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DUKE

Duke 37 at Tulane 7

TULN
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2015 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadDUKE aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreDUKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Peter Picerelli punt for 30 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−30.3Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Ross Martin 25 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +3.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:52: Ross Martin 46 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +4.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:49: Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 29 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +4.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:44: Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 76 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +5.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:32: Trevor Simms kickoff for 60 yds , DeVon Edwards return for 95 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +6.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 12DUKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:50TULN 4th & 17 at TULN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:41DUKE 4th & 7 at TULN 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:41TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:53DUKE 4th & 2 at TULN 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:39DUKE 4th & 1 at TULN 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%−0.7
    83% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:42TULN 4th & 2 at DUKE 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:38DUKE 4th & 4 at TULN 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:18TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:52DUKE 4th & 8 at TULN 28, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−4.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:52TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 37, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:44DUKE 4th & 9 at TULN 42, up 16
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:28TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 18, down 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00DUKE 4th & 1 at TULN 23, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.0%−1.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−5.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:23TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 27, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:32TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 39, down 23
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:43DUKE 4th & 6 at DUKE 40, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:28TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 31, down 23
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:25TULN 4th & 18 at TULN 14, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1DUKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 11:27DUKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 12:49DUKE Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:44TULN Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:32DUKE Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:31DUKE Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
19.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
19.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
19.7%
Peter Picerelli punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
20.6%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+22
20.6%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 22 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
20.5%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-6
20.5%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for a loss of 6 yards Johnell Barnes fumbled, forced by Ade Aruna, recovered by Tulan Jarrod FranklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
21.4%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
21.5%
[GUN], LEE, Tanner middle pass incomplete to VEAL, Teddy, PENALTY DU pass interference (Norman, D) 5 yards to the TLN47, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
21.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
21.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-5
21.3%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 15
OWN 42
-2
21.3%
Tanner Lee sacked by DeVon Edwards for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 17
OWN 40
0
21.2%
Peter Picerelli punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:4078% → 76%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
22.0%
Thomas Sirk run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 26Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+5
22.0%
[GUN], Sirk, T rush quarterback draw for 3 yards to the DU29 (MARLEY, Nico), PENALTY TLN offside defense 5 yards to the DU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-5
21.9%
DUKE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 26Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 13
OWN 26
0
22.0%
Shaun Wilson run for no gain to the Duke 26Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+16
22.2%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 16 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
21.6%
Thomas Sirk run for 14 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
21.6%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
21.7%
Shaun Wilson run for 10 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-5
21.6%
[GUN], PENALTY DU false start (Patrick, L) 5 yards to the TLN38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+21
21.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 21 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
21.5%
Shaun Wilson run for 7 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-4
21.5%
Thomas Sirk run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 14Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
21.6%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Johnell BarnesSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
23.7%
Ross Martin 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
23.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 8 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
24.0%
Sherman Badie run for 8 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
24.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
24.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 3 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
24.0%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
23.7%
Peter Picerelli punt for 37 yds, downed at the Duke 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
24.5%
[GUN], Powell, S rush over left guard for 2 yards to the DU18 (MARLEY, Nico), PENALTY TLN offside defense (THOMAS, Calvin) 5 yards to the DU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 5
OWN 21
+6
24.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 6 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
24.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 6 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
24.2%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+10
24.5%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 10 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
23.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 6 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
23.9%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
23.9%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
24.4%
Will Monday punt for 45 yds, downed at the Tulan 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1025% → 25%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
25.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the Tulan 4Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+5
25.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 9
0
25.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 9
+25
25.0%
Peter Picerelli punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 39 , Ryan Smith returns for 25 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:1275% → 78%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
24.7%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+14
24.7%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Braxton Deaver for 14 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
24.3%
Shaun Wilson run for no gain to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
24.4%
Thomas Sirk run for 7 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q2 14:39
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+2
24.7%
Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q2 14:39
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+13
25.3%
Thomas Sirk run for 13 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
24.3%
Parker Boehme run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 3Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
24.3%
Parker Boehme pass incomplete to Braxton DeaverSimilar
Q2 11:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 3 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9DOWNS
12 plays · 55 yds · 3:3921% → 22%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
21.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 2 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+16
21.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 16 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
21.8%
Rob Kelley run for no gain to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
21.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 12 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
22.4%
Tanner Lee run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+22
21.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 22 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
23.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 2 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
23.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+6
22.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 6 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 2
OPP 27
0
21.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
20.7%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Johnell Barnes, broken up by Richard AllenSimilar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
21.2%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 6 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+17
20.6%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
50
+5
19.8%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
19.8%
Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
20.1%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
20.5%
Will Monday punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+20
20.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST down DUKE Penalty, personal foul (Alonzo Saxton II) to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
21.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 20 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
22.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-2
22.5%
Tanner Lee sacked by Breon Borders for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 47Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
21.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 8
OPP 47
-5
21.0%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 13
OWN 48
+4
20.5%
Peter Picerelli punt for 47 yds , Ryan Smith returns for 4 yds to the Duke 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12FG
17 plays · 84 yds · 3:3178% → 87%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
21.6%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming, broken up by Donnie LewisSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
