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IOWA

Iowa 28 at Tennessee 45

TENN
2014 · TaxSlayer Bowl · Jan 2, 2015 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:53 · Matt Darr punt for 46 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 5 yds to the Tenn 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense+34.3Score differential+24.0Pregame prior+3.4Garbage-time factor+12.7Blowout margin+10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:54: Jalen Hurd run for 29 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +4.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:31: Marlin Lane pass complete to Vic Wharton for 49 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +7.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:02: Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +6.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:43: Mark Weisman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +8.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:21: Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 19 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:56IOWA 4th & 8 at TENN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:35IOWA 4th & 1 at TENN 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:44IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:25IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:37IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 38, down 28
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:13TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:13TENN 4th & 7 at IOWA 48, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:59IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:53TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 5, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:31TENN 4th & 11 at IOWA 11, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:54IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 16, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:43TENN 4th & 8 at IOWA 36, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:22TENN 4th & 1 at IOWA 25, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:27TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:54TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:31TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:02TENN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:43IOWA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:21TENN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:46TENN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:29IOWA Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:30IOWA Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:20IOWA Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:5537% → 37%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
63.1%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+31
63.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
50
+3
63.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-1
62.9%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 48Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
62.9%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
63.0%
Connor Kornbrath punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:1963% → 66%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
63.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 19Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+25
63.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 25 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
63.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+11
63.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 11 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
63.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 6 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+6
63.5%
Marlin Lane run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
63.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 12 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+16
63.7%
Pig Howard run for 16 yds to the Iowa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:3635% → 34%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
64.9%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+11
65.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Ray Hamilton for 11 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
65.1%
Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to Smith, Tevaun, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Coleman, Justin) 15 yards to the IOWA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
64.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Damond PowellSimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
65.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+12
65.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 12 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
64.8%
C.J. Beathard run for 4 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
64.8%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
65.2%
Macon Plewa run for 1 yd to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
65.8%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:3267% → 73%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
66.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 15 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
67.7%
Devrin Young run for 8 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+13
67.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 13 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
68.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+29
73.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 29 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5528% → 28%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
71.8%
Jonathan Parker run for 1 yd to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
71.7%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jacob HillyerSimilar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
71.9%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
72.2%
Dillon Kidd punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Iowa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6TD
1 play · 49 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
79.8%
Marlin Lane pass complete to Vic Wharton for 49 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5521% → 20%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
79.2%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
79.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Akrum WadleySimilar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
80.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
80.4%
Dillon Kidd punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:1281% → 92%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
80.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 11 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
81.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 4 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+7
82.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 7 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
83.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 7 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+5
83.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
84.2%
Marlin Lane run for 1 yd to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Reggie Spearman) to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
84.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 5 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
91.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:099% → 8%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+27
91.5%
Jake Rudock run for 12 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (Derek Barnett) to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
91.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+2
91.1%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
91.8%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
92.1%
Dillon Kidd punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1693% → 94%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
93.0%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
93.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
93.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Von PearsonSimilar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
93.9%
Matt Darr punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 4:227% → 12%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
93.5%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+9
95.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 9 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Ray HamiltonSimilar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
95.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 6 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+10
95.4%
Beathard, C.J. pass pass intercepted by Sutton, Cameron at the TENNESSEE45, Sutton, Cameron return 15 yards to the IOWA40, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the TENNESSEE44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
95.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 16 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
95.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 25 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.3%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Tenn 3Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Ray HamiltonSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.2%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1292% → 98%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.3%
Von Pearson run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
92.6%
Marlin Lane run for 1 yd to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
92.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 4 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
93.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
93.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 2 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
93.6%
Joshua Dobbs run for 19 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
94.0%
Devrin Young run for 5 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+11
94.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 11 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 19 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.1%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:3198% → 98%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
98.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+18
98.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Pig Howard for 18 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
98.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
98.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
98.3%
Matt Darr punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:052% → 1%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
98.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 8 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+28
98.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 28 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-4
98.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Damond Powell for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 48Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 14
OWN 48
0
98.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 14
OWN 48
+12
98.7%
Connor Kornbrath punt for 39 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 12 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0399% → 99%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Von Pearson for 16 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
98.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 8 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
98.8%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 1
50
+20
98.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 20 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 7 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+4
99.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 4 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 5 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
99.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+11
99.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 11 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:051% → 1%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.3%
Jordan Canzeri run for 11 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+17
99.4%
C.J. Beathard run for 17 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
99.4%
C.J. Beathard run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line C.J. Beathard fumbled, recovered by Tenn Brian Randolph , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:1999% → 100%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.4%
Von Pearson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
99.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 5 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+37
99.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Desmond King return for 37 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:321% → 0%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
99.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+23
99.5%
C.J. Beathard run for 23 yds to the Tenn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.4%
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd to the Tenn 5Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
99.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 7Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
C.J. Beathard pass intercepted LaDarrell McNeil return for 7 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.7%
Marlin Lane run for 1 yd to the Tenn 8Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
99.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Pig HowardSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 9
OWN 8
-3
99.7%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Jaleel Johnson and Quinton Alston for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 5Similar
Q3 0:53
4TH & 12
OWN 5
+5
99.7%
Matt Darr punt for 46 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 5 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:130% → 1%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+32
99.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 32 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+10
99.8%
Jake Rudock run for 10 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22FG
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:46100% → 100%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for 1 yd to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for no gain to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+9
99.8%
Devrin Young run for 9 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
Devrin Young run for 3 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
99.8%
Marlin Lane run for 6 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
99.8%
Marlin Lane run for 4 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
99.9%
Pig Howard run for 8 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (Ben Niemann) to the Iowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 1 yd to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
99.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
99.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 11Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
99.9%
Aaron Medley 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
99.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 1 yd to the Iowa 16Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+22
99.9%
Dillon Kidd punt for 37 yds, downed at the TENNESSEE 47 IOWA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Marlin Lane run for no gain to the Iowa 38Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.9%
Marlin Lane run for 1 yd to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Marlin Lane run for 1 yd to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Matt Darr punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:030% → 1%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 6 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+23
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 8 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (LaTroy Lewis) to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
C.J. Beathard run for 5 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+8
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 8 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Ray Hamilton for 31 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.6%
Deanthonie Summerhill run for 5 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
99.6%
Deanthonie Summerhill run for 4 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Deanthonie Summerhill run for no gain to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Deanthonie Summerhill run for no gain to the Iowa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:481% → 3%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Ray Hamilton for 9 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
99.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Andrew Stone for 15 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+33
99.6%
C.J. Beathard run for 33 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
97.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 18 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:43
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
-8.9
TD · Q1 1:31
Marlin Lane pass complete to Vic Wharton for 49 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q2 12:02
Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com