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WASH

Washington 22 at Oklahoma State 30

OKST
2014 · TicketCity Cactus Bowl · Jan 2, 2015 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:19 · Korey Durkee punt for 50 yds, downed at the OKSt 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Home team on offense+12.4Score differential+4.3Garbage-time factor+2.3Pregame prior−5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Time remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:16: James Washington 28 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +7.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:48: Brandon Sheperd 47 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +8.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:48: Jaydon Mickens 31 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +11.1 pts (now 22%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:32: John Ross 96 Yd Kickoff Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +7.8 pts (now 14%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:29: Jaydon Mickens 16 Yd pass from Cyler Miles (Cyler Miles Pass to Deontae Cooper for Two-Point Conversion) — WASH win probability +10.6 pts (now 15%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:02OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:39WASH 4th & 11 at WASH 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:45WASH 4th & 8 at OKST 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:47WASH 4th & 2 at OKST 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:43WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 29, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:11OKST 4th & 4 at WASH 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%−2.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:22OKST 4th & 8 at WASH 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−7.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:52WASH 4th & 2 at OKST 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.9%−1.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:51OKST 4th & 23 at WASH 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    75.5%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:19WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 6, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−2.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:02OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:38WASH 4th & 20 at OKST 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−2.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:02OKST 4th & 15 at WASH 44, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−1.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:47OKST 4th & 5 at WASH 10, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−3.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:28OKST 4th & 2 at WASH 42, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−2.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:24WASH 4th & 6 at OKST 37, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:54OKST 4th & 6 at WASH 17, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−3.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:43OKST 4th & 3 at WASH 10, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−<0.1
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:53OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:16OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:48OKST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:48WASH Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:32WASH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:29WASH Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:3740% → 44%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
39.8%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+16
39.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 16 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
40.1%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
40.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 5 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
40.6%
Desmond Roland run for no gain to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+3
40.7%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
41.2%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 7
50
+30
41.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 30 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
41.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 18 yds to the Wash 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
41.9%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd to the Wash 1Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.9%
James Castleman 1 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4957% → 56%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
43.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
43.8%
Dwayne Washington run for no gain to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
44.2%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+39
44.5%
Korey Durkee punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKLAST 31 WASHINGTON Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:5244% → 45%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
44.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
44.6%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-10
44.8%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Cory Littleton for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 28 Mason Rudolph fumbled, recovered by WashSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4556% → 55%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
43.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 20
OPP 38
0
44.5%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Jaydon MickensSimilar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 20
OPP 38
+12
44.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 12 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
44.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
45.1%
Cameron Van Winkle 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5INT
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:0746% → 47%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
45.7%
Brandon Sheperd run for 9 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+13
46.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 13 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+44
47.3%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted Budda Baker return for 44 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2455% → 53%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
45.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+5
45.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 5 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+1
46.0%
Cyler Miles run for 1 yd to the OKSt 41Similar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
46.9%
Cyler Miles punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:1948% → 58%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
47.8%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
48.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+1
48.3%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+16
48.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Rennie Childs for 16 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+7
49.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 7 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
50.5%
Brandon Sheperd pass complete to Mason Rudolph for 22 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
51.0%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+28
58.0%
James Washington 28 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1745% → 44%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
55.4%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
55.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 2 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
56.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 9 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+7
56.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 48 yds , Brandon Sheperd returns for 7 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:1358% → 69%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
57.5%
Brandon Sheperd run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+23
58.1%
Desmond Roland run for 23 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
60.0%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
60.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+5
60.0%
Rennie Childs run for 5 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+14
60.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 14 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
62.1%
Rennie Childs run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+5
62.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
63.0%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
62.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Desmond RolandSimilar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
68.8%
Ben Grogan 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:0333% → 33%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
67.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 18 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
66.5%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+19
66.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 19 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
64.9%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
65.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (5 Yards) to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-1
64.4%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+4
66.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 4 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 2
OPP 30
-4
67.0%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 23 yds · 3:4972% → 75%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
72.3%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
73.5%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
73.4%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
75.1%
Mason Rudolph run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 5
50
+1
75.6%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+4
75.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 4 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
