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GRAM

Grambling 14 at California 73

CAL
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadGRAM aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreGRAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:59 · TEAM punt, downed at the Gramb 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Pregame prior+45.6Home team on offense+7.6Score differential+4.6Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Garbage-time factor+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:15: Johnathan Williams pass intercepted for a TD Cameron Walker return for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:04: Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:58: Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 19 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 0:21: Johnathan Williams pass intercepted for a TD Devante Downs return for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 10:43: Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6GRAM made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00GRAM 4th & 6 at GRAM 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:57GRAM 4th & 2 at CAL 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:28GRAM 4th & 8 at CAL 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:59GRAM 4th & 7 at GRAM 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:04GRAM 4th & 13 at GRAM 40, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:54CAL 4th & 7 at GRAM 33, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:25GRAM 4th & 8 at GRAM 27, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:52CAL 4th & 3 at GRAM 3, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:49GRAM 4th & 15 at GRAM 15, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:53CAL 4th & 1 at GRAM 1, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:38GRAM 4th & 11 at GRAM 36, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:32CAL 4th & 13 at CAL 32, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:16GRAM 4th & 11 at GRAM 24, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:34CAL 4th & 8 at midfield, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:50GRAM 4th & 9 at GRAM 32, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:49CAL 4th & 8 at GRAM 44, up 59
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 10 of 10GRAM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:04CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:15CAL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:04CAL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:58CAL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:21CAL Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:43CAL Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:50CAL Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:53CAL Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:53CAL Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:40GRAM Touchdown, down 60 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:37GRAM Touchdown, down 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 6:54CAL Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GRAMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.1%
Johnathan Williams run for 2 yds to the Gramb 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+2
99.1%
Johnathan Williams pass complete to Jestin Kelly for 2 yds to the Gramb 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
99.1%
Johnathan Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
99.1%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
99.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Daniel Lasco for 20 yds to the Gramb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
99.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 17 yds to the Gramb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.0%
Daniel Lasco run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.0%
Williams, Johnathan pass incomplete to Rogers, Chester, PENALTY CAL pass interference (Nickerson, Hardy) 6 yards to the GSU44, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
99.0%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.0%
Jestin Kelly run for 7 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
99.0%
Johnathan Williams run for 1 yd to the Cal 33Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
99.0%
Johnathan Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+1
99.0%
Johnathan Williams pass complete to Chad Williams for 1 yd to the Cal 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
99.0%
Goff, Jared sacked for loss of 12 yards to the CAL20 (Butler, Derwin;Stalling, Larry), PENALTY GSU face mask (Stalling, Larry) 15 yards to the CAL47, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.0%
Jared Goff pass intercepted Nicholas Peoples return for 1 yd to the Cal 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.9%
Johnathan Williams pass incomplete to Chad Williams, broken up by Cameron WalkerSimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
98.9%
GRAMBLING Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 15
50
0
98.9%
Johnathan Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 15
50
+7
98.9%
Johnathan Williams run for 7 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
98.9%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6FUMBLE
8 plays · 79 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 5 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 4 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+16
98.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 16 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for no gain to the Cal 45Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+51
98.9%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 51 yds to the Gramb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.9%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny Lawler, broken up by Deion BonnerSimilar
Q1 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
98.9%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the Gramb 2Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.9%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Gramb 1 Vic Enwere fumbled, forced by Jameel Jackson, recovered by Gramb Jevonta WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 7INT TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:381% → 1%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
98.7%
Dre' Fusiler run for 4 yds to the Gramb 5Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+14
98.8%
Johnathan Williams pass intercepted for a TD Cameron Walker return for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 8INT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
98.8%
Martez Carter run for 9 yds to the Gramb 37Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
98.8%
Johnathan Williams run for 2 yds to the Gramb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
98.8%
Johnathan Williams sacked by Marcus Manley for a loss of 8 yards to the Gramb 31Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 18
OWN 31
-4
98.8%
Martez Carter run for a loss of 4 yards to the Gramb 27Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 22
OWN 27
0
98.8%
Johnathan Williams pass intercepted Darius Allensworth return for no gain to the Gramb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:4599% → 99%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
98.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Stephen Anderson for 3 yds to the Gramb 40Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+9
98.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Darius Powe for 9 yds to the Gramb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Trevor DavisSimilar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
