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EWU

Eastern Washington 42 at Oregon 61

ORE
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadEWU aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreEWU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.6ORE 98.5%Tony Brooks-James run for 12 yds for aTD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)AWAY 7 - HOME 27 · Q2 14:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:22 · Tony Brooks-James run for 12 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Pregame prior+43.2Home team on offense+10.5Score differential+8.0Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:11: Jordan West pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK) — EWU win probability +1.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:29: Royce Freeman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:35: Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK) — EWU win probability +3.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:13: Jabari Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK) — EWU win probability +3.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:35: Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 7 yds for a TD, (Brandyn Bangsund KICK) — EWU win probability +1.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5EWU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:14EWU 4th & 7 at EWU 39, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:17EWU 4th & 1 at EWU 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:38EWU 4th & 7 at EWU 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:22ORE 4th & 1 at EWU 12, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:15EWU 4th & 2 at ORE 2, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:44EWU 4th & 1 at ORE 32, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:32ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.7%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:16ORE 4th & 6 at EWU 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:48EWU 4th & 7 at EWU 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:20EWU 4th & 12 at EWU 23, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:29ORE 4th & 1 at EWU 1, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:48EWU 4th & 7 at EWU 39, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00ORE 4th & 5 at EWU 13, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 8EWU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:43ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:32ORE Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:21EWU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:23ORE Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:22ORE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 12:15EWU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 10:37ORE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 6:11EWU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:29ORE Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:35EWU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 4:31ORE Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 2:13EWU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 7:47ORE Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 2:35EWU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 1:5599% → 98%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
98.6%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
98.5%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Evan Baylis for 3 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+10
98.5%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 10 yds to the EWash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
98.5%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Royce Freeman for 12 yds to the EWash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
98.5%
Royce Freeman run for 8 yds to the EWash 27Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+19
98.4%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Kani Benoit for 19 yds to the EWash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.4%
Kani Benoit run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:092% → 2%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.4%
Jabari Wilson run for 2 yds to the EWash 27Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
98.3%
Jordan West pass complete to Shaq Hill for 9 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.3%
Jabari Wilson run for no gain to the EWash 36Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
98.3%
Jordan West pass complete to Simba Webster for a loss of 1 yard to the EWash 35Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+4
98.3%
Jordan West run for 4 yds to the EWash 39Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
98.2%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 31 yds, downed at the Oregn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:3698% → 98%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
98.2%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Byron Marshall for 16 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.2%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Bralon AddisonSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
98.2%
Bralon Addison run for 7 yds to the EWash 47Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+5
98.2%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 5 yds to the EWash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
98.1%
Royce Freeman run for 11 yds to the EWash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
98.1%
Royce Freeman run for 14 yds to the EWash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
98.1%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the EWash 13Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+7
98.0%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 7 yds to the EWash 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.3%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Bralon Addison for 6 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:502% → 3%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.2%
Jordan West pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 11 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.1%
Jabari Wilson run for 2 yds to the EWash 38Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
98.1%
Jordan West pass complete to Nic Sblendorio for 7 yds to the EWash 45Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
98.1%
Jordan West pass incomplete to Nic SblendorioSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+5
98.1%
Jordan West pass complete to Shaq Hill for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.0%
Moore, Jalen rush for 2 yards to the OREGON48, PENALTY OREGON offside (Seisay, Chris) 5 yards to the OREGON45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 5
OPP 45
+33
98.0%
Jordan West pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 33 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
97.5%
Jordan West pass complete to Shaq Hill for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 0:4798% → 98%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
97.7%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+11
97.7%
Royce Freeman run for 11 yds to the EWash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+46
97.7%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 46 yds to the EWash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:212% → 2%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
97.9%
Jalen Moore run for 5 yds to the EWash 19Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+6
98.0%
Jordan West pass complete to Jalen Moore for 6 yds to the EWash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.0%
Jordan West pass complete to Zach Wimberly for 13 yds to the EWash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
97.9%
Jordan West pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 3 yds to the EWash 41Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
97.8%
Simba Webster run for no gain to the EWash 41Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
97.7%
Jordan West pass incomplete to Nic SblendorioSimilar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
97.8%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bralon Addison at the Oregn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 2:1198% → 99%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
98.0%
Kani Benoit run for 8 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+4
97.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Byron Marshall for 4 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
97.9%
Kani Benoit run for 26 yds to the EWash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Bralon AddisonSimilar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+18
97.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 18 yds to the EWash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
