at the WFrst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
76.0%
Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
76.1%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+10
76.0%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 10 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
76.1%
Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
76.1%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 6 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
76.1%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
76.0%
Alexander Kinal punt for 43 yds, downed at the ElonU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
75.2%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Corey Joyner for 14 yds to the ElonU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
75.1%
B.J. Bennett run for 4 yds to the ElonU 32Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+1
75.0%
Daniel Thompson run for 1 yd to the ElonU 33Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
75.1%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Corey Joyner, broken up by Cameron GlennSimilar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
75.3%
David Petroni punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 4:2675% → 75%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
74.7%
John Wolford sacked by Rob Sullivan for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+3
74.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 3 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+28
74.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 28 yds to the ElonU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
75.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Bell for 25 yds to the ElonU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
75.4%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the ElonU 13Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
75.4%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the ElonU 13Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+3
75.2%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the ElonU 10Similar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+28
74.8%
Mike Weaver 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
74.7%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Tereak McCray for 3 yds to the ElonU 31 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ElonU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
73.9%
Daniel Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
74.2%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Tereak McCray for 2 yds to the ElonU 48Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
74.2%
Daniel Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 8
OWN 48
+42
74.9%
David Petroni punt for 42 yds , Tabari Hines returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
73.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 9Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
73.7%
Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
73.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari Hines, broken up by John SilasSimilar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
73.1%
Alexander Kinal punt for 70 yds, downed at the ElonU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0126% → 25%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
73.9%
ELON Penalty, Offensive holding (-8 Yards) to the ElonU 9Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 18
OWN 9
+6
74.1%
Connor Christiansen pass complete to Tre Lennon for 6 yds to the ElonU 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+1
74.1%
B.J. Bennett run for 1 yd to the ElonU 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 16
+6
74.5%
Connor Christiansen pass complete to B.J. Bennett for 6 yds to the ElonU 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+2
74.8%
David Petroni punt for 40 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 2 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:2274% → 79%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
74.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Bell for 5 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+21
74.5%
Tyler Bell run for 21 yds to the ElonU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+22
75.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 22 yds to the ElonU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
75.0%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the ElonU 10Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
79.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Connor Christiansen pass incomplete to Corey JoynerSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
78.2%
Connor Christiansen pass complete to Corey Joyner for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 24Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
78.8%
ELON Penalty, false start (Corey Joyner) to the ElonU 19Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+11
78.8%
Connor Christiansen pass complete to Tre Lennon for 11 yds to the ElonU 30Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
78.9%
David Petroni punt for 60 yds, downed at the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:4978% → 89%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
78.1%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+27
78.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 27 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
78.9%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 13 yds to the ElonU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
79.3%
Isaiah Robinson run for 7 yds to the ElonU 41Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+15
79.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 15 yds to the ElonU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
79.4%
Isaiah Robinson run for 8 yds to the ElonU 18Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
79.4%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the ElonU 17Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
78.8%
John Wolford run for no gain to the ElonU 17Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+9
78.3%
Matt Colburn run for 9 yds to the ElonU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
79.4%
Isaiah Robinson run for 6 yds to the ElonU 2Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.7%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
86.7%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Tre Lennon for 11 yds to the ElonU 26 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
86.6%
ELON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ElonU 21Similar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+4
86.7%
Daniel Thompson run for 4 yds to the ElonU 25Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
86.7%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Tre LennonSimilar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
86.8%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Tre Lennon, broken up by Brad WatsonSimilar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
87.0%
David Petroni punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
93.8%
John Wolford run for 70 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
92.2%
B.J. Bennett run for 4 yds to the ElonU 35Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
92.1%
B.J. Bennett run for 2 yds to the ElonU 37Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
92.2%
Connor Christiansen pass incomplete, broken up by Devin GauldenSimilar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+19
92.3%
David Petroni punt for 43 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 19 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 1:2995% → 95%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by Marquise WrightSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+21
94.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 21 yds to the ElonU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
94.7%
John Wolford pass complete to K.J. Brent for 17 yds to the ElonU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
94.8%
John Wolford sacked by Rob Sullivan for a loss of 8 yards to the ElonU 31 for a 1ST down ELON Penalty, personal foul (Johnathan Jackson) to the ElonU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
95.2%
Wolford, J deep out pass incomplete to Lewis, C, PENALTY WF holding (Bell, T) 10 yards to the ELON26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+7