98.8%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 12 yds to the Gramb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.8%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Kenny LawlerSimilar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+16
98.8%
Daniel Lasco run for 16 yds to the Gramb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
98.9%
Jestin Kelly run for 2 yds to the Gramb 13Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-5
99.0%
GRAMBLING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 8Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 13
OWN 8
0
99.0%
Johnathan Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 13
OWN 8
+6
99.0%
Johnathan Williams pass complete to Chad Williams for 6 yds to the Gramb 14Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 7
OWN 14
0
99.0%
TEAM punt, downed at the Gramb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:3199% → 99%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.0%
Daniel Lasco run for 4 yds to the Gramb 19Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
99.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 19 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 12INT TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:291% → 1%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
99.4%
Jestin Kelly run for 1 yd to the Gramb 9Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+8
99.5%
Johnathan Williams pass intercepted for a TD Devante Downs return for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
99.5%
Martez Carter run for 11 yds to the Gramb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Gramb 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Gramb Johnathan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 35
-15
99.5%
GRAMBLING Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Gramb 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 33
OWN 20
+20
99.5%
Johnathan Williams pass complete to Martez Carter for 20 yds to the Gramb 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Johnathan Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 35 yds, downed at the Cal 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1199% → 100%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Khalfani Muhammad for 7 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+32
99.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Trevor Davis for 32 yds to the Gramb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
99.3%
Daniel Lasco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 38Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+5
99.3%
Goff, Jared pass complete to Davis, Trevor for 5 yards to the GSU33 (Amphy, Dwight;Peoples, Nicholas), PENALTY GSU offside 5 yards to the GSU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
99.3%
Jared Goff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
99.3%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Daniel LascoSimilar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+25
99.3%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 25 yds to the Gramb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-8
99.3%
Daniel Lasco run for a loss of 8 yards to the Gramb 16Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
99.5%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Jestin Kelly run for no gain to the Gramb 25Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Jestin Kelly run for 2 yds to the Gramb 27Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Johnathan Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-4
99.7%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 38 yds , Trevor Davis returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16FG
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
99.6%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 22 yds to the Gramb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+42
99.6%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 42 yds to the Gramb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.6%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Gramb 3Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Maurice HarrisSimilar
Q2 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to Darius Powe, broken up by DeShawn MorrisonSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
99.7%
Matt Anderson 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 17INT
5 plays · 50 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+49
99.8%
Johnathan Williams pass complete to Ka'Jandre Domino for 49 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.7%
Jestin Kelly run for 1 yd to the Cal 27Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
99.7%
Johnathan Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Johnathan Williams pass intercepted Luke Rubenzer return for no gain to the Cal 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18TD
14 plays · 95 yds · 4:39100% → 100%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
99.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 10 yds to the Cal 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.7%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
99.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 3 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+7
99.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Jeffrey Coprich for 7 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Maurice Harris for 6 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Chad Hansen for 5 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.7%
Jeffrey Coprich run for 3 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+8
99.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 8 yds to the Gramb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bryce Treggs for 2 yds to the Gramb 47Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+29
99.7%
Jared Goff pass complete to Bug Rivera for 29 yds to the Gramb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
99.7%
Kenny Lawler run for 10 yds to the Gramb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
99.8%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the Gramb 2Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 19END OF HALF
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.8%
Martez Carter run for 5 yds to the Gramb 27Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+11
99.8%
Johnathan Williams pass complete to Ka'Jandre Domino for 11 yds to the Gramb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
Martez Carter run for 3 yds to the Gramb 41Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
99.8%
Johnathan Williams run for 2 yds to the Gramb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
99.8%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 10 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.8%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 7 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Chase Forrest pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
99.8%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Chad Hansen for 6 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Chase Forrest pass intercepted, touchback. Nicholas Peoples return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Johnathan Williams pass incomplete to Verlon HunterSimilar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
99.9%
Johnathan Williams sacked by Cameron Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the Gramb 17Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-2
99.9%
Johnathan Williams sacked by Todd Barr for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 15Similar
Q3 13:49
