Try the model
WEB

Weber State 7 at Oregon State 26

ORST
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2015 · Reser Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Josh Kealamakia punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WebSt 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Pregame prior+17.6Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:13: Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ORST win probability +10.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:24: Josh Burton return for 8 yds for a TD, (Josh Kealamakia KICK) — WEB win probability +12.5 pts (now 24%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:55: Seth Collins run for 24 yds to the WebSt 33 for a 1ST down — ORST win probability +11.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:21: Garrett Owens 39 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +4.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:55: Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 44 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ORST win probability +8.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 7 of 11WEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00WEB 4th & 5 at WEB 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:43ORST 4th & 12 at ORST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:52WEB 4th & 1 at WEB 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:52ORST 4th & 1 at WEB 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.2%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:43WEB 4th & 6 at WEB 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:08ORST 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00WEB 4th & 7 at WEB 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:22ORST 4th & 3 at WEB 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:16WEB 4th & 7 at WEB 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:11ORST 4th & 23 at ORST 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:43WEB 4th & 6 at WEB 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:48ORST 4th & 2 at WEB 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−5.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:39WEB 4th & 2 at ORST 28, down 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%−1.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−5.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:39ORST 4th & 3 at ORST 35, up 13
    Close callPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:33WEB 4th & 8 at WEB 38, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:24ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 33, up 6
    Close callPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:21ORST 4th & 9 at WEB 21, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−9.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:14WEB 4th & 1 at WEB 28, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%−3.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:51WEB 4th & 7 at WEB 16, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:34ORST 4th & 10 at WEB 47, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:33WEB 4th & 5 at WEB 25, down 16
    Close callPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:11ORST 4th & 7 at WEB 27, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.0
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:29WEB 4th & 2 at ORST 38, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 8:13ORST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 9:55ORST Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WEBDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
73.3%
Braden Corpus pass incomplete to Cameron Livingston, broken up by Treston DecoudSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+17
73.3%
Eric Wilkes run for 17 yds to the WebSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
73.3%
Jadrian Clark run for 4 yds to the WebSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
73.3%
Jadrian Clark sacked by Rommel Mageo for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 49 Jadrian Clark fumbled, recovered by WebSt Cory Thomson , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the WebSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
73.3%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete, broken up by Kyle PekoSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 49
+1
73.3%
Josh Kealamakia punt for 43 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for 1 yd to the OrgSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
72.8%
Seth Collins run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
72.9%
Storm Woods run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+15
72.9%
Seth Collins pass complete to Kellen Clute for no gain to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down WEBER ST Penalty, personal foul (Josh Burton) to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
73.0%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
73.0%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-4
72.9%
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
72.7%
Nick Porebski punt for 41 yds, downed at the WebSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
72.2%
Eric Wilkes run for 3 yds to the WebSt 18Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+4
72.2%
Eric Wilkes run for 4 yds to the WebSt 22Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+2
72.3%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Eric Wilkes for 2 yds to the WebSt 24Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+1
72.5%
Josh Kealamakia punt for 49 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for 1 yd to the OrgSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
71.9%
Bolden,Victor rush for loss of 4 yards to the OSU24 (Tre'von Johnson), PENALTY WSU personal foul (Tre'von Johnson) 15 yards to the OSU43, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
72.3%
Seth Collins run for 9 yds to the WebSt 48Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+2
72.5%
Seth Collins run for 2 yds to the WebSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
72.5%
Storm Woods run for 4 yds to the WebSt 42Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
72.5%
Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the WebSt 41Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+11
72.4%
Seth Collins pass complete to Storm Woods for 11 yds to the WebSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
72.6%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Storm Woods, broken up by Tre'von JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
72.6%
Chris Brown run for 1 yd to the WebSt 29Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+8
72.4%
Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 8 yds to the WebSt 21Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
72.1%
Storm Woods run for no gain to the WebSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
70.6%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Drew BatchelorSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
70.7%
Jadrian Clark run for 11 yds to the WebSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
70.4%
Darryl Denby run for no gain to the WebSt 32Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
70.6%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (Baron Bruce) to the WebSt 27Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+9
70.7%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Braden Corpus for 9 yds to the WebSt 36Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
70.6%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Braden CorpusSimilar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+21
71.1%
Josh Kealamakia punt for 43 yds , Rahmel Dockery returns for 21 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
71.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 2
50
0
71.7%
Chris Brown run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 2
50
0
71.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jordan Villamin, broken up by Devonte JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 2
50
