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MICH

Michigan 17 at Utah 24

UTAH
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2015 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+15.7UTAH 94.7%Jake Rudock pass intercepted for a TDJustin Thomas return for 55 yds for aTD, (Andy Phillips KICK)AWAY 10 - HOME 24 · Q4 7:58
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:58 · Jake Rudock pass intercepted for a TD Justin Thomas return for 55 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Home team on offense+22.2Pregame prior+1.4Garbage-time factor+6.3Score differential+8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:49: Travis Wilson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:46: Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 19 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK) — MICH win probability +17.0 pts (now 27%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:58: Jake Rudock pass intercepted for a TD Justin Thomas return for 55 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +15.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:54: Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 10 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK) — MICH win probability +12.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:54: Kenny Allen on-side kick recovered by UTAH at the Mich 49 — UTAH win probability +7.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 10MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 10:30UTAH 4th & 3 at MICH 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:48UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 20, up 3
    Close callPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:54MICH 4th & 1 at UTAH 46, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.3%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:03UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 2, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:13MICH 4th & 9 at UTAH 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:26MICH 4th & 2 at MICH 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:10UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:29UTAH 4th & 4 at MICH 30, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.2%−0.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:52MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:17UTAH 4th & 1 at MICH 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00UTAH 4th & 10 at MICH 38, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    69.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:58MICH 4th & 5 at UTAH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−7.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:15UTAH 4th & 1 at MICH 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.0%−4.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−5.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:03UTAH 4th & 8 at MICH 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−8.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:08MICH 4th & 1 at UTAH 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−1.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−2.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:46UTAH 4th & 5 at MICH 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:15MICH 4th & 6 at UTAH 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:33UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:49UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:46MICH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:58UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:54MICH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:0861% → 62%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.9%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
60.9%
Travis Wilson run for 13 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
60.9%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 42Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+20
60.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 20 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
61.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Evan Moeai for 5 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+14
61.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 14 yds to the Mich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
61.3%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 20Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+2
61.4%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Mich 18Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+6
61.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 6 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
61.5%
Andy Phillips 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2INT
13 plays · 54 yds · 4:2239% → 39%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.3%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 26Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
61.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 6 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
61.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 4 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
61.3%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+20
61.5%
Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (Gionni Paul) to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
60.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Mason Cole) to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 15
OPP 49
-1
61.5%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 16
50
+24
61.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 24 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
60.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+1
60.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
61.2%
Jake Rudock pass intercepted Cory Butler-Byrd return for no gain to the Utah 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3762% → 61%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
61.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 6 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+1
62.1%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 3
OWN 21
-1
61.6%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
61.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3639% → 38%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
61.5%
Ty Isaac run for no gain to the Mich 45Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
61.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 6 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+3
61.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 3 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
61.6%
Blake O'Neill punt for 43 yds, downed at the Utah 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4262% → 61%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
62.0%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 2Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
61.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Delshawn McClellonSimilar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 11
OWN 2
0
61.5%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 11
OWN 2
0
61.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Utah 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:4339% → 41%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
60.9%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+28
60.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 28 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
60.4%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Utah 12Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+1
60.3%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Utah 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-1
60.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Brian Cole for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 12Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
59.4%
Kenny Allen 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3361% → 70%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
61.4%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+20
61.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 20 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
62.7%
Devontae Booker run for 10 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
63.2%
Travis Wilson run for 7 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
63.3%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
63.1%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
63.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 8 yds to the Mich 26Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+13
63.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Siale Fakailoatonga for 13 yds to the Mich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
64.0%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Mich 9Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+8
64.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the Mich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.8%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0733% → 32%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
67.5%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Graham Glasgow) to the Mich 20Similar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
67.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 8 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
67.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
67.8%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to A.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
68.4%
Blake O'Neill punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:0369% → 68%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
68.8%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
68.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae BookerSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-6
68.5%
Travis Wilson sacked by Mario Ojemudia and Taco Charlton for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
68.1%
Tom Hackett punt for 74 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1931% → 31%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.1%
Joe Kerridge run for 5 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
68.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
69.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 4 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
69.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 12 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