95.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 7 yds to the ElonU 19Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 13
OPP 19
0
95.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 13
OPP 19
0
94.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+37
94.5%
Mike Weaver 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
94.5%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+9
94.5%
Isaiah Robinson run for 9 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+3
94.5%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.6%
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
94.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari Hines, broken up by Johnathan JacksonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-11
94.5%
John Wolford sacked by Corey Mitchell for a loss of 11 yards to the WFrst 11Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
94.1%
Alexander Kinal punt for 36 yds, downed at the WFrst 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 16FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:155% → 5%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
94.8%
Connor Christiansen pass complete to Tereak McCray for 3 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+9
94.7%
Connor Christiansen pass complete to Demitri Allison for 9 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
94.3%
Connor Christiansen pass incomplete to Tre LennonSimilar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
94.3%
Malcolm Summers run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+7
94.8%
Connor Christiansen pass complete to Zach Duprey for 7 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
95.1%
John Gallagher 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5796% → 100%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to K.J. BrentSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 23 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+13
96.0%
John Wolford run for 13 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.2%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 37Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+33
96.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 33 yds to the ElonU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 30 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Malcolm Summers run for 3 yds to the ElonU 28Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Connor Christiansen pass incomplete to Tre Lennon, broken up by Brad WatsonSimilar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
99.4%
Malcolm Summers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 26Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+21
99.4%
David Petroni punt for 50 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 21 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
99.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Steve Donatell for 14 yds to the ElonU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.6%
Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the ElonU 37Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+12
99.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 12 yds to the ElonU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
99.6%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 27Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+27
99.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 27 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Connor Christiansen run for 2 yds to the ElonU 27Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.7%
Connor Christiansen run for 7 yds to the ElonU 34Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.7%
Connor Christiansen run for 5 yds to the ElonU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.7%
Tracey Coppedge run for 2 yds to the ElonU 41Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
99.7%
Tracey Coppedge run for 4 yds to the ElonU 45Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+2
99.7%
Connor Christiansen pass complete to Tre Lennon for 2 yds to the ElonU 47Similar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
99.6%
David Petroni punt for 36 yds, downed at the WFrst 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:48100% → 100%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.7%
Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Kendall Hinton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+8
99.7%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Steve Donatell for 8 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.8%
Tyler Bell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
99.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tyree Harris for 7 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+12
99.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Tyler Bell for 12 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.8%
Kendall Hinton run for 9 yds to the ElonU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+32
99.8%
Matt Colburn run for 19 yds to the ElonU 25 for a 1ST down ELON Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Chris Blair) to the ElonU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
99.8%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Tyree HarrisSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Tyree HarrisSimilar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
99.9%
Mike Weaver 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Connor Christiansen pass incomplete to Jon ThomasSimilar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Connor Christiansen pass complete to Jon Thomas for 13 yds to the ElonU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
Malcolm Summers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 37Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Connor Christiansen pass incomplete, broken up by Dionte AustinSimilar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Connor Christiansen run for 8 yds to the ElonU 45Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+35
99.9%
David Petroni punt for 40 yds , Alex Bachman returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 44 ELON Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Alex Bachman for 8 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to P.J. Howard IV for 2 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 24Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to P.J. Howard IV for 3 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Maddox Stamey for 6 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Corey Joyner at the ElonU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
99.9%
D. Thompson deep out pass complete to T. McCray for 19 yards to the ELON38 (Davis, D), PENALTY ELON holding (C. Toogood) 9 yards to the ELON10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Malcolm Summers run for 2 yds to the ElonU 12Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 17
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 17
OWN 12
+10
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Malcolm Summers for 10 yds to the ElonU 22Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
99.9%
David Petroni punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Alex Bachman at the WFrst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 6 yds to the ElonU 49Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 3 yds to the ElonU 46Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 5 yds to the ElonU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
99.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Dezmond Wortham for 13 yds to the ElonU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to P.J. Howard IV for 6 yds to the ElonU 22Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 3 yds to the ElonU 19Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-1
99.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 20Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+2
99.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 2 yds to the ElonU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Kendall Hinton run for 3 yds to the ElonU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:43
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q2 2:57
John Wolford run for 70 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 11:19
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com