Try the model
WASH

Washington 13 at Boise State 16

BOIS
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2015 · Albertsons Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:59 · Sean Wale punt for 31 yds, downed at the Wash 15 BOISE ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Terrell Johnson) to the Wash 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Pregame prior+0.8Home team on offense+18.5Garbage-time factor+10.9Score differential+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Time remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:12: Jeremy McNichols 7 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa PAT blocked) — BOIS win probability +3.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:26: Jeremy McNichols 1 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick) — BOIS win probability +6.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:37: Dante Pettis 76 Yd Punt Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +12.0 pts (now 20%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:29: Cameron Van Winkle 28 Yd Field Goal — WASH win probability +10.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:36: Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 00:36 — BOIS win probability +12.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 9WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 13:07BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:26WASH 4th & 7 at BOIS 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:40BOIS 4th & 2 at WASH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    75.0%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:45WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:27BOIS 4th & 1 at WASH 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−1.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−6.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:54WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 28, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:36WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 19, down 13
    Close callPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:53WASH 4th & 5 at BOIS 45, down 16
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:07BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 40, up 16
    Close callPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:45WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 44, down 16
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:34BOIS 4th & 15 at BOIS 5, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:10WASH 4th & 6 at BOIS 22, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:37BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 28, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:52WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 49, down 6
    Close callPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:50BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 19, up 6
    Close callPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:29WASH 4th & 4 at BOIS 10, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.3
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−13.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:03BOIS 4th & 14 at BOIS 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−10.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:18WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 38, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.8 ptsPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%−4.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:59BOIS 4th & 2 at WASH 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.6 ptsPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    79.4%−7.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−4.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:15WASH 4th & 20 at BOIS 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−16.9
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−19.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:12BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:26BOIS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:37WASH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3874% → 74%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
74.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
74.2%
Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
74.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
73.8%
Sean Wale punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:2826% → 27%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
73.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
73.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 2 yds Dwayne Washington fumbled, forced by Donte Deayon, recovered by Wash Brayden LeniusSimilar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+22
73.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 7 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Armand Nance) to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
73.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
73.5%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+3
72.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 3 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 2
OPP 37
-5
72.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
73.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
16 plays · 92 yds · 6:0373% → 76%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
73.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+16
72.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
72.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck, broken up by Budda BakerSimilar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
72.8%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+11
72.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 11 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
72.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
72.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Holden Huff for 5 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+23
72.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelsey Young for 23 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
73.3%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+1
73.2%
Kelsey Young run for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+3
72.9%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+4
72.3%
Ryan Finley run for 4 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
73.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+6
73.0%
Ryan Finley run for 6 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+5
72.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
75.6%
Jeremy McNichols 7 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:1426% → 26%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
73.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 10 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
73.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+3
73.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
73.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Marvin HallSimilar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
74.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:0975% → 83%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
74.6%
Devan Demas run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+13
74.4%
Devan Demas run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
74.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 10 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
75.4%
Devan Demas run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
75.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
76.0%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+19
75.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 19 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
76.1%
Kelsey Young run for 12 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
76.2%
Kelsey Young run for 9 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 1
OPP 7
0
76.2%
Kelsey Young run for no gain to the Wash 7Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+4
75.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
76.3%
Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.2%
Jeremy McNichols 1 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
83.2%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Rees Odhiambo) to the Wash 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.3%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Darian Thompson return for 7 yds to the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4383% → 82%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
83.3%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+3
83.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 3 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+3
82.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 3 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 1
OPP 15
0
81.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:2120% → 18%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
80.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+13
81.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 13 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
80.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 5 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-4
80.5%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
81.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
81.7%
Korey Durkee punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:4083% → 83%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
82.9%
Thomas Sperbeck pass complete to Holden Huff for 23 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
83.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
83.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelsey Young for no gain to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+1
83.1%
Ryan Finley pass intercepted Kevin King return for 1 yd to the Wash 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2318% → 17%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
81.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+3
82.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
82.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
82.9%
Korey Durkee punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11FG
14 plays · 43 yds · 2:1784% → 87%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
50
+3
84.4%
