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PRST

Portland State 24 at Washington State 17

WSU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:48 · Zach Charme punt for 54 yds, downed at the PrtSt 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior+10.8Home team on offense+2.5Garbage-time factor+0.6Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:51: Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 24 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:54: Paris Penn run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Gonzales KICK) — PRST win probability +13.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:06: Nate Tago run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Gonzales KICK) — PRST win probability +25.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:11: Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +24.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:19: Steven Long run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Gonzales KICK) — PRST win probability +34.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11PRST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:51WSU 4th & 4 at PRST 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:45PRST 4th & 10 at PRST 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:57WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    51.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:57WSU 4th & 2 at PRST 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.4%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 8:57WSU 4th & 5 at PRST 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    51.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:04PRST 4th & 20 at PRST 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:45PRST 4th & 4 at PRST 48, down 10
    Close callPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:52WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:48WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:54PRST 4th & 5 at WSU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−7.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:37PRST 4th & 13 at WSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−2.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−9.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:30WSU 4th & 2 at PRST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−4.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−2.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:28WSU 4th & 3 at PRST 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%−1.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−11.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00PRST 4th & 1 at PRST 49, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−4.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:44WSU 4th & 5 at PRST 11, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−13.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:18WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.1%−2.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PRST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 7:51WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:54PRST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:06PRST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:11WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:19PRST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:0975% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
74.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
74.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+11
74.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 11 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+37
74.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 22 yds to the WASHST 33 for a 1ST down PORTLAND ST Penalty, personal foul (Patrick Onwuasor) to the PrtSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
74.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+7
74.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 7 yds to the PrtSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
74.6%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
74.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 5 yds to the PrtSt 4Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
74.6%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the PrtSt 4Similar
Q1 10:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
74.2%
Erik Powell 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
74.0%
Paris Penn run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+7
73.9%
David Jones run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
73.8%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Paris PennSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
73.9%
David Jones run for no gain to the PrtSt 42Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
74.0%
Alex Kuresa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
74.2%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 56 yds, downed at the WshSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3MISSED FG
23 plays · 93 yds · 9:5374% → 73%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
73.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+10
73.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 10 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
73.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 9 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+4
73.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
73.7%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the WshSt 32Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
73.7%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+9
73.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 9 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+7
73.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
74.2%
Luke Falk run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-5
74.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 11
OWN 47
-5
73.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (Luke Falk) to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+14
73.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 14 yds to the PrtSt 44Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
74.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+4
73.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
74.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 45Similar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 15
OPP 45
-10
74.0%
Luke Falk sacked by Savali Talalemotu for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 35 Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by WshSt Cole Madison , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 35
OWN 35
+6
73.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 6 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 29
OWN 41
+24
73.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 24 yds to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+32
73.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 32 yds to the PrtSt 3 for a 1ST down PORTLAND ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
73.7%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by Xavier ColemanSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by AJ Schlatter WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 0
OPP 4
+22
72.6%
Erik Powell 22 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Aaron Sibley N/A return for no gain to the PrtSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
71.9%
Alex Kuresa run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+10
71.3%
Paris Penn run for 10 yds to the PrtSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-7
71.0%
Alex Kuresa sacked by Destiny Vaeao for a loss of 7 yards to the PrtSt 41Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+5
71.9%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Thomas Carter III for 5 yds to the PrtSt 46Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 12
OWN 46
-15
72.1%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Thomas Carter for 20 yards to the WSU34, out-of-bounds, PENALTY PSU personal foul (Kyle Smith) 15 yards to the PSU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 27
OWN 31
+7
72.9%
Alex Kuresa run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 20
OWN 38
+8
73.0%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 47 yds , Kyrin Priester returns for 8 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 3:0972% → 79%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
71.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 1 yd to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+39
71.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 39 yds to the PrtSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
73.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+7
73.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Lilienthal Dan. for 7 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+2
72.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
73.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the PrtSt 24Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+24
79.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Keith Harrington for 24 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
77.9%
David Jones run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
77.4%
David Jones run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
77.6%
Steven Long run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+4
78.0%
Paris Penn run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 33Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+9
78.1%
Alex Kuresa run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
77.0%
Alex Kuresa sacked by Darryl Paulo for a loss of 4 yards to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+10
77.8%
Alex Kuresa run for 10 yds to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
76.8%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Thomas Carter III, broken up by Taylor TaliuluSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
77.8%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kyrin Priester at the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
78.4%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 8Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+14