76.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
76.6%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 13
OPP 33
0
76.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Blake JarwinSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 13
OPP 33
0
76.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Desmond RolandSimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 13
OPP 33
-5
75.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 18
OPP 38
-5
75.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 23
OPP 43
0
75.4%
Kip Smith punt for 41 yds, downed at the Wash 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:2325% → 24%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
74.7%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 6
OWN 6
0
75.2%
Dwayne Washington run for no gain to the Wash 6Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 6
OWN 6
0
75.6%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Kasen WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 6
OWN 6
0
76.0%
Korey Durkee punt for 50 yds, downed at the OKSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:0881% → 89%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
81.2%
Rennie Childs run for 9 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+47
89.3%
Brandon Sheperd 47 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:3615% → 16%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
85.3%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+11
85.5%
Cyler Miles run for 11 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
84.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-5
83.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+9
84.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dwayne Washington for 9 yds Dwayne Washington fumbled, recovered by WashSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
84.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 14 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.6%
Jeff Lindquist pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:5213% → 22%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
86.9%
Cyler Miles run for 3 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+13
87.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 13 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
86.9%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-2
86.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dwayne Washington for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+5
87.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+17
89.0%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Dante Pettis for 17 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
89.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 15 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
78.3%
Jaydon Mickens 31 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2682% → 85%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
82.0%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
85.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for no gain to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
85.2%
Desmond Roland run for no gain to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
84.7%
Kip Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:1317% → 13%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
83.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 19 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
82.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Marvin Hall for 6 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
82.4%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
83.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 14 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
82.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 11 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.8%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Joshua PerkinsSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
84.1%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Brayden LeniusSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-10
85.5%
Cyler Miles sacked by Josh Furman for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
87.1%
Cyler Miles punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:2689% → 90%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
88.6%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+15
89.0%
Desmond Roland run for 15 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
89.6%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+20
90.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 20 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-9
90.8%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Evan Hudson for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 19
OPP 48
+4
90.8%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 15
OPP 44
0
90.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Blake JarwinSimilar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
90.0%
Kip Smith punt for 29 yds , John Timu returns for no gain to the Wash 15 John Timu fumbled, recovered by OKStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0892% → 94%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
91.6%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-1
92.1%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 10Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
92.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
94.2%
Ben Grogan 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3288% → 91%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
88.1%
Rennie Childs run for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
88.6%
Rennie Childs run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-1
90.8%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Andrew Hudson for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+7
90.6%
Rennie Childs run for 7 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+2
91.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 2 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
90.9%
Kip Smith punt for 37 yds, downed at the Wash 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:5612% → 11%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
87.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
88.6%
Cyler Miles sacked by James Castleman for a loss of 8 yards to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+6
88.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 6 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+5
89.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (5 Yards) to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+13
89.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 13 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
88.1%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 23 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
87.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the OKSt 40Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-3
88.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Marvin Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+6
89.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 6 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+4
89.5%
Cyler Miles run for 4 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:1893% → 96%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
93.3%
Desmond Roland run for 11 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
94.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 23 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
94.6%
Desmond Roland run for 5 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+7
94.7%
Desmond Roland run for 7 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
95.2%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+3
95.6%
Rennie Childs run for 3 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
95.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
96.2%
Ben Grogan 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:115% → 15%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
94.9%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+18
95.2%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 18 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
95.9%
Cyler Miles run for 8 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+5
95.7%
Dwayne Washington run for 5 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
96.0%
Dwayne Washington run for 12 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
95.4%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Dwayne WashingtonSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
95.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kasen Williams for 8 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+16
85.2%
Jaydon Mickens 16 Yd pass from Cyler Miles (Cyler Miles Pass to Deontae Cooper for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25MISSED FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 2:3594% → 97%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
93.6%
Desmond Roland run for no gain to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
94.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 8 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+48
95.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Castleman for 48 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
96.5%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+4
96.3%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+2
97.3%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
96.9%
Ben Grogan 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:365% → 6%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.3%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
95.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Joshua Perkins for 12 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
95.2%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+13
95.5%
Cyler Miles run for 13 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
94.4%
Cyler Miles pass intercepted Kevin Peterson return for 11 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:48
Jaydon Mickens 31 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
-11.1
TD · Q4 3:29
Jaydon Mickens 16 Yd pass from Cyler Miles (Cyler Miles Pass to Deontae Cooper for Two-Point Conversion)
-10.6
TD · Q2 0:48
Brandon Sheperd 47 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com