97.9%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Matt Hegarty) to the EWash 26Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+7
97.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 7 yds to the EWash 19Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+2
97.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 2 yds to the EWash 17Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+5
97.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Tony Brooks-James for 5 yds to the EWash 12Similar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+12
98.5%
Tony Brooks-James run for 12 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:521% → 3%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+73
98.6%
Jordan West pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 73 yds to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.4%
Jalen Moore run for no gain to the Oregn 2Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.4%
Jalen Moore run for 1 yd to the Oregn 1Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
98.5%
Jalen Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 2Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.3%
Jordan West pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK)Similar
Q2 12:15
—
OWN 35
-5
97.5%
Dascalo, Jordan kickoff 63 yards to the OREGON2, Marshall, Byron return 19 yards to the OREGON21, PENALTY EASTWASH offside 5 yards to the EASTWASH30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 1:3498% → 99%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.8%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Kirk MerrittSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.7%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
97.7%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Evan Baylis for 8 yds to the EWash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+39
97.8%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 39 yds to the EWash 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.8%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Dwayne StanfordSimilar
Q2 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
97.7%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the EWash 6 for a 1ST down EASTERN WASH Penalty, Personal Foul (3 Yards) to the EWash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.7%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:211% → 2%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
98.6%
EASTERN WASH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EWash 9Similar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+23
98.6%
Jordan West pass complete to Shaq Hill for 23 yds to the EWash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
98.5%
Jordan West pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 30 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
98.5%
Jordan West pass complete to Jabari Wilson for 6 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+4
98.4%
Jordan West pass intercepted Chris Seisay return for 4 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+24
98.6%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 24 yds to the Oregn 41 Vernon Adams Jr. fumbled, recovered by EWash Mitch FettigSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:462% → 4%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Jordan West pass complete to Jalen Moore for no gain to the Oregn 41Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-3
98.5%
Jordan West pass complete to Jalen Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 44Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+12
98.6%
Jordan West pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 12 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
98.4%
Jalen Moore run for 2 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.3%
Jordan West pass incomplete to Cooper KuppSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.3%
Jordan West pass incomplete to Kendrick BourneSimilar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+14
98.4%
Jordan West pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 14 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.3%
Jordan West pass incomplete to Kendrick Bourne, broken up by DeForest BucknerSimilar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
96.5%
Jordan West pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:4497% → 97%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
97.2%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-5
97.2%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Tyrell Crosby) to the Oregn 40Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.2%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+6
97.0%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+4
96.9%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the EWash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
97.1%
Vernon Adams Jr. sacked by Samson Ebukam for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 48Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+18
97.0%
Royce Freeman run for 18 yds to the EWash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
97.1%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the EWash 30Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
97.0%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Tony Brooks-JamesSimilar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
97.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for no gain to the EWash 30Similar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 6
OPP 30
0
96.8%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass incomplete to Byron Marshall, broken up by D'londo TuckerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:184% → 4%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
96.4%
Jordan West pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 5 yds to the EWash 35Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-3
96.3%
Jabari Wilson run for 7 yds to the EWash 42 EASTERN WASH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kendrick Bourne) to the EWash 32Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
96.4%
Jordan West pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 1 yd to the EWash 33Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
96.4%
Jordan West pass incomplete to Jabari WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
96.3%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bralon Addison at the Oregn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15END OF HALF
9 plays · 58 yds · 0:3797% → 97%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
96.5%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Johnny Mundt for 7 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+6
96.5%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Royce Freeman for 6 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
96.4%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+17
96.6%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 17 yds to the EWash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
96.4%
Royce Freeman run for 15 yds to the EWash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
96.4%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Johnny Mundt for 5 yds to the EWash 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+38
97.1%
Aidan Schneider 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:303% → 3%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.7%
Jabari Wilson run for 5 yds to the EWash 30Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
96.5%
Jabari Wilson run for 1 yd to the EWash 31Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-8
96.5%
Jordan West sacked by Joe Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the EWash 23Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+6
96.7%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 38 yds , Bralon Addison returns for 6 yds to the Oregn 29 OREGON Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Oregn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4197% → 99%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
96.9%
Royce Freeman run for 13 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.0%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the EWash 47Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+12
97.0%
Royce Freeman run for 12 yds to the EWash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
97.0%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Byron Marshall for 25 yds to the EWash 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
97.0%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the EWash 6Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
96.9%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 4 yds to the EWash 2Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.0%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the EWash 1Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 18TD
18 plays · 70 yds · 4:541% → 4%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.7%
EASTERN WASH Penalty, False Start (Cassidy Curtis) to the EWash 20Similar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