21.8%
Thomas Sirk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+7
22.3%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 7 yds to the Duke 16Similar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
21.3%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 5 yds to the Duke 26Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+12
20.6%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 12 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
20.0%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 4 yds to the Duke 42Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
20.0%
Thomas Sirk run for 3 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+13
20.3%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 13 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-13
19.8%
[GUN], Sirk, T slant pass incomplete to Taylor, C, PENALTY DU pass interference (Jones, D) 13 yards to the TLN29, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
18.5%
[GUN], Sirk, T deep pass complete to Smith, R for 29 yards to the TLN0, clock 01:10, PENALTY DU holding (Brandner, G) 10 yards to the TLN39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+11
19.1%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 11 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+13
19.0%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 13 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
18.6%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 8 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+25
13.4%
Ross Martin 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:0883% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.2%
Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
17.1%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Duke 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+29
17.4%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 29 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
16.1%
Shaun Wilson run for 11 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
16.1%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+1
16.1%
Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
16.4%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete, broken up by Parry NickersonSimilar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
12.2%
Ross Martin 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
14.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
14.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 4 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
14.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 7 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
14.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
14.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
13.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Dwayne NormanSimilar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
13.8%
Peter Picerelli punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ryan Smith at the Duke 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 15FUMBLE
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:0088% → 90%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
11.6%
Thomas Sirk run for 16 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
10.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 11 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
10.8%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+10
10.6%
Thomas Sirk run for 10 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
10.5%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete, broken up by Darion MonroeSimilar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
10.7%
Thomas Sirk run for 5 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+11
10.6%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 11 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
10.5%
Thomas Sirk run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 23 Thomas Sirk fumbled, recovered by Tulan Darion Monroe , return for 8 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16INT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0013% → 15%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
13.0%
Sherman Badie run for 11 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
13.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+12
13.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 12 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
14.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 4 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
14.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Duke 43Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
15.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
14.9%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Zavier Carmichael return for no gain to the Duke 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
10.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Duke 23Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+6
10.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 6 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+13
11.2%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 13 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
10.2%
Thomas Sirk run for 3 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+12
10.1%
Shaun Wilson run for 12 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
10.0%
Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
10.0%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
10.1%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to T.J. RahmingSimilar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
11.0%
Will Monday punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the Tulan 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
11.1%
Rob Kelley run for 1 yd to the Tulan 10Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
11.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+8
11.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 8 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
11.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ryan Smith at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:0093% → 93%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
6.9%
Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
7.0%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to T.J. RahmingSimilar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+14
7.1%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 14 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
6.8%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 4 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
6.4%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Johnell Barnes, broken up by Richard AllenSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+5
6.5%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Erich Schneider for 5 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
7.3%
Thomas Sirk run for no gain to the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-8
10.9%
Tanner Lee sacked by Carlos Wray for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 15Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 18
OWN 15
+12
10.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 12 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
10.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q4 14:23
4TH & 6
OWN 27
-8
10.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 19 TULANE Penalty, IS ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 21TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:2594% → 98%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
6.2%
DUKE Penalty, illegal block (Braxton Deaver) to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+29
1.7%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 29 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 2:042% → 8%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
2.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 2Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+4
2.1%
Rob Kelley run for 4 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+15
2.1%
LEE, Tanner sideline pass incomplete to SCOTT, Trey, PENALTY DU pass interference (Border, B) 15 yards to the TLN21, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
2.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 3 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+76
8.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 76 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Trey Scott, broken up by Jeremy CashSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
1.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 4 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
2.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell Hilliard TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:32
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
1.9%
Peter Picerelli punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Ryan Smith at the Duke 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
1.3%
Parker Boehme run for 1 yd to the Duke 37Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
1.3%
Parker Boehme run for 3 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
1.3%
Parker Boehme pass incomplete to Johnell BarnesSimilar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+8
1.4%
Will Monday punt for 56 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 8 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
1.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 5 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+6
1.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 6 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
1.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 3 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
1.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 5 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
1.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
1.7%
Peter Picerelli punt for 44 yds, downed at the Duke 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 27TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5999% → 100%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.9%
Parker Boehme pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 8 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
0.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
0.8%
Nicodem Pierre run for 4 yds to the Duke 42Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
0.9%
Parker Boehme run for 7 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
0.8%
Nicodem Pierre run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+27
0.8%
Parker Boehme pass complete to N/A for 27 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
0.8%
Zach Boden run for 5 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+3
0.8%
Zach Boden run for 3 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+10
0.9%
Zach Boden run for 10 yds to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.8%
Zach Boden run for 3 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Zach Boden run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-8
0.1%
Tanner Lee sacked by Brandon Boyce for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 14 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 18
OWN 14
0
0.1%
Peter Picerelli punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ryan Smith at the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:32
Trevor Simms kickoff for 60 yds , DeVon Edwards return for 95 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)
-6.2
TD · Q4 10:44
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 76 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q4 12:49
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 29 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com