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TA&M

Texas A&M 45 at West Virginia 37

WVU
2014 · AutoZone Liberty Bowl · Dec 29, 2014 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+2WVU 64.2%Josh Lambert 40 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 20 · Q1 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:00 · Josh Lambert 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense+2.8Pregame prior+7.3Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:56: Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 49 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +6.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:53: Kyle Allen run for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +14.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:44: Trey Williams run for 18 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +19.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:22: Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +14.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:32: Skyler Howard pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +11.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 13:07TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:04WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:49WVU 4th & 5 at TA&M 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:44TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:28TA&M 4th & 5 at WVU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    33.9%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00WVU 4th & 4 at TA&M 23, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:34TA&M 4th & 3 at WVU 47, down 6
    Close callPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:17WVU 4th & 26 at WVU 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:00WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 41, down 1
    Close callPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:33TA&M 4th & 3 at WVU 8, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%−1.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−10.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:30WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:10WVU 4th & 12 at TA&M 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−6.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:40WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 24, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:55TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 42, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−2.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:40TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 45, up 15
    Close callPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:09WVU 4th & 6 at TA&M 17, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−5.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:19TA&M 4th & 15 at TA&M 41, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:10WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 43, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:00TA&M 4th & 8 at WVU 45, up 8
    Close callWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%
    25% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:55TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:12WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:54WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:28TA&M Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:35TA&M Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:56WVU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:53TA&M Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:44TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:22TA&M Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:32WVU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.1 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%−2.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4540% → 40%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
59.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Sabian Holmes for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+9
59.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 9 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
59.8%
Tra Carson run for no gain to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
59.9%
Drew Kaser punt for 53 yds, downed at the WVirg 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5160% → 60%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
59.9%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+2
59.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 2 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
59.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Rushel Shell, broken up by Hardreck WalkerSimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
59.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 33 yds, downed at the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
58.4%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 44 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 3:5059% → 59%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+22
58.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 22 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
59.0%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
58.9%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
58.7%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+12
58.3%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to White, Kevin, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Harris, De'Vante) 12 yards to the TEXASAM28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
58.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Adam Pankey) to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 15
OPP 33
-2
58.6%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 17
OPP 35
0
58.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 17
OPP 35
+15
57.7%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to Thompson, Jordan, PENALTY TEXASAM personal foul (Matthews, Howard) 15 yards to the TEXASAM20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. H. Matthews ejected on the play Similar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
58.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Dreamius Smith for 8 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 2
OPP 12
-3
58.4%
Dreamius Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 15Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
58.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
59.1%
Josh Lambert 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4342% → 41%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
58.4%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 4 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-3
58.2%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
58.6%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Edward Pope, broken up by Terrell ChestnutSimilar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 9
OWN 28
-3
59.0%
Drew Kaser punt for 42 yds , Vernon Davis returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 27 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Devonta Burns) to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:2359% → 61%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
59.0%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+10
58.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 10 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
59.2%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to White, Kevin, PENALTY WESTVIR illegal formation 5 yards to the WESTVIR49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+6
58.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
59.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Cody ClaySimilar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+45
61.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Mario Alford for 45 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+35
63.3%
KJ Dillon 35 Yd Interception Return (Josh Lambert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 3:0336% → 40%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
63.7%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 12Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+5
64.0%
Kyle Allen run for 5 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+4
65.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 4 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
64.6%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+12
64.8%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 12 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
64.4%
Tra Carson run for 7 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+15
64.1%
Tra Carson run for 15 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
64.0%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Malcome Kennedy, broken up by Dravon HenrySimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
64.3%
Brandon Williams run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40 Brandon Williams fumbled, forced by Karl Joseph, recovered by TexAM Germain IfediSimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
64.4%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete, broken up by KJ DillonSimilar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+40
60.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Trey Williams for 40 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:0961% → 64%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
60.7%
Skyler Howard run for 17 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+43
60.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 43 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
62.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
62.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Rushel Shell, broken up by Otaro AlakaSimilar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
62.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
64.2%
Josh Lambert 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:0038% → 46%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
62.3%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+22
61.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 22 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
61.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Sabian Holmes for 9 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+5
60.8%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
60.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 9 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
54.4%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 0:3956% → 67%
Q2 12:35
2ND & 1
OWN 35
-15
56.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
59.8%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+49
66.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 49 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:4037% → 38%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
62.8%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Speedy Noil for 12 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
61.6%
Trey Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+7
61.7%
Kyle Allen run for 7 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-2
61.0%
Trey Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
62.1%
Drew Kaser punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Vernon Davis at the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
15 plays · 28 yds · 5:0966% → 67%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
65.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 11 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
66.0%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
66.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+6
65.7%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
68.4%
Skyler Howard run for 9 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
68.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
68.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
50
+1
69.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-5
69.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Marquis Lucas) to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+15
68.2%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to Smallwood, Wendell, PENALTY TEXASAM roughing passer (Sanders, Tommy) 15 yards to the TEXASAM39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