68.7%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
69.0%
Jake Rudock pass intercepted Marcus Williams return for 10 yds to the Utah 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11MISSED FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:5672% → 72%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
72.1%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jabrill Peppers) to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
72.4%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 38Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+2
72.3%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+6
72.2%
Travis Wilson run for 6 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+48
71.6%
Andy Phillips 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2330% → 27%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
70.3%
Derrick Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 30Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+2
70.9%
Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+5
73.0%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Pita Taumoepenu) to the Mich 37Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
71.9%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to A.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+14
72.7%
Blake O'Neill punt for 50 yds , Britain Covey returns for 14 yds to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13INT
13 plays · 35 yds · 1:3572% → 72%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
71.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 6 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
72.7%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+11
72.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 11 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
73.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 3 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
73.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+6
73.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 6 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+7
72.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 7 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
74.2%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
74.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Devontae BookerSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
73.3%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+17
71.7%
Travis Wilson pass intercepted Jeremy Clark return for 17 yds to the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14MISSED FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:3230% → 29%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.5%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Mich 25Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
70.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Ian Bunting for 12 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
69.7%
De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
68.3%
Jake Rudock run for 4 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
68.6%
Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
68.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for 2 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+16
68.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 16 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
67.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 5 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
66.7%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to De'Veon SmithSimilar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
68.4%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
70.7%
Kenny Allen 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:5675% → 89%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
74.7%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+10
75.0%
Devontae Booker run for 10 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
76.4%
Joe Williams run for 7 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 3
OPP 46
-2
77.5%
Travis Wilson run for 8 yds to the UTAH 46 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Siale Fakailoatonga) to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
78.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+8
77.6%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
79.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Siale Fakailoatonga for 4 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+15
79.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 15 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
79.7%
UTAH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Mich 32Similar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+18
79.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 18 yds to the Mich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
88.6%
Travis Wilson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:5115% → 27%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.4%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 5 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
85.3%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
85.5%
Jake Rudock run for 2 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.4%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
86.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+13
86.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 13 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
86.1%
De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
85.7%
Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
85.9%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
88.6%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+16
89.7%
Jake Rudock run for 1 yd to the Utah 34 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (Gionni Paul) to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
72.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 19 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17MISSED FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:2584% → 87%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
83.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
85.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
85.3%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the Utah 41 Travis Wilson fumbled, recovered by Utah Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+18
86.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 18 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
87.1%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+7
86.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 7 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
86.7%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
88.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 34Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 14
OPP 34
-3
88.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 37Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 17
OPP 37
+9
87.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 9 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
87.3%
Andy Phillips 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18INT TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:5118% → 5%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
82.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 16 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
80.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
79.0%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+55
94.7%
Jake Rudock pass intercepted for a TD Justin Thomas return for 55 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:275% → 4%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
94.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
94.8%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to De'Veon SmithSimilar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+17
95.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 17 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
95.2%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Hunter Dimick) to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+3
95.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Ty Isaac for 3 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
95.4%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 1 yd to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
95.5%
Jake Rudock run for no gain to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
95.8%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5997% → 98%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
97.3%
Devontae Booker run for 16 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
97.9%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
98.1%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-2
98.1%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 44Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
98.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:261% → 14%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Grant Perry for 6 yds to the Mich 26Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+9
98.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 9 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
98.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 16 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.5%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
98.6%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+4
98.6%
Jake Rudock run for 4 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+10
98.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Grant Perry for 10 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
98.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Grant Perry for 25 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
85.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 10 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3097% → 97%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+1
96.9%
TEAM run for 1 yd to the Mich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:46
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 19 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)
-17
TD · Q4 7:58
Jake Rudock pass intercepted for a TD Justin Thomas return for 55 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+15.7
TD · Q4 0:54
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 10 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)
-12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com