98.7%
Jordan West pass incomplete to Cooper KuppSimilar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
98.7%
Jordan West pass incomplete to Nic SblendorioSimilar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+16
98.7%
Jordan West pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 16 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.6%
Sam McPherson run for 3 yds to the EWash 39Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
98.6%
Jordan West pass incomplete to Kendrick BourneSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
98.7%
Jordan West pass incomplete to Sam McPhersonSimilar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+20
98.8%
Jordan West run for 5 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Christian French) to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.7%
Sam McPherson run for no gain to the Oregn 41Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
98.8%
Hennessey, Reilly pass incomplete to Grady, Terence, PENALTY OREGON holding (Seisay, Chris) 10 yards to the OREGON31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTWASH.Similar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
98.6%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 4 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
98.6%
Hennessey, Reilly pass sacked for loss of 6 yards to the OREGON33 (Daniel, T.J.), PENALTY EASTWASH holding 10 yards to the OREGON37, NO PLAY, PENALTY OREGON personal foul 0 yards to the OREGON37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTWASH.Similar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
98.6%
Malcom Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+6
98.6%
Reilly Hennessey run for 6 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
98.6%
Jabari Wilson run for 10 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.1%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK)Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
96.0%
McNannay, Tyler kickoff 8 yards to the EASTWASH43, on-side kick, recovered by OREGON on EASTWASH43, PENALTY EASTWASH offside 5 yards to the EASTWASH30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 0:4197% → 99%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+35
97.4%
Royce Freeman run for 35 yds to the EWash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
97.6%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Bralon Addison for 9 yds to the EWash 24Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+24
99.1%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Byron Marshall for 24 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 1:531% → 4%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
98.9%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Terence Grady for 9 yds to the EWash 39Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
98.9%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Nic Sblendorio for 3 yds to the EWash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
99.0%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 37 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
98.8%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Terence Grady for 18 yds to the Oregn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.9%
Reilly Hennessey pass incomplete to Kendrick BourneSimilar
Q3 2:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.0%
Reilly Hennessey pass incomplete to Kendrick BourneSimilar
Q3 2:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.9%
Jabari Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:5798% → 99%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
97.5%
Royce Freeman run for 8 yds to the EWash 38Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+9
97.4%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 9 yds to the EWash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
97.5%
Tony Brooks-James run for 11 yds to the EWash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
97.5%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Bralon Addison for 9 yds to the EWash 9Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 1
OPP 9
-2
97.5%
Vernon Adams Jr. pass complete to Tony Brooks-James for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 11Similar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 3
OPP 11
-2
97.4%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 13 Vernon Adams Jr. fumbled, recovered by Oregn Vernon Adams Jr.Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
98.6%
Aidan Schneider 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 22INT
13 plays · 54 yds · 3:392% → 2%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
97.8%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 13 yds to the EWash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
97.6%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Malcom Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the EWash 38Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+4
97.7%
Malcom Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the EWash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
97.9%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 9 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+8
97.7%
Malcom Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Reilly Hennessey pass incomplete to Cooper KuppSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
97.9%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Simba Webster for 9 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 1
OPP 32
-5
97.9%
EASTERN WASH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 37Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+10
98.0%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Nic Sblendorio for 10 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.7%
Reilly Hennessey pass incomplete to Kendrick Bourne, broken up by Arrion SpringsSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+17
97.8%
Reilly Hennessey pass intercepted Juwaan Williams return for 17 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:0999% → 100%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Kani Benoit run for no gain to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.0%
Kani Benoit run for 6 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+8
99.0%
Kani Benoit run for 8 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
99.0%
Vernon Adams Jr. run for 7 yds to the OREGON 49 for a 1ST down EASTERN WASH Penalty, Personal Foul for Targeting (John Kreifels) to the EWash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.1%
Kani Benoit run for 2 yds to the EWash 32Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+10
99.1%
Kani Benoit run for 10 yds to the EWash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.1%
Kani Benoit run for 7 yds to the EWash 15Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+15
99.8%
Tony Brooks-James run for 15 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 24TD
15 plays · 68 yds · 4:510% → 2%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Malcom Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the EWash 34Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Reilly Hennessey pass incomplete to Zach WimberlySimilar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+13
99.9%
Reilly Hennessey run for 13 yds to the EWash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Malcom Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Malcom Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 3 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
Jabari Wilson run for 9 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Jabari Wilson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Reilly Hennessey run for 1 yd to the Oregn 25Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+7
99.9%
Malcom Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
99.9%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 16 yds to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Reilly Hennessey pass incomplete to Kendrick BourneSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.9%
EASTERN WASH Penalty, False Start (Jake Withnell) to the Oregn 7Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.1%
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 7 yds for a TD, (Brandyn Bangsund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:2799% → 100%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
99.3%
Taj Griffin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+3
99.4%
Taj Griffin run for 3 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+61
99.4%
Taj Griffin run for 61 yds to the EWash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:35
Reilly Hennessey pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK)
-3.5
TD · Q3 2:13
Jabari Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK)
-3.1
TD · Q2 6:11
Jordan West pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler McNannay KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com