69.8%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to Buie, Andrew, PENALTY WESTVIR holding (Glowinski, Mark) 10 yards to the TEXASAM49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 20
OPP 49
-3
68.8%
Jordan Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 23
OWN 48
-6
68.4%
Skyler Howard sacked by Tommy Sanders and Myles Garrett for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 29
OWN 42
+3
67.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Andrew Buie for 3 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 26
OWN 45
0
66.5%
Nick O'Toole punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Speedy Noil at the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 3:1635% → 51%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
65.5%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+9
65.7%
Tra Carson run for 9 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
65.5%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
64.8%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Malcome KennedySimilar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
65.8%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+15
66.8%
Kaser, Drew punt 69 yards to the WESTVIR2, downed, PENALTY WESTVIR roughing the kicker (Kwiatkoski, Nick) 15 yards to the TEXASAM44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM. Similar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
63.4%
Trey Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+12
62.8%
Trey Williams run for 12 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
61.9%
Kyle Allen run for 2 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+20
64.6%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Tra Carson for 20 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
62.9%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Sabian HolmesSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
63.0%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
48.8%
Kyle Allen run for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:3259% → 54%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
50
+5
58.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 5 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-3
58.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Mario Alford for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 48Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-13
53.8%
Skyler Howard sacked by Daeshon Hall for a loss of 13 yards to the WESTVIR 39 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Skyler Howard) to the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3956% → 55%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
56.2%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
58.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
57.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
55.3%
Nick O'Toole punt for 24 yds, downed at the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:1448% → 52%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
52.5%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 1 yd to the TexAM 36Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+10
52.3%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 10 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+39
50.7%
Tra Carson run for 39 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
48.9%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
48.9%
Tra Carson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
50.1%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+26
47.9%
Josh Lambo 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5050% → 47%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
49.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Rushel ShellSimilar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-1
49.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 11
OWN 18
0
48.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 11
OWN 18
0
47.3%
Nick O'Toole punt for 36 yds, downed at the TexAM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:3354% → 73%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
45.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Frank Iheanacho for 13 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
45.3%
Trey Williams run for 12 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
43.6%
Kyle Allen sacked by Nick Kwiatkoski and Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 16
OPP 35
-10
45.0%
Williams, Trey rush for 10 yards to the WESTVIR25, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Ifedi, Germain) 10 yards to the WESTVIR45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 26
OPP 45
+6
46.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Trey Williams for 6 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 20
OPP 39
+21
47.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 21 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
27.4%
Trey Williams run for 18 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 2:2231% → 32%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
30.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
31.4%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+45
30.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 45 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
34.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
34.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
32.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Mario Alford, broken up by Deshazor EverettSimilar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+10
29.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (De'Vante Harris) to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
34.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-2
34.0%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 13Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 12
OPP 13
0
31.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+31
32.2%
Josh Lambert 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:3169% → 90%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
31.4%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+8
30.8%
Kyle Allen run for 8 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
27.9%
Tra Carson run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
50
+18
26.9%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 18 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
26.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for no gain to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
25.9%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+12
26.7%
Kyle Allen run for 12 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
24.0%
Trey Williams run for 5 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+4
23.7%
Trey Williams run for 4 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
24.1%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
10.1%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3617% → 16%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.3%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 24Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
15.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+2
15.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 35 yds , Speedy Noil returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3789% → 89%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
10.6%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
10.7%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Malcome Kennedy, broken up by Karl JosephSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
10.8%
Kyle Allen pass incomplete to Edward PopeSimilar
Q4 13:55
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
11.3%
Drew Kaser punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:3317% → 17%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
17.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 13 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
17.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
17.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+7
16.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 7 yds Kevin White fumbled, forced by Floyd Raven Sr., recovered by TexAM De'Vante HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2390% → 91%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
9.8%
Trey Williams run for 8 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
9.2%
Kyle Allen run for no gain to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
8.6%
Kyle Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
9.2%
Drew Kaser punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:2213% → 9%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
12.9%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-4
12.4%
Skyler Howard sacked by Tommy Sanders for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+15
9.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Mario Alford for 15 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+47
9.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 47 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
12.1%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the TexAM 21Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+8
10.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
10.3%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the TexAM 12Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 1
OPP 12
-5
9.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Russell Haughton-James) to the TexAM 17Similar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 6
OPP 17
0
8.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel Shorts, broken up by Armani WattsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:3994% → 96%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
6.2%
Tra Carson run for 7 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+4
6.2%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
5.7%
Trey Williams run for 18 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
4.8%
Trey Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 6
50
-11
4.5%
Kyle Allen sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 11 yards to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 17
OWN 39
+2
4.2%
Kyle Allen run for 2 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
4.1%
Drew Kaser punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Vernon Davis at the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 1:414% → 15%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+19
3.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 19 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
4.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 4 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+11
3.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 11 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
4.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
4.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
3.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan Thompson, broken up by Armani WattsSimilar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+18
3.7%
Skyler Howard run for 18 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+35
4.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 35 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
15.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 29DOWNS
12 plays · 8 yds · 2:2793% → 97%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
6.8%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 26Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
6.3%
Tra Carson run for 6 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+21
5.2%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 21 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
3.4%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
3.2%
Tra Carson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-2
3.1%
Tra Carson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 45
-22
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 22 yards to the TexAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:44
Trey Williams run for 18 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)
-19.8
TD · Q2 0:53
Kyle Allen run for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)
-14.1
TD · Q3 0:22
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)
-14
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com