0
70.8%
Nick Porebski punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Darryl Denby at the WebSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
69.3%
Treshawn Garrett run for 6 yds to the WebSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-7
69.1%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Darryl Denby for a loss of 7 yards to the WebSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 16
+4
69.9%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Treshawn Garrett for 4 yds to the WebSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
70.3%
Josh Kealamakia punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WebSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:3971% → 71%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
71.4%
Chris Brown run for 1 yd to the WebSt 44Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+10
71.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 10 yds to the WebSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
71.7%
McMaryion, M. pass incomplete to Bolden,Victor, PENALTY WSU pass interference (Devonte Johnson) 15 yards to the WSU19, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
71.7%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Isaac Seumalo) to the WebSt 24Similar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+4
71.4%
Chris Brown run for 4 yds to the WebSt 20Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+4
71.6%
Victor Bolden run for 4 yds to the WebSt 16Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+4
71.1%
Marcus McMaryion run for 4 yds to the WebSt 12Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
70.8%
Garrett Owens 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
70.7%
Eric Wilkes run for 3 yds to the WebSt 22Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
70.7%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Darryl Denby, broken up by Larry ScottSimilar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
71.3%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Drew BatchelorSimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
72.0%
Josh Kealamakia punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Rahmel Dockery at the OrgSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
70.5%
Seth Collins run for 24 yds to the OREGONST 41 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Villamin) to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
71.8%
Seth Collins run for 5 yds to the WebSt 46Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+7
72.1%
Storm Woods run for 7 yds to the WebSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
72.2%
Storm Woods run for 5 yds to the WebSt 34Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
72.5%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the WebSt 32Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-10
71.8%
Woods,Storm rush for 8 yards to the WSU24 (Emmett Tela), PENALTY OSU holding (Stanton, Dustin) 10 yards to the WSU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 13
OPP 42
-10
70.7%
Seth Collins sacked by Devonte Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 23
OWN 48
0
69.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 49 yds, downed at the WebSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+15
70.5%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Cory Thomson for 15 yds to the WebSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
70.1%
Eric Wilkes run for 9 yds to the WebSt 27Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
69.1%
Eric Wilkes run for no gain to the WebSt 27Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-5
70.2%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (Cody Eyolfson) to the WebSt 22Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
71.0%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Drew BatchelorSimilar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
71.7%
Josh Kealamakia punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Rahmel Dockery at the OrgSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5872% → 76%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
72.0%
Collins, Seth pass incomplete to Villamin, J., PENALTY WSU pass interference (Devonte Johnson) 15 yards to the WSU41, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
72.6%
Victor Bolden run for no gain to the WebSt 41Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
72.1%
Seth Collins run for 11 yds to the WebSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
72.8%
Seth Collins sacked by Rayshawn Henderson for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 31Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+8
72.6%
Storm Woods run for 8 yds to the WebSt 23Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+1
71.8%
Seth Collins run for 1 yd to the WebSt 22Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+40
75.7%
Garrett Owens 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
72.8%
Treshawn Garrett run for no gain to the WebSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:4776% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.7%
Seth Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
75.5%
Storm Woods run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
75.7%
Victor Bolden run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
76.4%
Storm Woods run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+13
77.4%
Seth Collins run for 13 yds to the WebSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
77.6%
Storm Woods run for 5 yds to the WebSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
77.6%
Rahmel Dockery run for 3 yds to the WebSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+6
76.9%
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 6 yds to the WebSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
77.8%
Seth Collins run for 9 yds to the WebSt 22 Seth Collins fumbled, forced by Tre'von Johnson, recovered by OrgSt Seth CollinsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+2
77.8%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the WebSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
77.8%
Chris Brown run for 9 yds to the WebSt 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
77.8%
Chris Brown run for no gain to the WebSt 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+4
77.0%
Chris Brown run for 4 yds to the WebSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
77.8%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the WebSt 4Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.8%
Chris Brown run for no gain to the WebSt 4Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
88.1%
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:2914% → 14%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
86.0%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Drew Batchelor for 20 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
84.9%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Cody Eyolfson for 3 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+7
84.9%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Cam Livingston, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Hungalu, Manase) 7 yards to the OSU36, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
84.9%
TyJuan Prince run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+10
85.3%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Drew Batchelor for 10 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 2
OPP 28
0
84.7%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Cory Thomson, broken up by Rommel MageoSimilar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+45
85.8%
Josh Kealamakia 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
89.3%
Seth Collins pass complete to Deltron Sands for 3 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
89.3%
Seth Collins run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
89.0%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Deltron SandsSimilar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
88.6%
Nick Porebski punt for 29 yds, downed at the WebSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
