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ALCN

Alcorn State 6 at Georgia Tech 69

GT
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2015 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadALCN aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreALCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:34 · Haiden McCraney run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 5 Haiden McCraney fumbled, forced by Matthew Jordan, recovered by GTech Shaun Kagawa
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Home team on offense+36.3Score differential+29.5Pregame prior+5.5Blowout margin+17.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.0Garbage-time factor+7.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:47: Patrick Skov run for 3 yds for a TD, (TEAM PAT FAILED) — GT win probability +2.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:24: Isiah Willis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +3.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:39: Justin Thomas pass complete to Micheal Summers for 19 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +4.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 1:06: Marcus Marshall run for 49 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +2.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 11:34: Patrick Skov run for 21 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ALCN made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 7:06ALCN 4th & 3 at ALCN 25, down 13
    Close callPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:49ALCN 4th & 5 at ALCN 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:59ALCN 4th & 15 at ALCN 20, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:45ALCN 4th & 5 at ALCN 30, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:34ALCN 4th & 6 at ALCN 33, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00ALCN 4th & 8 at GT 18, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:50ALCN 4th & 1 at GT 8, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:11GT 4th & 1 at ALCN 25, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:01ALCN 4th & 9 at ALCN 38, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:34ALCN 4th & 11 at ALCN 7, down 56
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:45ALCN 4th & 3 at ALCN 32, down 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:43GT 4th & 4 at GT 29, up 63
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:48ALCN 4th & 9 at ALCN 43, down 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:43GT 4th & 4 at GT 25, up 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 12:50GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:47GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:24GT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:39GT Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 1:06GT Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:34GT Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 6:19GT Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:29GT Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:03GT Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:09GT Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:5774% → 74%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
73.6%
Broderick Snoddy run for 8 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+7
73.6%
Patrick Skov run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
73.6%
Patrick Skov run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 44Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+31
73.5%
Qua Searcy run for 31 yds to the AlcSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
74.2%
Justin Thomas run for 13 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 2INT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5926% → 26%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
73.8%
ALCORN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlcSt 20Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
73.9%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Marquis WarfordSimilar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-2
73.9%
Darryan Ragsdale run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 18Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
74.1%
John Gibbs pass intercepted Chris Milton return for no gain to the AlcSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:5374% → 77%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
74.4%
Justin Thomas run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 22Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+5
74.6%
Patrick Skov run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
74.7%
Patrick Skov run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 13Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+10
74.9%
Clinton Lynch run for 10 yds to the AlcSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
75.0%
Patrick Skov run for no gain to the AlcSt 3Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.2%
Patrick Skov run for 3 yds for a TD, (TEAM PAT FAILED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2424% → 23%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
76.1%
Darryan Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 23Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+2
76.3%
Darryan Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 25Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
76.7%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Marquis WarfordSimilar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+10
76.9%
Haiden McCraney punt for 44 yds , Jamal Golden returns for 10 yds to the GTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:3378% → 82%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
78.0%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+38
78.2%
Broderick Snoddy run for 23 yds to the GATECH 36 for a 1ST down ALCORN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Warren Gatewood) to the AlcSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
78.5%
Broderick Snoddy run for 20 yds to the AlcSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.7%
Tim Byerly run for no gain to the AlcSt 1Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.3%
Isiah Willis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1618% → 17%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.7%
John Gibbs pass complete to Lamarvin Ashley for 5 yds to the AlcSt 30Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
81.9%
Darryan Ragsdale run for no gain to the AlcSt 30Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
82.7%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Lamarvin AshleySimilar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
83.0%
Haiden McCraney punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 1:0683% → 88%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
82.6%
Justin Thomas pass complete to TaQuon Marshall for 24 yds to the AlcSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
83.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Qua Searcy for 11 yds to the AlcSt 34 for a 1ST down ALCORN ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Deion McNair) to the AlcSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
88.1%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Micheal Summers for 19 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:3311% → 10%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.5%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Darryan RagsdaleSimilar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Jaborian McKenzieSimilar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.7%
ALCORN ST Penalty, False Start (Lamarvin Ashley) to the AlcSt 20Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
90.2%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Norlando VealsSimilar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+35
90.4%
Haiden McCraney punt for 46 yds , Jamal Golden returns for 35 yds to the AlcSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:4989% → 91%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-18
88.5%
Justin Thomas sacked by Deion McNair for a loss of 18 yards to the AlcSt 49Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 28
OPP 49
+49
90.7%
Marcus Marshall run for 49 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1010% → 9%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.5%
John Gibbs run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
91.2%
Darryan Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 30Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
90.8%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Jordan PayneSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
91.2%
Haiden McCraney punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 3:0191% → 95%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
91.2%
Patrick Skov run for 3 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
91.5%
Tim Byerly run for 4 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+14
91.8%
Tim Byerly run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
50
+23
92.5%
Tim Byerly pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 23 yds to the AlcSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
92.8%
Patrick Skov run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 21Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+21
94.7%
Patrick Skov run for 21 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 12FUMBLE
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:444% → 3%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.8%
John Gibbs pass complete to Marquis Warford for 7 yds to the AlcSt 32Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
96.2%
John Gibbs pass complete to Marquis Warford for 7 yds to the AlcSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
96.3%
Darryan Ragsdale run for 12 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.4%
Darryan Ragsdale run for no gain to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
96.5%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Brandon VessellSimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+8
96.7%
John Gibbs pass complete to Darryan Ragsdale for 8 yds Darryan Ragsdale fumbled, forced by KeShun Freeman, recovered by GTech A.J. GraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:0996% → 98%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
95.5%
Marcus Allen run for 14 yds to the AlcSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
95.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 18 yds to the AlcSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