Devan Demas run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
84.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+8
85.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 8 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
86.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 5 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+3
86.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelsey Young for 3 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
84.0%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
84.7%
Ryan Finley run for 7 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+8
84.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jake Roh for 8 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
84.5%
Kelsey Young run for 6 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
84.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+24
87.1%
Tyler Rausa 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:5815% → 14%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
85.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
50
-3
84.3%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+5
85.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 5 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+5
85.4%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Coleman, Lavon for 3 yards to the BOISEST45, PENALTY BOISEST offside (Correa, Kamalei) 5 yards to the BOISEST43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-2
84.8%
Chico McClatcher run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
86.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 26 yds, downed at the BoiSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:4088% → 89%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
88.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 15 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
88.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
89.0%
Ryan Finley run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
89.1%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck, broken up by Budda BakerSimilar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
88.7%
Sean Wale punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:1413% → 11%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
87.5%
Chico McClatcher run for 8 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
87.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
88.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 8 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
87.7%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
88.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for no gain to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+10
89.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 10 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+66
88.6%
Korey Durkee punt for 56 yds for a touchback BOISE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Horn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 2:0292% → 92%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
92.0%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
92.2%
Kelsey Young run for no gain to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-9
92.1%
Ryan Finley sacked by Cory Littleton for a loss of 9 yards to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 15
OWN 5
+17
91.9%
Sean Wale punt for 38 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 17 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1512% → 11%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.3%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
89.4%
Jake Browning run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
89.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jaydon Mickens, broken up by Mercy MastonSimilar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
88.8%
Cameron Van Winkle 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18PUNT TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2092% → 80%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
91.6%
Ryan Finley run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+3
91.7%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
91.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+76
79.6%
Dante Pettis 76 Yd Punt Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:0482% → 85%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jake Roh for 14 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
83.0%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
82.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+15
81.8%
Ryan Finley run for 15 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
84.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 10 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
84.5%
Ryan Finley run for 3 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
84.9%
Kelsey Young run for no gain to the Wash 32 Kelsey Young fumbled, forced by Sidney Jones, recovered by Wash Joe MathisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1823% → 20%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
77.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 1 yd to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 11
OWN 33
0
78.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+12
79.5%
Jake Browning run for 12 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
76.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
74.7%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
76.9%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Pettis, Dante for 15 yards to the BOISEST36, PENALTY WASHINGTON illegal touching (Pettis, Dante) 0 yards to the WASHINGTON49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+2
79.8%
Korey Durkee punt for 31 yds , Donte Deayon returns for 2 yds to the BOISEST 49 BOISE ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Terrell Johnson) to the BoiSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5685% → 85%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
85.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+1
85.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+7
85.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 7 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 3
OWN 19
+8
84.5%
Sean Wale punt blocked by Jaydon Mickens Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1624% → 32%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
75.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 3 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
75.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 2 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+6
78.4%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Renfro, Isaiah, PENALTY BOISEST pass interference (Moxey, Jonathan) 6 yards to the BOISEST16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
76.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
76.4%
Jaydon Mickens run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
78.5%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:29
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
67.9%
Cameron Van Winkle 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1575% → 74%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
75.1%
Ryan Finley sacked by Joe Mathis for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
74.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
74.3%
Ryan Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
73.5%
Sean Wale punt for 50 yds, downed at the Wash 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:4030% → 30%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
70.5%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+9
71.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 9 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
66.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell Daniels, broken up by Chanceller JamesSimilar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
70.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:0176% → 88%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
76.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 15 Jeremy McNichols fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Jeremy McNicholsSimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+3
78.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+28
79.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 13 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Roughing Passer (Travis Feeney) to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
84.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 6
50
+3
87.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+1
88.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jake Roh for 1 yd to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+16
88.4%
Sean Wale punt for 31 yds, downed at the Wash 15 BOISE ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Terrell Johnson) to the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26MISSED FG
14 plays · 36 yds · 1:3621% → 13%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
78.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 19 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
73.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
74.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
76.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 15 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
69.1%
Jake Browning sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+17
77.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 17 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
69.0%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Mickens, Jaydon for loss of 1 yard to the BOISEST20, PENALTY WASHINGTON face mask (Lenius, Brayden) 10 yards to the BOISEST29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 20
OPP 29
-8
72.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Justin Taimatuia for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 28
OPP 37
+8
84.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 8 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 20
OPP 29
0
84.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 20
OPP 29
+46
87.3%
Cameron Van Winkle 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:36
Timeout WASHINGTON, clock 00:36
+12.1
TD · Q3 1:37
Dante Pettis 76 Yd Punt Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
-12
FG · Q4 7:29
Cameron Van Winkle 28 Yd Field Goal
-10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com