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Bryce Treggs at the Gramb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Jeffrey Coprich run for no gain to the Gramb 45Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.8%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Jeffrey Coprich for 4 yds to the Gramb 41Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+21
99.8%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 21 yds to the Gramb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
99.8%
Vic Enwere run for 14 yds to the Gramb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Jeffrey Coprich run for no gain to the Gramb 6Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.8%
Chase Forrest run for 5 yds to the Gramb 1Similar
Q3 9:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jeffrey Coprich run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Beito KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.9%
Brenton Terrence run for 4 yds to the Gramb 25Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Brenton Terrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 23Similar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.9%
Brenton Terrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 36Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Johnathan Williams pass incomplete to Dominique Leake, broken up by Luke RubenzerSimilar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Johnathan Williams pass incomplete to Lovett GibsonSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Bryce Treggs at the Cal 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 30Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Patrick WorstellSimilar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 2 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Cole Leininger punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Dwight Amphy at the Gramb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
99.9%
Jestin Kelly run for 9 yds to the Gramb 23Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Jestin Kelly run for 2 yds to the Gramb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Chad WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Jestin Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 24Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Ka'Jandre DominoSimilar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 31 yds , Kanawai Noa returns for no gain to the Cal 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 26TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 9 yds to the Gramb 46Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Patrick Worstell for 5 yds to the Gramb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass incomplete, broken up by Samuel ReeseSimilar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-4
99.9%
Chase Forrest sacked by Donovan McCray for a loss of 4 yards to the Gramb 45Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+24
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Jeffrey Coprich for 24 yds to the Gramb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Patrick Worstell for 15 yds to the Gramb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Noah Beito KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 27TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:030% → 0%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
100.0%
Martez Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Gramb 44Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+37
100.0%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Dominique Leake for 37 yds to the Cal 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-6
99.9%
Trevon Cherry run for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 25 Trevon Cherry fumbled, recovered by Gramb Trevon CherrySimilar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 16
OPP 25
-5
100.0%
Cherry, Trevon pass complete to Byrdson, Brandon for 7 yards to the CAL18, out-of-bounds (Brown, Derron), PENALTY GSU illegal formation 5 yards to the CAL30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 30
+16
100.0%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chester Rogers for 16 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+10
99.9%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chester Rogers for 10 yds to the Cal 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Martez Carter run for no gain to the Cal 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Jestin Kelly run for no gain to the Cal 4Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Brandon Byrdsong for 4 yds for a TD, (Marc Orozco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 5 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 17 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+17
99.9%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 17 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Vic Enwere run for 8 yds to the Gramb 44Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-6
99.9%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:34
4TH & 8
50
0
99.9%
Cole Leininger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dwight Amphy at the Gramb 10Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 8
50
0
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Brandon SingletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 29TD
1 play · 90 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+90
100.0%
Martez Carter run for 90 yds for a TD, (Marc Orozco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 30TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Jeffrey Coprich run for 6 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Patrick Worstell for 5 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Tre Watson run for 5 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-4
99.9%
Tre Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 37Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+63
100.0%
Chase Forrest pass complete to Bug Rivera for 63 yds for a TD, (Robbie McInerny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Brandon Byrdsong, broken up by Jaylinn HawkinsSimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Martez Carter run for 1 yd to the Gramb 32Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Ka'Jandre DominoSimilar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kanawai Noa at the Cal 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 32PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:58100% → 100%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
100.0%
N/A run for 6 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
100.0%
N/A run for 6 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
N/A run for 5 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+8
100.0%
N/A run for 8 yds to the Gramb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
100.0%
N/A run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 47Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Khalfani Muhammad run for 2 yds to the Gramb 45Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+1
100.0%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Gramb 44Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
100.0%
N/A punt for 32 yds , Dwight Amphy returns for no gain to the Gramb 19 Dwight Amphy fumbled, recovered by Cal Stephen AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 33END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Gramb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:58
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 19 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 3:04
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q2 10:43
Jared Goff pass complete to Kenny Lawler for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com