95.0%
Marcus Allen run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 23Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
96.8%
Marcus Allen run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 20Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+7
97.0%
Tim Byerly run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
97.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 8Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
97.9%
Tim Byerly run for 8 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:292% → 1%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
98.2%
John Gibbs run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 25Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+4
98.1%
Arron Baker run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
98.2%
Arron Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 27Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+6
98.5%
John Gibbs run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 33Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
98.5%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Arron BakerSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Haiden McCraney punt for 52 yds, downed at the GTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · 20 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+20
98.5%
Marcus Marshall run for 20 yds to the GTech 36 Marcus Marshall fumbled, forced by Damon Watkins, recovered by AlcSt Warren GatewoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:202% → 2%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
98.5%
John Gibbs sacked by Antonio Simmons for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 41 John Gibbs fumbled, forced by Antonio Simmons, recovered by AlcSt John Gibbs , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+21
98.7%
John Gibbs pass complete to Tollette George for 21 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
98.6%
John Gibbs pass complete to Jaborian McKenzie for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+2
98.8%
John Gibbs pass complete to Darryan Ragsdale for 2 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+3
98.8%
John Gibbs pass complete to Norlando Veals for 3 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
98.5%
Haiden McCraney 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:281% → 2%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.8%
Darryan Ragsdale run for 13 yds to the AlcSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.8%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Brandon VessellSimilar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
98.8%
Darryan Ragsdale run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlcSt 37Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+30
99.0%
John Gibbs run for 30 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
98.8%
Darryan Ragsdale run for 16 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
98.8%
Gibbs, John pass complete to Payne, Jordan for 17 yards to the GATECH0, PENALTY ALCORNST illegal motion (Vessell, Brandon) 5 yards to the GATECH22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+12
98.9%
Marquis Warford run for 12 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
98.9%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Tollette GeorgeSimilar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+2
99.0%
John Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+7
99.0%
Arron Baker run for 7 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Arron Baker run for 1 yd for a TD, (TEAM intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:4699% → 100%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+37
99.3%
Marcus Marshall run for 37 yds to the AlcSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
99.4%
Matthew Jordan run for 11 yds to the AlcSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.4%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 29Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+3
99.4%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 26Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
99.5%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 25Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+6
99.6%
Patrick Skov run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.6%
Patrick Skov run for 9 yds to the AlcSt 10Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+6
99.6%
Tim Byerly run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Patrick Skov run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Darryan Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 27Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
99.8%
John Gibbs run for 10 yds to the AlcSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.8%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Jordan PayneSimilar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.8%
Arron Baker run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 43Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-5
99.8%
ALCORN ST Penalty, False Start (Eric Snow) to the AlcSt 38Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
99.8%
John Gibbs pass incomplete to Lamarvin AshleySimilar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+1
99.8%
Haiden McCraney punt for 46 yds , TaQuon Marshall returns for 1 yd to the GTech 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
99.8%
Clinton Lynch run for 7 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+3
99.8%
Tim Byerly run for 3 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.8%
Matthew Jordan run for 9 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+64
99.8%
Marcus Marshall run for 64 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 21FUMBLE
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.9%
Lenorris Footman run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 10Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Lenorris Footman run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 12 Lenorris Footman fumbled, forced by Francis Kallon, recovered by AlcStSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 6
OWN 12
-5
99.9%
ALCORN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlcSt 7Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 11
OWN 7
0
99.9%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Tollette GeorgeSimilar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 11
OWN 7
-2
99.9%
Haiden McCraney run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 5 Haiden McCraney fumbled, forced by Matthew Jordan, recovered by GTech Shaun KagawaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q4 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
99.9%
Brady Swilling run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlcSt 6Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.9%
Brady Swilling run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 1Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Brady Swilling run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
De'Lance Turner run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 31Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
De'Lance Turner run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 32Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Jordan PayneSimilar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Haiden McCraney punt for 45 yds, fair catch by TaQuon Marshall at the GTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
Brady Swilling run for 6 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-2
99.9%
Matthew Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 27Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Brady Swilling run for 2 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 4
OWN 29
-2
99.9%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 39 yds , Anthony Williams Jr. returns for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 25FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
100.0%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Marquis Warford for 12 yds to the AlcSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
100.0%
De'Lance Turner run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 49Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-6
100.0%
De'Lance Turner run for a loss of 6 yards to the AlcSt 43Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Brandon VessellSimilar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 9
OWN 43
-2
100.0%
Haiden McCraney punt for 36 yds , Qua Searcy returns for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 19 Qua Searcy fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
100.0%
Ryan Braswell run for 1 yd to the GTech 20Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Brady Swilling run for 3 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+2
100.0%
Brady Swilling run for 2 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 47 yds, downed at the AlcSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 27END OF GAME
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:230% → 0%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Joe Price run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 33Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Lenorris Footman run for 15 yds to the AlcSt 48 for a 1ST down ALCORN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the AlcSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
Joe Price run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 37Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Joe Price run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 39Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+8
100.0%
Lenorris Footman run for 8 yds to the AlcSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Ashton Hall run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 48Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+44
100.0%
Lenorris Footman pass complete to Lamarvin Ashley for 44 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Lenorris Footman pass incomplete to Ashton HallSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
100.0%
Ashton Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-9
100.0%
Lenorris Footman sacked by Tyler Stargel for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:39
Justin Thomas pass complete to Micheal Summers for 19 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q1 5:24
Isiah Willis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q1 8:47
Patrick Skov run for 3 yds for a TD, (TEAM PAT FAILED)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com