78.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 14 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
78.6%
Luke Falk run for 6 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+7
78.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 7 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
78.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 7 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
79.8%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
79.0%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
78.0%
N/A punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PrtSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
79.7%
David Jones run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0121% → 37%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.4%
Alex Kuresa run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
78.9%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Thomas Carter IIISimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
79.8%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to David Jones for 14 yds to the PrtSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
78.3%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Cam Sommer for 11 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
77.5%
Alex Kuresa run for 7 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
77.2%
Alex Kuresa run for 4 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
76.7%
Paris Penn run for 10 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+18
76.3%
Nate Tago run for 18 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
76.9%
Paris Penn run for 3 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.4%
Paris Penn run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Gonzales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
69.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 3 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
69.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
68.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
67.8%
Zach Charme punt for 54 yds, downed at the PrtSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 5:1731% → 40%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
68.7%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Thomas Carter III for 20 yds to the PrtSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
66.0%
Alex Kuresa run for 25 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
63.6%
Steven Long run for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-1
63.2%
Alex Kuresa run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+1
65.1%
Steven Long run for 1 yd to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+7
67.2%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Thomas Carter III for 7 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
63.2%
Steven Long run for 3 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
63.2%
Paris Penn run for no gain to the WshSt 19Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-6
64.6%
Alex Kuresa sacked by Kache Palacio for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
60.0%
Jonathan Gonzales 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 3:0263% → 64%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
63.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 8 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+6
66.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 6 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
66.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 6
50
+4
67.0%
Luke Falk run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 46Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
66.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+12
64.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the PrtSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
68.5%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 36 Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by WshSt Luke FalkSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
66.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyrin PriesterSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+9
64.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 9 yds to the PrtSt 27Similar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
64.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John Thompson, broken up by Walter SantiagoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:2442% → 44%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
57.8%
Paris Penn run for 12 yds to the PrtSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
55.5%
Alex Kuresa run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
54.2%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Thomas Carter IIISimilar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
54.8%
Nate Tago run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-2
55.8%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 38 yds , Kyrin Priester returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 11 Kyrin Priester fumbled, recovered by PrtSt Kameron CanadaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:4249% → 73%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
50.6%
Paris Penn run for no gain to the WshSt 11Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
50.6%
Alex Kuresa run for 3 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
26.9%
Nate Tago run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Gonzales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 46 yds · 3:4441% → 74%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
41.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 45Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
41.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+16
39.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 16 yds to the PrtSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
44.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 13 yds to the PrtSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-7
43.6%
Falk, Luke pass complete to Wicks, Gerard for 16 yards to the PSU0, clock 11:44, PENALTY WSU holding (Lewis, Robert) 7 yards to the PSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 17
OPP 23
+6
42.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 6 yds to the PrtSt 17Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 11
OPP 17
0
43.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John Thompson, broken up by Jeremy LutaliSimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+6
40.2%
Luke Falk run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 11Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+6
38.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 6 yds to the PrtSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
43.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tyler BakerSimilar
Q4 11:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
43.6%
Gerard Wicks run for no gain to the PrtSt 5Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+2
73.8%
Powell, Erik kick attempt failed, PENALTY PSU roughing the kicker (Aaron Sibley) 2 yards to the PSU1, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 16TD
16 plays · 69 yds · 6:4644% → 92%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
56.4%
Paris Penn run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
54.3%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Thomas Carter III for 2 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+4
54.2%
David Jones run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
53.5%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to David Jones for 2 yds to the PrtSt 44Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+10
53.2%
David Jones run for 10 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
51.0%
Alex Kuresa run for 17 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
43.3%
Paris Penn run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+13
47.0%
Alex Kuresa run for 13 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+4
45.7%
Paris Penn run for 4 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
43.3%
Steven Long run for 6 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+4
43.3%
Steven Long run for 4 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
43.3%
Steven Long run for 3 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
43.3%
Paris Penn run for 2 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.4%
Steven Long run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Gonzales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17INT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0019% → 25%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
19.1%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Wicks, Gerard, PENALTY WSU holding (Middleton, Ed.) 10 yards to the WSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
18.9%
Luke Falk run for 5 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+12
18.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 12 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
19.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
19.0%
Luke Falk run for 5 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
20.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to River Cracraft, broken up by Xavier ColemanSimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
20.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by AJ SchlatterSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+18
18.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 18 yds to the PrtSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
25.0%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted Aaron Sibley return for no gain to the PrtSt 45 PORTLAND ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (14 Yards) to the PrtSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 18END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
6.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:19
Steven Long run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Gonzales KICK)
-34.8
TD · Q4 13:06
Nate Tago run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Gonzales KICK)
-25.8
TD · Q4 9:11
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+24.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com