87.0%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Cory Thomson for 2 yds to the WebSt 38Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
86.7%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Cameron LivingstonSimilar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
87.2%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Cody EyolfsonSimilar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
88.3%
Josh Kealamakia punt for 56 yds, downed at the OrgSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.5%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.2%
Seth Collins run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-10
75.1%
Collins, Seth pass complete to Jarmon, Hunter for 15 yards to the OSU42 (Alema Key), PENALTY OSU holding (Mitchell, Josh) 10 yards to the OSU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+16
74.9%
Seth Collins run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
75.0%
Nick Porebski punt for 47 yds , Darryl Denby returns for 4 yds to the WebSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 20INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:1727% → 30%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
73.1%
Treshawn Garrett run for 10 yds to the WebSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
72.2%
Jadrian Clark run for 2 yds to the WebSt 36Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
71.9%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Tui Satuala for 6 yds to the WebSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
70.2%
Jadrian Clark pass intercepted Manase Hungalu return for no gain to the OrgSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:3482% → 85%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
81.7%
Seth Collins run for 24 yds to the WebSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
82.6%
Chris Brown run for 11 yds to the WebSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
82.6%
Chris Brown run for 5 yds to the WebSt 17Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-10
82.6%
Brown, Chris rush for 6 yards to the WSU11 (Josh Burton), PENALTY OSU holding (Mitchell, Josh) 10 yards to the WSU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 15
OPP 27
0
81.9%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+6
80.2%
Seth Collins run for 6 yds to the WebSt 21Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
84.8%
Garrett Owens 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
84.7%
Eric Wilkes run for 1 yd to the WebSt 20Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
84.9%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Drew BatchelorSimilar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+8
85.9%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Drew Batchelor for 8 yds to the WebSt 28Similar
Q4 13:14
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
85.7%
Josh Kealamakia punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 23TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:5387% → 96%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
86.5%
Storm Woods run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
86.5%
Storm Woods run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+14
86.6%
Seth Collins pass complete to Storm Woods for 14 yds to the WebSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
87.7%
Storm Woods run for 3 yds to the WebSt 44Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+44
95.9%
Seth Collins pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 44 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
94.7%
Jadrian Clark sacked by Kalani Vakameilalo for a loss of 6 yards to the WebSt 7Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+9
95.0%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Cameron Livingston for 9 yds to the WebSt 16Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
94.9%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Cameron LivingstonSimilar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
95.0%
Josh Kealamakia punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WebSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.2%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Victor BoldenSimilar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
96.1%
Chris Brown run for no gain to the WebSt 47Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
96.0%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to Hunter Jarmon, broken up by Devonte JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
95.7%
Nick Porebski punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Darryl Denby at the WebSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
95.3%
Jadrian Clark sacked by Baker Pritchard for a loss of 5 yards to the WebSt 15Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+10
95.4%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Cameron Livingston for 10 yds to the WebSt 25Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Cody EyolfsonSimilar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Josh Kealamakia punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rahmel Dockery at the OrgSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 27FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:1397% → 99%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
96.6%
Victor Bolden run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+6
96.6%
Chris Brown run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
96.8%
Chris Brown run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 1
50
+20
96.8%
Seth Collins run for 20 yds to the WebSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
96.9%
Chris Brown run for 4 yds to the WebSt 26Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-7
96.9%
Victor Bolden run for a loss of 7 yards to the WebSt 33Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+6
97.9%
Seth Collins pass complete to Chris Brown for 6 yds to the WebSt 27Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
98.8%
Garrett Owens 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 28DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 2:342% → 2%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
97.9%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Cameron Livingston for 7 yds to the WebSt 25Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+3
97.7%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Darryl Denby for 3 yds to the WebSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
97.8%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Drew Batchelor for 9 yds to the WebSt 37Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
97.7%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Drew Batchelor for 2 yds to the WebSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.7%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Raphael LonganguSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
97.8%
Jadrian Clark pass intercepted by Soesman, Adam at the OSU30, Soesman, Adam return to the WSU45 (TyJuan Prince), PENALTY OSU pass interference (Hill, Kendall) 15 yards to the OSU46, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.7%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Treshawn GarrettSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
97.7%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Drew Batchelor for 2 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+6
97.7%
Jadrian Clark pass complete to Tui Satuala for 6 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Jadrian Clark pass incomplete to Darryl DenbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.6%
WEBER ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 5
OWN 43
-3
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:24
Josh Burton return for 8 yds for a TD, (Josh Kealamakia KICK)
-12.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:55
Seth Collins run for 24 yds to the WebSt 33 for a 1ST down
+11.5
TD · Q3 8:13
Seth Collins pass complete to Victor Bolden for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
+10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com